FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayOVC

3:0

HomeHORIZON

Lindenwood def. NIU 3–0

(25-23, 25-13, 25-11)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
LINWOD	25	25	25	3
NIU	23	13	11	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NIU above 50 · LINWOD below

Biggest swing: 4.4% to Lindenwood — set 1, LINWOD 25-23 NIU. Kill by Susanna Beretti. NIU win probability 14% → 10%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LINWOD 80.8%19.2% NIU

Lindenwood wins

3-0

32.4%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

18.0%

NIU wins

3-0

3.1%

3-1

6.3%

3-2

9.7%

LINWOD break %: 45.8% vs this opp
NIU break %: 39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Susanna BerettiKill+4.4%
Kill by Susanna Beretti
Set 1 · LINWOD 25-23 NIU · LINWOD 86% → 90%
02
Naomi DowdAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Naomi Dowd
Set 1 · LINWOD 23-21 NIU · LINWOD 82% → 86%
03
NIU serverAce+3.7%
NIU ace on Lauren Ortwerth
Set 1 · LINWOD 20-20 NIU · NIU 17% → 21%
04
Ava GrevengoedAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Ava Grevengoed
Set 1 · LINWOD 24-22 NIU · LINWOD 84% → 88%
05
Autumn BaxKill+3.4%
Kill by Autumn Bax (set by Kaci Johnson)
Set 1 · LINWOD 22-21 NIU · LINWOD 79% → 82%
06
Ava GrevengoedKill+3.1%
Kill by Ava Grevengoed (set by Viktoria Djukic)
Set 1 · LINWOD 21-21 NIU · NIU 18% → 21%
07
Ashley GeluckKill+3.0%
Kill by Ashley Geluck (set by Kaci Johnson)
Set 1 · LINWOD 21-20 NIU · LINWOD 79% → 82%
08
Ava GrevengoedKill+2.7%
Kill by Ava Grevengoed (set by Naomi Dowd)
Set 1 · LINWOD 20-19 NIU · NIU 15% → 17%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Lindenwoodaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Susanna BerettiOH	3	13	2	27	.407	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	13
17Ashley GeluckMB	3	4	1	11	.273	0	4	1	3	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
15Autumn BaxOH	3	7	1	19	.316	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	9
28Kylee RicheyOH	3	7	1	14	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
3Kaci JohnsonS	3	1	0	2	.500	33	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	1
27Mandy LawsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	0
7Lauren OrtwerthOH	3	7	2	15	.333	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	8
9Dana GribDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	4	2	6	0	0	0	0	4
1Alayna RudebeckDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	5	2	0	0	0	2
5Anna KraemerOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Blair SittonMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Emma JohnsonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Greta ShadewaldS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Jade RothMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Shannon MonahanOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Tori StaplesMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Valyn DonahooOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	7	88	.364	37	10	6	38	3	2	8	6	75

NIUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
3Ava GrevengoedOH	3	10	8	34	.059	1	0	0	5	1	0	0	10
15Autumn FlynnMB	3	5	2	15	.200	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	6
11Katie PahlOH	3	4	4	17	.000	1	1	0	6	1	0	0	5
14Naomi DowdOH	3	4	1	11	.273	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	4
8Rylea AlvinMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3
6Viktoria DjukicS	3	0	0	0	–	13	1	1	5	0	0	0	1
4Kiana ShieldsMB	3	2	2	7	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2
21Charizma LoftonOH	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Kylie SchulzeS	3	0	0	0	–	7	1	2	5	0	0	0	1
16Lilly AbneyOH	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Aiden LightburnMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Charlotte GramzowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0
9Delaney SteersOH	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	7	2	0	0	0
7Ellie SmithS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Nathalie TulumarisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	19	94	.106	27	3	5	34	10	1	1	47

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 LINWOD · NIU 4

Set 1*

25-23

Longest run 3 LINWODNIU 4

Set 2*

25-13

Longest run 5 LINWODNIU 2

Set 3*

25-11

Longest run 4 LINWODNIU 2

Bars above the line = NIU leads, below = Lindenwood leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Lindenwood

No clean sets to split.

