FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026

Illinois def. Rice 3–0

Illinois won at Rice 3-0 (25-18, 25-19, 25-14) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. Illinois' Paityn Chapman led with 16 kills, and Talita Goncalves added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 6

Set123Sets
ILL2525253
RICE1819140

Win probability

Rice above 50 · Illinois below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% RICErally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Rice — set 1, ILL 2-4 RICE. Attack error by Paityn Chapman. RICE win probability 21% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL 80.8%19.2% RICE

Illinois wins

3-0
32.3%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
18.1%

Rice wins

3-0
3.1%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
9.8%
ILL break %
43.3% vs this opp
RICE break %
36.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Paityn ChapmanAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Paityn Chapman

    Set 1 · ILL 2-4 RICE · RICE 21% → 23%

  2. 02

    Kill by Stephanie Gutierrez (set by Kaia Mateo)

    Set 1 · ILL 2-3 RICE · RICE 19% → 21%

  3. 03
    Sydnee PetersonAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Sydnee Peterson

    Set 1 · ILL 4-4 RICE · ILL 78% → 80%

  4. 04

    Kill by Paityn Chapman (set by Talita Goncalves)

    Set 1 · ILL 5-4 RICE · ILL 80% → 82%

  5. 05

    Kill by Taylor de Boer (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 1 · ILL 8-6 RICE · ILL 82% → 84%

  6. 06

    Kill by Paityn Chapman (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 1 · ILL 2-1 RICE · ILL 81% → 82%

  7. 07
    Ashlyn SeayAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Ashlyn Seay

    Set 1 · ILL 10-7 RICE · ILL 84% → 86%

  8. 08
    Arissa SmithKill+1.4%

    Kill by Arissa Smith (set by Mari Furoyama)

    Set 2 · ILL 0-1 RICE · RICE 10% → 11%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316225.56000030010.516.5
310014.7141001004212
39125.320000210009
38119.368001610219
33031.000000001014
3102.500382380010.53.5
31011.000013200002
3000–4011310000
3000–000000000
3000–001300000
Team totals48489.494433938318575
Ricehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37427.11100151010.57.5
36114.35700010010.56.5
3408.50001120010.55.5
34116.18800010010.54.5
32021.0001701500002
3000–101110000
36317.176000200006
3000–110100001
3000–2001100000
2428.250000100004
21011.0001113000002
2136-.333000100001
2000–001300000
1012-.500000000000
Team totals3515101.198323834304251

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ILL · RICE 3

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 ILLRICE 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 ILLRICE 3

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 5 ILLRICE 2

Bars above the line = Rice leads, below = Illinois leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
59%10/17
2
64%7/11
53%8/15
3
100%7/7
36%4/11
4
100%6/6
33%3/9
5
55%6/11
40%4/10
6
100%6/6
50%6/12
All
77%40/52
47%35/74

