Lindenwood vs NIU Volleyball: Lindenwood Wins 3-0 (Sep 5)

FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

3:0

Lindenwood won at NIU 3-0 (25-23, 25-13, 25-11) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Lindenwood's Susanna Beretti led with 13 kills, and Kaci Johnson added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 5

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LINWOD	25	25	25	3
NIU	23	13	11	0

Win probability

NIU above 50 · Lindenwood below

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Lindenwood — set 1, LINWOD 23-21 NIU. Attack error by Naomi Dowd. NIU win probability 8% → 6%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LINWOD 91.9%8.1% NIU

Lindenwood wins

3-0

48.0%

3-1

31.2%

3-2

12.7%

NIU wins

3-0

1.0%

3-1

2.4%

3-2

4.7%

LINWOD break %: 47.1% vs this opp
NIU break %: 36.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Naomi DowdAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Naomi Dowd
Set 1 · LINWOD 23-21 NIU · LINWOD 92% → 94%
02
Susanna BerettiKill+2.4%
Kill by Susanna Beretti
Set 1 · LINWOD 25-23 NIU · LINWOD 94% → 96%
03
NIUAce+2.3%
NIU ace on Lauren Ortwerth
Set 1 · LINWOD 20-20 NIU · NIU 8% → 10%
04
Autumn BaxKill+2.0%
Kill by Autumn Bax (set by Kaci Johnson)
Set 1 · LINWOD 22-21 NIU · LINWOD 90% → 92%
05
Ava GrevengoedAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Ava Grevengoed
Set 1 · LINWOD 24-22 NIU · LINWOD 93% → 95%
06
Ava GrevengoedKill+1.9%
Kill by Ava Grevengoed (set by Viktoria Djukic)
Set 1 · LINWOD 21-21 NIU · NIU 8% → 10%
07
Ashley GeluckKill+1.7%
Kill by Ashley Geluck (set by Kaci Johnson)
Set 1 · LINWOD 21-20 NIU · LINWOD 90% → 92%
08
Naomi DowdKill+1.6%
Kill by Naomi Dowd (set by Viktoria Djukic)
Set 1 · LINWOD 6-9 NIU · NIU 11% → 13%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Lindenwoodaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Susanna BerettiOH	3	13	2	27	.407	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	13
17Ashley GeluckMB	3	4	1	11	.273	0	4	1	3	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
15Autumn BaxOH	3	7	1	19	.316	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	9
28Kylee RicheyOH	3	7	1	14	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
3Kaci JohnsonS	3	1	0	2	.500	33	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	1
27Mandy LawsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	0
7Lauren OrtwerthOH	3	7	2	15	.333	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	8
9Dana GribDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	4	2	6	0	0	0	0	4
1Alayna RudebeckDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	5	2	0	0	0	2
5Anna KraemerOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Blair SittonMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Emma JohnsonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Greta ShadewaldS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Jade RothMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Shannon MonahanOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Tori StaplesMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Valyn DonahooOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	7	88	.364	37	10	6	38	3	2	8	6	75

NIUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
3Ava GrevengoedOH	3	10	8	34	.059	1	0	0	5	1	0	0	10
15Autumn FlynnMB	3	5	2	15	.200	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	6
11Katie PahlOH	3	4	4	17	.000	1	1	0	6	1	0	0	5
14Naomi DowdOH	3	4	1	11	.273	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	4
8Rylea AlvinMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3
6Viktoria DjukicS	3	0	0	0	–	13	1	1	5	0	0	0	1
4Kiana ShieldsMB	3	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2
21Charizma LoftonOH	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Kylie SchulzeS	3	0	0	0	–	7	1	2	5	0	0	0	1
16Lilly AbneyOH	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Aiden LightburnMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Charlotte GramzowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
9Delaney SteersOH	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	7	2	0	0	0
7Ellie SmithS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Nathalie TulumarisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	19	94	.106	27	3	5	34	10	1	1	47

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LINWOD · NIU 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 LINWODNIU 4

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 5 LINWODNIU 2

Set 3

25-11

Longest run 4 LINWODNIU 2

Bars above the line = NIU leads, below = Lindenwood leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lindenwood

No clean sets to split.