NIU

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

122 rallies

Rally log

#	LINWOD-NIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.3
2	1-1	NIU	LINWOD	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed	blk Autumn Bax, Ashley Geluck	+1.2
3	1-2	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.4
4	2-2	NIU	LINWOD	Serve err	NIU server		+1.3
5	2-3	LINWOD	NIU	Bad set	Kaci Johnson		+1.4
6	2-4	NIU	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Delaney Steers	+2.0
7	3-4	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+1.4
8	3-5	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+1.6
9	4-5	NIU	LINWOD	Serve err	NIU server		+1.4
10	4-6	LINWOD	NIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.6
11	5-6	NIU	LINWOD	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
12	5-7	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.7
13	6-7	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Susanna Beretti	+1.5
14	6-8	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.7
15	6-9	NIU	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.4
16	7-9	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
17	7-10	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.8
18	8-10	NIU	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+1.6
19	9-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced TEAM	+2.3
20	10-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced TEAM	+2.3
21	10-11	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.8
22	11-11	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+1.7
23	11-12	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+1.9
24	12-12	NIU	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.8
25	13-12	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Dana Grib	+2.4
26	14-12	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kaci Johnson		+2.2
27	14-13	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl		+1.6
28	14-14	NIU	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Ava Grevengoed	+2.5
29	15-14	NIU	LINWOD×3	Serve err	NIU server		+1.9
30	16-14	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Delaney Steers	+2.4
31	17-14	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Ava Grevengoed	+2.0
32	17-15	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Kylie Schulze	+1.3
33	18-15	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Rylea Alvin		+1.5
34	18-16	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kaci Johnson	+1.3
35	19-16	NIU	LINWOD	Serve err	NIU server		+1.6
36	20-16	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.6
37	20-17	LINWOD	NIU×4	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.9
38	20-18	NIU	NIU×4	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth		+1.8
39	20-19	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Naomi Dowd	+2.7
40	20-20	NIU	NIU×4	Ace	NIU server	aced Lauren Ortwerth	+3.7
41	21-20	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+3.0
42	21-21	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+3.1
43	22-21	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+3.4
44	23-21	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Naomi Dowd		+4.1
45	23-22	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Katie Pahl	+2.2
46	24-22	NIU	LINWOD	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+3.5
47	24-23	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Delaney Steers	+2.0
48	25-23	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti		+4.4
Set 2
1	1-0	NIU	LINWOD×5	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.9
2	2-0	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Rylea Alvin	+1.1
3	3-0	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.0
4	4-0	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.9
5	5-0	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
6	5-1	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.5
7	6-1	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.5
8	7-1	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
9	7-2	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.4
10	8-2	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
11	8-3	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.4
12	8-4	NIU	NIU	Ace	NIU server	aced Alayna Rudebeck	+0.7
13	9-4	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
14	10-4	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Autumn Flynn	blk Lauren Ortwerth	+0.6
15	10-5	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.4
16	11-5	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
17	12-5	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Autumn Flynn	blk Ashley Geluck	+0.4
18	12-6	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.3
19	12-7	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Ashley Geluck		+0.5
20	13-7	NIU	LINWOD	Attack err	Kiana Shields	set Ava Grevengoed	+0.4
21	13-8	LINWOD	NIU	Attack err	Autumn Bax	set Dana Grib	+0.4
22	14-8	NIU	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
23	15-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+0.4
24	16-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
25	16-9	LINWOD	NIU	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
26	16-10	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Kylee Richey		+0.3
27	17-10	NIU	LINWOD×5	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
28	18-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
29	19-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1
30	20-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Attack err	Lilly Abney		+0.1
31	21-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
32	21-11	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Delaney Steers	+0.0
33	21-12	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.0
34	22-12	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0
35	22-13	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.0
36	23-13	NIU	LINWOD×3	Serve err	NIU server		+0.0
37	24-13	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Charlotte Gramzow	+0.0
38	25-13	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Charlotte Gramzow	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.5
2	1-1	NIU	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.5
3	2-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
4	3-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Ace	LINWOD server	aced TEAM	+0.6
5	4-1	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed	blk Kylee Richey, Autumn Bax	+0.5
6	4-2	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.4
7	5-2	NIU	LINWOD×4	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
8	6-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Katie Pahl	+0.4
9	7-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+0.4
10	8-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+0.3
11	8-3	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.2
12	9-3	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
13	10-3	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth		+0.2
14	10-4	LINWOD	NIU	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth	blk Autumn Flynn	+0.1
15	11-4	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
16	12-4	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
17	12-5	LINWOD	NIU	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.1
18	12-6	NIU	NIU	Ace	NIU server	aced Alayna Rudebeck	+0.2
19	13-6	NIU	LINWOD×4	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Alayna Rudebeck	+0.2
20	14-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Katie Pahl	blk Ashley Geluck, Autumn Bax	+0.1
21	15-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Kaci Johnson		+0.1
22	16-6	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		+0.1
23	16-7	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Charizma Lofton	set Delaney Steers	+0.0
24	17-7	NIU	LINWOD×4	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0
25	18-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed	blk Ashley Geluck, Autumn Bax	+0.0
26	19-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0
27	20-7	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+0.0
28	20-8	LINWOD	NIU	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0
29	21-8	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck		+0.0
30	22-8	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kylee Richey	+0.0
31	22-9	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.0
32	22-10	NIU	NIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
33	23-10	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0
34	24-10	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Delaney Steers	+0.0
35	24-11	LINWOD	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.0
36	25-11	NIU	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Lindenwood first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.