FinalThu, Nov 5, 2026

Lindenwood def. UT Martin 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Lindenwood 97.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 5, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lindenwood won at UT Martin 3-0 (25-23, 25-18, 25-23) on Thu, Nov 5, 2026. Lindenwood's Lauren Ortwerth led with 14 kills, and Dana Grib added 15 digs.

Data through · final Nov 5

Set123Sets
LINWOD2525253
UT MAR2318230

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lauren Ortwerth needed just 3 sets for 14 kills. Lindenwood swept UT Martin.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.1 points. UT Martin peaked at 5% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Lindenwood went in as RallyIQ's 98% pick.

LindenwoodUT Martin
  • Break %+10.0 pts
    39.229.2

    Points won on own serve: 29 of 74 vs 19 of 65. UT Martin sided out 60.8% of the time.

  • Hitting+.084
    .387.303

    Kills and errors: 54–11 vs 42–9.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    6 straight Lindenwood points in the second set stretched a 7–5 lead to 13–5. Final score of the set: 25–18.

UT Martin above 50Lindenwood belowMax swing 1.1%

LindenwoodUT Martin

Aces
Lindenwood 6·UT Martin 2
Serve err
Lindenwood 9·UT Martin 6
Blocks
Lindenwood 2·UT Martin 50 BS · 4 BA vs 3 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Lindenwood 51·UT Martin 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UT Martin above 50 · Lindenwood below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.1% LINWODrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Lindenwood — set 1, LINWOD 25-23 UT MAR. Kill by Lauren Ortwerth (set by Kaci Johnson). UT MAR win probability 2% → 1%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LINWOD 97.2%2.8% UT MAR

Lindenwood wins

3-0
63.2%
3-1
26.9%
3-2
7.1%

UT Martin wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.7%
3-2
1.8%
LINWOD break %
50.0% vs this opp
UT MAR break %
35.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Lauren Ortwerth (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 1 · LINWOD 25-23 UT MAR · LINWOD 98% → 99%

  2. 02

    Kill by Susanna Beretti (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 1 · LINWOD 22-20 UT MAR · LINWOD 97% → 98%

  3. 03
    Autumn BaxAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Autumn Bax

    Set 1 · LINWOD 15-16 UT MAR · UT MAR 3% → 4%

  4. 04
    Kylee RicheyKill+0.9%

    Kill by Kylee Richey (set by Kaci Johnson)

    Set 1 · LINWOD 19-18 UT MAR · LINWOD 96% → 97%

  5. 05
    Riley RushingKill+0.8%

    Kill by Riley Rushing (set by Dylan Sulcer)

    Set 1 · LINWOD 17-18 UT MAR · UT MAR 4% → 5%

  6. 06
    Carly MuellerKill+0.8%

    Kill by Carly Mueller (set by Dylan Sulcer)

    Set 1 · LINWOD 20-20 UT MAR · UT MAR 3% → 4%

  7. 07
    Kaci JohnsonKill+0.8%

    Kill by Kaci Johnson (set by Alayna Rudebeck)

    Set 1 · LINWOD 21-20 UT MAR · LINWOD 96% → 97%

  8. 08
    Rylee KeyKill+0.8%

    Kill by Rylee Key (set by Dylan Sulcer)

    Set 1 · LINWOD 16-17 UT MAR · UT MAR 4% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314228.42911151010.515.5
311220.450011110010.512.5
311220.4500001000011
38318.278100100008
36114.35700020010.56.5
33110.2004232500006
3000–010500001
3000–203610000
3000–3021500000
11011.00000000010.51.5
Team totals5411111.387496951204275
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311118.55600330111.512.5
39420.2501013210110
36117.294000100217
32012.1672900800002
3000–301610000
23314.000110610004
36016.37500011111.57.5
3000–4111010001
3000–000300000
25011.455000100005
1001.000000000000
Team totals429109.303382642634564

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Lindenwood vs UT Martin

Season series · Lindenwood leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LINWOD · UT MAR 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 LINWODUT MAR 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 6 LINWODUT MAR 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 LINWODUT MAR 4

Bars above the line = UT Martin leads, below = Lindenwood leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lindenwood

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
27%3/11
2
89%8/9
27%3/11
3
73%8/11
20%2/10
4
78%7/9
50%7/14
5
64%7/11
30%3/10
6
64%7/11
61%11/18
All
71%46/65
39%29/74

