Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayMEAC

1:3

HomeATLANTIC-10

George Mason def. UMES 3–1

(25-17, 18-25, 25-15, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
UMES	17	25	15	18	1
GMU	25	18	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

GMU above 50 · UMES below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to UMES — set 3, UMES 9-9 GMU. Kill by Karielys Melendez (set by Arianna Warner Torres). GMU win probability 93% → 91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UMES 3.4%96.6% GMU

UMES wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

George Mason wins

3-0

60.6%

3-1

27.9%

3-2

8.0%

UMES break %: 35.2% vs this opp
GMU break %: 49.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Karielys MelendezKill+1.6%
Kill by Karielys Melendez (set by Arianna Warner Torres)
Set 3 · UMES 9-9 GMU · UMES 7% → 9%
02
Karielys MelendezAttack error+1.4%
Karielys Melendez stuffed by Jenna Hunt & Caroline Rodriguez
Set 3 · UMES 10-12 GMU · GMU 92% → 93%
03
Rylee KinnellAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Rylee Kinnell
Set 3 · UMES 5-5 GMU · UMES 7% → 8%
04
GMU serverService error+1.3%
George Mason service error
Set 3 · UMES 10-10 GMU · UMES 8% → 9%
05
Jayda HutchinsKill+1.3%
Kill by Jayda Hutchins (set by Lila Bryant)
Set 3 · UMES 8-9 GMU · UMES 6% → 7%
06
UMES serverAce+1.2%
UMES ace on Autumn Martinez-Robinson
Set 3 · UMES 2-2 GMU · UMES 7% → 8%
07
Nia ThompsonAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Nia Thompson
Set 4 · UMES 6-5 GMU · UMES 4% → 5%
08
Camryn WeldonKill+1.2%
Kill by Camryn Weldon
Set 3 · UMES 10-11 GMU · GMU 91% → 92%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UMESaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Karielys MelendezOH	4	11	7	28	.143	2	2	2	3	2	0	0	0	13
7Jayda HutchinsS	4	6	2	20	.200	18	1	1	10	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
30Dynasty AndrewsMB	4	3	1	6	.333	1	0	2	2	0	2	1	2.5	5.5
23Malaysia ShawMB	4	1	3	10	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	3.5	4.5
3Kate - Linh EdenOH	4	0	0	1	.000	9	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
10Lila BryantL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0
12Shayla HenryOH	4	9	7	28	.071	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
9Rayah HowellMB	4	5	7	16	-.125	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	5
1Arianna Warner TorresS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	12	3	0	0	0	0
5Alivia ProctorDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
4Jocelyn TorresS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		35	27	109	.073	34	3	12	36	10	4	8	8	75

George Masonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Nia ThompsonOH	4	13	6	36	.194	0	2	2	11	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
20Meredith BrownMB	4	9	1	16	.500	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2.5	11.5
4Caroline RodriguezOH	4	9	3	24	.250	0	1	3	2	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
13Camryn WeldonS	4	6	0	6	1.000	31	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	8
10Jenna HuntMB	4	3	3	13	.000	1	1	1	0	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
16Adalynn BollingerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
2Rylee KinnellOH	4	3	7	17	-.235	1	2	4	4	0	1	2	2	7
18Autumn Martinez-RobinsonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	2	3	13	1	0	0	0	2
17Jordan LucasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Mckenna ReynoldsS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Mia HazelettMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	20	112	.205	35	10	16	37	3	4	8	8	93

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UMES · GMU 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 UMESGMU 7

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 3 UMESGMU 3

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 UMESGMU 5

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 UMESGMU 5

Bars above the line = George Mason leads, below = UMES leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UMES

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%9/18	40%6/15
2	57%8/14	33%4/12
3	57%8/14	38%5/13
4	50%8/16	38%5/13
5	41%7/17	33%4/12
6	54%7/13	36%4/11
All	51%47/92	37%28/76

George Mason

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%10/18	56%10/18
2	73%8/11	25%3/12
3	57%8/14	50%8/16
4	57%8/14	53%9/17
5	70%7/10	59%10/17
6	78%7/9	42%5/12
All	63%48/76	49%45/92

