Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

George Mason def. Northwestern 3–1

George Mason beat visiting Northwestern 3-1 (25-23, 28-26, 18-25, 25-23) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Kiera Hamilton led George Mason with 15 kills; Northwestern's Mara Stiglic had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set1234Sets
NW232625231
GMU252818253

Win probability

George Mason above 50 · Northwestern below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+20.2% GMUrally 193 · set 4

Biggest swing: 20.2% to George Mason — set 4, NW 23-25 GMU. Kill by Camryn Weldon (set by Ellie Stiernagle). GMU win probability 80% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW 76.7%23.3% GMU

Northwestern wins

3-0
28.4%
3-1
29.2%
3-2
19.0%

George Mason wins

3-0
4.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-2
11.4%
NW break %
43.1% vs this opp
GMU break %
37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Camryn WeldonKill+20.2%

    Kill by Camryn Weldon (set by Ellie Stiernagle)

    Set 4 · NW 23-25 GMU · GMU 80% → 100%

  2. 02
    Isabella BullingtonAttack error+17.6%

    Attack error by Isabella Bullington

    Set 4 · NW 23-24 GMU · GMU 62% → 80%

  3. 03
    George MasonAce+14.4%

    George Mason ace on Drew Wright

    Set 2 · NW 26-28 GMU · GMU 59% → 73%

  4. 04
    George MasonAce+12.5%

    George Mason ace on Isabella Bullington

    Set 2 · NW 26-27 GMU · GMU 46% → 59%

  5. 05

    Isabella Bullington stuffed by Gabriella Gelfound & Meredith Brown

    Set 4 · NW 23-23 GMU · GMU 50% → 62%

  6. 06
    Caroline RodriguezAttack error+11.4%

    Attack error by Caroline Rodriguez

    Set 2 · NW 26-25 GMU · NW 50% → 61%

  7. 07
    Nia ThompsonKill+8.6%

    Kill by Nia Thompson (set by Camryn Weldon)

    Set 2 · NW 23-24 GMU · GMU 50% → 59%

  8. 08

    Kill by Isabella Bullington (set by Ellie Stiernagle)

    Set 2 · NW 24-24 GMU · NW 41% → 50%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417438.3420003012219
413635.20012411400015
412530.23310010010.512.5
4407.571102001226
4123-.3333803100010.51.5
2025-.40000000010.50.5
4000–412810001
4001.000001800000
4000–1011300000
2226.00002120010.54.5
2000–000000000
Team totals4921125.2244651456528697
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415746.17401291010.516.5
413329.345014103010.514.5
48012.667381250010.59.5
44212.167100003459
46618.00010010010.56.5
46214.28600000010.56.5
4011-1.0004272000002
4002.000003200000
3000–003200000
1203.66700000010.52.5
1000–100000000
Team totals5421137.24145521495310896

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NW · GMU 4

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 NWGMU 3

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 2 NWGMU 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 NWGMU 3

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 NWGMU 4

Bars above the line = George Mason leads, below = Northwestern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
87%13/15
39%7/18
2
69%11/16
33%6/18
3
73%11/15
45%9/20
4
65%11/17
31%5/16
5
50%9/18
21%3/14
6
64%9/14
25%3/12
All
67%64/95
34%33/98

George Mason

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
21%3/14
2
58%11/19
29%5/17
3
61%11/18
27%4/15
4
73%11/15
35%6/17
5
71%10/14
47%9/19
6
69%9/13
31%4/13
All
66%65/98
33%31/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

