Minnesota vs Illinois Volleyball: Illinois Wins 3-1 (Sep 24)

Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 24, 2026B1G+

1:3

Illinois beat visiting Minnesota 3-1 (25-22, 14-25, 25-18, 25-22) on Thu, Sep 24, 2026. Paityn Chapman led Illinois with 15 kills; Minnesota's Mckenna Wucherer had a match-high 18.

Data through Nov 3, 1:45 PM CT · final Sep 24

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MINN	22	25	18	22	1
ILL	25	14	25	25	3

Win probability

Illinois above 50 · Minnesota below

Biggest swing: 11.9% to Illinois — set 4, MINN 22-23 ILL. Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan). ILL win probability 70% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MINN 60.1%39.9% ILL

Minnesota wins

3-0

17.3%

3-1

23.0%

3-2

19.9%

Illinois wins

3-0

8.7%

3-1

14.5%

3-2

16.6%

MINN break %: 42.5% vs this opp
ILL break %: 40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Alyssa AguayoKill+11.9%
Kill by Alyssa Aguayo (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 4 · MINN 22-23 ILL · ILL 70% → 82%
02
Kristina StarostenkoKill+11.7%
Kill by Kristina Starostenko (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 4 · MINN 22-24 ILL · ILL 82% → 93%
03
Maya HarrisAttack error+9.7%
Attack error by Maya Harris
Set 4 · MINN 22-21 ILL · MINN 27% → 37%
04
Jordan TaylorKill+8.6%
Kill by Jordan Taylor (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 4 · MINN 21-21 ILL · MINN 19% → 27%
05
Jordan TaylorBad set+6.8%
Bad set by Jordan Taylor
Set 1 · MINN 21-22 ILL · ILL 40% → 47%
06
Mckenna WuchererAttack error+6.7%
Attack error by Mckenna Wucherer
Set 1 · MINN 21-23 ILL · ILL 47% → 54%
07
Kristina StarostenkoKill+6.7%
Kill by Kristina Starostenko (set by Kenna Phelan)
Set 4 · MINN 22-22 ILL · ILL 63% → 70%
08
Paityn Chapman&Kristina StarostenkoBlock+6.6%
Mckenna Wucherer stuffed by Paityn Chapman & Kristina Starostenko
Set 4 · MINN 22-25 ILL · ILL 93% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Minnesotaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Mckenna WuchererOH	4	18	6	45	.267	1	2	3	6	1	0	0	0	20
33Kelly KinneyOH	4	15	7	40	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
7Carly GilkOPP	4	11	5	28	.214	0	0	2	3	0	0	2	1	12
15Jordan TaylorMB	4	8	2	15	.400	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
17Elena HoeckeMB	4	5	3	13	.154	0	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	8
1Stella SwensonS	4	0	2	5	-.400	44	0	1	7	0	1	2	2	2
5McKenna GarrL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	3	3	2	19	0	0	0	0	3
4Makenna CrossonOH	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
12Zeynep PalabiyikL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	6	0	0	19	2	0	0	0	0
6Kate ThibaultL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
10Georgia LeeS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		57	25	149	.215	54	5	11	68	4	2	10	7	87

Illinoishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Paityn ChapmanOH	4	15	4	48	.229	0	1	1	9	0	0	3	1.5	17.5
11Kristina StarostenkoMB	4	8	3	17	.294	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	10
16Ashlyn PhilpotMB	4	7	2	19	.263	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	9
8Maya HarrisOH	4	2	1	4	.250	0	2	3	4	2	0	0	0	4
19Alyssa AguayoOH	4	3	3	23	.000	1	0	1	11	2	0	1	0.5	3.5
7Kenna PhelanS	4	2	0	5	.400	37	0	0	10	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
5Taylor de BoerOH	4	11	2	23	.391	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
18Talita GoncalvesL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	19	1	0	0	0	1
13Kenzie CoganL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
17Vivian CampbellS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	15	139	.237	41	4	9	54	5	1	12	7	89

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 MINN · ILL 4

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 MINNILL 4

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 9 MINNILL 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 MINNILL 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 5 MINNILL 4

Bars above the line = Illinois leads, below = Minnesota leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Minnesota

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	53%10/19
2	53%8/15	50%8/16
3	62%8/13	43%6/14
4	80%8/10	56%10/18
5	53%8/15	20%2/10
6	44%7/16	36%4/11
All	53%47/88	45%40/88

