Buffalo def. Lindenwood 3–1
Buffalo beat Lindenwood 3-1 (18-25, 25-23, 25-22, 25-22) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Buffalo's Manoela Forlin led with 16 kills, and Anaya Cole added 15 digs.
Data through · final Aug 29
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINWOD | 25 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 1 |
| BUFF | 18 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.7% to Buffalo — set 4, LINWOD 19-21 BUFF. Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell). BUFF win probability 67% → 78%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Lindenwood wins
Buffalo wins
- LINWOD break %
- 46.1% vs this opp
- BUFF break %
- 38.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Sydney BellKill+10.7%
Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 4 · LINWOD 19-21 BUFF · BUFF 67% → 78%
- 02Sydney BellKill+10.0%
Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 4 · LINWOD 19-22 BUFF · BUFF 78% → 88%
- 03Susanna BerettiAttack error+9.0%
Attack error by Susanna Beretti
Set 4 · LINWOD 18-19 BUFF · BUFF 57% → 66%
- 04Lauren OrtwerthAttack error+8.2%
Attack error by Lauren Ortwerth
Set 4 · LINWOD 21-24 BUFF · BUFF 87% → 95%
- 05Sydney BellKill+7.9%
Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 4 · LINWOD 20-23 BUFF · BUFF 83% → 91%
- 06Hailey CampagnaKill+7.8%
Kill by Hailey Campagna (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 4 · LINWOD 22-25 BUFF · BUFF 92% → 100%
- 07LindenwoodService error+7.7%
Lindenwood service error
Set 3 · LINWOD 22-24 BUFF · BUFF 37% → 45%
- 08BuffaloAce+7.5%
Buffalo ace on Susanna Beretti
Set 3 · LINWOD 20-22 BUFF · BUFF 32% → 39%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 24 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 26 | .192 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .269 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | .000 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 30 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 23 | 135 | .200 | 45 | 6 | 13 | 61 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 92 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 4 | 44 | .273 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 18.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 8 | 39 | .051 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | .217 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | .083 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | .667 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 22 | 145 | .193 | 46 | 7 | 14 | 51 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 93 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-18
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
22-25
Set 4
22-25
Bars above the line = Buffalo leads, below = Lindenwood leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Lindenwood
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58%11/19 | 9%1/11 |
| 2 | 59%10/17 | 52%11/21 |
| 3 | 63%10/16 | 29%4/14 |
| 4 | 69%9/13 | 47%9/19 |
| 5 | 47%8/17 | 36%5/14 |
| 6 | 80%8/10 | 43%6/14 |
| All | 61%56/92 | 39%36/93 |
Buffalo
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71%12/17 | 47%9/19 |
| 2 | 56%10/18 | 31%5/16 |
| 3 | 59%10/17 | 41%7/17 |
| 4 | 60%9/15 | 31%4/13 |
| 5 | 50%8/16 | 33%4/12 |
| 6 | 80%8/10 | 47%7/15 |
| All | 61%57/93 | 39%36/92 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
185 rallies
| # | LINWOD-BUFF | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LINWOD | BUFF | Blocked | Autumn Bax | blk Manoela Forlin, Ava Kanj | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Ashley Geluck | set Kaci Johnson | +1.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Kaci Johnson | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Kaci Johnson | +1.1 |
| 7 | 3-4 | LINWOD | BUFF×3 | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.3 |
| 8 | 3-5 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | set Manoela Forlin | +1.9 |
| 9 | 3-6 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Blocked | Kylee Richey | blk Abisola Adebayo, Hailey Campagna | +2.0 |
| 10 | 4-6 | BUFF | LINWOD×3 | Serve err | Buffalo | +1.3 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Blocked | Hailey Campagna | blk Kylee Richey, Kaci Johnson | +1.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Ace | Lindenwood | aced Chloe Brown | +1.8 |
| 13 | 6-7 | LINWOD | BUFF | Attack err | Lauren Ortwerth | +1.4 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Kaci Johnson | +1.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Attack err | Ava Kanj | +1.7 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Ashley Geluck | set Kaci Johnson | +1.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Blocked | Ava Kanj | blk Ashley Geluck, Lauren Ortwerth | +1.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +1.2 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Kaci Johnson | +1.2 |
