Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026

Lindenwood def. Bradley 3–2

Lindenwood won at Bradley 3-2 (19-25, 25-16, 25-18, 22-25, 15-13) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Lindenwood's Lauren Ortwerth led with 19 kills.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set12345Sets
LINWOD19252522153
BRAD25161825132

Win probability

Bradley above 50 · Lindenwood below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+22.9% LINWODrally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 22.9% to Lindenwood — set 5, LINWOD 15-13 BRAD. Kill by Lauren Ortwerth (set by Kaci Johnson). BRAD win probability 23% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LINWOD 73.4%26.6% BRAD

Lindenwood wins

3-0
25.8%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
19.5%

Bradley wins

3-0
4.8%
3-1
9.2%
3-2
12.6%
LINWOD break %
44.2% vs this opp
BRAD break %
39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lauren OrtwerthKill+22.9%

    Kill by Lauren Ortwerth (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 5 · LINWOD 15-13 BRAD · LINWOD 77% → 100%

  2. 02
    Susanna BerettiKill+20.4%

    Kill by Susanna Beretti (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 5 · LINWOD 13-12 BRAD · LINWOD 53% → 73%

  3. 03
    Susanna BerettiKill+18.1%

    Kill by Susanna Beretti (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 5 · LINWOD 14-13 BRAD · LINWOD 59% → 77%

  4. 04
    Kaci JohnsonKill+17.8%

    Kill by Kaci Johnson (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 5 · LINWOD 12-12 BRAD · LINWOD 35% → 53%

  5. 05
    Gracie FurlongKill+17.0%

    Kill by Gracie Furlong (set by Ava Patchett)

    Set 5 · LINWOD 10-12 BRAD · BRAD 57% → 74%

  6. 06
    Cherlin AntonioKill+16.3%

    Kill by Cherlin Antonio (set by Eirini Bitsaktsi)

    Set 5 · LINWOD 10-11 BRAD · BRAD 41% → 57%

  7. 07
    Chloe ParkerKill+14.2%

    Kill by Chloe Parker (set by Maria Drapp)

    Set 5 · LINWOD 13-13 BRAD · BRAD 27% → 41%

  8. 08
    BradleyAce+11.7%

    Bradley ace

    Set 5 · LINWOD 6-7 BRAD · BRAD 40% → 52%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515742.19000040031.516.5
513333.30302111000015
510725.12011340031.512.5
58521.143000100219
53211.0915610140010.54.5
5004.0002131120001
519744.27300030010.519.5
5001.0004031400000
5000–3001400000
Team totals6831181.204665107640105106
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
510331.2260104016415
514847.128300111010.514.5
59629.10300010052.511.5
59425.2000003104211
5219.1114012100052.55.5
3206.333000002446
5001.000120810002
5001.0003021300000
5011-1.0000011120000
3418.37500000153.57.5
1000–001000000
Team totals5024158.16547466154301997

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 LINWOD · BRAD 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 6 LINWODBRAD 4

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 8 LINWODBRAD 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 LINWODBRAD 3

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 5 LINWODBRAD 5

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 3 LINWODBRAD 3

Bars above the line = Bradley leads, below = Lindenwood leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lindenwood

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
40%6/15
2
57%8/14
53%9/17
3
57%8/14
33%4/12
4
58%7/12
53%8/15
5
64%7/11
36%4/11
6
50%7/14
42%5/12
All
56%45/80
44%36/82

Bradley

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
36%4/11
2
50%8/16
50%8/16
3
62%8/13
53%9/17
4
44%7/16
20%2/10
5
64%7/11
36%4/11
6
50%7/14
53%8/15
All
56%46/82
44%35/80