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

168 rallies

Rally log

#	UMES-GMU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	GMU	GMU	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+0.4
2	0-2	GMU	GMU	Ace	GMU server	aced Lila Bryant	+0.3
3	1-2	GMU	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.3
4	2-2	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Jenna Hunt		+0.5
5	2-3	UMES	GMU	Kill	Caroline Rodriguez	set Camryn Weldon	+0.3
6	2-4	GMU	GMU	Ace	GMU server	aced Arianna Warner Torres	+0.4
7	3-4	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.3
8	4-4	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Rylee Kinnell		+0.5
9	4-5	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+0.3
10	5-5	GMU	UMES	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.4
11	5-6	UMES	GMU	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+0.4
12	6-6	GMU	UMES	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.4
13	6-7	UMES	GMU×7	Serve err	UMES server		+0.4
14	6-8	GMU	GMU×7	Attack err	Rayah Howell	blk Meredith Brown	+0.5
15	6-9	GMU	GMU×7	Kill	Meredith Brown	set Camryn Weldon	+0.4
16	6-10	GMU	GMU×7	Ace	GMU server	aced Karielys Melendez	+0.3
17	6-11	GMU	GMU×7	Kill	Nia Thompson		+0.2
18	6-12	GMU	GMU×7	Attack err	Rayah Howell		+0.1
19	6-13	GMU	GMU×7	Attack err	Shayla Henry		+0.1
20	7-13	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.1
21	7-14	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+0.1
22	8-14	GMU	UMES	Kill	Malaysia Shaw	set Nia Thompson	+0.1
23	8-15	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+0.1
24	9-15	GMU	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.1
25	9-16	UMES	GMU	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Autumn Martinez-Robinson	+0.1
26	10-16	GMU	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.1
27	10-17	UMES	GMU	Kill	Caroline Rodriguez	set Camryn Weldon	+0.1
28	11-17	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.0
29	11-18	UMES	GMU	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+0.1
30	12-18	GMU	UMES×4	Attack err	Rylee Kinnell		+0.0
31	13-18	UMES	UMES×4	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Dynasty Andrews	+0.1
32	14-18	UMES	UMES×4	Attack err	Nia Thompson		+0.2
33	15-18	UMES	UMES×4	Attack err	Meredith Brown	blk Shayla Henry, Malaysia Shaw	+0.3
34	15-19	UMES	GMU	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+0.3
35	15-20	GMU	GMU	Attack err	Shayla Henry		+0.2
36	16-20	GMU	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.1
37	16-21	UMES	GMU×4	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+0.2
38	16-22	GMU	GMU×4	Kill	Camryn Weldon	set Shayla Henry	+0.1
39	16-23	GMU	GMU×4	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+0.0
40	16-24	GMU	GMU×4	Kill	Camryn Weldon	set Camryn Weldon	+0.0
41	17-24	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.0
42	17-25	UMES	GMU	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Nia Thompson	blk Shayla Henry, Dynasty Andrews	+0.3
2	1-1	UMES	GMU	Kill	Caroline Rodriguez	set Camryn Weldon	+0.2
3	2-1	GMU	UMES	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.3
4	3-1	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Caroline Rodriguez	blk Malaysia Shaw	+0.4
5	3-2	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+0.3
6	3-3	GMU	GMU	Ace	GMU server	aced Arianna Warner Torres	+0.3
7	4-3	GMU	UMES	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.3
8	5-3	UMES	UMES	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.5
9	5-4	UMES	GMU	Kill	Rylee Kinnell	set Camryn Weldon	+0.3
10	6-4	GMU	UMES	Attack err	Rylee Kinnell	blk Malaysia Shaw, Shayla Henry	+0.4
11	6-5	UMES	GMU	Kill	Meredith Brown	set Camryn Weldon	+0.3
12	7-5	GMU	UMES	Attack err	Nia Thompson		+0.4
13	7-6	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+0.3