| 21 | 12-9 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +1.4 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +1.0 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Ashley Geluck | set Kaci Johnson | +1.1 |
| 24 | 14-10 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Kill | Kylee Richey | +1.2 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +0.8 |
| 26 | 15-11 | BUFF | LINWOD×3 | Serve err | Buffalo | +0.9 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Blocked | Manoela Forlin | blk Kylee Richey, Kaci Johnson | +0.9 |
| 28 | 17-11 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Ace | Lindenwood | aced Anaya Cole | +0.6 |
| 29 | 17-12 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +0.3 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | BUFF | LINWOD×4 | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Kaci Johnson | +0.4 |
| 31 | 19-12 | LINWOD | LINWOD×4 | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 20-12 | LINWOD | LINWOD×4 | Blocked | Hailey Campagna | blk Kylee Richey, Kaci Johnson | +0.2 |
| 33 | 21-12 | LINWOD | LINWOD×4 | Blocked | Hailey Campagna | blk Kylee Richey, Kaci Johnson | +0.1 |
| 34 | 21-13 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | · |
| 35 | 22-13 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Kylee Richey | set Kaci Johnson | · |
| 36 | 22-14 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Anaya Cole | · |
| 37 | 23-14 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | · | |
| 38 | 23-15 | LINWOD | BUFF×3 | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | · |
| 39 | 23-16 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | Buffalo | aced Dana Grib | · |
| 40 | 23-17 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Ava Kanj | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 24-17 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Autumn Bax | set Kaci Johnson | +0.1 |
| 42 | 24-18 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | · |
| 43 | 25-18 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Autumn Bax | set Kaci Johnson | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BUFF | BUFF | Ace | Buffalo | aced Mandy Lawson | +1.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Kylee Richey | set Kaci Johnson | +0.8 |
| 4 | 1-3 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +1.0 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Kaci Johnson | set Susanna Beretti | +0.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | LINWOD | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Anaya Cole | +1.0 |
| 7 | 2-5 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sadie Gladhill | set Sadie Gladhill | +1.4 |
| 8 | 2-6 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Hailey Campagna | +1.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Kylee Richey | set Kaci Johnson | +0.9 |
| 10 | 3-7 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +1.1 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | BUFF | LINWOD | Blocked | Abisola Adebayo | blk Lauren Ortwerth | +0.9 |
| 12 | 4-8 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.1 |
| 13 | 5-8 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Ashley Geluck | set Kaci Johnson | +0.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Kaci Johnson | +1.4 |
| 15 | 6-9 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +1.2 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | BUFF | LINWOD | Blocked | Hailey Campagna | blk Autumn Bax, Ashley Geluck | +1.0 |
| 17 | 7-10 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.2 |
| 18 | 7-11 | BUFF | BUFF | Ace | Buffalo | +1.7 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | BUFF | LINWOD×3 | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Dana Grib | +1.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.5 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Kill | Kaci Johnson | +1.5 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.3 |
| 23 | 11-12 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Kaci Johnson | +1.1 |
| 24 | 11-13 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.4 |
| 25 | 12-13 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Kaci Johnson | +1.2 |
| 26 | 13-13 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Kaci Johnson | +1.7 |
| 27 | 13-14 | LINWOD | BUFF×3 | Serve err | Lindenwood | +1.4 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | Buffalo | aced Susanna Beretti | +2.0 |
| 29 | 13-16 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Ace | Buffalo | aced Alayna Rudebeck | +2.1 |
| 30 | 14-16 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +1.2 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Kill | Autumn Bax | set Kaci Johnson | +1.9 |
