FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayOVC

3:0

HomeBIG-SKY

Lindenwood def. Portland St. 3–0

(25-21, 25-20, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LINWOD	25	25	25	3
PORTST	21	20	18	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PORTST above 50 · LINWOD below

Biggest swing: 5.4% to Lindenwood — set 1, LINWOD 22-21 PORTST. Kill by Ashley Geluck. PORTST win probability 28% → 22%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LINWOD 75.8%24.2% PORTST

Lindenwood wins

3-0

27.7%

3-1

28.9%

3-2

19.2%

Portland St. wins

3-0

4.2%

3-1

8.2%

3-2

11.7%

LINWOD break %: 44.7% vs this opp
PORTST break %: 39.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ashley GeluckKill+5.4%
Kill by Ashley Geluck
Set 1 · LINWOD 22-21 PORTST · LINWOD 72% → 78%
02
Kylee RicheyAttack error+5.2%
Kylee Richey stuffed by Alivia Eikenberg & Brenna Coffman
Set 1 · LINWOD 20-21 PORTST · PORTST 26% → 31%
03
Ashley GeluckKill+4.8%
Kill by Ashley Geluck (set by Kaci Johnson)
Set 1 · LINWOD 23-21 PORTST · LINWOD 78% → 82%
04
Kylee RicheyAttack error+3.9%
Attack error by Kylee Richey
Set 1 · LINWOD 19-19 PORTST · PORTST 22% → 26%
05
Katelyn DaveyAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Katelyn Davey
Set 1 · LINWOD 21-21 PORTST · LINWOD 69% → 72%
06
Susanna BerettiAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Susanna Beretti
Set 1 · LINWOD 17-17 PORTST · PORTST 22% → 26%
07
Maryn HallAttack error+3.3%
Maryn Hall stuffed by Kaci Johnson & Kylee Richey
Set 1 · LINWOD 19-17 PORTST · LINWOD 77% → 80%
08
Maryn HallKill+3.3%
Kill by Maryn Hall (set by Ava Blascziek)
Set 1 · LINWOD 14-15 PORTST · PORTST 25% → 29%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Lindenwoodaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Ashley GeluckMB	3	13	2	22	.500	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	14.5
13Susanna BerettiOH	3	11	2	26	.346	0	1	1	9	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
28Kylee RicheyOH	3	6	4	13	.154	0	0	2	1	0	1	2	2	8
15Autumn BaxOH	3	6	1	18	.278	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
3Kaci JohnsonS	3	0	0	4	.000	30	4	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
27Mandy LawsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
7Lauren OrtwerthOH	3	9	3	21	.286	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	9
9Dana GribDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	1	13	1	0	0	0	2
1Alayna RudebeckDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
5Anna KraemerOPP	2	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Greta ShadewaldS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	13	109	.303	41	9	11	42	4	1	10	6	75

Portland St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Willow WatsonMB	3	6	1	12	.417	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7
3Brenna CoffmanMB	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
23Ava BlascziekS	3	0	0	0	–	15	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
21Reese BiesemeyerMB	2	5	1	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
8Maryn HallOH	2	4	3	11	.091	1	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	4
18Alivia EikenbergOH	2	2	5	14	-.214	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
22Katelyn DaveyOH	3	2	1	11	.091	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
12Elisabeth LevickS	3	0	0	1	.000	11	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
13Jessica TruongL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
2Paige StepaniukL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	8	4	0	0	0	0
9Magdalena RanitovicOH	1	4	0	6	.667	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	4
6Jordyn RomanoMB	1	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
19Ashley RepettiOH	1	0	2	11	-.182	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	0
11Katarina KosicOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Xanthe OcampoL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	15	89	.169	29	4	4	40	9	1	4	3	59

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 LINWOD · PORTST 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 LINWODPORTST 6

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 LINWODPORTST 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 3 LINWODPORTST 2

Bars above the line = Portland St. leads, below = Lindenwood leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Lindenwood

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	50%5/10
2	88%7/8	42%5/12
3	70%7/10	50%7/14
4	43%6/14	40%4/10
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	63%5/8	71%12/17
All	62%38/61	51%37/73

