FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

Illinois def. Arkansas 3–0

Illinois beat Arkansas 3-0 (25-16, 25-21, 25-17) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Illinois' Alyssa Aguayo led with 13 kills, and Talita Goncalves added 23 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
ILL2525253
ARK1621170

Win probability

Arkansas above 50 · Illinois below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.8% ARKrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Arkansas — set 2, ILL 9-11 ARK. Attack error by Paityn Chapman. ARK win probability 11% → 13%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL 83.1%16.9% ARK

Illinois wins

3-0
34.8%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.3%

Arkansas wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
8.8%
ILL break %
44.5% vs this opp
ARK break %
37.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Paityn ChapmanAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Paityn Chapman

    Set 2 · ILL 9-11 ARK · ARK 11% → 13%

  2. 02
    Layla SmithAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Layla Smith

    Set 2 · ILL 12-12 ARK · ILL 88% → 90%

  3. 03

    Kill by Paityn Chapman (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 2 · ILL 13-12 ARK · ILL 90% → 92%

  4. 04
    Paityn ChapmanAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Paityn Chapman

    Set 2 · ILL 9-10 ARK · ARK 9% → 11%

  5. 05

    Kill by Lakin Laurendine (set by Kiki Remensperger)

    Set 1 · ILL 9-8 ARK · ARK 14% → 15%

  6. 06
    IllinoisAce+1.6%

    Illinois ace on Gaby Cornier

    Set 1 · ILL 4-3 ARK · ILL 83% → 84%

  7. 07

    Kill by Taylor de Boer (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 2 · ILL 20-17 ARK · ILL 93% → 95%

  8. 08
    Alyssa AguayoAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Alyssa Aguayo

    Set 2 · ILL 16-15 ARK · ARK 6% → 8%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312633.1821223002115
313323.4350018100013
311728.1430001002112
36210.40000000031.57.5
3438.12500000052.56.5
3102.500411250031.53.5
3203.66712390010.54.5
3000–3002300000
3000–102400000
2000–000000000
Team totals4921107.26247510531016875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36532.03111162010.57.5
34211.182001001437
35220.15000261010.55.5
3319.222000001225
3002.0001600802022
2129-.111000200001
31011.000001610001
22Ava RothL/DS
3000–001100000
3000–100400000
21310-.20000000010.51.5
1001.00000010031.51.5
Team totals211595.06318163454121054

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ILL · ARK 5

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 ILLARK 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 6 ILLARK 5

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 3 ILLARK 3

Bars above the line = Arkansas leads, below = Illinois leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
36%4/11
2
70%7/10
56%9/16
3
100%6/6
45%5/11
4
86%6/7
54%7/13
5
75%6/8
50%6/12
6
46%6/13
45%5/11
All
71%39/55
49%36/74

Arkansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
25%2/8
2
64%7/11
38%5/13
3
46%6/13
13%1/8
4
40%6/15
14%1/7
5
60%6/10
25%2/8
6
63%5/8
45%5/11
All
51%38/74
29%16/55