14	8-6	GMU	UMES	Attack err	Caroline Rodriguez	blk Dynasty Andrews	+0.4
15	9-6	UMES	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Karielys Melendez	+0.6
16	9-7	UMES	GMU	Kill	Jenna Hunt	set Camryn Weldon	+0.4
17	10-7	GMU	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.5
18	11-7	UMES	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.7
19	11-8	UMES	GMU	Kill	Jenna Hunt	set Camryn Weldon	+0.4
20	12-8	GMU	UMES	Attack err	Rylee Kinnell		+0.5
21	12-9	UMES	GMU	Kill	Caroline Rodriguez	set Camryn Weldon	+0.4
22	13-9	GMU	UMES×3	Serve err	GMU server		+0.6
23	14-9	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.7
24	15-9	UMES	UMES×3	Attack err	Nia Thompson	blk Malaysia Shaw	+0.7
25	15-10	UMES	GMU×3	Kill	Rylee Kinnell	set Camryn Weldon	+0.3
26	15-11	GMU	GMU×3	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+0.6
27	15-12	GMU	GMU×3	Kill	Camryn Weldon	set Rylee Kinnell	+0.6
28	16-12	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.6
29	16-13	UMES	GMU	Bad set	Malaysia Shaw		+0.4
30	16-14	GMU	GMU	Attack err	Jayda Hutchins		+0.7
31	17-14	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.7
32	18-14	UMES	UMES	Bad set	Adalynn Bollinger		+0.9
33	18-15	UMES	GMU	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+0.5
34	19-15	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.7
35	20-15	UMES	UMES	Ace	UMES server	aced Adalynn Bollinger	+0.8
36	20-16	UMES	GMU	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+0.3
37	20-17	GMU	GMU	Ace	GMU server	aced Lila Bryant	+0.6
38	21-17	GMU	UMES×3	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.8
39	22-17	UMES	UMES×3	Ace	UMES server	aced Adalynn Bollinger	+0.8
40	23-17	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.5
41	23-18	UMES	GMU	Kill	Caroline Rodriguez	set Jenna Hunt	+0.1
42	24-18	GMU	UMES	Kill	Dynasty Andrews	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.3
43	25-18	UMES	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Karielys Melendez	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	GMU	GMU	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Autumn Martinez-Robinson	+1.1
2	0-2	GMU	GMU	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+0.9
3	1-2	GMU	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.7
4	2-2	UMES	UMES	Ace	UMES server	aced Autumn Martinez-Robinson	+1.2
5	2-3	UMES	GMU	Attack err	Shayla Henry	blk Nia Thompson, Jenna Hunt	+0.8
6	3-3	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.9
7	3-4	UMES	GMU	Kill	Rylee Kinnell	set Camryn Weldon	+0.8
8	3-5	GMU	GMU	Ace	GMU server	aced Alivia Proctor	+1.0
9	4-5	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.8
10	5-5	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Rylee Kinnell		+1.3
11	5-6	UMES	GMU×3	Serve err	UMES server		+0.9
12	5-7	GMU	GMU×3	Kill	Camryn Weldon	set Kate - Linh Eden	+1.1
13	5-8	GMU	GMU×3	Kill	Meredith Brown	set Camryn Weldon	+0.9
14	6-8	GMU	UMES	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.7
15	6-9	UMES	GMU	Kill	Meredith Brown	set Camryn Weldon	+0.6
16	7-9	GMU	UMES×3	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jocelyn Torres	+0.7
17	8-9	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Lila Bryant	+1.3
18	9-9	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Arianna Warner Torres	+1.6
19	9-10	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+1.1
20	10-10	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+1.3
21	10-11	UMES	GMU×4	Kill	Camryn Weldon		+1.2
22	10-12	GMU	GMU×4	Attack err	Karielys Melendez	blk Jenna Hunt, Caroline Rodriguez	+1.4
23	10-13	GMU	GMU×4	Attack err	Rayah Howell		+1.1
24	10-14	GMU	GMU×4	Attack err	Dynasty Andrews	blk Jenna Hunt	+0.9
25	11-14	GMU	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.6
26	11-15	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+0.6
