FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Western Caro. def. The Citadel 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Western Caro. 87.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Caro. won at The Citadel 3-0 (25-16, 25-18, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Western Caro.'s Tatum Sharp led with 22 kills, and Elise Gurley added 22 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set123Sets
W CAR2525253
CITDEL1618220

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Tatum Sharp hit .500 with 22 kills as Western Caro. rolled past The Citadel.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.3 points. The Citadel peaked at 12% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Western Caro. 87% before first serve.

Western Caro.The Citadel
  • Break %+15.1 pts
    54.839.7

    40 of 73 on serve vs 23 of 58, so The Citadel's sideout was 45.2%.

  • Hitting+.123
    .274.151

    47 kills, 13 errors vs 34 kills, 16 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Western Caro. scored 6 straight in the second set to turn a 10–11 deficit into a 16–11 lead. The set finished 25–18.

The Citadel above 50Western Caro. belowMax swing 1.3%

Western Caro.The Citadel

Aces
Western Caro. 7·The Citadel 1
Serve err
Western Caro. 7·The Citadel 3
Blocks
Western Caro. 6·The Citadel 41 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Western Caro. 61·The Citadel 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

The Citadel above 50 · Western Caro. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% CITDELrally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to The Citadel — set 2, W CAR 10-11 CITDEL. Kill by Gwen Berry (set by Allie Davison). CITDEL win probability 7% → 8%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W CAR 86.6%13.4% CITDEL

Western Caro. wins

3-0
39.3%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%

The Citadel wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%
W CAR break %
49.2% vs this opp
CITDEL break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gwen BerryKill+1.3%

    Kill by Gwen Berry (set by Allie Davison)

    Set 2 · W CAR 10-11 CITDEL · CITDEL 7% → 8%

  2. 02
    Katie BoneyBad set+1.3%

    Bad set by Katie Boney

    Set 1 · W CAR 9-8 CITDEL · CITDEL 11% → 12%

  3. 03
    Tatum SharpKill+1.2%

    Kill by Tatum Sharp (set by Elise Gurley)

    Set 1 · W CAR 12-9 CITDEL · W CAR 89% → 90%

  4. 04

    Kill by Rachel Reininger (set by Allie Davison)

    Set 1 · W CAR 6-5 CITDEL · CITDEL 11% → 12%

  5. 05
    Peri SubatAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Peri Subat

    Set 1 · W CAR 13-11 CITDEL · CITDEL 9% → 11%

  6. 06

    Kill by Luci Lippelgoos (set by Allie Davison)

    Set 2 · W CAR 2-5 CITDEL · CITDEL 9% → 10%

  7. 07
    Allie DavisonBad set+1.2%

    Bad set by Allie Davison

    Set 2 · W CAR 12-11 CITDEL · W CAR 93% → 94%

  8. 08
    Cameron ReeseKill+1.1%

    Kill by Cameron Reese (set by Allie Davison)

    Set 2 · W CAR 10-10 CITDEL · CITDEL 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
322338.5000122002124
36225.16022270010.58.5
34110.3003300800215
33211.09100010031.54.5
2326.167000100214
2000–000400000
37125.240000201018
3001.0003201200002
3000–5222200002
2216.167000000002
1012-.500001200000
1000–000000000
Team totals4713124.2744377611110675
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311127.37000020010.511.5
39319.31600030010.59.5
33220.050000100003
3011-1.000310040010.50.5
3000–001820000
2217.143000001013
31011.000100300001
3000–012800001
3000–1001940000
25433.030000801016
1248-.250000100002
1103.33300000010.51.5
Team totals3416119.151331357724456

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Caro. vs The Citadel

Season series · Western Caro. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 W CAR · CITDEL 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 W CARCITDEL 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 6 W CARCITDEL 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 6 W CARCITDEL 4

Bars above the line = The Citadel leads, below = Western Caro. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Caro.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
64%9/14
2
40%6/15
68%13/19
3
75%6/8
57%8/14
4
67%6/9
45%5/11
5
67%6/9
33%3/9
6
57%4/7
33%2/6
All
60%35/58
55%40/73

The Citadel

SlotSideout %Break %
1
26%6/23
45%5/11
2
55%6/11
50%6/12
3
38%6/16
40%4/10
4
67%6/9
40%4/10
5
83%5/6
25%2/8
6
50%4/8
29%2/7
All
45%33/73
40%23/58

