Illinois def. Arkansas St. 3–0
Illinois won at Arkansas St. 3-0 (25-15, 25-22, 25-23) on Sun, Sep 20, 2026. Illinois' Paityn Chapman led with 13 kills, and Talita Goncalves added 18 digs.
Data through · final Sep 20
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| ARK ST | 15 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 3.8% to Illinois — set 2, ILL 21-20 ARK ST. Kill by Taylor de Boer (set by Kristina Starostenko). ARK ST win probability 16% → 12%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Illinois wins
Arkansas St. wins
- ILL break %
- 44.0% vs this opp
- ARK ST break %
- 38.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Taylor de BoerKill+3.8%
Kill by Taylor de Boer (set by Kristina Starostenko)
Set 2 · ILL 21-20 ARK ST · ILL 84% → 88%
- 02
- 03Taylor de BoerBlock+3.5%
Addison Collum stuffed by Taylor de Boer
Set 2 · ILL 22-20 ARK ST · ILL 88% → 91%
- 04Taylor de BoerKill+2.9%
Kill by Taylor de Boer (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 2 · ILL 18-19 ARK ST · ILL 78% → 81%
- 05Arkansas St.Ace+2.7%
Arkansas St. ace on Maya Harris
Set 2 · ILL 13-16 ARK ST · ARK ST 20% → 22%
- 06Kaitlin WhitlockKill+2.6%
Kill by Kaitlin Whitlock (set by Erin Madigan)
Set 2 · ILL 18-20 ARK ST · ARK ST 19% → 22%
- 07IllinoisAce+2.5%
Illinois ace on Kaitlin Whitlock
Set 2 · ILL 23-20 ARK ST · ILL 91% → 94%
- 08Alyssa AguayoKill+2.5%
Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 3 · ILL 24-22 ARK ST · ILL 96% → 99%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 13 | 3 | 34 | .294 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 30 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 | .538 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -.200 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 11 | 4 | 27 | .259 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 45 | 15 | 118 | .254 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 32 | .156 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | 10 | 2 | 35 | .229 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | .077 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 20 | -.050 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 37 | 19 | 131 | .137 | 34 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 60 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-15
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
25-23
Bars above the line = Arkansas St. leads, below = Illinois leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Illinois
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89%8/9 | 65%11/17 |
| 2 | 67%8/12 | 33%4/12 |
| 3 | 55%6/11 | 60%9/15 |
| 4 | 55%6/11 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 46%6/13 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 100%6/6 | 50%6/12 |
| All | 65%40/62 | 48%35/73 |
Arkansas St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%8/17 | 13%1/8 |
| 2 | 50%7/14 | 20%2/10 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 50%7/14 |
| 4 | 67%6/9 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 67%6/9 | 54%7/13 |
| 6 | 36%5/14 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 52%38/73 | 35%22/62 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
135 rallies
| # | ILL-ARK ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Mia Maloney | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +1.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Paityn Chapman | +1.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +2.0 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ILL | ARK ST | Serve err | Illinois | +1.5 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Ashlyn Philpot | set Kenna Phelan | +1.5 |
| 8 | 5-3 | ILL | ILL | Attack err | Haley Glunz | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Erin Madigan | +1.4 |
| 10 | 6-4 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Ashlyn Philpot | set Kenna Phelan | +1.4 |
| 11 | 7-4 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.8 |
| 12 | 7-5 | ILL | ARK ST | Attack err | Taylor de Boer | +1.2 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.3 |
| 14 | 8-6 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | +1.3 |
| 15 | 9-6 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.3 |
| 16 | 10-6 | ILL | ILL | Ace | Illinois | aced Keira Garinger | +1.6 |
| 17 | 10-7 | ILL | ARK ST | Serve err | Illinois | +1.1 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.2 |
| 19 | 12-7 | ILL | ILL | Attack err | Calea Bush | +1.4 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | ILL | ARK ST | Blocked | Alyssa Aguayo | blk Calea Bush, Addison Collum | +0.8 |
| 21 | 13-8 | ARK ST | ILL×6 | Attack err | Calea Bush | +1.0 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | ILL | ILL×6 | Attack err | Addison Collum | +1.0 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | ILL | ILL×6 | Ace | Illinois | aced Devyn Lewis | +0.7 |
| 24 | 16-8 | ILL | ILL×6 | Ace | Illinois | aced Mia Maloney | +0.5 |