Illinois

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%9/21	53%8/15
2	44%8/18	58%11/19
3	73%8/11	27%3/11
4	47%8/17	27%3/11
5	62%8/13	47%7/15
6	88%7/8	53%9/17
All	55%48/88	47%41/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#	MINN-ILL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ILL	ILL	Ace	Illinois	aced Zeynep Palabiyik	+2.5
2	1-1	ILL	MINN	Serve err	Illinois		+1.7
3	2-1	MINN	MINN	Attack err	Kristina Starostenko		+2.5
4	2-2	MINN	ILL×4	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+1.8
5	2-3	ILL	ILL×4	Ace	Illinois	aced Jordan Taylor	+2.6
6	2-4	ILL	ILL×4	Blocked	Carly Gilk	blk Ashlyn Philpot, Alyssa Aguayo	+2.7
7	2-5	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Carly Gilk		+2.6
8	3-5	ILL	MINN×5	Kill	Jordan Taylor	set Stella Swenson	+1.7
9	4-5	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Carly Gilk	set Stella Swenson	+2.6
10	5-5	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+2.7
11	6-5	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Carly Gilk	set McKenna Garr	+2.7
12	7-5	MINN	MINN×5	Blocked	Alyssa Aguayo	blk Carly Gilk, Elena Hoecke	+2.6
13	7-6	MINN	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+1.8
14	8-6	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+1.9
15	9-6	MINN	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+2.5
16	9-7	MINN	ILL	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.7
17	10-7	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.8
18	10-8	MINN	ILL×3	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.7
19	10-9	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Kelly Kinney		+2.8
20	10-10	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Mckenna Wucherer		+3.1
21	11-10	ILL	MINN	Serve err	Illinois		+2.2
22	11-11	MINN	ILL	Serve err	Minnesota		+2.3
23	11-12	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Jordan Taylor		+3.4
24	12-12	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+2.4
25	12-13	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.5
26	13-13	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+2.4
27	13-14	MINN	ILL×3	Serve err	Minnesota		+2.6
28	13-15	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Carly Gilk		+3.8
29	13-16	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Ashlyn Philpot		+3.6
30	14-16	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+2.1
31	14-17	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Talita Goncalves	+2.6
32	14-18	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Carly Gilk		+3.2
33	15-18	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+1.7
34	16-18	MINN	MINN	Attack err	Ashlyn Philpot		+3.1
35	16-19	MINN	ILL	Serve err	Minnesota		+2.9
36	17-19	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+2.2
37	18-19	MINN	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+4.0
38	18-20	MINN	ILL	Serve err	Minnesota		+3.6
39	19-20	ILL	MINN×3	Serve err	Illinois		+3.0
40	20-20	MINN	MINN×3	Attack err	Taylor de Boer		+5.2
41	21-20	MINN	MINN×3	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+5.8
42	21-21	MINN	ILL×4	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+4.0
43	21-22	ILL	ILL×4	Bad set	Jordan Taylor		+6.8
44	21-23	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Mckenna Wucherer		+6.7
45	21-24	ILL	ILL×4	Blocked	Kelly Kinney	blk Paityn Chapman, Kristina Starostenko	+4.9
46	22-24	ILL	MINN	Kill	Jordan Taylor	set Stella Swenson	+1.3
47	22-25	MINN	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+3.2
Set 2
1	1-0	MINN	MINN	Kill	Carly Gilk	set Stella Swenson	+2.7
2	1-1	MINN	ILL	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.9
3	2-1	ILL	MINN×3	Kill	Jordan Taylor	set Stella Swenson	+1.9
4	3-1	MINN	MINN×3	Kill	Carly Gilk	set McKenna Garr	+2.7
5	4-1	MINN	MINN×3	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set McKenna Garr	+2.5
6	4-2	MINN	ILL	Blocked	Mckenna Wucherer	blk Kristina Starostenko, Paityn Chapman	+1.7
7	5-2	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.8
8	5-3	MINN	ILL	Kill	Ashlyn Philpot	set Kenna Phelan	+1.7