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#W CAR-CITDELSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CITDELW CAR×4Serve errMegan Stone+0.9
22-0W CARW CAR×4KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.0
33-0W CARW CAR×4BlockedRachel Reiningerblk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney+0.9
44-0W CARW CAR×4KillKatie Boneyset Halley Tang+0.8
54-1W CARCITDEL×3KillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.6
64-2CITDELCITDEL×3Attack errTatum Sharp+0.9
74-3CITDELCITDEL×3KillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+1.1
85-3CITDELW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.9
96-3W CARW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.0
106-4W CARCITDELServe errAshlyn Cobb+0.8
116-5CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+1.2
127-5CITDELW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.0
138-5W CARW CARAttack errAllie Davison+1.0
148-6W CARCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.9
159-6CITDELW CARAttack errEmma Pastusic+0.9
169-7W CARCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison+0.9
179-8CITDELCITDELBad setKatie Boney+1.3
1810-8CITDELW CARKillZoe Zudansset Ashlyn Cobb+1.1
1910-9W CARCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Allie Davison+1.1
2011-9CITDELW CAR×3BlockedJordyn Simsblk JoJo Abeyta, Ashlyn Cobb+1.1
2112-9W CARW CAR×3KillTatum Sharpset Elise Gurley+1.2
2213-9W CARW CAR×3KillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+1.0
2313-10W CARCITDELServe errElise Gurley+0.7
2413-11CITDELCITDELAttack errPeri Subat+1.2
2514-11CITDELW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.0
2615-11W CARW CARAceHalley Tangaced Megan Stone+1.0
2715-12W CARCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.8
2816-12CITDELW CAR×3KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.9
2917-12W CARW CAR×3KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.8
3018-12W CARW CAR×3KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.5
3118-13W CARCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Jess Martin+0.3
3219-13CITDELW CARServe errEmerson Hill+0.4
3319-14W CARCITDELServe errTatum Sharp+0.3
3420-14CITDELW CAR×4KillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+0.4
3521-14W CARW CAR×4Attack errEmma Pastusic+0.3
3622-14W CARW CAR×4KillJoJo Abeyta+0.1
3723-14W CARW CAR×4BlockedEmma Pastusicblk JoJo Abeyta, Peri Subat·
3823-15W CARCITDELKillEmma Pastusicset Allie Davison·
3923-16CITDELCITDELAttack errJoJo Abeyta·
4024-16CITDELW CARBlockedEmma Pastusicblk Peri Subat, JoJo Abeyta·
4125-16W CARW CARKillPeri Subatset Katie Boney·
Set 2
11-0W CARW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.8
21-1W CARCITDELKillElizabeth Millerset Allie Davison+0.7
32-1CITDELW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.6
42-2W CARCITDEL×4Attack errAshlyn Cobb+0.7
52-3CITDELCITDEL×4AceEmerson Hill+1.0
62-4CITDELCITDEL×4KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+1.1
72-5CITDELCITDEL×4KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+1.2
83-5CITDELW CAR×5Attack errCameron Reese+0.8
94-5W CARW CAR×5KillTatum Sharpset Halley Tang+1.0
105-5W CARW CAR×5Attack errCameron Reese+1.0
116-5W CARW CAR×5AceAshlyn Cobbaced Jess Martin+0.9
127-5W CARW CAR×5KillTatum Sharp+0.8
137-6W CARCITDELAttack errTatum Sharp+0.7
148-6CITDELW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.7
158-7W CARCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.7
169-7CITDELW CARAttack errElizabeth Miller+0.7
179-8W CARCITDELAttack errJoJo Abeyta+0.8
1810-8CITDELW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.7
1910-9W CARCITDEL×3Attack errPeri Subat+0.8
2010-10CITDELCITDEL×3KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+1.1
2110-11CITDELCITDEL×3KillGwen Berryset Allie Davison+1.3
2211-11CITDELW CAR×6KillPeri Subatset Katie Boney+1.0
2312-11W CARW CAR×6Bad setAllie Davison+1.2
2413-11W CARW CAR×6KillAshlyn Cobbset Elise Gurley+1.1
2514-11W CARW CAR×6AceElise Gurley+0.9
2615-11W CARW CAR×6Attack errCameron Reese+0.7