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#LINWOD-BRADSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LINWODBRADServe errLindenwood+1.6
21-1BRADLINWOD×6Serve errBradley+1.5
32-1LINWODLINWOD×6Attack errMaria Drapp+2.0
43-1LINWODLINWOD×6Attack errTrixie Carroll+1.9
54-1LINWODLINWOD×6Attack errCherlin Antonio+1.7
65-1LINWODLINWOD×6KillSusanna Berettiset Ashley Geluck+1.5
76-1LINWODLINWOD×6AceLindenwoodaced Cherlin Antonio+1.3
86-2LINWODBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp+0.8
97-2BRADLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.9
107-3LINWODBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+0.8
118-3BRADLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.9
128-4LINWODBRAD×4KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+0.9
138-5BRADBRAD×4KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.5
148-6BRADBRAD×4KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.8
158-7BRADBRAD×4Attack errLauren Ortwerth+2.1
169-7BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.6
179-8LINWODBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.6
1810-8BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.6
1910-9LINWODBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+1.6
2010-10BRADBRADAttack errAshley Geluck+2.6
2111-10BRADLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.9
2211-11LINWODBRAD×4KillTrixie Carrollset Maria Drapp+2.0
2311-12BRADBRAD×4BlockedAshley Geluckblk Adeline Goedheer+3.0
2411-13BRADBRAD×4KillMaria Drappset Gracie Furlong+3.1
2511-14BRADBRAD×4AceBradley+3.1
2612-14BRADLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.9
2712-15LINWODBRADKillTrixie Carrollset Maria Drapp+2.4
2812-16BRADBRADKillMaria Drappset Kaci Johnson+3.0
2913-16BRADLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.7
3013-17LINWODBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+2.2
3114-17BRADLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Mandy Lawson+1.7
3214-18LINWODBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.3
3315-18BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.6
3415-19LINWODBRAD×4Attack errLauren Ortwerth+2.3
3515-20BRADBRAD×4KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.5
3615-21BRADBRAD×4Attack errLauren Ortwerth+1.6
3715-22BRADBRAD×4KillTrixie Carrollset Gracie Furlong+0.9
3816-22BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.2
3916-23LINWODBRADKillTrixie Carrollset Maria Drapp+0.5
4017-23BRADLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.1
4118-23LINWODLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.4
4219-23LINWODLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.7
4319-24LINWODBRADAttack errSusanna Beretti+1.1
4419-25BRADBRADBlockedAutumn Baxblk Trixie Carroll+0.4
Set 2
11-0BRADLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.9
21-1LINWODBRAD×3Serve errLindenwood+2.0
31-2BRADBRAD×3KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+3.0
41-3BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+3.1
52-3BRADLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+2.1
63-3LINWODLINWODAttack errGracie Furlong+3.0
73-4LINWODBRADBlockedSusanna Berettiblk Adeline Goedheer+2.3
84-4BRADLINWOD×8KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+2.2
95-4LINWODLINWOD×8KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+3.0
106-4LINWODLINWOD×8Attack errCherlin Antonio+2.8
117-4LINWODLINWOD×8AceLindenwoodaced Gracie Furlong+2.5
128-4LINWODLINWOD×8Attack errGracie Furlong+2.2
139-4LINWODLINWOD×8Bad setMaria Drapp+1.8
1410-4LINWODLINWOD×8AceLindenwoodaced Ava Patchett+1.5
1511-4LINWODLINWOD×8KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+1.1
1611-5LINWODBRADAttack errAshley Geluck+0.6
1712-5BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Alayna Rudebeck+0.8
1813-5LINWODLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.8
1913-6LINWODBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.4
2014-6BRADLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.5
2115-6LINWODLINWODAttack errTrixie Carroll+0.5
2215-7LINWODBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+0.2
