FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayOVC

3:0

HomeMVC

Lindenwood def. UIC 3–0

(25-23, 25-19, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LINWOD	25	25	25	3
UIC	23	19	16	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UIC above 50 · LINWOD below

Biggest swing: 5.3% to Lindenwood — set 1, LINWOD 25-23 UIC. Kill by Autumn Bax (set by Kaci Johnson). UIC win probability 21% → 15%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LINWOD 71.8%28.2% UIC

Lindenwood wins

3-0

24.5%

3-1

27.5%

3-2

19.7%

UIC wins

3-0

5.2%

3-1

9.8%

3-2

13.2%

LINWOD break %: 43.3% vs this opp
UIC break %: 39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Autumn BaxKill+5.3%
Kill by Autumn Bax (set by Kaci Johnson)
Set 1 · LINWOD 25-23 UIC · LINWOD 79% → 85%
02
Ashley GeluckAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Ashley Geluck
Set 1 · LINWOD 22-21 UIC · UIC 20% → 24%
03
Emma ColombariAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Emma Colombari
Set 1 · LINWOD 23-21 UIC · LINWOD 76% → 80%
04
Gabi PeterAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Gabi Peter
Set 1 · LINWOD 24-21 UIC · LINWOD 80% → 83%
05
Ashley GeluckAttack error+3.2%
Attack error by Ashley Geluck
Set 1 · LINWOD 24-23 UIC · UIC 18% → 21%
06
Emma ColombariKill+2.5%
Kill by Emma Colombari (set by Paulina Ströh)
Set 1 · LINWOD 2-4 UIC · UIC 30% → 33%
07
Lauren OrtwerthKill+2.4%
Kill by Lauren Ortwerth (set by Kaci Johnson)
Set 1 · LINWOD 6-5 UIC · LINWOD 71% → 74%
08
Emma ColombariAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Emma Colombari
Set 1 · LINWOD 4-4 UIC · LINWOD 69% → 71%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Lindenwoodaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Autumn BaxOH	3	10	4	28	.214	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	12
28Kylee RicheyOH	3	8	1	15	.467	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
13Susanna BerettiOH	3	7	8	26	-.038	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	7
17Ashley GeluckMB	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	1	1	0	1	2	2	7
3Kaci JohnsonS	3	0	1	4	-.250	27	3	2	11	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
27Mandy LawsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	2	5	3	0	0	0	3
7Lauren OrtwerthOH	3	10	1	18	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10
9Dana GribDS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	1	2	13	0	0	0	0	1
1Alayna RudebeckDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
10Greta ShadewaldS	2	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
6Jade RothMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	17	104	.221	39	8	9	48	3	2	6	5	75

UIChome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Emma ColombariOH	3	9	9	34	.000	0	1	2	5	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
18Ana PetridesMB	3	7	1	13	.462	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
9Gabi PeterOH	3	3	2	17	.059	0	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	6
10Mihaela HarizanovaS	3	2	0	4	.500	15	0	1	6	0	1	2	2	4
17Jillian GibbonsMB	3	1	2	6	-.167	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	3
8Tamara KisicOH	3	1	1	12	.000	1	0	0	4	2	1	0	1	2
27Ava YoungL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	1	1	14	2	0	0	0	1
2Martina CerratoOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Elizabeth KingOH	2	4	4	15	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
6Paulina StröhS	2	0	0	0	–	5	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
24Lianna OrtizL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
3Francesca LorenzoOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Sasha PellettieriOH	1	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	19	105	.086	26	3	6	39	8	3	14	10	58

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 LINWOD · UIC 3

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 6 LINWODUIC 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 LINWODUIC 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 5 LINWODUIC 2

Bars above the line = UIC leads, below = Lindenwood leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Lindenwood

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	65%13/20
2	58%7/12	42%5/12
3	50%6/12	45%5/11
4	75%6/8	14%1/7
5	86%6/7	54%7/13
6	71%5/7	55%6/11
All	64%38/59	50%37/74