193 rallies

#NW-GMUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NWGMUKillJenna Huntset Camryn Weldon+1.4
21-1GMUNWAttack errKiera Hamilton+1.3
31-2NWGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+1.5
41-3GMUGMU×3KillMeredith Brownset Camryn Weldon+2.3
51-4GMUGMU×3Attack errIsabella Bullington+2.3
62-4GMUNWAttack errNia Thompson+1.4
73-4NWNWAceNorthwestern+2.2
83-5NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+1.6
94-5GMUNWBad setCamryn Weldon+1.5
105-5NWNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Camryn Weldon+2.2
115-6NWGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+1.6
125-7GMUGMUAttack errIsabella Bullington+2.5
136-7GMUNW×3KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.6
147-7NWNW×3AceNorthwesternaced Nia Thompson+2.4
158-7NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.3
168-8NWGMUAttack errMara Stiglic+1.6
179-8GMUNWAttack errNia Thompson+1.6
189-9NWGMU×3KillCaroline Rodriguezset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+1.7
199-10GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Isabella Bullington+2.7
209-11GMUGMU×3KillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+2.9
2110-11GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+1.7
2210-12NWGMUKillCaroline Rodriguezset Camryn Weldon+2.1
2311-12GMUNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.8
2411-13NWGMUKillCaroline Rodriguezset Camryn Weldon+2.1
2512-13GMUNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.9
2612-14NWGMUBlockedIsabella Bullingtonblk Meredith Brown, Camryn Weldon+2.2
2713-14GMUNWKillCampbell Parisset Lauren Dignan+1.9
2814-14NWNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+3.1
2914-15NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+2.3
3015-15GMUNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+2.1
3115-16NWGMUKillJenna Huntset Camryn Weldon+2.4
3215-17GMUGMUAttack errMara Stiglic+3.7
3316-17GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+2.2
3416-18NWGMUKillCamryn Weldon+2.7
3517-18GMUNWBlockedJenna Huntblk Mara Stiglic+2.3
3618-18NWNWAttack errCaroline Rodriguez+3.8
3718-19NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+3.0
3819-19GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+2.7
3919-20NWGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+3.2
4020-20GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+3.0
4121-20NWNWAttack errMeredith Brown+4.7
4221-21NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+3.2
4321-22GMUGMUBlockedCampbell Parisblk Nia Thompson, Meredith Brown+5.9
4422-22GMUNWAttack errKiera Hamilton+3.7
4522-23NWGMUKillMeredith Brownset Camryn Weldon+4.8
4622-24GMUGMUAttack errKayla Kauffman+7.3
4723-24GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+2.6
4823-25NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+6.9
Set 2
11-0GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+1.8
21-1NWGMUKillJenna Huntset Camryn Weldon+1.9
32-1GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+1.8
43-1NWNWAttack errCaroline Rodriguez+2.6
53-2NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+1.8
64-2GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+1.7
75-2NWNWAttack errKiera Hamilton+2.4
85-3NWGMUKillMeredith Brownset Camryn Weldon+1.6
96-3GMUNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+1.6
106-4NWGMU×4Serve errNorthwestern+1.6
116-5GMUGMU×4Attack errCampbell Paris+2.7
126-6GMUGMU×4KillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+3.1
136-7GMUGMU×4KillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+3.5
147-7GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+2.2
157-8NWGMUKillCamryn Weldon+2.5
168-8GMUNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+2.3
179-8NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.4
189-9NWGMUKillCaroline Rodriguezset Camryn Weldon+2.4
1910-9GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.3
2010-10NWGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+2.5
2110-11GMUGMUBlockedEllie Stiernagleblk Meredith Brown+4.0
2211-11GMUNWBlockedCaroline Rodriguezblk Maya Stillwell, Mara Stiglic+2.6
2312-11NWNWBlockedMeredith Brownblk Maya Stillwell+3.8
2412-12NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+2.7
2513-12GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.6
2613-13NWGMUKillCamryn Weldon+2.8
2713-14GMUGMUKillNia Thompsonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+4.5
2814-14GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+2.9
2914-15NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+3.3
3015-15GMUNWKillCampbell Parisset Isabella Bullington+3.1
3115-16NWGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+3.5
3215-17GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+5.4
3315-18GMUGMU×3Attack errKayla Kauffman+5.2
3416-18GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+2.7
3517-18NWNWAttack errJenna Hunt+5.0
3617-19NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+4.2
3718-19GMUNWBlockedCaroline Rodriguezblk Kayla Kauffman, Mara Stiglic+3.4
3818-20NWGMUKillCamryn Weldonset Camryn Weldon+4.5
3919-20GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+3.6
4019-21NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+4.9
4120-21GMUNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+3.8
4221-21NWNWKillIsabella Bullington+7.2
4321-22NWGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+5.9
4422-22GMUNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Drew Wright+5.4
4522-23NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+6.9
4623-23GMUNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+6.3
4723-24NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+8.6
4824-24GMUNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+8.6
4924-25NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+8.6
