Illinois def. Arkansas 3–0
Illinois beat Arkansas 3-0 (25-16, 25-21, 25-17) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Illinois' Alyssa Aguayo led with 13 kills, and Talita Goncalves added 23 digs.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| ARK | 16 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.8% to Arkansas — set 2, ILL 9-11 ARK. Attack error by Paityn Chapman. ARK win probability 11% → 13%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Illinois wins
Arkansas wins
- ILL break %
- 44.5% vs this opp
- ARK break %
- 37.2% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02
- 03Paityn ChapmanKill+1.7%
Kill by Paityn Chapman (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 2 · ILL 13-12 ARK · ILL 90% → 92%
- 04
- 05Lakin LaurendineKill+1.7%
Kill by Lakin Laurendine (set by Kiki Remensperger)
Set 1 · ILL 9-8 ARK · ARK 14% → 15%
- 06IllinoisAce+1.6%
Illinois ace on Gaby Cornier
Set 1 · ILL 4-3 ARK · ILL 83% → 84%
- 07Taylor de BoerKill+1.6%
Kill by Taylor de Boer (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 2 · ILL 20-17 ARK · ILL 93% → 95%
- 08
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 33 | .182 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 3 | 13 | 3 | 23 | .435 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 28 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .667 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 21 | 107 | .262 | 47 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 32 | .031 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .150 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -.111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| Team totals | 21 | 15 | 95 | .063 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 54 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-16
Set 2
25-21
Set 3
25-17
Bars above the line = Arkansas leads, below = Illinois leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Illinois
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 73%8/11 | 36%4/11 |
| 2 | 70%7/10 | 56%9/16 |
| 3 | 100%6/6 | 45%5/11 |
| 4 | 86%6/7 | 54%7/13 |
| 5 | 75%6/8 | 50%6/12 |
| 6 | 46%6/13 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 71%39/55 | 49%36/74 |
Arkansas
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%8/17 | 25%2/8 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 38%5/13 |
| 3 | 46%6/13 | 13%1/8 |
| 4 | 40%6/15 | 14%1/7 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 63%5/8 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 51%38/74 | 29%16/55 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
129 rallies
| # | ILL-ARK | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Aleki Alexander | set Kiki Remensperger | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +1.1 |
| 3 | 1-2 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Lakin Laurendine | set Kiki Remensperger | +1.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Layla Smith | set Kiki Remensperger | +1.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +1.2 |
| 7 | 4-3 | ILL | ILL | Ace | Illinois | aced Gaby Cornier | +1.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | ILL | ARK | Attack err | Ashlyn Philpot | +1.2 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +1.1 |
| 10 | 6-4 | ILL | ILL | Blocked | Lakin Laurendine | blk Ashlyn Philpot, Taylor de Boer | +1.5 |
| 11 | 6-5 | ILL | ARK | Serve err | Illinois | +1.1 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | ARK | ILL | Attack err | Parker Duncan | +1.1 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | ILL | ILL | Blocked | Lily Dudley | blk Kristina Starostenko, Taylor de Boer | +1.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Parker Duncan | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.9 |
| 15 | 9-6 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Lakin Laurendine | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.9 |
| 17 | 9-8 | ARK | ARK | Kill | Lakin Laurendine | set Kiki Remensperger | +1.7 |
| 18 | 10-8 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.2 |
| 19 | 11-8 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Maya Harris | set Kenna Phelan | +1.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | ILL | ARK | Serve err | Illinois | +1.0 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.0 |
| 22 | 13-9 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +1.3 |
| 23 | 13-10 | ILL | ARK | Blocked | Paityn Chapman | blk Layla Smith | +0.8 |
| 24 | 14-10 | ARK | ILL×3 | Serve err | Arkansas | +0.9 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.0 |
