FinalTue, Sep 1, 2026

Tennessee def. Illinois 3–0

Tennessee beat visiting Illinois 3-0 (25-19, 25-17, 25-11) on Tue, Sep 1, 2026. Tennessee's Kennedi Rogers led with 14 kills, and Jalyn Stout added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 1

Set123Sets
ILL1917110
TENN2525253

Win probability

Tennessee above 50 · Illinois below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.4% ILLrally 121 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Illinois — set 1, ILL 12-13 TENN. Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan). TENN win probability 80% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL 24.9%75.1% TENN

Illinois wins

3-0
4.4%
3-1
8.5%
3-2
12.0%

Tennessee wins

3-0
27.1%
3-1
28.7%
3-2
19.3%
ILL break %
37.5% vs this opp
TENN break %
42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alyssa AguayoKill+2.4%

    Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 1 · ILL 12-13 TENN · ILL 20% → 23%

  2. 02
    Alyssa AguayoAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Alyssa Aguayo

    Set 1 · ILL 12-15 TENN · TENN 79% → 81%

  3. 03
    Alyssa AguayoAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Alyssa Aguayo

    Set 1 · ILL 2-3 TENN · TENN 75% → 77%

  4. 04
    Taylor de BoerBlock+2.1%

    Jolene Oddo stuffed by Taylor de Boer

    Set 1 · ILL 14-16 TENN · ILL 18% → 20%

  5. 05
    Kenna PhelanKill+2.0%

    Kill by Kenna Phelan (set by Talita Goncalves)

    Set 2 · ILL 6-4 TENN · ILL 16% → 18%

  6. 06
    Paityn ChapmanAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Paityn Chapman

    Set 1 · ILL 7-10 TENN · TENN 79% → 81%

  7. 07
    Caroline KerrKill+2.0%

    Kill by Caroline Kerr (set by Kennedi Rogers)

    Set 2 · ILL 7-7 TENN · TENN 84% → 86%

  8. 08
    Jolene OddoAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Jolene Oddo

    Set 1 · ILL 4-5 TENN · ILL 21% → 23%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39625.120001100009
38424.167001300008
3308.375000000003
3112.000210020010.51.5
3129-.111001200001
2013-.33310010010.50.5
33419-.053000201014
3000–021100002
3000–2021200000
3000–000000000
2001.000000000000
2000–300100000
1305.600000300003
Team totals281896.104272628212247
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314331.35521270010.515.5
311016.6881015010112
310217.47120011000010
35311.182000000216
3416.500380260031.55.5
3419.33300000010.54.5
3000–112610001
3000–000100000
1000–00010010.50.5
1000–000000000
Team totals481090.422442737218575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ILL · TENN 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 ILLTENN 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 ILLTENN 6

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 1 ILLTENN 5

Bars above the line = Tennessee leads, below = Illinois leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%4/6
0%0/3
2
67%4/6
33%2/6
3
44%4/9
0%0/4
4
36%4/11
33%2/6
5
25%3/12
43%3/7
6
40%2/5
0%0/3
All
43%21/49
24%7/29