2315-8BRADBRADAttack errAutumn Bax+0.5
2416-8BRADLINWOD×4KillAshley Geluckset Maria Drapp+0.5
2517-8LINWODLINWOD×4KillSusanna Berettiset Dana Grib+0.4
2618-8LINWODLINWOD×4AceLindenwoodaced Megan DePoorter+0.2
2719-8LINWODLINWOD×4KillAutumn Baxset Dana Grib+0.1
2819-9LINWODBRADKillAdeline Goedheerset Maria Drapp·
2920-9BRADLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Dana Grib+0.1
3020-10LINWODBRAD×3Attack errSusanna Beretti·
3120-11BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.1
3220-12BRAD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
3321-12BRADLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.1
3422-12LINWODLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.1
3522-13LINWODBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp·
3622-14BRADBRADKillGracie Furlongset Eirini Bitsaktsi·
3723-14BRADLINWODServe errBradley+0.1
3823-15LINWODBRADBlockedChloe Parkerblk Chloe Parker·
3923-16BRADBRADAttack errLauren Ortwerth+0.1
4024-16BRADLINWODServe errBradley+0.1
4125-16LINWODLINWODAttack errChloe Parker·
Set 3
10-1LINWODBRADKillTrixie Carrollset Gracie Furlong+2.3
21-1BRADLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+2.1
31-2LINWODBRADKillTrixie Carrollset Maria Drapp+2.3
42-2BRADLINWODAttack errGracie Furlong+2.2
52-3LINWODBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+2.4
63-3BRADLINWOD×5Attack errChloe Parker+2.2
74-3LINWODLINWOD×5Attack errGracie Furlong+3.1
85-3LINWODLINWOD×5Attack errGracie Furlong+2.9
96-3LINWODLINWOD×5BlockedCherlin Antonioblk Lauren Ortwerth, Kylee Richey+2.6
107-3LINWODLINWOD×5KillKaci Johnsonset Maria Drapp+2.3
117-4LINWODBRADServe errLindenwood+1.5
127-5BRADBRADAttack errKylee Richey+2.5
138-5BRADLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+1.9
148-6LINWODBRADServe errLindenwood+1.9
159-6BRADLINWODAttack errTrixie Carroll+2.0
1610-6LINWODLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+2.4
1710-7LINWODBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+1.6
1811-7BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.8
1911-8LINWODBRADKillTrixie Carrollset Maria Drapp+1.6
2011-9BRADBRADBlockedAutumn Baxblk Trixie Carroll+2.8
2112-9BRADLINWOD×3KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+2.2
2213-9LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errCherlin Antonio+2.6
2314-9LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+2.1
2414-10LINWODBRADKillTrixie Carrollset Eirini Bitsaktsi+1.2
2514-11BRADBRADAttack errAutumn Bax+2.2
2615-11BRADLINWOD×3Bad setMaria Drapp+1.9
2716-11LINWODLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+2.1
2817-11LINWODLINWOD×3KillKaci Johnsonset Mandy Lawson+1.5
2917-12LINWODBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+0.7
3017-13BRADBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+1.5
3118-13BRADLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.5
3219-13LINWODLINWODBlockedGracie Furlongblk Kaci Johnson, Kylee Richey+1.4
3319-14LINWODBRADAttack errKylee Richey+0.6
3420-14BRADLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.9
3521-14LINWODLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.7
3622-14LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errChloe Parker+0.3
3722-15LINWODBRADServe errLindenwood+0.1
3823-15BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.1
3924-15LINWODLINWODAttack errTrixie Carroll+0.1
4024-16LINWODBRAD×3KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp·
4124-17BRADBRAD×3BlockedAshley Geluckblk Dakota Elliott·
4224-18BRADBRAD×3BlockedGracie Furlongblk Dakota Elliott·
4325-18BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.1
Set 4
10-1BRADBRADBad setKaci Johnson+2.6
21-1BRADLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.8
32-1LINWODLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+2.4
42-2LINWODBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+1.8
53-2BRADLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+1.8
63-3LINWODBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+1.9
73-4BRADBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+2.8
84-4BRADLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.9