| 26 | 16-10 | ILL | ILL×3 | Ace | Illinois | aced Lakin Laurendine | +0.7 |
| 27 | 16-11 | ILL | ARK | Serve err | Illinois | +0.3 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | ARK | ILL | Serve err | Arkansas | +0.4 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Parker Duncan | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.3 |
| 30 | 18-12 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Ashlyn Philpot | set Kenna Phelan | +0.4 |
| 31 | 18-13 | ILL | ARK×3 | Kill | Parker Duncan | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.3 |
| 32 | 18-14 | ARK | ARK×3 | Ace | Parker Duncan | aced Alyssa Aguayo | +0.7 |
| 33 | 18-15 | ARK | ARK×3 | Kill | Aleki Alexander | set Kiki Remensperger | +1.1 |
| 34 | 19-15 | ARK | ILL×5 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Paityn Chapman | +1.0 |
| 35 | 20-15 | ILL | ILL×5 | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Talita Goncalves | +0.9 |
| 36 | 21-15 | ILL | ILL×5 | Attack err | Lily Dudley | +0.5 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | ILL | ILL×5 | Ace | Illinois | aced Parker Duncan | +0.2 |
| 38 | 23-15 | ILL | ILL×5 | Attack err | Aleki Alexander | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 23-16 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Lily Dudley | set Kiki Remensperger | · |
| 40 | 24-16 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | · |
| 41 | 25-16 | ILL | ILL | Ace | Illinois | aced Parker Duncan | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +0.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Parker Duncan | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ARK | ILL | Blocked | Parker Duncan | blk Ashlyn Philpot, Paityn Chapman | +0.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | ILL | ARK | Blocked | Paityn Chapman | blk Aleki Alexander, Parker Duncan | +0.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ARK | ILL×3 | Kill | Ashlyn Philpot | set Kenna Phelan | +0.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.1 |
| 7 | 5-2 | ILL | ILL×3 | Blocked | Parker Duncan | blk Ashlyn Philpot, Kenna Phelan | +0.9 |
| 8 | 5-3 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Lakin Laurendine | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | ARK | ARK | Kill | Parker Duncan | set Kiki Remensperger | +1.1 |
| 10 | 6-4 | ARK | ILL×3 | Serve err | Arkansas | +0.8 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.0 |
| 12 | 8-4 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +0.8 |
| 13 | 8-5 | ILL | ARK | Serve err | Illinois | +0.5 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | ARK | ARK | Kill | Lakin Laurendine | +1.0 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Talita Goncalves | +0.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | ILL | ARK×5 | Kill | Layla Smith | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.7 |
| 17 | 9-8 | ARK | ARK×5 | Blocked | Taylor de Boer | blk Layla Smith, Lakin Laurendine | +1.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | ARK | ARK×5 | Attack err | Taylor de Boer | +1.5 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | ARK | ARK×5 | Attack err | Paityn Chapman | +1.7 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | ARK | ARK×5 | Attack err | Paityn Chapman | +1.8 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | ARK | ILL | Blocked | Lakin Laurendine | blk Kristina Starostenko, Maya Harris | +1.1 |
| 22 | 10-12 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Layla Smith | set Kiki Remensperger | +1.3 |
| 23 | 11-12 | ARK | ILL×6 | Serve err | Arkansas | +1.2 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | ILL | ILL×6 | Attack err | Layla Smith | +1.7 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | ILL | ILL×6 | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.7 |
| 26 | 14-12 | ILL | ILL×6 | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +1.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | ILL | ILL×6 | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Maya Harris | +1.3 |
| 28 | 16-12 | ILL | ILL×6 | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +1.0 |
| 29 | 16-13 | ILL | ARK×3 | Kill | Layla Smith | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.6 |
| 30 | 16-14 | ARK | ARK×3 | Attack err | Paityn Chapman | +1.2 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | ARK | ARK×3 | Attack err | Alyssa Aguayo | +1.6 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +1.2 |
| 33 | 17-16 | ILL | ARK | Blocked | Ashlyn Philpot | blk Kiki Remensperger | +1.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +1.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | ILL | ARK | Attack err | Ashlyn Philpot | +1.2 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | ARK | ILL×3 | Kill | Ashlyn Philpot | set Kenna Phelan | +1.3 |
