FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on B1G+

Illinois def. Rutgers 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Illinois 87.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Illinois won at Rutgers 3-0 (25-23, 25-14, 25-22) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Illinois' Alyssa Aguayo led with 13 kills, and Talita Goncalves added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
ILL2525253
RUTGER2314220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.464 and 13 kills for Alyssa Aguayo as Illinois rolled past Rutgers.

Win probability never moved more than 4.8 points on one rally; Rutgers topped out at 20% in Set 1. Illinois went in as RallyIQ's 87% pick.

IllinoisRutgers
  • Break %+11.6 pts
    57.545.9

    On serve: 42/73 against 28/61 (Rutgers sideout 42.5%).

  • Hitting+.132
    .336.204

    Kills and errors: 47–11 vs 37–14.

  • Longest run+1
    65

    Illinois scored 6 straight in the second set to stretch an 18–13 lead to 24–13. Final score of the set: 25–14.

Rutgers above 50Illinois belowMax swing 4.8%

IllinoisRutgers

Aces
Illinois 5·Rutgers 4
Serve err
Illinois 6·Rutgers 7
Blocks
Illinois 6·Rutgers 61 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Illinois 56·Rutgers 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rutgers above 50 · Illinois below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.8% ILLrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.8% to Illinois — set 1, ILL 25-23 RUTGER. Kill by Paityn Chapman (set by Talita Goncalves). RUTGER win probability 12% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL 86.7%13.3% RUTGER

Illinois wins

3-0
39.4%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%

Rutgers wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%
ILL break %
45.2% vs this opp
RUTGER break %
36.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Paityn Chapman (set by Talita Goncalves)

    Set 1 · ILL 25-23 RUTGER · ILL 88% → 93%

  2. 02

    Kill by Taylor de Boer (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 1 · ILL 23-22 RUTGER · ILL 83% → 88%

  3. 03

    Kill by Natalie Robinson (set by Brooke Baldwin)

    Set 1 · ILL 21-22 RUTGER · RUTGER 15% → 20%

  4. 04

    Kill by Taylor de Boer (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 1 · ILL 24-23 RUTGER · ILL 85% → 88%

  5. 05

    Ashlyn Philpot stuffed by Skylar George & Natalie Robinson

    Set 1 · ILL 21-21 RUTGER · RUTGER 12% → 15%

  6. 06
    Aspen MaxwellBlock+3.0%

    Taylor de Boer stuffed by Aspen Maxwell

    Set 1 · ILL 23-23 RUTGER · RUTGER 12% → 15%

  7. 07

    Kill by Taylor de Boer (set by Kenna Phelan)

    Set 1 · ILL 22-22 RUTGER · ILL 80% → 83%

  8. 08
    Skylar GeorgeKill+2.3%

    Kill by Skylar George (set by Kaila Kalama-Bajet)

    Set 1 · ILL 21-20 RUTGER · RUTGER 10% → 12%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313028.46420171010.513.5
311627.18521110002113
3416.5001331120007
3408.50000030132.56.5
34311.091000000215
3104.2503500110010.51.5
310122.40900000010.510.5
3001.000010200001
3000–6011210000
Team totals4711107.3364656564110675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313528.286103111031.514.5
38326.19201101010.59.5
35123.174000100005
33210.100000200425
33313.000001100214
31011.0001510700002
3000–522810002
3001.0001300600000
3000–000100000
2207.28600040010.52.5
2000–100100000
1204.50010030010.52.5
Team totals3714113.2043647455012659

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ILL · RUTGER 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 ILLRUTGER 4

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 6 ILLRUTGER 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 6 ILLRUTGER 5

Bars above the line = Rutgers leads, below = Illinois leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
55%6/11
2
55%6/11
75%18/24
3
63%5/8
29%2/7
4
45%5/11
38%3/8
5
45%5/11
55%6/11
6
56%5/9
58%7/12
All
54%33/61
58%42/73