UT Martin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
89%8/9
33%4/12
2
73%8/11
38%5/13
3
62%8/13
20%2/10
4
58%7/12
20%2/10
5
47%7/15
13%1/8
6
50%7/14
42%5/12
All
61%45/74
29%19/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#LINWOD-UT MARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0LINWODLINWODAceKaci Johnsonaced Lauren Mariscal+0.3
21-1LINWODUT MARServe errKaci Johnson+0.3
32-1UT MARLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Luli Arcucci+0.2
43-1LINWODLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.3
53-2LINWODUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.2
64-2UT MARLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.2
74-3LINWODUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.2
85-3UT MARLINWODAttack errLuli Arcucci+0.2
95-4LINWODUT MARServe errAlayna Rudebeck+0.2
106-4UT MARLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.2
116-5LINWODUT MAR×3Attack errLauren Ortwerth+0.3
126-6UT MARUT MAR×3KillMaddy Gladsonset Abby Freund+0.4
136-7UT MARUT MAR×3KillMaddy Gladsonset Lauren Mariscal+0.5
147-7UT MARLINWODServe errLauren Mariscal+0.3
157-8LINWODUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.4
168-8UT MARLINWODKillKaci Johnsonset Alayna Rudebeck+0.4
178-9LINWODUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Lauren Mariscal+0.5
189-9UT MARLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.4
1910-9LINWODLINWODAttack errMaddy Gladson+0.5
2010-10LINWODUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.4
2111-10UT MARLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.4
2211-11LINWODUT MARAttack errAutumn Bax+0.4
2312-11UT MARLINWODServe errRylee Key+0.4
2412-12LINWODUT MARBlockedSusanna Berettiblk Carly Mueller, Rylee Key+0.5
2513-12UT MARLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.4
2613-13LINWODUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
2714-13UT MARLINWODAttack errLuli Arcucci+0.4
2814-14LINWODUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
2915-14UT MARLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.5
3015-15LINWODUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.5
3115-16UT MARUT MARAttack errAutumn Bax+0.9
3216-16UT MARLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.6
3316-17LINWODUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.8
3417-17UT MARLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.7
3517-18LINWODUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.8
3618-18UT MARLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.7
3719-18LINWODLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.9
3819-19LINWODUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.8
3920-19UT MARLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.7
4020-20LINWODUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.8
4121-20UT MARLINWOD×4KillKaci Johnsonset Alayna Rudebeck+0.8
4222-20LINWODLINWOD×4KillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.9
4323-20LINWODLINWOD×4KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.6
4424-20LINWODLINWOD×4KillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.3
4524-21LINWODUT MAR×3Attack errAshley Geluck+0.1
4624-22UT MARUT MAR×3KillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.2
4724-23UT MARUT MAR×3Attack errAshley Geluck+0.7
4825-23UT MARLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+1.1
Set 2
11-0UT MARLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.1
21-1LINWODUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.2
32-1UT MARLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.1
42-2LINWODUT MARServe errAlayna Rudebeck+0.2
53-2UT MARLINWOD×4Serve errRylee Key+0.1
64-2LINWODLINWOD×4AceSusanna Berettiaced Riley Rushing+0.2
75-2LINWODLINWOD×4Attack errLuli Arcucci+0.1
86-2LINWODLINWOD×4BlockedCarly Muellerblk Jade Roth, Lauren Ortwerth+0.1
96-3LINWODUT MARKillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
106-4UT MARUT MARAceLuli Arcucciaced Alayna Rudebeck+0.2
117-4UT MARLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.1
127-5LINWODUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
138-5UT MARLINWOD×6KillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson+0.1
149-5LINWODLINWOD×6Attack errMaddy Gladson+0.1
1510-5LINWODLINWOD×6Attack errMaddy Gladson+0.1
1611-5LINWODLINWOD×6AceKaci Johnsonaced Maddy Gladson+0.1
1712-5LINWODLINWOD×6KillLauren Ortwerthset Lauren Mariscal·
1813-5LINWODLINWOD×6KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson·
1913-6LINWODUT MARServe errKaci Johnson·
2014-6UT MARLINWOD×3KillLauren Ortwerthset Dylan Sulcer·