Portland St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	42%5/12
2	54%7/13	22%2/9
3	55%6/11	22%2/9
4	75%6/8	57%8/14
5	33%5/15	25%2/8
6	36%5/14	44%4/9
All	49%36/73	38%23/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	LINWOD-PORTST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	PORTST	PORTST	Attack err	Ashley Geluck		+2.1
2	0-2	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer	set Ava Blascziek	+2.2
3	1-2	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Dana Grib	+1.5
4	1-3	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer	set Maryn Hall	+1.7
5	2-3	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
6	2-4	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.7
7	3-4	PORTST	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
8	4-4	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+2.2
9	5-4	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Paige Stepaniuk	+2.1
10	5-5	LINWOD	PORTST×6	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth		+1.6
11	5-6	PORTST	PORTST×6	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Elisabeth Levick	+2.4
12	5-7	PORTST	PORTST×6	Ace	PORTST server	aced Susanna Beretti	+2.5
13	5-8	PORTST	PORTST×6	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Elisabeth Levick	+2.6
14	5-9	PORTST	PORTST×6	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth	blk Brenna Coffman, Katelyn Davey	+2.5
15	5-10	PORTST	PORTST×6	Ace	PORTST server	aced Dana Grib	+2.4
16	6-10	PORTST	LINWOD	Serve err	PORTST server		+1.4
17	6-11	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.8
18	7-11	PORTST	LINWOD×3	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+1.4
19	8-11	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Paige Stepaniuk	+2.2
20	9-11	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Alivia Eikenberg	blk Autumn Bax, Ashley Geluck	+2.5
21	9-12	LINWOD	PORTST	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth		+2.1
22	10-12	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+1.8
23	11-12	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Alivia Eikenberg	blk Ashley Geluck, Autumn Bax	+2.7
24	11-13	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer	set Elisabeth Levick	+2.3
25	12-13	PORTST	LINWOD×3	Serve err	PORTST server		+2.0
26	13-13	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Alivia Eikenberg		+2.9
27	14-13	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti		+2.9
28	14-14	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+2.2
29	14-15	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Maryn Hall	set Ava Blascziek	+3.3
30	15-15	PORTST	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+2.3
31	16-15	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Maryn Hall		+3.2
32	17-15	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Reese Biesemeyer	blk Kylee Richey	+2.9
33	17-16	LINWOD	PORTST	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	blk Willow Watson	+2.0
34	17-17	PORTST	PORTST	Attack err	Susanna Beretti		+3.4
35	18-17	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+2.6
36	19-17	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Maryn Hall	blk Kaci Johnson, Kylee Richey	+3.3
37	19-18	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+2.2
38	19-19	PORTST	PORTST	Attack err	Kylee Richey		+3.9
39	20-19	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+3.0
40	20-20	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Elisabeth Levick	+3.1
41	20-21	PORTST	PORTST	Attack err	Kylee Richey	blk Alivia Eikenberg, Brenna Coffman	+5.2
42	21-21	PORTST	LINWOD×5	Attack err	Katelyn Davey		+3.5
43	22-21	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Ashley Geluck		+5.4
44	23-21	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+4.8
45	24-21	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+3.1
46	25-21	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Paige Stepaniuk	+1.1
Set 2
1	1-0	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
2	1-1	LINWOD	PORTST	Attack err	Ashley Geluck		+1.1
3	1-2	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Maryn Hall	set Ava Blascziek	+1.7
4	2-2	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+1.1
5	3-2	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Alivia Eikenberg		+1.5
6	3-3	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+1.2
7	4-3	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+1.1
8	5-3	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Maryn Hall	blk Susanna Beretti, Kylee Richey	+1.5
9	5-4	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer	set Elisabeth Levick	+1.1
10	6-4	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+1.1
11	7-4	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Dana Grib	+1.4
12	7-5	LINWOD	PORTST	Attack err	Kylee Richey		+1.0
13	8-5	PORTST	LINWOD×4	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+1.0
14	9-5	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Dana Grib	+1.2
15	10-5	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+1.0
16	11-5	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Maryn Hall	+0.8
17	11-6	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Katelyn Davey	set Elisabeth Levick	+0.5
18	12-6	PORTST	LINWOD×3	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