27	12-15	GMU	UMES	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.6
28	12-16	UMES	GMU×3	Kill	Caroline Rodriguez	set Camryn Weldon	+0.6
29	12-17	GMU	GMU×3	Kill	Caroline Rodriguez	set Camryn Weldon	+0.6
30	12-18	GMU	GMU×3	Kill	Meredith Brown	set Camryn Weldon	+0.4
31	13-18	GMU	UMES	Kill	Shayla Henry	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.2
32	14-18	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Caroline Rodriguez		+0.5
33	14-19	UMES	GMU×5	Kill	Meredith Brown	set Camryn Weldon	+0.4
34	14-20	GMU	GMU×5	Attack err	Shayla Henry	blk Rylee Kinnell, Meredith Brown	+0.4
35	14-21	GMU	GMU×5	Attack err	Shayla Henry		+0.2
36	14-22	GMU	GMU×5	Attack err	Shayla Henry	blk Meredith Brown	+0.1
37	14-23	GMU	GMU×5	Ace	GMU server	aced Team	+0.0
38	15-23	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.0
39	15-24	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+0.0
40	15-25	GMU	GMU	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Jenna Hunt	blk Dynasty Andrews	+1.0
2	1-1	UMES	GMU	Kill	Jenna Hunt	set Camryn Weldon	+0.6
3	1-2	GMU	GMU	Ace	GMU server	aced Arianna Warner Torres	+0.8
4	2-2	GMU	UMES	Attack err	Jenna Hunt		+0.6
5	2-3	UMES	GMU	Attack err	Rayah Howell	blk Rylee Kinnell	+0.6
6	3-3	GMU	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.7
7	3-4	UMES	GMU	Kill	Camryn Weldon	set Karielys Melendez	+0.6
8	3-5	GMU	GMU	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+0.7
9	4-5	GMU	UMES×3	Attack err	Rylee Kinnell		+0.6
10	5-5	UMES	UMES×3	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+1.0
11	6-5	UMES	UMES×3	Attack err	Nia Thompson		+1.2
12	6-6	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+0.8
13	7-6	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.9
14	7-7	UMES	GMU×3	Kill	Meredith Brown	set Camryn Weldon	+0.8
15	7-8	GMU	GMU×3	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+1.0
16	7-9	GMU	GMU×3	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+0.9
17	8-9	GMU	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.7
18	8-10	UMES	GMU	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+0.6
19	8-11	GMU	GMU	Attack err	Rayah Howell		+0.7
20	9-11	GMU	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Arianna Warner Torres	+0.5
21	10-11	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Nia Thompson		+1.0
22	10-12	UMES	GMU	Kill	Caroline Rodriguez	set Camryn Weldon	+0.7
23	10-13	GMU	GMU	Attack err	Rayah Howell	blk Jenna Hunt, Rylee Kinnell	+0.8
24	11-13	GMU	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.6
25	11-14	UMES	GMU×5	Attack err	Malaysia Shaw		+0.6
26	11-15	GMU	GMU×5	Attack err	Rayah Howell		+0.6
27	11-16	GMU	GMU×5	Attack err	Shayla Henry		+0.4
28	11-17	GMU	GMU×5	Ace	GMU server	aced Karielys Melendez	+0.3
29	11-18	GMU	GMU×5	Kill	Meredith Brown		+0.2
30	12-18	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.1
31	13-18	UMES	UMES	Attack err	Rylee Kinnell	blk Jayda Hutchins, Malaysia Shaw	+0.2
32	13-19	UMES	GMU	Kill	Meredith Brown	set Camryn Weldon	+0.2
33	14-19	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.1
34	15-19	UMES	UMES	Kill	Jayda Hutchins	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.3
35	15-20	UMES	GMU	Kill	Caroline Rodriguez	set Camryn Weldon	+0.3
36	15-21	GMU	GMU	Ace	GMU server	aced Team	+0.2
37	16-21	GMU	UMES	Serve err	GMU server		+0.1
38	16-22	UMES	GMU	Kill	Nia Thompson	set Camryn Weldon	+0.1
39	17-22	GMU	UMES	Kill	Karielys Melendez	set Kate - Linh Eden	+0.1
40	17-23	UMES	GMU	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+0.1
41	17-24	GMU	GMU	Attack err	Karielys Melendez		+0.0
42	18-24	GMU	UMES	Kill	Rayah Howell	set Jayda Hutchins	+0.0
43	18-25	UMES	GMU	Serve err	UMES server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, UMES first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.