Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

Lindenwood def. Illinois St. 3–1

Lindenwood won at Illinois St. 3-1 (21-25, 25-12, 25-20, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Lindenwood's Autumn Bax led with 16 kills, and Kaci Johnson added 16 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
LINWOD212525253
ILL ST251220201

Win probability

Illinois St. above 50 · Lindenwood below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.3% ILL STrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.3% to Illinois St. — set 1, LINWOD 19-21 ILL ST. Autumn Bax stuffed by Addisyn Pohl. ILL ST win probability 42% → 47%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LINWOD 64.6%35.4% ILL ST

Lindenwood wins

3-0
19.8%
3-1
24.8%
3-2
20.1%

Illinois St. wins

3-0
7.3%
3-1
12.7%
3-2
15.4%
LINWOD break %
44.1% vs this opp
ILL ST break %
41.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Addisyn PohlBlock+5.3%

    Autumn Bax stuffed by Addisyn Pohl

    Set 1 · LINWOD 19-21 ILL ST · ILL ST 42% → 47%

  2. 02
    Susanna BerettiAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Susanna Beretti

    Set 1 · LINWOD 20-23 ILL ST · ILL ST 48% → 53%

  3. 03
    LindenwoodAce+4.8%

    Lindenwood ace on Peyton Turner

    Set 4 · LINWOD 17-16 ILL ST · LINWOD 80% → 85%

  4. 04

    Oliwia Caputa stuffed by Ashley Geluck & Autumn Bax

    Set 4 · LINWOD 16-16 ILL ST · LINWOD 75% → 80%

  5. 05
    Autumn BaxKill+4.6%

    Kill by Autumn Bax (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 1 · LINWOD 19-19 ILL ST · LINWOD 58% → 62%

  6. 06
    Ashley GeluckKill+4.5%

    Kill by Ashley Geluck (set by Peyton Turner)

    Set 4 · LINWOD 18-16 ILL ST · LINWOD 85% → 89%

  7. 07
    Ruth ZieglerAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Ruth Ziegler

    Set 4 · LINWOD 22-19 ILL ST · LINWOD 91% → 95%

  8. 08

    Kill by Logan Grevengoed

    Set 4 · LINWOD 13-15 ILL ST · ILL ST 23% → 27%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416336.36100060010.516.5
414843.1402027000014
410122.4091115002112
48518.1670000020210
47113.4624612160010.58.5
4000–3131310001
49727.074000200009
4000–3201110002
4001.000503900000
Team totals6425160.2446051169224496
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411231.29000040052.513.5
47525.0800132004210
4000–1500800000
4000–001820000
36318.167000111010.56.5
3139-.222000102234
42117.059000201857
45217.17600021010.55.5
4000–5121500001
4002.0001200800000
2204.50000000010.52.5
1317.286000000003
1014-.250001010000
Team totals3718134.14232276153221477

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 LINWOD · ILL ST 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 LINWODILL ST 3

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 8 LINWODILL ST 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 3 LINWODILL ST 4

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 LINWODILL ST 2

Bars above the line = Illinois St. leads, below = Lindenwood leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lindenwood

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
59%10/17
2
80%8/10
50%8/16
3
54%7/13
20%2/10
4
71%5/7
44%4/9
5
71%5/7
44%4/9
6
63%5/8
50%5/10
All
67%38/57
46%33/71

