FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

3:0

HomeSOUTHLAND

Illinois def. McNeese 3–0

(25-14, 25-11, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ILL	25	25	25	3
MCNEES	14	11	22	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MCNEES above 50 · ILL below

Biggest swing: 0.1% to McNeese — set 1, ILL 2-2 MCNEES. Kill by Gabbie Maldonado (set by Corynne Hausler). MCNEES win probability 0% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ILL 99.7%0.3% MCNEES

Illinois wins

3-0

82.2%

3-1

15.6%

3-2

1.9%

McNeese wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

ILL break %: 53.6% vs this opp
MCNEES break %: 32.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Gabbie MaldonadoKill+0.1%
Kill by Gabbie Maldonado (set by Corynne Hausler)
Set 1 · ILL 2-2 MCNEES · MCNEES 0% → 0%
02
ILL serverAce+0.0%
Illinois ace on Sophia Tocmo
Set 1 · ILL 1-0 MCNEES · ILL 100% → 100%
03
ILL serverAce+0.0%
Illinois ace on Sophia Tocmo
Set 1 · ILL 4-2 MCNEES · ILL 100% → 100%
04
Paityn ChapmanKill+0.0%
Kill by Paityn Chapman (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 1 · ILL 3-2 MCNEES · ILL 100% → 100%
05
Paityn ChapmanKill+0.0%
Kill by Paityn Chapman (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 1 · ILL 2-0 MCNEES · ILL 100% → 100%
06
Carli BanksKill+0.0%
Kill by Carli Banks (set by Corynne Hausler)
Set 1 · ILL 2-1 MCNEES · MCNEES 0% → 0%
07
Gabbie MaldonadoAttack error+0.0%
Attack error by Gabbie Maldonado
Set 1 · ILL 5-2 MCNEES · ILL 100% → 100%
08
Maya HarrisAttack error+0.0%
Attack error by Maya Harris
Set 2 · ILL 6-5 MCNEES · MCNEES 0% → 0%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Illinoisaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Paityn ChapmanOH	3	12	5	31	.226	0	3	1	10	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
19Alyssa AguayoOH	3	12	1	26	.423	1	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	14
5Taylor de BoerOH	3	10	0	16	.625	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	1	11
11Kristina StarostenkoMB	3	5	1	11	.364	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
14Lindsay OldendorfMB	3	4	1	8	.375	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	4
7Kenna PhelanS	3	2	0	5	.400	33	1	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Maya HarrisOH	3	1	1	3	.000	1	4	4	4	0	0	0	0	5
18Talita GoncalvesL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
2Taryn KirschL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Vivian CampbellS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
13Kenzie CoganL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	9	101	.366	42	10	8	41	1	1	4	3	75

McNeesehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	PTS
23Ava HenryMB	3	7	2	14	.357	0	0	0	0	0	7
4Carli BanksOH	3	5	3	21	.095	0	0	0	3	0	5
1Gabbie MaldonadoOPP	3	4	1	17	.176	0	0	0	2	0	4
3Corynne HauslerS	3	1	0	1	1.000	12	0	3	5	0	1
5Maleah MutterbackMB	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1
9Harmony JacksonOH	1	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	1
21Kayla WilsonOH	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	2	0	3
14Gaby SantiagoOH	3	2	1	7	.143	1	0	0	4	1	2
10Megan GroseS	3	1	1	3	.000	10	0	0	4	0	1
8Sophia TocmoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	1	18	5	1
11Mary-Alice DohmannOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0
7Bailey FoolkesL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Harmony SolesMB	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		27	11	82	.195	24	1	5	38	10	47

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 ILL · MCNEES 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 6 ILLMCNEES 3

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 5 ILLMCNEES 2

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 ILLMCNEES 4

Bars above the line = McNeese leads, below = Illinois leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Illinois

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	45%5/11
2	88%7/8	65%13/20
3	67%6/9	40%4/10
4	63%5/8	69%11/16
5	100%4/4	60%6/10
6	80%4/5	43%3/7
All	69%33/48	57%42/74

McNeese

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	17%1/6
2	44%7/16	50%7/14
3	46%6/13	22%2/9
4	27%4/15	33%3/9
5	67%4/6	33%2/6
6	50%4/8	0%0/4
All	43%32/74	31%15/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