9	6-3	ILL	MINN	Kill	Elena Hoecke	set Stella Swenson	+1.9
10	6-4	MINN	ILL	Attack err	Stella Swenson		+1.8
11	7-4	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Mckenna Wucherer	+1.9
12	7-5	MINN	ILL	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.8
13	8-5	ILL	MINN	Serve err	Illinois		+1.9
14	8-6	MINN	ILL	Serve err	Minnesota		+1.8
15	9-6	ILL	MINN×3	Kill	Jordan Taylor	set Stella Swenson	+2.0
16	10-6	MINN	MINN×3	Ace	Minnesota	aced Alyssa Aguayo	+2.5
17	11-6	MINN	MINN×3	Ace	Minnesota	aced Alyssa Aguayo	+2.1
18	11-7	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+1.3
19	12-7	ILL	MINN	Serve err	Illinois		+1.5
20	12-8	MINN	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+1.3
21	12-9	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Elena Hoecke		+2.2
22	13-9	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.9
23	13-10	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+1.6
24	14-10	ILL	MINN×9	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+1.9
25	15-10	MINN	MINN×9	Ace	Minnesota	aced Maya Harris	+2.2
26	16-10	MINN	MINN×9	Blocked	Ashlyn Philpot	blk Kelly Kinney, Elena Hoecke	+1.6
27	17-10	MINN	MINN×9	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+1.1
28	18-10	MINN	MINN×9	Kill	Elena Hoecke	set Stella Swenson	+0.7
29	19-10	MINN	MINN×9	Blocked	Alyssa Aguayo	blk Stella Swenson, Elena Hoecke	+0.4
30	20-10	MINN	MINN×9	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+0.2
31	21-10	MINN	MINN×9	Ace	Minnesota	aced Maya Harris	+0.1
32	22-10	MINN	MINN×9	Blocked	Alyssa Aguayo	blk Stella Swenson, Elena Hoecke	·
33	22-11	MINN	ILL×3	Kill	Kenna Phelan		·
34	22-12	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	·
35	22-13	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Elena Hoecke		·
36	23-13	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	·
37	24-13	MINN	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	·
38	24-14	MINN	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	·
39	25-14	ILL	MINN	Serve err	Illinois		·
Set 3
1	0-1	ILL	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko		+3.4
2	1-1	ILL	MINN×3	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+2.4
3	2-1	MINN	MINN×3	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+3.3
4	3-1	MINN	MINN×3	Attack err	Kristina Starostenko		+3.3
5	3-2	MINN	ILL	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+2.3
6	4-2	ILL	MINN	Kill	Carly Gilk	set Stella Swenson	+2.3
7	5-2	MINN	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+3.1
8	5-3	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.1
9	6-3	ILL	MINN	Kill	Elena Hoecke	set Stella Swenson	+2.2
10	6-4	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.1
11	7-4	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+2.3
12	7-5	MINN	ILL×4	Blocked	Kelly Kinney	blk Kenna Phelan, Ashlyn Philpot	+2.2
13	7-6	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+3.5
14	7-7	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+3.8
15	7-8	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Mckenna Wucherer		+4.0
16	8-8	ILL	MINN	Kill	Jordan Taylor	set Stella Swenson	+2.8
17	9-8	MINN	MINN	Attack err	Taylor de Boer		+4.0
18	9-9	MINN	ILL×4	Kill	Kenna Phelan		+2.9
19	9-10	ILL	ILL×4	Attack err	Kelly Kinney		+4.3
20	9-11	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+4.4
21	9-12	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Taylor de Boer		+4.2
22	10-12	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+2.6
23	11-12	MINN	MINN	Kill	Carly Gilk	set Stella Swenson	+4.2
24	11-13	MINN	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+3.3
25	11-14	ILL	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Talita Goncalves	+4.5
26	12-14	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+2.7
27	12-15	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Alyssa Aguayo	+3.3
28	12-16	ILL	ILL	Blocked	Mckenna Wucherer	blk Ashlyn Philpot	+4.1
29	13-16	ILL	MINN	Kill	Carly Gilk	set Stella Swenson	+2.3
30	13-17	MINN	ILL	Serve err	Minnesota		+3.0
31	13-18	ILL	ILL	Ace	Illinois	aced Zeynep Palabiyik	+3.3