Illinois St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
33%3/9
2
50%8/16
33%4/12
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
71%5/7
22%2/9
5
56%5/9
38%3/8
6
45%5/11
38%3/8
All
54%38/71
33%19/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#LINWOD-ILL STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ILL STLINWODAttack errAddisyn Pohl+1.7
21-1LINWODILL STBlockedAshley Geluckblk Addisyn Pohl+1.7
32-1ILL STLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.7
42-2LINWODILL ST×3Serve errLindenwood+1.8
52-3ILL STILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch+2.5
62-4ILL STILL ST×3BlockedSusanna Berettiblk Ruth Ziegler, Abby Reck+2.6
73-4ILL STLINWOD×4KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.8
84-4LINWODLINWOD×4KillKylee Richey+2.5
95-4LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errRuth Ziegler+2.5
106-4LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errEmilija Arsic+2.4
116-5LINWODILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+1.8
127-5ILL STLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.8
138-5LINWODLINWODAttack errRuth Ziegler+2.3
148-6LINWODILL STBlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Abby Reck, Ruth Ziegler+1.6
159-6ILL STLINWODServe errIllinois St.+1.7
1610-6LINWODLINWODAttack errJillian Ferrill+2.1
1710-7LINWODILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+1.4
1810-8ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Kaci Johnson+2.2
1910-9ILL STILL ST×3Attack errLauren Ortwerth+2.6
2011-9ILL STLINWODKillKaci Johnsonset Alayna Rudebeck+2.0
2112-9LINWODLINWODAceLindenwoodaced Emilija Arsic+2.5
2212-10LINWODILL STBlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Addisyn Pohl, Logan Grevengoed+1.7
2312-11ILL STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Samantha Bunch+2.7
2413-11ILL STLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+2.2
2513-12LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+2.1
2614-12ILL STLINWODAttack errEmilija Arsic+2.3
2714-13LINWODILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch+2.2
2814-14ILL STILL ST×3KillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+3.4
2914-15ILL STILL ST×3Attack errKylee Richey+3.7
3015-15ILL STLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+2.7
3115-16LINWODILL STBad setKaci Johnson+2.9
3216-16ILL STLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+2.8
3316-17LINWODILL STBlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Abby Reck, Ruth Ziegler+3.1
3416-18ILL STILL STAttack errSusanna Beretti+4.2
3517-18ILL STLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+2.8
3617-19LINWODILL STBlockedKaci Johnsonblk Abby Reck, Logan Grevengoed+3.4
3718-19ILL STLINWODKillKaci Johnson+2.9
3819-19LINWODLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+4.6
3919-20LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+3.9
4019-21ILL STILL STBlockedAutumn Baxblk Addisyn Pohl+5.3
4120-21ILL STLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+3.2
4220-22LINWODILL ST×3KillAddisyn Pohlset Audrey Clark+4.4
4320-23ILL STILL ST×3Attack errSusanna Beretti+4.8
4420-24ILL STILL ST×3Bad setKaci Johnson+2.8
4521-24ILL STLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.6
4621-25LINWODILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Audrey Clark+1.5
Set 2
11-0LINWODLINWOD×4KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+2.7
22-0LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errLogan Grevengoed+2.6
33-0LINWODLINWOD×4KillAutumn Baxset Mandy Lawson+2.4
44-0LINWODLINWOD×4KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+2.2
54-1LINWODILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Audrey Clark+1.5
65-1ILL STLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.6
75-2LINWODILL STBlockedSusanna Berettiblk Addisyn Pohl, Ruth Ziegler+1.5
86-2ILL STLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+1.7
96-3LINWODILL STAttack errLauren Ortwerth+1.6
107-3ILL STLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.7
117-4LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+1.6
128-4ILL STLINWOD×4KillLauren Ortwerthset Ashley Geluck+1.7
139-4LINWODLINWOD×4KillAutumn Baxset Dana Grib+2.0
1410-4LINWODLINWOD×4KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.7
1511-4LINWODLINWOD×4KillLauren Ortwerthset Dana Grib+1.3
1611-5LINWODILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+0.8
1712-5ILL STLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.9
1813-5LINWODLINWODAttack errAddisyn Pohl+0.9
1913-6LINWODILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Audrey Clark+0.5
2014-6ILL STLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.7
2115-6LINWODLINWODAttack errLogan Grevengoed+0.6
2215-7LINWODILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+0.3
2315-8ILL STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Audrey Clark+0.6
2416-8ILL STLINWOD×8Serve errIllinois St.+0.6
2517-8LINWODLINWOD×8KillKaci Johnsonset Susanna Beretti+0.5
2618-8LINWODLINWOD×8AceLindenwoodaced Peyton Turner+0.3
2719-8LINWODLINWOD×8KillKaci Johnsonset Alayna Rudebeck+0.1
2820-8LINWODLINWOD×8KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.1
2921-8LINWODLINWOD×8Attack errJillian Gregory·
3022-8LINWODLINWOD×8BlockedRuth Zieglerblk Kylee Richey·
3123-8LINWODLINWOD×8AceLindenwoodaced Jillian Gregory·
3223-9LINWODILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Audrey Clark·
3324-9ILL STLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson·
3424-10LINWODILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch·
3524-11ILL STILL ST×3BlockedKylee Richeyblk Abby Reck·
3624-12ILL STILL ST×3Attack errLauren Ortwerth·
3725-12ILL STLINWODServe errIllinois St.·
Set 3
11-0ILL STLINWODKillAshley Geluck+2.3
22-0LINWODLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+3.0
32-1LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+2.2
