Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Lindenwood def. SIUE 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Lindenwood 98.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lindenwood beat visiting SIUE 3-2 (21-25, 19-25, 25-20, 25-8, 15-6) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Lindenwood's Lauren Ortwerth led with 14 kills, and Alayna Rudebeck added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set12345Sets
SIUE252520862
LINWOD21192525153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

SIUE hit .111. Lindenwood held them there all match.

The biggest single-rally swing was 6.6 points, and SIUE's high was 34% in Set 3. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Lindenwood at 99%.

SIUELindenwood
  • Break %+11.6 pts
    41.753.3

    On serve: 56/105 against 35/84 (SIUE sideout 46.7%).

  • Hitting+.134
    .111.245

    57 K / 22 E against 41 K / 26 E.

Lindenwood above 50SIUE belowMax swing 6.6%

SIUELindenwood

Aces
SIUE 3·Lindenwood 10
Serve err
SIUE 5·Lindenwood 11
Blocks
SIUE 10·Lindenwood 101 BS · 18 BA vs 6 BS · 8 BA
Digs
SIUE 45·Lindenwood 53

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Lindenwood above 50 · SIUE below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+6.6% SIUErally 189 · set 5

Biggest swing: 6.6% to SIUE — set 5, SIUE 2-1 LINWOD. Kill by Sophie Robinson (set by Claire Jones). LINWOD win probability 83% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIUE 1.6%98.4% LINWOD

SIUE wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.4%
3-2
1.1%

Lindenwood wins

3-0
69.3%
3-1
23.9%
3-2
5.2%
SIUE break %
36.2% vs this opp
LINWOD break %
52.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Sophie Robinson (set by Claire Jones)

    Set 5 · SIUE 2-1 LINWOD · SIUE 17% → 23%

  2. 02
    Sophie RobinsonAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Sophie Robinson

    Set 5 · SIUE 2-3 LINWOD · LINWOD 81% → 87%

  3. 03
    Sophie RobinsonAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Sophie Robinson

    Set 5 · SIUE 0-1 LINWOD · LINWOD 83% → 88%

  4. 04
    SIUEService error+4.5%

    SIUE service error

    Set 5 · SIUE 2-2 LINWOD · LINWOD 77% → 81%

  5. 05
    Maddie DetermanAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Maddie Determan

    Set 5 · SIUE 2-4 LINWOD · LINWOD 87% → 91%

  6. 06

    Kill by Maddie Determan

    Set 5 · SIUE 1-1 LINWOD · SIUE 12% → 17%

  7. 07

    Kill by Teagan Sullivan

    Set 5 · SIUE 4-5 LINWOD · SIUE 9% → 13%

  8. 08
    LindenwoodService error+3.7%

    Lindenwood service error

    Set 5 · SIUE 4-7 LINWOD · LINWOD 90% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SIUEaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512727.1851004002113
58217.3530001004210
56426.07710053111.57.5
51419-.15820200052.53.5
5023-.667010630001
5000–19101100001
56321.14300000031.57.5
56420.10000011031.57.5
51011.0001401500001
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
41011.0006121220002
1000–000000000
Team totals4126135.111433545111181084
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513536.222322100010.515.5
513326.38500030111.514.5
58425.16000200435.513.5
56317.176454090010.510.5
53310.00010210111.54.5
5000–111330001
514429.34500021010.514.5
5000–1241300002
5000–3101200001
Team totals5722143.2455410115356810105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

SIUE vs Lindenwood

Season series · Lindenwood leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SIUE · LINWOD 9

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 SIUELINWOD 5

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 SIUELINWOD 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 SIUELINWOD 5

Set 4

8-25

Longest run 2 SIUELINWOD 9

Set 5

6-15

Longest run 2 SIUELINWOD 5

Bars above the line = Lindenwood leads, below = SIUE leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SIUE

No clean sets to split.