| 37 | 20-17 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.6 |
| 38 | 21-17 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | ILL | ARK | Serve err | Illinois | +0.5 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | ARK | ARK | Kill | Laci Bohannan | set Parker Duncan | +1.2 |
| 41 | 22-19 | ARK | ILL×3 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.2 |
| 42 | 23-19 | ILL | ILL×3 | Attack err | Laci Bohannan | +1.0 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +0.4 |
| 44 | 24-20 | ILL | ARK | Serve err | Illinois | +0.1 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | ARK | ARK | Attack err | Paityn Chapman | +0.2 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.4 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ILL | ARK | Attack err | Taylor de Boer | +0.4 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | ARK | ILL | Serve err | Arkansas | +0.4 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +0.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | ILL | ARK | Attack err | Kristina Starostenko | +0.4 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +0.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ILL | ARK | Blocked | Alyssa Aguayo | blk Elsie Law, Aleki Alexander | +0.4 |
| 7 | 4-3 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +0.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | ILL | ARK | Kill | Aleki Alexander | set Kiki Remensperger | +0.4 |
| 9 | 5-4 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +0.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | ILL | ARK | Blocked | Taylor de Boer | blk Elsie Law, Layla Smith | +0.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | ARK | ILL | Serve err | Arkansas | +0.4 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | ILL | ARK | Blocked | Taylor de Boer | blk Kiki Remensperger | +0.5 |
| 13 | 7-6 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +0.4 |
| 14 | 7-7 | ILL | ARK | Attack err | Taylor de Boer | +0.5 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +0.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | ILL | ARK | Serve err | Illinois | +0.5 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | ARK | ILL×3 | Blocked | Parker Duncan | blk Kristina Starostenko, Paityn Chapman | +0.5 |
| 18 | 10-8 | ILL | ILL×3 | Attack err | Parker Duncan | +0.6 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +0.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | ILL | ARK | Blocked | Alyssa Aguayo | blk Aleki Alexander | +0.4 |
| 21 | 12-9 | ARK | ILL×3 | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +0.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | ILL | ILL×3 | Blocked | Laci Bohannan | blk Kenna Phelan, Ashlyn Philpot | +0.5 |
| 23 | 14-9 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Ashlyn Philpot | set Kenna Phelan | +0.3 |
| 24 | 14-10 | ILL | ARK | Serve err | Illinois | +0.2 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Maya Harris | set Kenna Phelan | +0.2 |
| 26 | 16-10 | ILL | ILL | Blocked | Laci Bohannan | blk Kenna Phelan, Ashlyn Philpot | +0.2 |
| 27 | 16-11 | ILL | ARK | Blocked | Taylor de Boer | blk Layla Smith, Elsie Law | +0.1 |
| 28 | 17-11 | ARK | ILL×3 | Kill | Kenna Phelan | set Talita Goncalves | +0.2 |
| 29 | 18-11 | ILL | ILL×3 | Attack err | Layla Smith | +0.1 | |
| 30 | 19-11 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Vivian Campbell | +0.1 |
| 31 | 19-12 | ILL | ARK | Blocked | Paityn Chapman | blk Laci Bohannan, Layla Smith | · |
| 32 | 20-12 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | · |
| 33 | 20-13 | ILL | ARK×3 | Serve err | Illinois | · | |
| 34 | 20-14 | ARK | ARK×3 | Kill | Gaby Cornier | set Kenna Phelan | +0.1 |
| 35 | 20-15 | ARK | ARK×3 | Attack err | Kristina Starostenko | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | ARK | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +0.1 |
| 37 | 22-15 | ILL | ILL | Ace | Illinois | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | ILL | ARK | Serve err | Illinois | · | |
| 39 | 22-17 | ARK | ARK | Kill | Parker Duncan | set Madi Benne | +0.1 |
| 40 | 23-17 | ARK | ILL×3 | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +0.1 |
| 41 | 24-17 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | · |
| 42 | 25-17 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | · |
Score shown after each rally, Illinois first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).