19	13-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Paige Stepaniuk	+0.6
20	14-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Alivia Eikenberg		+0.4
21	14-7	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.2
22	14-8	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Katelyn Davey	+0.4
23	15-8	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
24	15-9	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Maryn Hall	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
25	16-9	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
26	16-10	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.3
27	17-10	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
28	18-10	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Greta Shadewald	+0.3
29	18-11	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.1
30	18-12	PORTST	PORTST	Attack err	Anna Kraemer		+0.3
31	19-12	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Greta Shadewald	+0.3
32	19-13	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Reese Biesemeyer	set Elisabeth Levick	+0.2
33	19-14	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Elisabeth Levick	+0.4
34	20-14	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Greta Shadewald	+0.5
35	20-15	LINWOD	PORTST×4	Kill	Katelyn Davey	set Elisabeth Levick	+0.3
36	20-16	PORTST	PORTST×4	Bad set	Greta Shadewald		+0.6
37	20-17	PORTST	PORTST×4	Ace	PORTST server	aced Team	+1.1
38	20-18	PORTST	PORTST×4	Kill	Alivia Eikenberg	set Ava Blascziek	+1.7
39	21-18	PORTST	LINWOD×4	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Greta Shadewald	+1.6
40	22-18	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Dana Grib	+1.5
41	23-18	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Willow Watson	blk Autumn Bax, Ashley Geluck	+0.8
42	24-18	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
43	24-19	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+0.0
44	24-20	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Maryn Hall	set Ava Blascziek	+0.1
45	25-20	PORTST	LINWOD	Serve err	PORTST server		+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Mandy Lawson	+0.6
2	2-0	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.8
3	2-1	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Magdalena Ranitovic	set Ava Blascziek	+0.6
4	3-1	PORTST	LINWOD×3	Serve err	PORTST server		+0.5
5	4-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
6	5-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Ashley Repetti		+0.6
7	5-2	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.4
8	5-3	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+0.7
9	6-3	PORTST	LINWOD	Attack err	Brenna Coffman		+0.5
10	6-4	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.5
11	6-5	PORTST	PORTST	Kill	Brenna Coffman	set Elisabeth Levick	+0.8
12	7-5	PORTST	LINWOD	Attack err	Ashley Repetti		+0.6
13	7-6	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.6
14	8-6	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
15	9-6	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Ashley Repetti	+0.8
16	9-7	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Magdalena Ranitovic	set Jessica Truong	+0.5
17	9-8	PORTST	PORTST	Attack err	Autumn Bax		+0.9
18	10-8	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Autumn Bax	+0.7
19	11-8	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Team	+0.8
20	11-9	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.6
21	12-9	PORTST	LINWOD	Attack err	Jordyn Romano		+0.6
22	13-9	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Ashley Repetti	+0.7
23	13-10	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Magdalena Ranitovic	set Ava Blascziek	+0.5
24	14-10	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.5
25	15-10	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Ashley Repetti	+0.6
26	15-11	LINWOD	PORTST	Attack err	Kylee Richey		+0.3
27	16-11	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Alayna Rudebeck	+0.4
28	16-12	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Willow Watson	set Ava Blascziek	+0.3
29	17-12	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
30	18-12	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
31	18-13	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.2
32	19-13	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
33	19-14	LINWOD	PORTST	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.2
34	20-14	PORTST	LINWOD×3	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
35	21-14	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Elisabeth Levick	+0.2
36	22-14	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Bad set	Elisabeth Levick		+0.1
37	22-15	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Jordyn Romano	set Elisabeth Levick	+0.0
38	22-16	PORTST	PORTST	Ace	PORTST server	aced Team	+0.1
39	23-16	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
40	23-17	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Magdalena Ranitovic	set Ava Blascziek	+0.0
41	24-17	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
42	24-18	LINWOD	PORTST	Kill	Jordyn Romano	set Ava Blascziek	+0.0
43	25-18	PORTST	LINWOD	Kill	Anna Kraemer	set Jessica Truong	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Lindenwood first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.