2115-6LINWODLINWOD×3AceLauren Ortwerthaced Abby Freund·
2216-6LINWODLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Lauren Ortwerth·
2316-7LINWODUT MARKillChyler Martinset Dylan Sulcer·
2416-8UT MARUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer·
2517-8UT MARLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson·
2617-9LINWODUT MARKillChyler Martinset Abby Freund·
2717-10UT MARUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer·
2818-10UT MARLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Dana Grib·
2918-11LINWODUT MAR×3Serve errAlayna Rudebeck·
3018-12UT MARUT MAR×3KillLuli Arcucciset Dylan Sulcer·
3118-13UT MARUT MAR×3BlockedKaci Johnsonblk Riley Rushing+0.1
3219-13UT MARLINWODKillJade Rothset Kaci Johnson·
3319-14LINWODUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Abby Freund·
3420-14UT MARLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson·
3521-14LINWODLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson·
3621-15LINWODUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer·
3722-15UT MARLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson·
3823-15LINWODLINWODAceKaci Johnsonaced Luli Arcucci·
3923-16LINWODUT MARKillChyler Martinset Dylan Sulcer·
4023-17UT MARUT MARKillChyler Martinset Luli Arcucci·
4124-17UT MARLINWODKillAshley Geluckset Kaci Johnson·
4224-18LINWODUT MARServe errLauren Ortwerth·
4325-18UT MARLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson·
Set 3
10-1LINWODUT MAR×4KillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
20-2UT MARUT MAR×4AceAbby Freundaced Lauren Ortwerth+0.1
30-3UT MARUT MAR×4BlockedLauren Ortwerthblk Rylee Key+0.1
40-4UT MARUT MAR×4KillDylan Sulcerset Lauren Mariscal+0.2
51-4UT MARLINWODServe errAbby Freund+0.1
61-5LINWODUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
72-5UT MARLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.1
83-5LINWODLINWOD×3Attack errRylee Key+0.1
94-5LINWODLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.1
104-6LINWODUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
115-6UT MARLINWOD×3KillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.1
126-6LINWODLINWOD×3BlockedMaddy Gladsonblk Susanna Beretti, Kylee Richey+0.1
137-6LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Maddy Gladson+0.1
147-7LINWODUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
157-8UT MARUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
168-8UT MARLINWOD×3Serve errRylee Key+0.1
179-8LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.1
1810-8LINWODLINWOD×3KillKylee Richeyset Riley Rushing+0.1
1910-9LINWODUT MARKillRiley Rushingset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
2011-9UT MARLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.1
2112-9LINWODLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.1
2212-10LINWODUT MARServe errDana Grib+0.1
2312-11UT MARUT MARKillDylan Sulcerset Maddy Gladson+0.1
2413-11UT MARLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Dana Grib+0.1
2513-12LINWODUT MARKillCarly Muellerset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
2614-12UT MARLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Dana Grib+0.1
2714-13LINWODUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
2815-13UT MARLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.1
2915-14LINWODUT MARKillChyler Martinset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
3016-14UT MARLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.1
3117-14LINWODLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.1
3217-15LINWODUT MARBlockedSusanna Berettiblk Maddy Gladson+0.1
3318-15UT MARLINWODKillKylee Richeyset Kaci Johnson+0.1
3418-16LINWODUT MAR×3Serve errSusanna Beretti+0.1
3518-17UT MARUT MAR×3KillCarly Mueller+0.2
3618-18UT MARUT MAR×3BlockedKylee Richeyblk Carly Mueller, Riley Rushing+0.2
3719-18UT MARLINWODServe errMaddy Gladson+0.2
3820-18LINWODLINWODKillKaci Johnsonset Ashley Geluck+0.2
3920-19LINWODUT MARServe errDana Grib+0.1
4021-19UT MARLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.2
4121-20LINWODUT MARAttack errAshley Geluck+0.2
4222-20UT MARLINWODKillLauren Ortwerthset Kaci Johnson+0.2
4323-20LINWODLINWODAceMandy Lawsonaced Maddy Gladson+0.2
4423-21LINWODUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
4524-21UT MARLINWODKillAutumn Baxset Kaci Johnson+0.1
4624-22LINWODUT MARKillRylee Keyset Dylan Sulcer+0.1
4724-23UT MARUT MARKillMaddy Gladsonset Abby Freund+0.2
4825-23UT MARLINWODKillSusanna Berettiset Kaci Johnson+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Lindenwood first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).