| 32 | 15-17 | LINWOD | BUFF×3 | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.7 |
| 33 | 15-18 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Lauren Ortwerth | +2.3 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.1 |
| 35 | 16-19 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Ashley Geluck | set Kaci Johnson | +1.0 |
| 36 | 17-19 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +1.8 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 38 | 18-20 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Ashley Geluck | set Kaci Johnson | +1.3 |
| 39 | 18-21 | LINWOD | BUFF | Attack err | Susanna Beretti | +2.0 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | BUFF | LINWOD | Attack err | Sydney Bell | +1.3 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Blocked | Sydney Bell | blk Susanna Beretti, Jade Roth | +2.4 |
| 42 | 20-22 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +2.5 |
| 43 | 20-23 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Jade Roth | +3.0 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Kylee Richey | set Greta Shadewald | +1.2 |
| 45 | 22-23 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Kill | Jade Roth | +2.7 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.4 |
| 47 | 23-24 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +1.8 | |
| 48 | 23-25 | LINWOD | BUFF | Blocked | Ashley Geluck | blk Abisola Adebayo, Maddie Mitchell | +4.8 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BUFF | LINWOD×5 | Kill | Autumn Bax | set Kaci Johnson | +1.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LINWOD | LINWOD×5 | Ace | Lindenwood | aced Hailey Campagna | +2.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | LINWOD | LINWOD×5 | Kill | Autumn Bax | set Dana Grib | +2.1 |
| 5 | 4-1 | LINWOD | LINWOD×5 | Kill | Kylee Richey | +1.9 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | LINWOD | LINWOD×5 | Ace | Lindenwood | +1.6 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | LINWOD | BUFF×3 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.1 |
| 8 | 5-3 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Kylee Richey | +1.9 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Susanna Beretti | +2.2 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +1.6 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.7 |
| 12 | 7-5 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +1.7 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Maddie Mitchell | set Manoela Forlin | +1.8 |
| 14 | 8-6 | BUFF | LINWOD×3 | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Kaci Johnson | +1.7 |
| 15 | 9-6 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +2.1 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Kill | Kylee Richey | set Kaci Johnson | +1.8 |
| 17 | 10-7 | LINWOD | BUFF×4 | Blocked | Kaci Johnson | blk Hailey Campagna, Nienke Trossel | +1.2 |
| 18 | 10-8 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Anaya Cole | +2.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Attack err | Lauren Ortwerth | +2.6 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | BUFF | BUFF×4 | Blocked | Ashley Geluck | blk Hailey Campagna, Nienke Trossel | +3.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +2.2 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Dana Grib | +2.8 |
| 23 | 12-11 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Sydney Bell | +2.1 |
| 24 | 13-11 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +2.1 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Anaya Cole | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Kaci Johnson | +2.2 |
| 27 | 15-12 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Kill | Autumn Bax | set Dana Grib | +2.6 |
| 28 | 15-13 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Sydney Bell | +1.8 |
| 29 | 16-13 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Kylee Richey | set Kaci Johnson | +1.9 |
| 30 | 17-13 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Kaci Johnson | +2.1 |
| 31 | 17-14 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +1.3 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | BUFF | LINWOD | Blocked | Manoela Forlin | blk Kylee Richey | +1.5 |
| 33 | 18-15 | LINWOD | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Lauren Ortwerth | +1.3 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Kylee Richey | +2.5 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +3.6 |
| 36 | 19-17 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Kylee Richey | set Kaci Johnson | +2.9 |
| 37 | 20-17 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Attack err | Hailey Campagna | +3.3 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | LINWOD | BUFF×5 | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +1.9 |
| 39 | 20-19 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Ace | Buffalo | aced Susanna Beretti | +3.9 |