Lindenwood

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#SIUE-LINWODSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SIUESIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+0.2
2–32-1SIUE · LINWOD
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
42-2SIUELINWODKillAutumn Baxset Mandy Lawson+0.2
53-2LINWODSIUE×4Attack errSophie Robinson+0.2
6–75-2SIUE 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
86-2SIUESIUE×4KillSophie Robinsonset Vienna Elliott+0.5
96-3SIUELINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.3
106-4LINWODLINWODAceLindenwood+0.3
117-4LINWODSIUEKillTeagan Sullivanset Claire Jones+0.4
127-5LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
137-6LINWODLINWODKillKaci Johnsonset Alayna Rudebeck+0.3
148-6LINWODSIUEAttack errKennedy Pike+0.3
158-7SIUELINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.3
169-7LINWODSIUE×3KillJehireh Williamsset Paige Bernstein+0.3
1710-7SIUESIUE×3Attack errLauren Ortwerth+0.5
1811-7SIUESIUE×3KillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+0.6
1911-8SIUELINWODKillLauren Ortwerth+0.3
2012-8LINWODSIUEKillJehireh Williams+0.5
2112-9SIUELINWODKillAutumn Bax+0.4
2213-9LINWODSIUEKillSophie Robinson+0.5
2314-9SIUESIUEAttack errAshley Geluck+0.7
2414-10SIUELINWODKillSusanna Beretti+0.4
2515-10LINWODSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+0.6
2616-10SIUESIUEServe errSIUE+0.7
2716-11SIUELINWODAttack errSusanna Beretti+0.4
2817-11LINWODSIUEAttack errVienna Elliott+0.6
2917-12SIUELINWODAttack errSophie Robinson+0.3
3017-13LINWODLINWODAttack errSusanna Beretti+0.5
3118-13LINWODSIUEAttack errJehireh Williams+0.6
3219-13SIUESIUEServe errSIUE+0.7
33–3620-16SIUE · LINWOD 3
NCAA feed gap4 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
3721-16LINWODSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Ally Hughes+0.7
3822-16SIUESIUEAttack errLauren Ortwerth+0.6
3922-17SIUELINWOD×5KillLauren Ortwerth+0.2
4022-18LINWODLINWOD×5Serve errLindenwood+0.4
4122-19LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
4222-20LINWODLINWOD×5BlockedGeorgia Bresnahanblk Ashley Geluck+0.8
4322-21LINWODLINWOD×5Attack errMaddie Determan+1.0
4423-21LINWODSIUE×3KillMaddie Determan+1.2
4524-21SIUESIUE×3BlockedSusanna Berettiblk Vienna Elliott, Maddie Determan+1.4
4625-21SIUESIUE×3Serve errSIUE+0.8
Set 2
11-0LINWODSIUEServe errLindenwood+0.8
22-0SIUESIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+1.2
32-1SIUELINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.8
43-1LINWODSIUEAttack errMaddie Determan+1.1
53-2SIUELINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.9
63-3LINWODLINWODServe errLindenwood+1.0
74-3LINWODSIUEServe errLindenwood+1.0
84-4SIUELINWODServe errSIUE+0.8
95-4LINWODSIUEKillPaige Bernsteinset Sophie Robinson+1.0
105-5SIUELINWODKillLauren Ortwerth+0.8
116-5LINWODSIUEKillKennedy Pike+1.1
127-5SIUESIUEAttack errLauren Ortwerth+1.6
137-6SIUELINWOD×3Serve errSIUE+1.1
147-7LINWODLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Dana Grib+1.3
157-8LINWODLINWOD×3KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.1
168-8LINWODSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Paige Bernstein+1.0
178-9SIUELINWODBlockedKennedy Pikeblk Autumn Bax+0.9
189-9LINWODSIUE×3Attack errAshley Geluck+1.0
1910-9SIUESIUE×3KillClaire Jones+1.7
2011-9SIUESIUE×3Attack errAshley Geluck+2.1
21–2313-10SIUE 2 · LINWOD
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.0
2414-10SIUESIUE×4BlockedAutumn Baxblk Sophie Robinson+2.9
2515-10SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.1
2615-11SIUELINWODAttack errGeorgia Bresnahan+1.7
2716-11LINWODSIUEServe errLindenwood+2.6
2817-11SIUESIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Vienna Elliott+3.1
2917-12SIUELINWODKillSusanna Beretti+1.5
3018-12LINWODSIUEAttack errKaci Johnson+2.5
3118-13SIUELINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Susanna Beretti+1.4
3219-13LINWODSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Paige Bernstein+2.5
3319-14SIUELINWODServe errSIUE+1.4
3420-14LINWODSIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Paige Bernstein+2.5
3521-14SIUESIUEAceSIUEaced Lauren Ortwerth+2.3
3621-15SIUELINWODKillLauren Ortwerth+0.8
3722-15LINWODSIUEServe errLindenwood+1.6
3822-16LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
3923-16LINWODSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+1.3
4023-17SIUELINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.4
4123-18LINWODLINWODAceLindenwoodaced Sophie Robinson+0.8
4224-18LINWODSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+1.4
4324-19SIUELINWODKillSusanna Beretti+0.3
4425-19LINWODSIUEKillVienna Elliottset Paige Bernstein+0.8
Set 3
10-1LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
20-2LINWODLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.6
31-2LINWODSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+1.4
41-3LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
51-4LINWODLINWODAceLindenwoodaced Georgia Bresnahan+1.3
62-4LINWODSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+1.2
72-5LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