| 25 | 17-8 | ILL | ILL×6 | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +0.3 |
| 26 | 18-8 | ILL | ILL×6 | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +0.1 |
| 27 | 18-9 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +0.1 |
| 28 | 18-10 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Blocked | Alyssa Aguayo | blk Addison Collum, Haley Glunz | +0.1 |
| 29 | 19-10 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Talita Goncalves | +0.1 |
| 30 | 20-10 | ILL | ILL | Attack err | Devyn Lewis | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 20-11 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | · |
| 32 | 20-12 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Attack err | Taylor de Boer | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 21-12 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Ashlyn Philpot | set Kenna Phelan | +0.1 |
| 34 | 21-13 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Adison Ozuna | set Maya Joska | · |
| 35 | 21-14 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Maya Joska | +0.1 |
| 36 | 22-14 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +0.1 |
| 37 | 22-15 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | · |
| 38 | 23-15 | ARK ST | ILL×3 | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +0.1 |
| 39 | 24-15 | ILL | ILL×3 | Attack err | Kaitlin Whitlock | · | |
| 40 | 25-15 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ILL | ILL | Bad set | Erin Madigan | +1.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Calea Bush | set Erin Madigan | +1.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ARK ST | ILL | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +1.1 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +1.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Attack err | Alyssa Aguayo | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | ARK ST | ILL×3 | Attack err | Haley Glunz | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | ILL | ILL×3 | Attack err | Devyn Lewis | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | ILL | ILL×3 | Blocked | Adison Ozuna | blk Paityn Chapman, Ashlyn Philpot | +1.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | +1.1 |
| 10 | 6-4 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.1 |
| 11 | 7-4 | ILL | ILL | Ace | Illinois | aced Keira Garinger | +1.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | ILL | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Adison Ozuna | set Maya Joska | +1.0 |
| 13 | 7-6 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Blocked | Paityn Chapman | blk Calea Bush | +1.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Calea Bush | +1.8 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Ace | Arkansas St. | aced Talita Goncalves | +2.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | ARK ST | ILL | Attack err | Paityn Chapman | +1.4 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | ILL | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Calea Bush | set Maya Joska | +1.5 |
| 18 | 8-10 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Calea Bush | set Erin Madigan | +2.2 |
| 19 | 8-11 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Blocked | Ashlyn Philpot | blk Calea Bush, Kaitlin Whitlock | +2.2 |
| 20 | 8-12 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Blocked | Taylor de Boer | blk Addison Collum, Calea Bush | +2.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | ARK ST | ILL×3 | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +1.2 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +2.0 |
| 23 | 11-12 | ILL | ILL×3 | Blocked | Addison Collum | blk Taylor de Boer, Kristina Starostenko | +2.2 |
| 24 | 11-13 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Mia Maloney | +1.8 |
| 25 | 12-13 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.6 |
| 26 | 12-14 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +1.9 |
| 27 | 13-14 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +1.6 |
| 28 | 13-15 | ILL | ARK ST | Serve err | Illinois | +1.9 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Ace | Arkansas St. | aced Maya Harris | +2.7 |
| 30 | 14-16 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.5 |
| 31 | 14-17 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Maya Joska | +2.0 |
| 32 | 15-17 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +1.6 |
| 33 | 15-18 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | +2.1 |
| 34 | 16-18 | ARK ST | ILL | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +1.6 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | ILL | ARK ST | Serve err | Illinois | +2.2 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.6 |
| 37 | 18-19 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +2.9 |
| 38 | 18-20 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Erin Madigan | +2.6 |
| 39 | 19-20 | ARK ST | ILL×5 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +2.1 |