5025-25GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+8.6
5126-25NWNWAttack errCaroline Rodriguez+11.4
5226-26NWGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Autumn Martinez-Robinson+7.5
5326-27GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Isabella Bullington+12.5
5426-28GMUGMU×3AceGeorge Masonaced Drew Wright+14.4
Set 3
11-0NWNWAceNorthwesternaced Nia Thompson+2.6
21-1NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+1.8
32-1GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+1.7
42-2NWGMUAttack errMara Stiglic+1.8
53-2GMUNW×4KillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+1.8
64-2NWNW×4Attack errKiera Hamilton+2.5
75-2NWNW×4KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.2
86-2NWNW×4KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.9
96-3NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+1.2
107-3GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+1.3
118-3NWNWKillCampbell Parisset Maya Stillwell+1.6
128-4NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+1.0
139-4GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+1.1
149-5NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+1.0
159-6GMUGMUAttack errCampbell Paris+1.8
1610-6GMUNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.4
1711-6NWNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.7
1811-7NWGMUKillCaroline Rodriguezset Camryn Weldon+1.0
1911-8GMUGMUAttack errHayley Schaaf+1.9
2012-8GMUNWKillEllie Stiernagle+1.4
2113-8NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Drew Wright+1.7
2213-9NWGMU×3KillCaroline Rodriguezset Camryn Weldon+1.0
2313-10GMUGMU×3BlockedEllie Stiernagleblk Kiera Hamilton, Meredith Brown+1.9
2413-11GMUGMU×3KillKiera Hamiltonset Meredith Brown+2.5
2514-11GMUNW×3Serve errGeorge Mason+1.9
2615-11NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.3
2716-11NWNW×3Attack errAutumn Martinez-Robinson+1.7
2816-12NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+0.9
2917-12GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+1.1
3017-13NWGMUBlockedMara Stiglicblk Meredith Brown+0.9
3117-14GMUGMUAceGeorge Masonaced Isabella Bullington+1.9
3218-14GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+1.6
3318-15NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+1.3
3419-15GMUNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+1.6
3519-16NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Camryn Weldon+1.2
3620-16GMUNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+1.7
3720-17NWGMUKillNia Thompsonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.2
3821-17GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+1.7
3922-17NWNWAttack errKiera Hamilton+1.4
4022-18NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+0.5
4123-18GMUNW×3Serve errGeorge Mason+0.8
4224-18NWNW×3AceNorthwesternaced Kiera Hamilton+0.4
4325-18NWNW×3AceNorthwesternaced Nia Thompson+0.1
Set 4
11-0GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.5
21-1NWGMUKillCamryn Weldonset Isabella Bullington+2.7
32-1GMUNW×3Serve errGeorge Mason+2.6
43-1NWNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+3.6
54-1NWNW×3BlockedNia Thompsonblk Maya Stillwell, Campbell Paris+3.3
64-2NWGMUAttack errCampbell Paris+2.1
74-3GMUGMUAceGeorge Masonaced Isabella Bullington+3.7
85-3GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Campbell Paris+2.5
95-4NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+2.6
106-4GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+2.6
116-5NWGMUBlockedIsabella Bullingtonblk Jenna Hunt, Caroline Rodriguez+2.7
126-6GMUGMUBlockedHayley Schaafblk Meredith Brown+4.4
137-6GMUNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+3.0
147-7NWGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+3.2
158-7GMUNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+3.1
168-8NWGMUServe errNorthwestern+3.2
179-8GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.2
189-9NWGMUKillMeredith Brownset Camryn Weldon+3.4
1910-9GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Drew Wright+3.3
2010-10NWGMUKillJenna Huntset Camryn Weldon+3.5
2110-11GMUGMUBad setEllie Stiernagle+5.6
2211-11GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.6
2311-12NWGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+4.0
2411-13GMUGMUKillKiera Hamiltonset Caroline Rodriguez+6.3
2512-13GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+3.8
2613-13NWNWAttack errCaroline Rodriguez+5.9
2713-14NWGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Camryn Weldon+4.4
2814-14GMUNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+4.1
2915-14NWNW×3KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+6.1
3016-14NWNW×3KillIsabella Bullingtonset Drew Wright+5.6
3116-15NWGMUKillGabriella Gelfoundset Camryn Weldon+3.6
3217-15GMUNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+3.9
3318-15NWNWBlockedKiera Hamiltonblk Ellie Stiernagle, Hayley Schaaf+5.0
3418-16NWGMUKillCamryn Weldon+2.8
3519-16GMUNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.4
3620-16NWNWAttack errKiera Hamilton+3.8
3720-17NWGMUKillCamryn Weldonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.8
3821-17GMUNWServe errGeorge Mason+2.5
3921-18NWGMUKillJenna Huntset Ava Cheney+1.6
4022-18GMUNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+2.4
4122-19NWGMU×3KillJenna Huntset Camryn Weldon+1.4
4222-20GMUGMU×3Bad setEllie Stiernagle+3.8
4322-21GMUGMU×3Attack errCampbell Paris+6.6
4423-21GMUNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+6.3
4523-22NWGMU×4KillKiera Hamiltonset Camryn Weldon+4.6
4623-23GMUGMU×4BlockedIsabella Bullingtonblk Gabriella Gelfound, Meredith Brown+12.1
4723-24GMUGMU×4Attack errIsabella Bullington+17.6
4823-25GMUGMU×4KillCamryn Weldonset Ellie Stiernagle+20.2

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).