94-5LINWODBRADAttack errKylee Richey+2.1
105-5BRADLINWODAttack errMegan DePoorter+2.0
115-6LINWODBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+2.1
126-6BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+2.0
137-6LINWODLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Lauren Ortwerth+2.8
147-7LINWODBRADKillTrixie Carrollset Maria Drapp+2.1
157-8BRADBRADAttack errAshley Geluck+3.1
168-8BRADLINWOD×5Attack errTrixie Carroll+2.1
179-8LINWODLINWOD×5Attack errTrixie Carroll+3.0
1810-8LINWODLINWOD×5Attack errTrixie Carroll+2.8
1911-8LINWODLINWOD×5BlockedDakota Elliottblk Ashley Geluck, Autumn Bax+2.5
2012-8LINWODLINWOD×5KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+2.1
2112-9LINWODBRADServe errLindenwood+1.4
2213-9BRADLINWODServe errBradley+1.5
2313-10LINWODBRAD×3Serve errLindenwood+1.4
2413-11BRADBRAD×3KillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+2.4
2513-12BRADBRAD×3AceBradleyaced Mandy Lawson+3.0
2614-12BRADLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+2.3
2714-13LINWODBRAD×5KillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+2.2
2814-14BRADBRAD×5Attack errKylee Richey+3.7
2914-15BRADBRAD×5BlockedKylee Richeyblk Gracie Furlong+4.1
3014-16BRADBRAD×5Attack errAutumn Bax+4.3
3114-17BRADBRAD×5BlockedAutumn Baxblk Chloe Parker+4.2
3215-17BRADLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+2.5
3316-17LINWODLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Dana Grib+4.1
3416-18LINWODBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+3.5
3516-19BRADBRADAttack errKaci Johnson+4.6
3617-19BRADLINWOD×3Attack errGracie Furlong+2.5
3718-19LINWODLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+4.5
3819-19LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errAshley Geluck+5.1
3919-20LINWODBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+4.2
4020-20BRADLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+3.9
4121-20LINWODLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+5.9
4221-21LINWODBRAD×4KillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+4.3
4321-22BRADBRAD×4BlockedAshley Geluckblk Dakota Elliott+7.3
4421-23BRADBRAD×4BlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Trixie Carroll+7.6
4521-24BRADBRAD×4BlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Maria Drapp+5.8
4622-24BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.6
4722-25LINWODBRADKillDakota Elliottset Maria Drapp+5.1
Set 5
10-1LINWODBRADBad setAutumn Bax+6.4
20-2BRADBRADAttack errAshley Geluck+9.3
31-2BRADLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+6.1
42-2LINWODLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+8.9
52-3LINWODBRADKillCherlin Antonioset Maria Drapp+7.0
63-3BRADLINWODServe errBradley+6.6
73-4LINWODBRADKillGracie Furlongset Maria Drapp+7.3
84-4BRADLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+6.9
95-4LINWODLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+9.7
105-5LINWODBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+7.1
116-5BRADLINWODServe errBradley+7.2
126-6LINWODBRADServe errLindenwood+7.5
136-7BRADBRADAceBradley+11.7
147-7BRADLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+8.0
158-7LINWODLINWODAceLindenwoodaced Megan DePoorter+11.5
168-8LINWODBRADAttack errLauren Ortwerth+8.5
179-8BRADLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+8.8
189-9LINWODBRADServe errLindenwood+9.1
1910-9BRADLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+9.6
2010-10LINWODBRAD×3Serve errLindenwood+9.9
2110-11BRADBRAD×3KillCherlin Antonioset Eirini Bitsaktsi+16.3
2210-12BRADBRAD×3KillGracie Furlongset Ava Patchett+17.0
2311-12BRADLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+9.4
2412-12LINWODLINWOD×3KillKaci Johnsonset Maria Drapp+17.8
2513-12LINWODLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+20.4
2613-13LINWODBRADKillChloe Parkerset Maria Drapp+14.2
2714-13BRADLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+18.1
2815-13LINWODLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+22.9

Score shown after each rally, Lindenwood first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).