Rice

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%7/20
22%2/9
2
64%7/11
22%2/9
3
70%7/10
30%3/10
4
50%6/12
0%0/7
5
75%6/8
40%4/10
6
46%6/13
14%1/7
All
53%39/74
23%12/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#ILL-RICESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ILLRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Jordan Hummel+1.3
21-1RICEILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.2
32-1ILLILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.7
42-2ILLRICE×3Serve errIllinois+1.2
52-3RICERICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+2.0
62-4RICERICE×3Attack errPaityn Chapman+2.1
73-4RICEILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.3
84-4ILLILL×3Attack errSydnee Peterson+2.0
95-4ILLILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+1.9
105-5ILLRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+1.3
116-5RICEILLAttack errAshlyn Seay+1.3
126-6ILLRICEKillKaia Mateoset Kenna Phelan+1.3
137-6RICEILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.3
148-6ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.8
158-7ILLRICEKillKaia Mateoset Paityn Chapman+1.2
169-7RICEILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.2
1710-7ILLILLAttack errAshlyn Seay+1.6
1810-8ILLRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Jordan Hummel+1.0
1911-8RICEILLKillKenna Phelan+1.1
2011-9ILLRICEServe errIllinois+1.1
2112-9RICEILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.1
2213-9ILLILLAceIllinois+1.4
2313-10ILLRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.8
2414-10RICEILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.9
2514-11ILLRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Kaia Mateo+0.8
2615-11RICEILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2715-12ILLRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+0.8
2816-12RICEILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2916-13ILLRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+0.8
3017-13RICEILL×4Serve errRice+1.0
3118-13ILLILL×4KillKristina Starostenko+1.1
3219-13ILLILL×4KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.7
3320-13ILLILL×4KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.4
3420-14ILLRICEKillBella Lopezset Kaia Mateo+0.1
3521-14RICEILLServe errRice+0.2
3622-14ILLILLAttack errBella Lopez+0.1
3722-15ILLRICEServe errIllinois·
3822-16RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Declan Eastman+0.1
3923-16RICEILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kristina Starostenko+0.1
4023-17ILLRICEServe errIllinois·
4124-17RICEILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.1
4224-18ILLRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo·
4325-18RICEILLAttack errSydnee Peterson·
Set 2
10-1RICERICEKillArissa Smithset Mari Furoyama+1.4
21-1RICEILL×6KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.9
32-1ILLILL×6KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.3
43-1ILLILL×6Bad setJordan Hummel+1.2
54-1ILLILL×6BlockedKellen Dorotikblk Alyssa Aguayo, Kristina Starostenko+1.1
65-1ILLILL×6KillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+0.9
76-1ILLILL×6BlockedSydnee Petersonblk Alyssa Aguayo, Kristina Starostenko+0.7
86-2ILLRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.4
96-3RICERICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.8
107-3RICEILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.6
117-4ILLRICEBlockedAlyssa Aguayoblk Stephanie Gutierrez, Kellen Dorotik+0.6
128-4RICEILLServe errRice+0.6
138-5ILLRICEKillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.6
149-5RICEILLServe errRice+0.6
1510-5ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.8
1610-6ILLRICE×3KillStephanie Gutierrezset Savannah Skopal+0.5
1710-7RICERICE×3Attack errPaityn Chapman+0.9
1810-8RICERICE×3AceRiceaced Taylor de Boer+1.1
1911-8RICEILLKillLindsay Oldendorfset Kenna Phelan+0.8
2012-8ILLILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2112-9ILLRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.6
2213-9RICEILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Talita Goncalves+0.7
2313-10ILLRICEKillSydnee Petersonset Kaia Mateo+0.6
2413-11RICERICEBlockedTaylor de Boerblk Sydnee Peterson, Arissa Smith+1.2
2514-11RICEILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.9
2614-12ILLRICEKillArissa Smithset Kaia Mateo+0.9
2715-12RICEILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.9
2816-12ILLILLKillLindsay Oldendorf+1.1
2916-13ILLRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo+0.6
3017-13RICEILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.8
3117-14ILLRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Savannah Skopal+0.6
3218-14RICEILL×3Attack errBella Lopez+0.8
3319-14ILLILL×3Attack errAmalia Simmons+0.8
3420-14ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.5
3520-15ILLRICE×3KillSavannah Skopalset Kenna Phelan+0.2
3620-16RICERICE×3KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.5
3720-17RICERICE×3KillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.8
3821-17RICEILLKillLindsay Oldendorfset Kenna Phelan+0.8
3921-18ILLRICEServe errIllinois+0.5
4022-18RICEILL×3KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.8
4123-18ILLILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+0.6
4224-18ILLILL×3BlockedBella Lopezblk Kristina Starostenko, Paityn Chapman+0.2
4324-19ILLRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Kaia Mateo·
4425-19RICEILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.1
Set 3
11-0ILLILLAceIllinoisaced Sydnee Peterson+0.6
22-0ILLILLKillKristina Starostenko+0.6
32-1ILLRICEServe errIllinois+0.4
43-1RICEILLServe errRice+0.4
53-2ILLRICEKillArissa Smithset Savannah Skopal+0.4
63-3RICERICEAceRiceaced Talita Goncalves+0.7
74-3RICEILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.4
85-3ILLILLAttack errSydnee Peterson+0.6
95-4ILLRICEServe errIllinois+0.4
106-4RICEILL×4KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.4
117-4ILLILL×4Attack errArissa Smith+0.6
128-4ILLILL×4BlockedAshlyn Seayblk Lindsay Oldendorf+0.5
139-4ILLILL×4KillMaya Harrisset Kenna Phelan+0.4
149-5ILLRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal+0.2
1510-5RICEILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.3
1610-6ILLRICEServe errIllinois+0.2
1711-6RICEILLServe errRice+0.3
1811-7ILLRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+0.2
1912-7RICEILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.3
2013-7ILLILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.3
2113-8ILLRICEKillKellen Dorotikset Savannah Skopal+0.2
2214-8RICEILLServe errRice+0.2
2315-8ILLILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.2
2415-9ILLRICEServe errIllinois+0.1
2516-9RICEILLAttack errAmalia Simmons+0.1
2616-10ILLRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+0.1
2717-10RICEILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.1
2817-11ILLRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Kaia Mateo+0.1
2918-11RICEILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.1
3018-12ILLRICEKillAmalia Simmonsset Kaia Mateo+0.1
3118-13RICERICEAceRiceaced Alyssa Aguayo+0.2
3219-13RICEILLServe errRice+0.2
3320-13ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.1
3420-14ILLRICEKillAshlyn Seayset Savannah Skopal·
3521-14RICEILL×5KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.1
3622-14ILLILL×5AceIllinoisaced Mari Furoyama·
3723-14ILLILL×5KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan·
3824-14ILLILL×5Attack errEllie Schneider·
3925-14ILLILL×5KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan·

Score shown after each rally, Illinois first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).