| 40 | 20-20 | ILL | ILL×5 | Attack err | Calea Bush | +3.6 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | ILL | ILL×5 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kristina Starostenko | +3.8 |
| 42 | 22-20 | ILL | ILL×5 | Blocked | Addison Collum | blk Taylor de Boer | +3.5 |
| 43 | 23-20 | ILL | ILL×5 | Ace | Illinois | aced Kaitlin Whitlock | +2.5 |
| 44 | 23-21 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Calea Bush | set Erin Madigan | +1.0 |
| 45 | 24-21 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Talita Goncalves | +1.7 |
| 46 | 24-22 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +0.7 |
| 47 | 25-22 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.6 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Talita Goncalves | +0.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | ILL | ILL | Blocked | Calea Bush | blk Ashlyn Philpot, Alyssa Aguayo | +0.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ILL | ARK ST | Attack err | Paityn Chapman | +0.6 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +0.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ILL | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +0.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Attack err | Ashlyn Philpot | +0.9 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +1.0 |
| 8 | 3-5 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Erin Madigan | +1.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Ashlyn Philpot | set Kenna Phelan | +0.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Adison Ozuna | set Maya Joska | +0.8 |
| 11 | 4-7 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Blocked | Kenna Phelan | blk Haley Glunz | +1.1 |
| 12 | 5-7 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Kenna Phelan | set Talita Goncalves | +0.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | ILL | ILL | Attack err | Kaitlin Whitlock | +1.0 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Adison Ozuna | set Maya Joska | +0.8 |
| 15 | 7-8 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +0.7 |
| 16 | 8-8 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +1.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | +0.8 |
| 18 | 9-9 | ARK ST | ILL | Blocked | Kaitlin Whitlock | blk Kristina Starostenko, Taylor de Boer | +0.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | ILL | ILL | Attack err | Kaitlin Whitlock | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Erin Madigan | +0.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Talita Goncalves | +0.8 |
| 22 | 12-10 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +1.1 |
| 23 | 12-11 | ILL | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Calea Bush | set Erin Madigan | +0.7 |
| 24 | 12-12 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Attack err | Paityn Chapman | +1.2 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +1.3 |
| 26 | 13-13 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +0.9 |
| 27 | 14-13 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +1.3 |
| 28 | 14-14 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Kaitlin Whitlock | +0.9 |
| 29 | 14-15 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Blocked | Kenna Phelan | blk Haley Glunz | +1.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | ARK ST | ILL | Blocked | Haley Glunz | blk Alyssa Aguayo | +1.0 |
| 31 | 15-16 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Maya Joska | +1.1 |
| 32 | 16-16 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +1.0 |
| 33 | 16-17 | ILL | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Maya Joska | +1.2 |
| 34 | 16-18 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Ace | Arkansas St. | aced Alyssa Aguayo | +1.7 |
| 35 | 16-19 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Attack err | Taylor de Boer | +1.7 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | +1.4 |
| 37 | 17-20 | ARK ST | ILL×3 | Kill | Taylor de Boer | set Kenna Phelan | +0.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | ILL | ILL×3 | Attack err | Adison Ozuna | +1.3 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | ILL | ILL×3 | Blocked | Kaitlin Whitlock | blk Paityn Chapman, Kristina Starostenko | +1.7 |
| 40 | 19-21 | ILL | ARK ST | Kill | Adison Ozuna | set Maya Joska | +1.6 |
| 41 | 20-21 | ARK ST | ILL×3 | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +1.2 |
| 42 | 21-21 | ILL | ILL×3 | Kill | Kristina Starostenko | set Kenna Phelan | +2.2 |
| 43 | 22-21 | ILL | ILL×3 | Ace | Illinois | aced Keira Garinger | +2.4 |
| 44 | 22-22 | ILL | ARK ST | Serve err | Illinois | +1.7 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Paityn Chapman | set Kenna Phelan | +2.0 |
| 46 | 24-22 | ILL | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +2.5 |
| 47 | 24-23 | ILL | ARK ST | Blocked | Alyssa Aguayo | blk Addison Collum, Calea Bush | +1.0 |
| 48 | 25-23 | ARK ST | ILL | Kill | Alyssa Aguayo | set Kenna Phelan | +2.2 |
Score shown after each rally, Illinois first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).