Rutgers

SlotSideout %Break %
1
32%6/19
40%4/10
2
35%6/17
45%5/11
3
71%5/7
33%3/9
4
56%5/9
58%7/12
5
33%5/15
44%4/9
6
67%4/6
50%5/10
All
42%31/73
46%28/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#ILL-RUTGERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1RUTGERRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.5
21-1RUTGERILL×4Serve errRutgers+0.9
32-1ILLILL×4AceMaya Harrisaced Karis Willow+1.3
43-1ILLILL×4KillMaya Harrisset Kenna Phelan+1.2
54-1ILLILL×4AceMaya Harris+1.0
64-2ILLRUTGERServe errMaya Harris+0.7
75-2RUTGERILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.7
86-2ILLILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+0.9
96-3ILLRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.5
106-4RUTGERRUTGER×3KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
116-5RUTGERRUTGER×3KillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.3
127-5RUTGERILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.9
138-5ILLILLAcePaityn Chapman+1.1
148-6ILLRUTGER×3KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.7
158-7RUTGERRUTGER×3AceKaris Willowaced Maya Harris+1.4
168-8RUTGERRUTGER×3BlockedAshlyn Philpotblk Skylar George, Zharia Harris-Waddy+1.7
179-8RUTGERILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.1
1810-8ILLILLAttack errSkylar George+1.5
1910-9ILLRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
2011-9RUTGERILL×5KillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2112-9ILLILL×5AceKenzie Coganaced Alleigh Dutton+1.3
2213-9ILLILL×5KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.0
2314-9ILLILL×5KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.8
2415-9ILLILL×5KillTaylor de Boerset Alyssa Aguayo+0.5
2515-10ILLRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
2615-11RUTGERRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.6
2716-11RUTGERILLKillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.5
2816-12ILLRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.4
2916-13RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errPaityn Chapman+0.9
3016-14RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errMaya Harris+1.3
3117-14RUTGERILLKillMaya Harrisset Kenna Phelan+1.0
3217-15ILLRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.9
3317-16RUTGERRUTGERAttack errPaityn Chapman+1.9
3418-16RUTGERILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+1.4
3518-17ILLRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.4
3619-17RUTGERILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.5
3720-17ILLILLAttack errKaris Willow+1.8
3820-18ILLRUTGERServe errPaityn Chapman+0.9
3921-18RUTGERILLServe errRutgers+1.2
4021-19ILLRUTGER×4KillSkylar Georgeset Alleigh Dutton+0.9
4121-20RUTGERRUTGER×4KillSkylar Georgeset Kaila Kalama-Bajet+2.3
4221-21RUTGERRUTGER×4BlockedAshlyn Philpotblk Skylar George, Natalie Robinson+3.5
4321-22RUTGERRUTGER×4KillNatalie Robinsonset Brooke Baldwin+4.7
4422-22RUTGERILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+2.8
4523-22ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+4.8
4623-23ILLRUTGERBlockedTaylor de Boerblk Aspen Maxwell+3.0
4724-23RUTGERILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+3.8
4825-23ILLILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+4.8
Set 2
10-1ILLRUTGERServe errMaya Harris+0.7
21-1RUTGERILL×5Serve errRutgers+0.6
32-1ILLILL×5KillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+0.9
43-1ILLILL×5KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.8
54-1ILLILL×5KillAlyssa Aguayoset Maya Harris+0.7
65-1ILLILL×5KillAlyssa Aguayoset Talita Goncalves+0.6
75-2ILLRUTGERServe errTalita Goncalves+0.4
85-3RUTGERRUTGERAttack errPaityn Chapman+0.7
96-3RUTGERILLAttack errZharia Harris-Waddy+0.5
106-4ILLRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.5
116-5RUTGERRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Alleigh Dutton+0.9
127-5RUTGERILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.6
138-5ILLILLAttack errSkylar George+0.8
148-6ILLRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.5
159-6RUTGERILL×4KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.5
1610-6ILLILL×4KillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.7
1711-6ILLILL×4KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+0.5
1812-6ILLILL×4Attack errSkylar George+0.4
1912-7ILLRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