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%4/4
50%3/6
2
67%4/6
43%3/7
3
100%4/4
56%5/9
4
67%4/6
43%3/7
5
57%4/7
60%6/10
6
100%2/2
80%8/10
All
76%22/29
57%28/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#ILL-TENNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TENNILLAttack errKennedi Rogers+1.5
21-1ILLTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.4
32-1TENNILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.5
42-2ILLTENN×4Serve errIllinois+1.4
52-3TENNTENN×4Attack errAlyssa Aguayo+2.1
62-4TENNTENN×4BlockedAlyssa Aguayoblk Caroline Kerr, Jolene Oddo+1.9
72-5TENNTENN×4BlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Kennedi Rogers, Jolene Oddo+1.8
83-5TENNILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.1
94-5ILLILLAttack errJolene Oddo+2.0
104-6ILLTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+1.3
115-6TENNILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.4
125-7ILLTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+1.4
136-7TENNILLServe errTennessee+1.4
146-8ILLTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.4
157-8TENNILLServe errTennessee+1.4
167-9ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.5
177-10TENNTENNAttack errPaityn Chapman+2.0
188-10TENNILLKillTaylor de Boerset Talita Goncalves+1.2
198-11ILLTENNServe errIllinois+1.3
208-12TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.7
219-12TENNILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.0
229-13ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.1
2310-13TENNILL×3KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2411-13ILLILL×3Attack errJolene Oddo+1.9
2512-13ILLILL×3KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+2.4
2612-14ILLTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+1.7
2712-15TENNTENN×3Attack errAlyssa Aguayo+2.3
2812-16TENNTENN×3KillMaggie Dostic+1.9
2913-16TENNILLServe errTennessee+1.0
3014-16ILLILLBlockedJolene Oddoblk Taylor de Boer+2.1
3114-17ILLTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+1.6
3214-18TENNTENNAceTennessee+1.9
3315-18TENNILLKillTaylor de Boerset Talita Goncalves+1.0
3415-19ILLTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+1.3
3515-20TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Kennedi Rogers+1.3
3616-20TENNILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.5
3716-21ILLTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.8
3817-21TENNILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.5
3917-22ILLTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.7
4018-22TENNILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.4
4118-23ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.6
4219-23TENNILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.2
4319-24ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.9
Set 2
10-1ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.0
20-2TENNTENNAttack errPaityn Chapman+1.5
31-2TENNILLServe errTennessee+1.0
42-2ILLILLAttack errChelsea Sutton+1.6
52-3ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.1
63-3TENNILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Lindsay Oldendorf+1.1
73-4ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.1
84-4TENNILL×3Attack errKennedi Rogers+1.2
95-4ILLILL×3BlockedKennedi Rogersblk Kenna Phelan, Lindsay Oldendorf+1.9
106-4ILLILL×3KillKenna Phelanset Talita Goncalves+2.0
116-5ILLTENNBad setAlyssa Aguayo+1.2
127-5TENNILLServe errTennessee+1.4
137-6ILLTENN×3Serve errIllinois+1.3
147-7TENNTENN×3KillCaroline Kerrset Kennedi Rogers+2.0
157-8TENNTENN×3Attack errTaylor de Boer+1.9
168-8TENNILLServe errTennessee+1.3
178-9ILLTENN×3KillCaroline Kerrset Maggie Dostic+1.3
188-10TENNTENN×3KillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+1.8
198-11TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.6
209-11TENNILLServe errTennessee+1.0
219-12ILLTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.1
2210-12TENNILLAttack errJalyn Stout+1.0
2311-12ILLILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.9
2411-13ILLTENNAttack errLindsay Oldendorf+1.3
2512-13TENNILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.3
2612-14ILLTENNServe errIllinois+1.4
2713-14TENNILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.4
2813-15ILLTENN×5Serve errIllinois+1.4
2913-16TENNTENN×5BlockedTaylor de Boerblk Caroline Kerr, Anni Tang+1.9
3013-17TENNTENN×5Attack errTaylor de Boer+1.5
3113-18TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.1
3213-19TENNTENN×5Attack errPaityn Chapman+0.7
3314-19TENNILL×4KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.3
3415-19ILLILL×4KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.7
3516-19ILLILL×4AceVivian Campbellaced Raegan Burns+1.1
3617-19ILLILL×4AceVivian Campbell+1.7
3717-20ILLTENN×6KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.4
3817-21TENNTENN×6KillMaggie Dosticset Kenna Phelan+1.5
3917-22TENNTENN×6Attack errMaya Harris+0.9
4017-23TENNTENN×6BlockedMaya Harrisblk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton+0.4
4117-24TENNTENN×6Attack errPaityn Chapman+0.1
4217-25TENNTENN×6KillChelsea Sutton+0.1
Set 3
10-1TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.8
21-1TENNILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.6
31-2ILLTENN×3KillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.6
41-3TENNTENN×3KillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.8
51-4TENNTENN×3Attack errPaityn Chapman+0.7
62-4TENNILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.5
72-5ILLTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.5
82-6TENNTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.6
93-6TENNILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.4
103-7ILLTENN×4KillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.4
113-8TENNTENN×4Attack errKenna Phelan+0.5
123-9TENNTENN×4KillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.4
133-10TENNTENN×4KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.3
144-10TENNILLKillMadi Milesset Sophi Randall+0.2
154-11ILLTENN×3KillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.2
164-12TENNTENN×3KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.2
174-13TENNTENN×3BlockedTaylor de Boerblk Maggie Dostic+0.1
185-13TENNILLKillMadi Milesset Sophi Randall+0.1
195-14ILLTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.1
205-15TENNTENNAttack errAlyssa Aguayo+0.1
216-15TENNILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan·
226-16ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·
237-16TENNILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan·
247-17ILLTENNServe errIllinois·
258-17TENNILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan·
268-18ILLTENN×5KillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr·
278-19TENNTENN×5KillMaggie Dostic·
288-20TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·
298-21TENNTENN×5KillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout·
308-22TENNTENN×5KillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout·
319-22TENNILLAttack errCaroline Kerr·
329-23ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·
3310-23TENNILLKillMadi Milesset Sophi Randall·
3410-24ILLTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·
3511-24TENNILLAttack errJalyn Stout·
3611-25ILLTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr·

Score shown after each rally, Illinois first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).