NIU

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#	LINWOD-NIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	Lindenwood		+0.8
2	1-1	NIU	LINWOD	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Autumn Bax, Ashley Geluck	+0.7
3	1-2	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.8
4	2-2	NIU	LINWOD	Serve err	NIU		+0.7
5	2-3	LINWOD	NIU	Bad set	Kaci Johnson		+0.8
6	2-4	NIU	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Delaney Steers	+1.2
7	3-4	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.8
8	3-5	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+1.0
9	4-5	NIU	LINWOD	Serve err	NIU		+0.8
10–11	5-6		LINWOD · NIU	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
12	5-7	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.0
13	6-7	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Susanna Beretti	+0.9
14	6-8	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.1
15	6-9	NIU	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.6
16	7-9	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.9
17	7-10	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	Lindenwood		+1.2
18	8-10	NIU	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+1.0
19	9-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	Lindenwood		+1.4
20	10-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	Lindenwood		+1.4
21	10-11	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.1
22	11-11	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+1.0
23	11-12	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+1.2
24	12-12	NIU	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.0
25	13-12	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Dana Grib	+1.4
26	14-12	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kaci Johnson		+1.2
27	14-13	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl		+0.9
28	14-14	NIU	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Ava Grevengoed	+1.5
29	15-14	NIU	LINWOD×3	Serve err	NIU		+1.1
30	16-14	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	Lindenwood	aced Delaney Steers	+1.3
31	17-14	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	Lindenwood	aced Ava Grevengoed	+1.1
32	17-15	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Kylie Schulze	+0.7
33	18-15	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Rylea Alvin		+0.8
34	18-16	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
35	19-16	NIU	LINWOD	Serve err	NIU		+0.8
36	20-16	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+0.8
37	20-17	LINWOD	NIU×4	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.4
38	20-18	NIU	NIU×4	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth		+1.0
39	20-19	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Naomi Dowd	+1.6
40	20-20	NIU	NIU×4	Ace	NIU	aced Lauren Ortwerth	+2.3
41	21-20	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+1.7
42	21-21	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.9
43	22-21	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+2.0
44	23-21	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Naomi Dowd		+2.4
45	23-22	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Katie Pahl	+1.3
46	24-22	NIU	LINWOD	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+1.9
47	24-23	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Delaney Steers	+1.1
48	25-23	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti		+2.4
Set 2
1	1-0	NIU	LINWOD×5	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
2	2-0	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Ace	Lindenwood	aced Rylea Alvin	+0.5
3	3-0	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+0.4
4	4-0	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
5	5-0	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
6	5-1	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	Lindenwood		+0.2
7	6-1	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
8	7-1	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
9	7-2	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	Lindenwood		+0.1
10	8-2	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
11	8-3	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.1
12	8-4	NIU	NIU	Ace	NIU	aced Alayna Rudebeck	+0.3
13	9-4	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
14	10-4	LINWOD	LINWOD	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Lauren Ortwerth	+0.2
15	10-5	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
16	11-5	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
17	12-5	LINWOD	LINWOD	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Ashley Geluck	+0.2
18	12-6	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
19	12-7	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Ashley Geluck		+0.2
20	13-7	NIU	LINWOD	Attack err	Kiana Shields	set Ava Grevengoed	+0.2
21	13-8	LINWOD	NIU	Attack err	Autumn Bax	set Dana Grib	+0.1
22	14-8	NIU	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
23	15-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+0.2
24	16-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
25	16-9	LINWOD	NIU	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	·
26	16-10	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Kylee Richey		+0.1
27	17-10	NIU	LINWOD×5	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
28	18-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
29	19-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	·
30	20-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Attack err	Lilly Abney		·
31	21-10		LINWOD	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
32	21-11	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Delaney Steers	·
33	21-12	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	·
34	22-12	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	·
35	22-13	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	·
36	23-13	NIU	LINWOD×3	Serve err	NIU		·
37	24-13	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	Lindenwood	aced Charlotte Gramzow	·
38	25-13	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	Lindenwood	aced Charlotte Gramzow	·
Set 3
1	0-1	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.2
2	1-1	NIU	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.2
3	2-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
4	3-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Ace	Lindenwood		+0.2
5	4-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Kylee Richey, Autumn Bax	+0.2
6	4-2	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.1
7	5-2	NIU	LINWOD×4	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
8	6-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Ace	Lindenwood	aced Katie Pahl	+0.2
9	7-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+0.1
10	8-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+0.1
11	8-3	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
12	9-3	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
13	10-3	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth		+0.1
14	10-4	LINWOD	NIU	Blocked	Lauren Ortwerth	blk Autumn Flynn	·
15	11-4	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	·
16	12-4	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	·
17	12-5	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	Lindenwood		·
18	12-6	NIU	NIU	Ace	NIU	aced Alayna Rudebeck	+0.1
19	13-6	NIU	LINWOD×4	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Alayna Rudebeck	·
20	14-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Ashley Geluck, Autumn Bax	·
21	15-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Kaci Johnson		·
22	16-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		·
23	16-7	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Charizma Lofton	set Delaney Steers	·
24	17-7	NIU	LINWOD×4	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	·
25	18-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Ashley Geluck, Autumn Bax	·
26	19-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	·
27	20-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		·
28	20-8	LINWOD	NIU	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	·
29	21-8	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck		·
30	22-8	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kylee Richey	·
31	22-9	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	·
32	22-10		NIU	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
33	23-10	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	·
34	24-10	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	Lindenwood	aced Delaney Steers	·
35	24-11	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	·
36	25-11	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	·

Score shown after each rally, Lindenwood first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Lindenwood def. NIU 3–0