2012-8RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errPaityn Chapman+0.4
2112-9RUTGERRUTGER×3AceLily Bolenaced Alyssa Aguayo+0.6
2213-9RUTGERILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.5
2313-10ILLRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.4
2413-11RUTGERRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Alleigh Dutton+0.9
2514-11RUTGERILL×5KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.6
2615-11ILLILL×5BlockedKaris Willowblk Paityn Chapman, Kristina Starostenko+0.8
2716-11ILLILL×5AceMaya Harrisaced Skylar George+0.5
2817-11ILLILL×5KillAlyssa Aguayo+0.4
2918-11ILLILL×5BlockedMalia Romesblk Alyssa Aguayo, Kristina Starostenko+0.2
3018-12ILLRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+0.1
3118-13RUTGERRUTGERAceAlleigh Duttonaced Maya Harris+0.2
3219-13RUTGERILL×6KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.2
3320-13ILLILL×6KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.2
3421-13ILLILL×6Attack errZharia Harris-Waddy+0.1
3522-13ILLILL×6KillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan·
3623-13ILLILL×6KillMaya Harrisset Paityn Chapman·
3724-13ILLILL×6BlockedKaris Willowblk Paityn Chapman, Ashlyn Philpot·
3824-14ILLRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen·
3925-14RUTGERILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan·
Set 3
11-0RUTGERILLServe errRutgers+0.3
22-0ILLILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Talita Goncalves+0.4
32-1ILLRUTGER×4Serve errMaya Harris+0.3
42-2RUTGERRUTGER×4BlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Zharia Harris-Waddy, Avery Jesewitz+0.5
52-3RUTGERRUTGER×4KillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+0.6
62-4RUTGERRUTGER×4AceAlleigh Duttonaced Talita Goncalves+0.6
73-4RUTGERILLServe errRutgers+0.4
83-5ILLRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Lily Bolen+0.4
94-5RUTGERILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.4
104-6ILLRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Skylar George+0.4
115-6RUTGERILLAttack errZharia Harris-Waddy+0.4
126-6ILLILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.6
136-7ILLRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.4
147-7RUTGERILLServe errRutgers+0.4
158-7ILLILLBlockedSkylar Georgeblk Kenna Phelan, Kristina Starostenko+0.6
168-8ILLRUTGER×3KillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.4
178-9RUTGERRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+0.7
188-10RUTGERRUTGER×3BlockedPaityn Chapmanblk Skylar George, Natalie Robinson+0.8
199-10RUTGERILLKillTaylor de Boerset Kenna Phelan+0.4
2010-10ILLILLKillTaylor de Boerset Alyssa Aguayo+0.7
2110-11ILLRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+0.5
2211-11RUTGERILLServe errRutgers+0.5
2311-12ILLRUTGERKillLily Bolenset Lily Bolen+0.5
2412-12RUTGERILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Talita Goncalves+0.5
2513-12ILLILLBad setLily Bolen+0.7
2613-13ILLRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Lily Bolen+0.5
2714-13RUTGERILLKillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+0.5
2814-14ILLRUTGER×5KillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.5
2914-15RUTGERRUTGER×5Bad setKenna Phelan+0.9
3014-16RUTGERRUTGER×5Attack errAshlyn Philpot+1.0
3114-17RUTGERRUTGER×5KillSkylar Georgeset Alleigh Dutton+1.0
3214-18RUTGERRUTGER×5KillSkylar Georgeset Alleigh Dutton+0.9
3315-18RUTGERILLKillAshlyn Philpotset Kenna Phelan+0.4
3416-18ILLILLAttack errSkylar George+0.8
3516-19ILLRUTGERServe errAlyssa Aguayo+0.8
3616-20RUTGERRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Avery Jesewitz+1.0
3717-20RUTGERILLKillPaityn Chapmanset Kenna Phelan+0.4
3818-20ILLILLBlockedNatalie Robinsonblk Kristina Starostenko+0.9
3918-21ILLRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.8
4019-21RUTGERILLKillKenna Phelanset Paityn Chapman+0.5
4119-22ILLRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+0.9
4220-22RUTGERILL×6KillMaya Harrisset Kenna Phelan+0.5
4321-22ILLILL×6Attack errNatalie Robinson+1.2
4422-22ILLILL×6KillKristina Starostenkoset Kenna Phelan+1.6
4523-22ILLILL×6KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.7
4624-22ILLILL×6KillAlyssa Aguayoset Kenna Phelan+1.4
4725-22ILLILL×6Bad setLily Bolen+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Illinois first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).