82-6LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errTeagan Sullivan+1.1
9–114-7SIUE 2 · LINWOD
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
125-7SIUESIUE×3Attack errSusanna Beretti+1.6
135-8SIUELINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.2
146-8LINWODSIUEServe errLindenwood+1.4
156-9SIUELINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+1.3
166-10LINWODLINWODAceLindenwoodaced Sophie Robinson+1.3
177-10SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
188-10SIUESIUE×3KillJehireh Williamsset Georgia Bresnahan+1.9
199-10SIUESIUE×3Attack errAutumn Bax+2.6
209-11LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
2110-11LINWODSIUEKillJehireh Williamsset Ally Hughes+2.3
2210-12SIUELINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+2.1
23–2511-14SIUE · LINWOD 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
2611-15SIUELINWOD×4KillKaci Johnsonset Susanna Beretti+1.3
2711-16LINWODLINWOD×4Serve errLindenwood+1.2
2811-17LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
2911-18LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errTeagan Sullivan+0.4
3012-18LINWODSIUE×4Serve errLindenwood+0.2
3113-18SIUESIUE×4KillTeagan Sullivanset Claire Jones+0.5
3214-18SIUESIUE×4Attack errKylee Richey+1.0
3315-18SIUESIUE×4BlockedSusanna Berettiblk Vienna Elliott, Teagan Sullivan+1.7
3415-19SIUELINWOD×5KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.5
35–3615-21LINWOD 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
3715-22LINWODLINWOD×5KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.3
3815-23LINWODLINWOD×5KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.1
3916-23LINWODSIUE×4Serve errLindenwood·
40–4219-23SIUE 3
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
4319-24SIUELINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.6
4420-24LINWODSIUEAttack errLauren Ortwerth+0.2
4520-25SIUELINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.4
Set 4
10-1LINWODLINWOD×3KillAutumn Bax+2.1
20-2LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errSophie Robinson+1.8
30-3LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errMaddie Determan+1.4
41-3SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
52-3SIUESIUEKillMaddie Determanset Claire Jones+2.0
62-4SIUELINWOD×3Attack errMaddie Determan+1.5
72-5LINWODLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.6
82-6LINWODLINWOD×3KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+1.2
93-6LINWODSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+1.0
103-7LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
113-8LINWODLINWOD×9AceLindenwoodaced Georgia Bresnahan+1.0
123-9LINWODLINWOD×9BlockedVienna Elliottblk Ashley Geluck+0.7
133-10LINWODLINWOD×9KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.5
143-11LINWODLINWOD×9KillKaci Johnson+0.3
153-12LINWODLINWOD×9KillKaci Johnson+0.2
163-13LINWODLINWOD×9Attack errVienna Elliott+0.1
173-14LINWODLINWOD×9KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.1
183-15LINWODLINWOD×9AceLindenwoodaced Sophie Robinson·
194-15LINWODSIUEKillTeagan Sullivan·
204-16SIUELINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson·
214-17LINWODLINWODAttack errKennedy Pike·
225-17LINWODSIUEAttack errKaci Johnson·
236-17SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
246-18SIUELINWOD×4KillKaci Johnson·
256-19LINWODLINWOD×4AceLindenwoodaced Claire Jones·
266-20LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errJehireh Williams·
276-21LINWODLINWOD×4KillAutumn Baxset Dana Grib·
287-21LINWODSIUEKillTeagan Sullivan·
298-21SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
308-22SIUELINWOD×4KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson·
31–328-24LINWOD 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
338-25LINWODLINWOD×4AceLindenwood+0.6
Set 5
10-1LINWODLINWODAttack errSophie Robinson+4.5
21-1LINWODSIUEKillMaddie Determan+4.1
32-1SIUESIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Claire Jones+6.6
42-2SIUELINWOD×3Serve errSIUE+4.5
52-3LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errSophie Robinson+5.2
62-4LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errMaddie Determan+4.2
73-4LINWODSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+3.6
83-5LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.4
94-5LINWODSIUEKillTeagan Sullivan+3.9
104-6SIUELINWOD×5KillSusanna Beretti+3.7
114-7LINWODLINWOD×5Serve errLindenwood+3.7
124-8LINWODLINWOD×5KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+2.6
134-9LINWODLINWOD×5BlockedVienna Elliottblk Ashley Geluck+1.7
144-10LINWODLINWOD×5Attack errKennedy Pike+0.9
155-10LINWODSIUEServe errLindenwood+0.5
165-11SIUELINWODKillKaci Johnsonset Dana Grib+0.7
176-11LINWODSIUEServe errLindenwood+0.4
186-12SIUELINWOD×4KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.6
196-13LINWOD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
206-14LINWODLINWOD×4AceLindenwoodaced Claire Jones+0.1
216-15LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errMaddie Determan·

Score shown after each rally, SIUE first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).