| 40 | 20-20 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Nienke Trossel | +5.5 |
| 41 | 20-21 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Blocked | Ashley Geluck | blk Nienke Trossel | +6.9 |
| 42 | 20-22 | BUFF | BUFF×5 | Ace | Buffalo | aced Susanna Beretti | +7.5 |
| 43 | 21-22 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Kaci Johnson | +4.1 |
| 44 | 21-23 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +6.4 |
| 45 | 22-23 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Autumn Bax | set Kaci Johnson | +4.3 |
| 46 | 22-24 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +7.7 | |
| 47 | 22-25 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +6.6 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Nienke Trossel | set Kaci Johnson | +4.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Nienke Trossel | set Maddie Mitchell | +4.5 |
| 3 | 0-3 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Attack err | Kylee Richey | +4.8 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +3.1 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +3.7 | |
| 6 | 1-5 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Susanna Beretti | +5.1 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +3.1 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | LINWOD | BUFF | Attack err | Autumn Bax | +3.9 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Lauren Ortwerth | +5.1 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Kylee Richey | set Greta Shadewald | +3.0 |
| 11 | 4-7 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Attack err | Manoela Forlin | +4.6 | |
| 12 | 4-8 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +4.1 |
| 13 | 5-8 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Greta Shadewald | +3.3 |
| 14 | 5-9 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +4.2 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Kaci Johnson | +3.4 |
| 16 | 6-10 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +4.3 |
| 17 | 7-10 | BUFF | LINWOD | Blocked | Sydney Bell | blk Susanna Beretti | +3.4 |
| 18 | 7-11 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Nienke Trossel | set Maddie Mitchell | +4.4 |
| 19 | 8-11 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Autumn Bax | set Kaci Johnson | +3.5 |
| 20 | 9-11 | LINWOD | LINWOD | Ace | Lindenwood | aced Anaya Cole | +5.3 |
| 21 | 9-12 | LINWOD | BUFF | Attack err | Susanna Beretti | +4.7 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Dana Grib | +3.9 |
| 23 | 10-13 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +4.9 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | BUFF | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +6.4 |
| 25 | 11-14 | BUFF | LINWOD×3 | Serve err | Buffalo | +3.7 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Kaci Johnson | +5.7 |
| 27 | 13-14 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Attack err | Maddie Mitchell | +6.1 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | LINWOD | BUFF | Serve err | Lindenwood | +5.3 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | BUFF | LINWOD | Attack err | Abisola Adebayo | +4.5 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Abisola Adebayo | set Maddie Mitchell | +5.6 |
| 31 | 15-16 | BUFF | LINWOD×3 | Kill | Ashley Geluck | set Kaci Johnson | +4.8 |
| 32 | 16-16 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Kill | Autumn Bax | set Kaci Johnson | +7.0 |
| 33 | 17-16 | LINWOD | LINWOD×3 | Ace | Lindenwood | aced Manoela Forlin | +6.8 |
| 34 | 17-17 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Nienke Trossel | +5.2 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Susanna Beretti | set Kaci Johnson | +5.2 |
| 36 | 18-18 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Anaya Cole | +5.5 |
| 37 | 18-19 | BUFF | BUFF | Attack err | Susanna Beretti | +9.0 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +6.1 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | LINWOD | BUFF×3 | Kill | Manoela Forlin | set Maddie Mitchell | +7.3 |
| 40 | 19-21 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +10.7 |
| 41 | 19-22 | BUFF | BUFF×3 | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +10.0 |
| 42 | 20-22 | BUFF | LINWOD | Serve err | Buffalo | +4.6 | |
| 43 | 20-23 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Sydney Bell | set Maddie Mitchell | +7.9 |
| 44 | 21-23 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Kaci Johnson | +4.1 |
| 45 | 21-24 | LINWOD | BUFF | Attack err | Lauren Ortwerth | +8.2 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | BUFF | LINWOD | Kill | Lauren Ortwerth | set Kaci Johnson | +3.0 |
| 47 | 22-25 | LINWOD | BUFF | Kill | Hailey Campagna | set Maddie Mitchell | +7.8 |
Score shown after each rally, Lindenwood first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).