UIC

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	40%4/10
2	43%6/14	27%3/11
3	75%6/8	57%8/14
4	67%6/9	40%4/10
5	55%6/11	14%1/7
6	29%5/17	14%1/7
All	50%37/74	36%21/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

133 rallies

Rally log

#	LINWOD-UIC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Tamara Kisic	+2.1
2	1-1	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Mihaela Harizanova	+1.5
3	2-1	UIC	LINWOD	Attack err	Gabi Peter		+1.5
4	2-2	LINWOD	UIC×3	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Mihaela Harizanova	+1.5
5	2-3	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Tamara Kisic	+2.3
6	2-4	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Paulina Ströh	+2.5
7	3-4	UIC	LINWOD	Attack err	Ana Petrides		+1.6
8	4-4	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+2.3
9	4-5	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Paulina Ströh	+1.8
10	5-5	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+1.7
11	6-5	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+2.4
12	6-6	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Sasha Pellettieri	+1.7
13	7-6	UIC	LINWOD×3	Serve err	UIC server		+1.7
14	8-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Jillian Gibbons	blk Ashley Geluck	+2.3
15	9-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+2.1
16	9-7	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Tamara Kisic	set Paulina Ströh	+1.4
17	10-7	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
18	10-8	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Mihaela Harizanova	+1.4
19	11-8	UIC	LINWOD×6	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
20	12-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+1.8
21	13-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Ava Young	+1.5
22	14-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Bad set	Jillian Gibbons		+1.1
23	15-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Dana Grib	+0.8
24	16-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Team	+0.5
25	16-9	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Mihaela Harizanova	+0.2
26	17-9	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
27	17-10	LINWOD	UIC×3	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Mihaela Harizanova	+0.2
28	17-11	UIC	UIC×3	Ace	UIC server	aced Mandy Lawson	+0.5
29	17-12	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Autumn Bax		+0.7
30	18-12	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
31	18-13	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Paulina Ströh	+0.5
32	18-14	UIC	UIC	Ace	UIC server	aced Mandy Lawson	+1.1
33	19-14	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Greta Shadewald	+1.0
34	19-15	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Paulina Ströh	+0.7
35	19-16	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Kylee Richey	blk Tamara Kisic	+1.5
36	20-16	UIC	LINWOD	Serve err	UIC server		+1.5
37	20-17	LINWOD	UIC	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.0
38	20-18	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Susanna Beretti		+2.3
39	21-18	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Greta Shadewald	+2.2
40	22-18	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+2.1
41	22-19	LINWOD	UIC×3	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.8
42	22-20	UIC	UIC×3	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Mihaela Harizanova	+2.1
43	22-21	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Ashley Geluck		+3.6
44	23-21	UIC	LINWOD	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+3.6
45	24-21	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Gabi Peter		+3.4
46	24-22	LINWOD	UIC	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	blk Gabi Peter, Jillian Gibbons	+0.9
47	24-23	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Ashley Geluck		+3.2
48	25-23	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+5.3
Set 2
1	1-0	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+1.2
2	1-1	LINWOD	UIC	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.2
3	2-1	UIC	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Jillian Gibbons		+1.2
4	3-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+1.6
5	4-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Tamara Kisic		+1.5
6	4-2	LINWOD	UIC×3	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.0
7	4-3	UIC	UIC×3	Ace	UIC server	aced Mandy Lawson	+1.6
8	4-4	UIC	UIC×3	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	blk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides	+1.9
9	5-4	UIC	LINWOD	Attack err	Emma Colombari	blk Autumn Bax, Kylee Richey	+1.3
10	5-5	LINWOD	UIC	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	blk Gabi Peter	+1.3
11	5-6	UIC	UIC	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Mihaela Harizanova	+2.1
12	6-6	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.4
13	6-7	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Ava Young	+1.5
14	7-7	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.4
15	7-8	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Mihaela Harizanova	+1.6
16	8-8	UIC	LINWOD×6	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
17	9-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+2.1
18	10-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Attack err	Elizabeth King	blk Autumn Bax, Ashley Geluck	+2.0
19	11-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Lianna Ortiz	+1.8