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#ILL-ARKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ILLARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
21-1ARKILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.1
31-2ILLARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.2
42-2ARKILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.1
52-3ILLARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.3
63-3ARKILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.2
74-3ILLILLAceIllinoisaced Gaby Cornier+1.6
84-4ILLARKAttack errAshlyn Philpot+1.2
95-4ARKILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.1
106-4ILLILLBlockedLakin Laurendineblk Ashlyn Philpot, Taylor de Boer+1.5
116-5ILLARKServe errIllinois+1.1
127-5ARKILLAttack errParker Duncan+1.1
138-5ILLILLBlockedLily Dudleyblk Kristina Starostenko, Taylor de Boer+1.4
148-6ILLARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
159-6ARKILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.0
169-7ILLARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.9
179-8ARKARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.7
1810-8ARKILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.2
1911-8ILLILLKillMaya Harrisset Kenna Phelan+1.5
2011-9ILLARKServe errIllinois+1.0
2112-9ARKILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2213-9ILLILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.3
2313-10ILLARKBlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Layla Smith+0.8
2414-10ARKILL×3Serve errArkansas+0.9
2515-10ILLILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2616-10ILLILL×3AceIllinoisaced Lakin Laurendine+0.7
2716-11ILLARKServe errIllinois+0.3
2817-11ARKILLServe errArkansas+0.4
2917-12ILLARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
3018-12ARKILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.4
3118-13ILLARK×3KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.3
3218-14ARKARK×3AceParker Duncanaced Alyssa Aguayo+0.7
3318-15ARKARK×3KillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+1.1
3419-15ARKILL×5KillTaylor de Boerset Paityn Chapman+1.0
3520-15ILLILL×5KillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+0.9
3621-15ILLILL×5Attack errLily Dudley+0.5
3722-15ILLILL×5AceIllinoisaced Parker Duncan+0.2
3823-15ILLILL×5Attack errAleki Alexander+0.1
3923-16ILLARKKillLily Dudleyset Kiki Remensperger·
4024-16ARKILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan·
4125-16ILLILLAceIllinoisaced Parker Duncan·
Set 2
11-0ARKILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.7
21-1ILLARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+0.8
32-1ARKILLBlockedParker Duncanblk Ashlyn Philpot, Paityn Chapman+0.8
42-2ILLARKBlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Aleki Alexander, Parker Duncan+0.8
53-2ARKILL×3KillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.8
64-2ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.1
75-2ILLILL×3BlockedParker Duncanblk Ashlyn Philpot, Kenna Phelan+0.9
85-3ILLARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+0.6
95-4ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.1
106-4ARKILL×3Serve errArkansas+0.8
117-4ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.0
128-4ILLILL×3KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.8
138-5ILLARKServe errIllinois+0.5
148-6ARKARKKillLakin Laurendine+1.0
159-6ARKILLKillTaylor de Boerset Talita Goncalves+0.7
169-7ILLARK×5KillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+0.7
179-8ARKARK×5BlockedTaylor de Boerblk Layla Smith, Lakin Laurendine+1.2
189-9ARKARK×5Attack errTaylor de Boer+1.5
199-10ARKARK×5Attack errPaityn Chapman+1.7
209-11ARKARK×5Attack errPaityn Chapman+1.8
2110-11ARKILLBlockedLakin Laurendineblk Kristina Starostenko, Maya Harris+1.1
2210-12ILLARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.3
2311-12ARKILL×6Serve errArkansas+1.2
2412-12ILLILL×6Attack errLayla Smith+1.7
2513-12ILLILL×6KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.7
2614-12ILLILL×6KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.5
2715-12ILLILL×6KillAlyssa Aguayoset Maya Harris+1.3
2816-12ILLILL×6KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2916-13ILLARK×3KillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+0.6
3016-14ARKARK×3Attack errPaityn Chapman+1.2
3116-15ARKARK×3Attack errAlyssa Aguayo+1.6
3217-15ARKILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.2
3317-16ILLARKBlockedAshlyn Philpotblk Kiki Remensperger+1.2
3418-16ARKILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.3
3518-17ILLARKAttack errAshlyn Philpot+1.2
3619-17ARKILL×3KillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+1.3
3720-17ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.6
3821-17ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.1
3921-18ILLARKServe errIllinois+0.5
4021-19ARKARKKillLaci Bohannanset Parker Duncan+1.2
4122-19ARKILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+1.2
4223-19ILLILL×3Attack errLaci Bohannan+1.0
4324-19ILLILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.4
4424-20ILLARKServe errIllinois+0.1
4524-21ARKARKAttack errPaityn Chapman+0.2
4625-21ARKILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kiki Remensperger+0.4
Set 3
10-1ILLARKAttack errTaylor de Boer+0.4
21-1ARKILLServe errArkansas+0.4
32-1ILLILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.6
42-2ILLARKAttack errKristina Starostenko+0.4
53-2ARKILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.4
63-3ILLARKBlockedAlyssa Aguayoblk Elsie Law, Aleki Alexander+0.4
74-3ARKILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.4
84-4ILLARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+0.4
95-4ARKILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.4
105-5ILLARKBlockedTaylor de Boerblk Elsie Law, Layla Smith+0.4
116-5ARKILLServe errArkansas+0.4
126-6ILLARKBlockedTaylor de Boerblk Kiki Remensperger+0.5
137-6ARKILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.4
147-7ILLARKAttack errTaylor de Boer+0.5
158-7ARKILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.4
168-8ILLARKServe errIllinois+0.5
179-8ARKILL×3BlockedParker Duncanblk Kristina Starostenko, Paityn Chapman+0.5
1810-8ILLILL×3Attack errParker Duncan+0.6
1911-8ILLILL×3KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.5
2011-9ILLARKBlockedAlyssa Aguayoblk Aleki Alexander+0.4
2112-9ARKILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.4
2213-9ILLILL×3BlockedLaci Bohannanblk Kenna Phelan, Ashlyn Philpot+0.5
2314-9ILLILL×3KillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.3
2414-10ILLARKServe errIllinois+0.2
2515-10ARKILLKillMaya Harrisset Kenna Phelan+0.2
2616-10ILLILLBlockedLaci Bohannanblk Kenna Phelan, Ashlyn Philpot+0.2
2716-11ILLARKBlockedTaylor de Boerblk Layla Smith, Elsie Law+0.1
2817-11ARKILL×3KillKenna Phelanset Talita Goncalves+0.2
2918-11ILLILL×3Attack errLayla Smith+0.1
3019-11ILLILL×3KillTaylor de Boerset Vivian Campbell+0.1
3119-12ILLARKBlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Laci Bohannan, Layla Smith·
3220-12ARKILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan·
3320-13ILLARK×3Serve errIllinois·
3420-14ARKARK×3KillGaby Cornierset Kenna Phelan+0.1
3520-15ARKARK×3Attack errKristina Starostenko+0.1
3621-15ARKILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.1
3722-15ILLILLAceIllinois+0.1
3822-16ILLARKServe errIllinois·
3922-17ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+0.1
4023-17ARKILL×3KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.1
4124-17ILLILL×3KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan·
4225-17ILLILL×3KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan·

Score shown after each rally, Illinois first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).