2716-11W CARW CAR×6KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.6
2816-12W CARCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Gwen Berry+0.4
2917-12CITDELW CAR×3KillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+0.4
3018-12W CARW CAR×3KillKatie Boneyset Halley Tang+0.4
3119-12W CARW CAR×3KillKatie Boneyset Katie Boney+0.2
3219-13W CARCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+0.1
3320-13CITDELW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.2
3421-13W CARW CARAceAshlyn Cobbaced Jess Martin+0.1
3521-14W CARCITDELBlockedTatum Sharpblk Allie Davison, Luci Lippelgoos·
3621-15CITDELCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.1
3722-15CITDELW CARAttack errLuci Lippelgoos+0.1
3822-16W CARCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.1
3923-16CITDELW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.1
4023-17W CARCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison·
4123-18CITDELCITDELBlockedZoe Zudansblk Elizabeth Miller+0.1
4224-18CITDELW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.1
4325-18W CARW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney·
Set 3
10-1CITDELCITDELAttack errSamantha Kranzler+0.5
20-2CITDELCITDELKillSamantha Weiseset Allie Davison+0.5
31-2CITDELW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Elise Gurley+0.4
42-2W CARW CARAceHalley Tangaced Megan Stone+0.4
52-3W CARCITDEL×4Attack errAshlyn Cobb+0.4
62-4CITDELCITDEL×4KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.5
72-5CITDELCITDEL×4KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.6
82-6CITDELCITDEL×4KillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.6
93-6CITDELW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.4
103-7W CARCITDELServe errAshlyn Cobb+0.5
114-7CITDELW CAR×5Attack errLuci Lippelgoos+0.4
125-7W CARW CAR×5Bad setAllie Davison+0.5
136-7W CARW CAR×5KillJoJo Abeytaset Katie Boney+0.5
147-7W CARW CAR×5AceTatum Sharpaced Jess Martin+0.5
158-7W CARW CAR×5BlockedLuci Lippelgoosblk Zoe Zudans+0.5
168-8W CARCITDEL×3Serve errTatum Sharp+0.4
178-9CITDELCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.6
188-10CITDELCITDEL×3KillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.7
199-10CITDELW CARKillZoe Zudansset Katie Boney+0.5
209-11W CARCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.6
2110-11CITDELW CARKillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+0.5
2210-12W CARCITDELServe errSamantha Kranzler+0.6
2311-12CITDELW CARKillSophia Mariniset Katie Boney+0.5
2411-13W CARCITDELServe errElise Gurley+0.6
2512-13CITDELW CAR×6KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.5
2613-13W CARW CAR×6Attack errJordyn Sims+0.7
2714-13W CARW CAR×6KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.6
2815-13W CARW CAR×6BlockedCameron Reeseblk Tatum Sharp, Katie Boney+0.6
2916-13W CARW CAR×6KillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.5
3017-13W CARW CAR×6KillAshlyn Cobbset Elise Gurley+0.4
3117-14W CARCITDELKillCameron Reeseset Allie Davison+0.3
3217-15CITDELCITDELBlockedKatie Boneyblk Cameron Reese+0.5
3318-15CITDELW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.4
3418-16W CARCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+0.4
3519-16CITDELW CARServe errEmerson Hill+0.4
3619-17W CARCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.4
3719-18CITDELCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.7
3820-18CITDELW CARKillKatie Boneyset Ashlyn Cobb+0.6
3920-19W CARCITDELKillLuci Lippelgoosset Allie Davison+0.6
4021-19CITDELW CARKillZoe Zudansset Elise Gurley+0.7
4121-20W CARCITDELKillRachel Reiningerset Allie Davison+0.6
4221-21CITDELCITDELBlockedSophia Mariniblk Samantha Weise, Rachel Reininger+1.1
4322-21CITDELW CARKillAshlyn Cobbset Katie Boney+1.0
4423-21W CARW CARAceElise Gurleyaced Jess Martin+1.1
4523-22W CARCITDELKillJordyn Simsset Allie Davison+0.7
4624-22CITDELW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+1.0
4725-22W CARW CARKillTatum Sharpset Katie Boney+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Western Caro. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).