20	12-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Dana Grib	+1.5
21	13-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×6	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Jillian Gibbons	+1.2
22	13-9	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Jillian Gibbons	set Mihaela Harizanova	+0.7
23	13-10	UIC	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Ava Young	+1.3
24	14-10	UIC	LINWOD	Attack err	Elizabeth King		+1.1
25	14-11	LINWOD	UIC	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.9
26	15-11	UIC	LINWOD	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+1.1
27	15-12	LINWOD	UIC	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	blk Jillian Gibbons, Gabi Peter	+0.9
28	15-13	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Autumn Bax		+1.8
29	16-13	UIC	LINWOD	Serve err	UIC server		+1.4
30	16-14	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Mihaela Harizanova	+1.3
31	17-14	UIC	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
32	18-14	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Dana Grib	+1.7
33	19-14	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+1.2
34	19-15	LINWOD	UIC	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.6
35	20-15	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.8
36	20-16	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Ana Petrides	set Mihaela Harizanova	+0.5
37	21-16	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.8
38	22-16	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
39	22-17	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Mihaela Harizanova	+0.2
40	22-18	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth	blk Jillian Gibbons, Gabi Peter	+0.5
41	23-18	UIC	LINWOD	Serve err	UIC server		+0.6
42	23-19	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Mihaela Harizanova	+0.2
43	24-19	UIC	LINWOD	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+0.5
44	25-19	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	LINWOD	UIC	Attack err	Autumn Bax	blk Emma Colombari, Jillian Gibbons	+0.7
2	0-2	UIC	UIC	Bad set	Kaci Johnson		+1.0
3	1-2	UIC	LINWOD×5	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
4	2-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+1.0
5	3-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Bad set	Mihaela Harizanova		+1.0
6	4-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Mandy Lawson	+0.9
7	5-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Tamara Kisic	+0.8
8	5-3	LINWOD	UIC	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.6
9	6-3	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
10	6-4	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Mihaela Harizanova	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
11	6-5	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	blk Mihaela Harizanova	+0.9
12	7-5	UIC	LINWOD	Serve err	UIC server		+0.7
13	7-6	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Elizabeth King	set Ava Young	+0.7
14	8-6	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
15	9-6	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Elizabeth King	blk Kaci Johnson, Ashley Geluck	+0.9
16	9-7	LINWOD	UIC	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.6
17	10-7	UIC	LINWOD×5	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
18	11-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.8
19	12-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Attack err	Elizabeth King		+0.6
20	13-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Ashley Geluck		+0.5
21	14-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
22	14-8	LINWOD	UIC	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.2
23	15-8	UIC	LINWOD	Attack err	Emma Colombari	blk Autumn Bax	+0.2
24	15-9	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Gabi Peter	set Mihaela Harizanova	+0.2
25	15-10	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Autumn Bax		+0.4
26	16-10	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Autumn Bax	+0.3
27	17-10	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Emma Colombari		+0.3
28	17-11	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Emma Colombari	set Jillian Gibbons	+0.1
29	17-12	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Kaci Johnson		+0.3
30	18-12	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Autumn Bax	+0.3
31	19-12	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Dana Grib	+0.3
32	19-13	LINWOD	UIC	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	blk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides	+0.1
33	19-14	UIC	UIC	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	blk Mihaela Harizanova, Ana Petrides	+0.3
34	20-14	UIC	LINWOD	Serve err	UIC server		+0.3
35	20-15	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Mihaela Harizanova		+0.2
36	21-15	UIC	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Greta Shadewald	+0.2
37	22-15	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Emma Colombari	+0.2
38	23-15	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Greta Shadewald	+0.1
39	23-16	LINWOD	UIC	Kill	Francesca Lorenzo	set Mihaela Harizanova	+0.0
40	24-16	UIC	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Greta Shadewald	+0.0
41	25-16	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Ava Young	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Lindenwood first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.