32	14-18	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+1.6
33	14-19	MINN	ILL	Serve err	Minnesota		+2.4
34	15-19	ILL	MINN	Serve err	Illinois		+1.5
35	15-20	MINN	ILL	Kill	Ashlyn Philpot	set Kenna Phelan	+2.3
36	16-20	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+1.4
37	17-20	MINN	MINN	Kill	Carly Gilk	set Zeynep Palabiyik	+3.0
38	17-21	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+3.1
39	18-21	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+1.9
40	18-22	MINN	ILL×4	Attack err	Paityn Chapman		+3.1
41	18-23	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.5
42	18-24	ILL	ILL×4	Ace	Illinois	aced Mckenna Wucherer	+1.0
43	18-25	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Talita Goncalves	+0.2
Set 4
1	1-0	MINN	MINN	Kill	Jordan Taylor	set Stella Swenson	+3.6
2	1-1	MINN	ILL	Attack err	Carly Gilk		+2.6
3	2-1	ILL	MINN	Serve err	Illinois		+2.6
4	3-1	MINN	MINN	Blocked	Kristina Starostenko	blk Elena Hoecke	+3.6
5	3-2	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.5
6	4-2	ILL	MINN	Kill	Carly Gilk	set Stella Swenson	+2.6
7	4-3	MINN	ILL	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+2.5
8	4-4	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Stella Swenson		+3.9
9	5-4	ILL	MINN	Serve err	Illinois		+2.8
10	5-5	MINN	ILL	Kill	Ashlyn Philpot	set Kenna Phelan	+2.8
11	6-5	ILL	MINN	Kill	Elena Hoecke	set Stella Swenson	+2.8
12	6-6	MINN	ILL	Kill	Ashlyn Philpot	set Kenna Phelan	+2.9
13	6-7	ILL	ILL	Attack err	Kelly Kinney		+4.3
14	7-7	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+3.0
15	7-8	MINN	ILL×3	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+3.2
16	7-9	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Kelly Kinney		+4.5
17	7-10	ILL	ILL×3	Blocked	Kelly Kinney	blk Kristina Starostenko, Taylor de Boer	+4.4
18	8-10	ILL	MINN	Kill	Carly Gilk	set Stella Swenson	+2.8
19	9-10	MINN	MINN	Blocked	Paityn Chapman	blk Carly Gilk, Jordan Taylor	+4.4
20	9-11	MINN	ILL×3	Kill	Maya Harris	set Kenna Phelan	+3.4
21	9-12	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Maya Harris	set Kenna Phelan	+4.6
22	9-13	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+4.2
23	10-13	ILL	MINN×3	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+2.5
24	11-13	MINN	MINN×3	Bad set	Kenna Phelan		+4.2
25	12-13	MINN	MINN×3	Kill	Elena Hoecke	set Stella Swenson	+4.8
26	12-14	MINN	ILL	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+3.8
27	13-14	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+3.5
28	14-14	MINN	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+5.4
29	14-15	MINN	ILL×3	Kill	Paityn Chapman	set Kenna Phelan	+4.1
30	14-16	ILL	ILL×3	Kill	Ashlyn Philpot	set Kenna Phelan	+5.8
31	14-17	ILL	ILL×3	Attack err	Elena Hoecke		+5.5
32	15-17	ILL	MINN	Kill	Mckenna Wucherer	set Stella Swenson	+3.2
33	15-18	MINN	ILL	Kill	Ashlyn Philpot	set Kenna Phelan	+4.1
34	16-18	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+3.2
35	16-19	MINN	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+4.2
36	16-20	ILL	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+4.8
37	17-20	ILL	MINN	Kill	Kelly Kinney	set Stella Swenson	+2.3
38	17-21	MINN	ILL	Kill	Taylor de Boer	set Kenna Phelan	+3.5
39	18-21	ILL	MINN×5	Kill	Jordan Taylor	set Stella Swenson	+2.1
40	19-21	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Carly Gilk	set Stella Swenson	+4.6
41	20-21	MINN	MINN×5	Ace	Minnesota	aced Talita Goncalves	+6.6
42	21-21	MINN	MINN×5	Kill	Jordan Taylor	set Kenna Phelan	+8.6
43	22-21	MINN	MINN×5	Attack err	Maya Harris		+9.7
44	22-22	MINN	ILL×4	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+6.7
45	22-23	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Alyssa Aguayo	set Kenna Phelan	+11.9
46	22-24	ILL	ILL×4	Kill	Kristina Starostenko	set Kenna Phelan	+11.7
47	22-25	ILL	ILL×4	Blocked	Mckenna Wucherer	blk Paityn Chapman, Kristina Starostenko	+6.6

Score shown after each rally, Minnesota first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Illinois def. Minnesota 3–1