122 rallies

Rally log

#	ILL-MCNEES	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ILL	ILL	Ace	ILL server	aced Sophia Tocmo	+0.0
2	2-0	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
3	2-1	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Carli Banks	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
4	2-2	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Corynne Hausler	+0.1
5	3-2	MCNEES	ILL×6	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
6	4-2	ILL	ILL×6	Ace	ILL server	aced Sophia Tocmo	+0.0
7	5-2	ILL	ILL×6	Attack err	Gabbie Maldonado		+0.0
8	6-2	ILL	ILL×6	Ace	ILL server	aced Team	+0.0
9	7-2	ILL	ILL×6	Attack err	Harmony Jackson		+0.0
10	8-2	ILL	ILL×6	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Lindsay Oldendorf	+0.0
11	8-3	ILL	MCNEES	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+0.0
12	9-3	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
13	10-3	ILL	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
14	10-4	ILL	MCNEES	Serve err	ILL server		+0.0
15	11-4	MCNEES	ILL×3	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
16	12-4	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kristina Starostenko	+0.0
17	13-4	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Harmony Jackson		+0.0
18	13-5	ILL	MCNEES	Serve err	ILL server		+0.0
19	14-5	MCNEES	ILL×3	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
20	15-5	ILL	ILL×3	Ace	ILL server	aced Sophia Tocmo	+0.0
21	16-5	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Talita Goncalves	+0.0
22	16-6	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Megan Grose	+0.0
23	17-6	MCNEES	ILL	Attack err	Ava Henry	blk Taylor de Boer	+0.0
24	18-6	ILL	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
25	18-7	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+0.0
26	19-7	MCNEES	ILL	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.0
27	19-8	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Corynne Hausler		+0.0
28	19-9	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry		+0.0
29	20-9	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Talita Goncalves	+0.0
30	21-9	ILL	ILL	Kill	Lindsay Oldendorf		+0.0
31	21-10	ILL	MCNEES	Serve err	ILL server		+0.0
32	21-11	MCNEES	MCNEES	Ace	MCNEES server	aced Lindsay Oldendorf	+0.0
33	22-11	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
34	23-11	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Harmony Jackson	blk Kristina Starostenko, Paityn Chapman	+0.0
35	23-12	ILL	MCNEES×3	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
36	23-13	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Harmony Jackson	set Megan Grose	+0.0
37	23-14	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Bad set	Kenna Phelan		+0.0
38	24-14	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
39	25-14	ILL	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	MCNEES	ILL×4	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
2	2-0	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Lindsay Oldendorf	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
3	3-0	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Gaby Santiago		+0.0
4	4-0	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Ava Henry		+0.0
5	4-1	ILL	MCNEES	Serve err	ILL server		+0.0
6	5-1	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Lindsay Oldendorf	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
7	5-2	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Carli Banks	set Gaby Santiago	+0.0
8	5-3	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
9	6-3	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Maya Harris	+0.0
10	6-4	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Carli Banks	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
11	6-5	MCNEES	MCNEES	Attack err	Maya Harris		+0.0
12	7-5	MCNEES	ILL×4	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
13	8-5	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Carli Banks		+0.0
14	9-5	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
15	10-5	ILL	ILL×4	Ace	ILL server	aced Team	+0.0
16	10-6	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Maleah Mutterback	set Megan Grose	+0.0
17	11-6	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
18	11-7	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Gaby Santiago	set Megan Grose	+0.0
19	12-7	MCNEES	ILL	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.0
20	13-7	ILL	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
21	13-8	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+0.0
22	14-8	MCNEES	ILL×3	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
23	15-8	ILL	ILL×3	Ace	ILL server	aced Sophia Tocmo	+0.0
24	16-8	ILL	ILL×3	Bad set	Corynne Hausler		+0.0
25	16-9	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
26	17-9	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
27	18-9	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Talita Goncalves	+0.0
28	18-10	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Carli Banks	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
29	19-10	MCNEES	ILL×5	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.0
30	20-10	ILL	ILL×5	Kill	Kenna Phelan	set Alyssa Aguayo	+0.0
31	21-10	ILL	ILL×5	Ace	ILL server	aced Sophia Tocmo	+0.0
32	22-10	ILL	ILL×5	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
33	23-10	ILL	ILL×5	Ace	ILL server	aced Team	+0.0
34	23-11	ILL	MCNEES	Attack err	Kristina Starostenko		+0.0
35	24-11	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
36	25-11	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Carli Banks	blk Kenna Phelan, Kristina Starostenko	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Gaby Santiago	set Sophia Tocmo	+0.0
2	1-1	MCNEES	ILL	Bad set	Corynne Hausler		+0.0
3	2-1	ILL	ILL	Ace	ILL server	aced Team	+0.0
4	2-2	ILL	MCNEES	Serve err	ILL server		+0.0
5	3-2	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
6	4-2	ILL	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
7	4-3	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
8	5-3	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
9	6-3	ILL	ILL	Ace	ILL server	aced Gaby Santiago	+0.0
10	6-4	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Megan Grose		+0.0
11	7-4	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Maya Harris	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
12	7-5	ILL	MCNEES	Serve err	ILL server		+0.0
13	8-5	MCNEES	ILL×3	Attack err	Megan Grose		+0.0
14	9-5	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
15	10-5	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Lindsay Oldendorf	+0.0
16	10-6	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Megan Grose	+0.0
17	10-7	MCNEES	MCNEES	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
18	11-7	MCNEES	ILL	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.0
19	11-8	ILL	MCNEES×3	Serve err	ILL server		+0.0
20	11-9	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Ava Henry	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
21	11-10	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+0.0
22	12-10	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Lindsay Oldendorf	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
23	13-10	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
24	13-11	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Kayla Wilson	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
25	14-11	MCNEES	ILL	Bad set	Bailey Foolkes		+0.0
26	14-12	ILL	MCNEES	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+0.0
27	15-12	MCNEES	ILL×4	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
28	16-12	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Carli Banks		+0.0
29	17-12	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Talita Goncalves	+0.0
30	18-12	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Kenna Phelan	set Megan Grose	+0.0
31	18-13	ILL	MCNEES×3	Bad set	Kenna Phelan		+0.0
32	18-14	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+0.0
33	18-15	MCNEES	MCNEES×3	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Megan Grose	+0.0
34	19-15	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
35	19-16	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Harmony Soles	set Megan Grose	+0.0
36	20-16	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
37	20-17	ILL	MCNEES	Kill	Gabbie Maldonado	set Megan Grose	+0.0
38	21-17	MCNEES	ILL×3	Serve err	MCNEES server		+0.0
39	22-17	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
40	23-17	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Taylor de Boer		+0.0
41	23-18	ILL	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Alyssa Aguayo		+0.0
42	23-19	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Kill	Carli Banks	set Corynne Hausler	+0.0
43	23-20	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+0.0
44	23-21	MCNEES	MCNEES×4	Attack err	Lindsay Oldendorf		+0.0
45	24-21	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0
46	24-22	ILL	MCNEES	Serve err	ILL server		+0.0
47	25-22	MCNEES	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Illinois first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.