43-1LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
54-1LINWODLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Mandy Lawson+2.8
65-1LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+2.6
75-2LINWODILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+1.8
86-2ILL STLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.9
96-3LINWODILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Audrey Clark+1.8
107-3ILL STLINWODServe errIllinois St.+2.0
117-4LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+1.8
128-4ILL STLINWOD×3KillKaci Johnsonset Alayna Rudebeck+2.0
139-4LINWODLINWOD×3BlockedEmilija Arsicblk Kaci Johnson, Ashley Geluck+2.3
1410-4LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errAddisyn Pohl+1.9
1510-5LINWODILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Audrey Clark+1.2
1610-6ILL STILL STAttack errSusanna Beretti+2.0
1711-6ILL STLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.8
1811-7LINWODILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+1.5
1912-7ILL STLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.8
2013-7LINWODLINWOD×3KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.9
2114-7LINWODLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.4
2214-8LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+0.8
2314-9ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Mandy Lawson+1.5
2415-9ILL STLINWODServe errIllinois St.+1.4
2515-10LINWODILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+1.1
2616-10ILL STLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.4
2716-11LINWODILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+1.0
2817-11ILL STLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+1.3
2918-11LINWODLINWODBad setAudrey Clark+1.2
3018-12LINWODILL ST×4KillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+0.6
3118-13ILL STILL ST×4Attack errLauren Ortwerth+1.2
3218-14ILL STILL ST×4BlockedKylee Richeyblk Emilija Arsic, Sidney Wright+1.8
3318-15ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.aced Alayna Rudebeck+2.6
3419-15ILL STLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+2.5
3519-16LINWODILL STKillSidney Wrightset Audrey Clark+1.9
3620-16ILL STLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+2.5
3720-17LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+1.8
3821-17ILL STLINWODAttack errJillian Ferrill+2.5
3922-17LINWODLINWODBad setElla Craggs+2.1
4022-18LINWODILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.8
4123-18ILL STLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.4
4224-18LINWODLINWODAceLindenwoodaced Jillian Ferrill+0.7
4324-19LINWODILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+0.1
4424-20ILL STILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Samantha Bunch+0.4
4525-20ILL STLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.6
Set 4
11-0LINWODLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+2.7
21-1LINWODILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+2.1
31-2ILL STILL STAttack errKylee Richey+3.0
42-2ILL STLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Mandy Lawson+2.1
52-3LINWODILL STBlockedKylee Richeyblk Jillian Ferrill, Abby Reck+2.3
63-3ILL STLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+2.2
73-4LINWODILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Audrey Clark+2.3
84-4ILL STLINWODAttack errRuth Ziegler+2.2
94-5LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+2.4
104-6ILL STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Audrey Clark+3.3
115-6ILL STLINWODKillKaci Johnsonset Dana Grib+2.3
125-7LINWODILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Audrey Clark+2.5
135-8ILL STILL STAttack errAutumn Bax+3.3
146-8ILL STLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+2.2
156-9LINWODILL STAttack errSusanna Beretti+2.6
166-10ILL STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+3.2
177-10ILL STLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+2.1
188-10LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+3.2
199-10LINWODLINWOD×3BlockedAbby Reckblk Kylee Richey+3.4
209-11LINWODILL STBlockedSusanna Berettiblk Logan Grevengoed, Abby Reck+2.8
2110-11ILL STLINWODServe errIllinois St.+2.6
2211-11LINWODLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Dana Grib+3.7
2311-12LINWODILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+3.0
2412-12ILL STLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+2.8
2512-13LINWODILL STKillSidney Wrightset Audrey Clark+3.1
2613-13ILL STLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+3.0
2713-14LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+3.2
2813-15ILL STILL STKillLogan Grevengoed+4.4
2914-15ILL STLINWODServe errIllinois St.+3.0
3014-16LINWODILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Audrey Clark+3.5
3115-16ILL STLINWOD×4KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+3.1
3216-16LINWODLINWOD×4BlockedOliwia Caputablk Ashley Geluck, Autumn Bax+4.6
3317-16LINWODLINWOD×4AceLindenwoodaced Peyton Turner+4.8
3418-16LINWODLINWOD×4KillAshley Geluckset Peyton Turner+4.5
3518-17LINWODILL STAttack errAutumn Bax+3.1
3619-17ILL STLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+3.6
3719-18LINWODILL STBlockedSusanna Berettiblk Abby Reck, Logan Grevengoed+3.3
3820-18ILL STLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+3.8
3920-19LINWODILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+3.4
4021-19ILL STLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+4.2
4122-19LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errRuth Ziegler+4.5
4223-19LINWODLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+2.9
4323-20LINWODILL STServe errLindenwood+1.0
4424-20ILL STLINWODKillKaci Johnson+1.9
4525-20LINWODLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Lindenwood first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).