FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayOVC

3:0

HomeHORIZON

Lindenwood def. Purdue Fort Wayne 3–0

(25-14, 25-21, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LINWOD	25	25	25	3
IPFW	14	21	20	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

IPFW above 50 · LINWOD below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Purdue Fort Wayne — set 2, LINWOD 13-13 IPFW. Purdue Fort Wayne ace on Mandy Lawson. IPFW win probability 9% → 11%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LINWOD 80.8%19.2% IPFW

Lindenwood wins

3-0

32.4%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

18.0%

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0

3.1%

3-1

6.3%

3-2

9.7%

LINWOD break %: 44.9% vs this opp
IPFW break %: 38.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
IPFW serverAce+1.9%
Purdue Fort Wayne ace on Mandy Lawson
Set 2 · LINWOD 13-13 IPFW · IPFW 9% → 11%
02
Trinity RyeAttack error+1.7%
Trinity Rye stuffed by Kylee Richey & Autumn Bax
Set 2 · LINWOD 15-13 IPFW · LINWOD 90% → 92%
03
Riley RosneckKill+1.7%
Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means)
Set 2 · LINWOD 7-8 IPFW · IPFW 10% → 12%
04
Ashley GeluckKill+1.6%
Kill by Ashley Geluck (set by Kaci Johnson)
Set 1 · LINWOD 1-0 IPFW · LINWOD 81% → 82%
05
Riley RosneckAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Riley Rosneck
Set 2 · LINWOD 10-9 IPFW · LINWOD 89% → 90%
06
Kaci JohnsonAttack error+1.6%
Kaci Johnson stuffed by Riley Rosneck & Bella DiBuono
Set 2 · LINWOD 5-6 IPFW · IPFW 10% → 12%
07
Kylee RicheyKill+1.6%
Kill by Kylee Richey (set by Susanna Beretti)
Set 1 · LINWOD 4-2 IPFW · LINWOD 82% → 84%
08
Kylee RicheyKill+1.5%
Kill by Kylee Richey (set by Kaci Johnson)
Set 2 · LINWOD 17-14 IPFW · LINWOD 92% → 94%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Lindenwoodaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
13Susanna BerettiOH	3	11	1	21	.476	1	1	1	5	0	0	0	12
28Kylee RicheyOH	3	9	1	16	.500	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	10
15Autumn BaxOH	3	7	2	14	.357	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
17Ashley GeluckMB	3	4	4	14	.000	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	4
3Kaci JohnsonS	3	2	3	6	-.167	31	1	1	6	0	1	0.5	3.5
27Mandy LawsonL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	3	2	1	0	0	1
7Lauren OrtwerthOH	3	11	5	23	.261	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11
1Alayna RudebeckDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	9	0	0	0	2
9Dana GribDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	6	1	0	0	1
Team totals		44	16	95	.295	36	6	11	32	3	4	2	75

Purdue Fort Waynehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Riley RosneckOH	3	12	4	30	.267	0	0	1	2	1	1	2	2	14
9Trinity RyeOH	3	6	5	18	.056	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
5Mya PlemonsMB	3	2	1	8	.125	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	5
15Bella DiBuonoMB	3	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	3
10Haiden MeansS	3	1	1	4	.000	13	0	2	3	0	0	2	1	2
4Ellie AdamsOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Becky BarrettDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	9	1	0	0	0	2
7Avery ParrisOPP	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Ava TesterS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
19Miona DimitricOH	2	1	0	3	.333	1	0	2	1	2	1	0	1	2
1Lili SmithS	1	0	0	0	–	6	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		24	15	76	.118	22	3	10	27	6	4	12	10	55

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LINWOD · IPFW 3

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 4 LINWODIPFW 2

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 LINWODIPFW 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 3 LINWODIPFW 2

Bars above the line = Purdue Fort Wayne leads, below = Lindenwood leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Lindenwood

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	42%5/12
2	62%8/13	27%3/11
3	88%7/8	56%9/16
4	67%6/9	40%4/10
5	75%6/8	60%9/15
6	86%6/7	40%4/10
All	73%41/56	46%34/74

Purdue Fort Wayne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	30%3/10
2	78%7/9	33%4/12
3	39%7/18	22%2/9
4	55%6/11	30%3/10
5	55%6/11	25%2/8
6	55%6/11	14%1/7
All	54%40/74	27%15/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	LINWOD-IPFW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+1.6
2	1-1	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Mandy Lawson	+1.2
3	2-1	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Dana Grib	+1.2
4	2-2	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.2
5	3-2	IPFW	LINWOD×3	Serve err	IPFW server		+1.2
6	4-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Susanna Beretti	+1.6
7	5-2	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		+1.4
8	5-3	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.0
9	6-3	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Kaci Johnson	set Kaci Johnson	+1.0
10	6-4	LINWOD	IPFW	Attack err	Ashley Geluck		+1.0
11	7-4	IPFW	LINWOD×3	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+1.0
12	8-4	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Dana Grib	+1.2
13	9-4	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth		+1.0
14	9-5	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Avery Parris	set Haiden Means	+0.6
15	10-5	IPFW	LINWOD×3	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.7
16	11-5	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Becky Barrett	+0.8
17	12-5	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti		+0.6
18	12-6	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+0.3
19	12-7	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Haiden Means	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
20	13-7	IPFW	LINWOD	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.6
21	14-7	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.6
22	14-8	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.3
23	15-8	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Kaci Johnson	set Dana Grib	+0.4
24	16-8	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.3
25	16-9	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+0.2
26	17-9	IPFW	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Avery Parris		+0.2
27	18-9	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Trinity Rye	+0.2
28	19-9	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Avery Parris		+0.1
29	20-9	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Bella DiBuono		+0.0
30	20-10	LINWOD	IPFW	Attack err	Kaci Johnson		+0.0
31	20-11	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth	blk Avery Parris, Bella DiBuono	+0.0
32	21-11	IPFW	LINWOD	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.0
33	22-11	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0
34	22-12	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.0
35	23-12	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0
36	23-13	LINWOD	IPFW	Attack err	Autumn Bax	blk Mya Plemons, Riley Rosneck	+0.0
37	24-13	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0
38	24-14	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Mya Plemons	+0.0
39	25-14	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	IPFW	LINWOD	Attack err	Mya Plemons		+0.9
2	1-1	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+0.9
3	1-2	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.4
4	2-2	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.9
5	2-3	LINWOD	IPFW	Attack err	Susanna Beretti	blk Haiden Means, Bella DiBuono	+1.1
6	3-3	IPFW	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+1.0
7	4-3	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Team	+1.3
8	5-3	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Bella DiBuono	blk Kaci Johnson, Kylee Richey	+1.2
9	5-4	LINWOD	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.9
10	5-5	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Kaci Johnson	blk Riley Rosneck	+1.4
11	5-6	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Kaci Johnson	blk Riley Rosneck, Bella DiBuono	+1.6
12	6-6	IPFW	LINWOD	Serve err	IPFW server		+1.1
13	7-6	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.4
14	7-7	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.1
15	7-8	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.7
16	8-8	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.1
17	8-9	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.3
18	9-9	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+1.2
19	10-9	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		+1.6
20	10-10	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.2
21	11-10	IPFW	LINWOD×3	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+1.2
22	12-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
23	13-10	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+1.3
24	13-11	LINWOD	IPFW×3	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.9
25	13-12	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Haiden Means	+1.5
26	13-13	IPFW	IPFW×3	Ace	IPFW server	aced Mandy Lawson	+1.9
27	14-13	IPFW	LINWOD	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+1.3
28	15-13	LINWOD	LINWOD	Attack err	Trinity Rye	blk Kylee Richey, Autumn Bax	+1.7
29	15-14	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+1.2
30	16-14	IPFW	LINWOD	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+1.3
31	17-14	LINWOD	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+1.5
32	17-15	LINWOD	IPFW	Attack err	Kylee Richey		+1.0
33	18-15	IPFW	LINWOD×4	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+1.1
34	19-15	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		+1.2
35	20-15	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Attack err	Haiden Means		+0.8
36	21-15	LINWOD	LINWOD×4	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
37	21-16	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Becky Barrett	+0.2
38	22-16	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.3
39	22-17	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Miona Dimitric	+0.1
40	23-17	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.2
41	23-18	LINWOD	IPFW×3	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth	blk Mya Plemons, Haiden Means	+0.1
42	23-19	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Ashley Geluck	blk Mya Plemons	+0.2
43	23-20	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth		+0.5
44	24-20	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
45	24-21	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.2
46	25-21	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.5
Set 3
1	0-1	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.5
2	0-2	IPFW	IPFW	Ace	IPFW server	aced Dana Grib	+0.7
3	1-2	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.5
4	1-3	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Lili Smith	+0.6
5	1-4	IPFW	IPFW	Ace	IPFW server	aced Kylee Richey	+0.8
6	2-4	IPFW	LINWOD×3	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.5
7	3-4	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti		+0.7
8	4-4	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		+0.7
9	4-5	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.6
10	5-5	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.5
11	5-6	LINWOD	IPFW	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth	blk Trinity Rye, Bella DiBuono	+0.6
12	6-6	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.5
13	7-6	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Riley Rosneck	+0.7
14	7-7	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Lili Smith	+0.5
15	7-8	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Ashley Geluck	blk Miona Dimitric	+0.8
16	8-8	IPFW	LINWOD×3	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.6
17	9-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Miona Dimitric	+0.8
18	10-8	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
19	10-9	LINWOD	IPFW	Attack err	Ashley Geluck		+0.5
20	11-9	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.5
21	11-10	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.5
22	12-10	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Ashley Geluck	set Kaci Johnson	+0.5
23	12-11	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.5
24	12-12	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Autumn Bax		+0.9
25	13-12	IPFW	LINWOD	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.6
26	13-13	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.7
27	14-13	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
28	14-14	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+0.7
29	14-15	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Lauren Ortwerth		+1.1
30	15-15	IPFW	LINWOD×3	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
31	16-15	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Lauren Ortwerth		+1.1
32	17-15	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Ashley Geluck		+1.0
33	17-16	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.6
34	18-16	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Kaci Johnson	+0.7
35	18-17	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.7
36	19-17	IPFW	LINWOD×3	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.8
37	20-17	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Haiden Means	+0.9
38	21-17	LINWOD	LINWOD×3	Kill	Susanna Beretti	set Dana Grib	+0.6
39	21-18	LINWOD	IPFW	Serve err	LINWOD server		+0.3
40	22-18	IPFW	LINWOD	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.4
41	22-19	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.2
42	23-19	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Autumn Bax	set Kaci Johnson	+0.4
43	24-19	LINWOD	LINWOD	Ace	LINWOD server	aced Miona Dimitric	+0.2
44	24-20	LINWOD	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.0
45	25-20	IPFW	LINWOD	Kill	Kylee Richey	set Kaci Johnson	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Lindenwood first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.