FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomeBIG-EAST

St. John's (NY) def. Rider 3–0

(25-17, 25-22, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
RIDER	17	22	13	0
STJOHN	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

STJOHN above 50 · RIDER below

Biggest swing: 0.4% to Rider — set 2, RIDER 17-16 STJOHN. Kendall White stuffed by Annabell Zachritz & Rylah Robinson. STJOHN win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

RIDER 1.4%98.6% STJOHN

Rider wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.3%

3-2

0.9%

St. John's (NY) wins

3-0

71.1%

3-1

22.9%

3-2

4.6%

RIDER break %: 34.7% vs this opp
STJOHN break %: 51.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kendall WhiteAttack error+0.4%
Kendall White stuffed by Annabell Zachritz & Rylah Robinson
Set 2 · RIDER 17-16 STJOHN · RIDER 1% → 1%
02
Lejla HadžiredžepovicKill+0.4%
Kill by Lejla Hadžiredžepovic (set by Maggie Carcillo)
Set 2 · RIDER 18-19 STJOHN · STJOHN 99% → 99%
03
Rylah RobinsonKill+0.4%
Kill by Rylah Robinson (set by Katie Cook)
Set 2 · RIDER 18-17 STJOHN · RIDER 1% → 2%
04
Carola TesoroKill+0.3%
Kill by Carola Tesoro (set by Amanda Caputi)
Set 2 · RIDER 22-24 STJOHN · STJOHN 99% → 100%
05
Teodora StamenkovicKill+0.3%
Kill by Teodora Stamenkovic (set by Amanda Caputi)
Set 2 · RIDER 21-23 STJOHN · STJOHN 99% → 100%
06
Chloe' BellKill+0.3%
Kill by Chloe' Bell (set by Maggie Carcillo)
Set 2 · RIDER 18-18 STJOHN · STJOHN 98% → 99%
07
Lejla HadžiredžepovicKill+0.3%
Kill by Lejla Hadžiredžepovic (set by Rashanny Solano Smith)
Set 2 · RIDER 18-20 STJOHN · STJOHN 99% → 99%
08
Carola TesoroAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Carola Tesoro
Set 2 · RIDER 15-15 STJOHN · RIDER 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Rideraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Rylah RobinsonOH	3	9	10	38	-.026	0	0	4	1	0	1	0.5	9.5
0Aubrey BakerOH	3	8	5	17	.176	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	9
22Anja KellyOPP	3	7	3	15	.267	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
6Molly RohdeMB	3	4	4	14	.000	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	4
3Annabell ZachritzMB	3	1	3	8	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
9Makenna MasonS	3	0	0	0	–	18	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
17Simone LangfordL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	11	0	0	0	1
10Carly AllenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
14Katie CookS	2	0	0	0	–	6	3	0	2	0	0	0	3
1Madison DaleyOPP	2	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4Olivia DeSaroL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	1
13Tyler AdamsL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	28	99	.020	28	5	6	23	3	6	3	52

St. John's (NY)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Lejla HadžiredžepovicOH	3	15	4	33	.333	0	0	1	3	2	0	3	1.5	16.5
19Carola TesoroOH	3	9	3	17	.353	0	2	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
1Teodora StamenkovicMB	3	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	7
14Chloe' BellMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
33Sumaiyya HarrisMB	3	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
26Maggie CarcilloS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Kendall WhiteOH	3	1	3	9	-.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
12Amanda CaputiS	3	1	0	1	1.000	17	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Rashanny Solano SmithL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	13	0	0	0	0	1
6Katianna BetancurL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
11Brooke BoylesOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
21Soheila CirelliOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	12	80	.300	34	3	4	31	5	2	13	8.5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 RIDER · STJOHN 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 RIDERSTJOHN 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 RIDERSTJOHN 4

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 RIDERSTJOHN 5

Bars above the line = St. John's (NY) leads, below = Rider leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Rider

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	0%0/7
2	70%7/10	22%2/9
3	54%7/13	13%1/8
4	46%6/13	46%6/13
5	50%5/10	25%2/8
6	36%5/14	44%4/9
All	51%37/73	28%15/54

St. John's (NY)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%8/8	50%6/12
2	70%7/10	56%9/16
3	64%7/11	13%1/8
4	67%6/9	57%8/14
5	75%6/8	40%4/10
6	63%5/8	62%8/13
All	72%39/54	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

127 rallies

Rally log

#	RIDER-STJOHN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.1
2	0-2	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.2
3	1-2	STJOHN	RIDER	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+0.1
4	1-3	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+0.1
5	2-3	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
6	2-4	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.1
7	3-4	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
8	4-4	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Kendall White		+0.2
9	4-5	RIDER	STJOHN×3	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+0.2
10	4-6	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.2
11	4-7	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.1
12	5-7	STJOHN	RIDER	Serve err	STJOHN server		+0.1
13	5-8	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.1
14	5-9	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Madison Daley	blk Chloe' Bell, Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	+0.1
15	6-9	STJOHN	RIDER	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+0.1
16	6-10	RIDER	STJOHN×5	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.1
17	6-11	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.1
18	6-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Madison Daley		+0.1
19	6-13	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Madison Daley		+0.0
20	6-14	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.0
21	7-14	STJOHN	RIDER	Serve err	STJOHN server		+0.0
22	7-15	RIDER	STJOHN×3	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+0.0
23	7-16	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Anja Kelly	blk Kendall White, Lejla Hadžiredžepovic, Teodora Stamenkovic	+0.0
24	7-17	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.0
25	8-17	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
26	9-17	RIDER	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Simone Langford	+0.0
27	9-18	RIDER	STJOHN	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
28	10-18	STJOHN	RIDER	Serve err	STJOHN server		+0.0
29	10-19	RIDER	STJOHN	Attack err	Anja Kelly		+0.0
30	11-19	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Annabell Zachritz	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
31	12-19	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	RIDER server	aced Katianna Betancur	+0.0
32	12-20	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Amanda Caputi	+0.0
33	12-21	STJOHN	STJOHN	Bad set	Katie Cook		+0.0
34	13-21	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Katie Cook	+0.0
35	14-21	RIDER	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Carola Tesoro	+0.0
36	14-22	RIDER	STJOHN	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
37	14-23	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.0
38	15-23	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Katie Cook	+0.0
39	16-23	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+0.0
40	16-24	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.0
41	17-24	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Molly Rohde	+0.0
42	17-25	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
2	1-1	RIDER	STJOHN	Attack err	Aubrey Baker		+0.1
3	2-1	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
4	2-2	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.1
5	3-2	STJOHN	RIDER	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+0.1
6	4-2	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	RIDER server	aced Teodora Stamenkovic	+0.2
7	4-3	RIDER	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.1
8	4-4	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Annabell Zachritz		+0.2
9	4-5	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.1
10	5-5	STJOHN	RIDER	Attack err	Chloe' Bell	blk Annabell Zachritz, Aubrey Baker	+0.1
11	5-6	RIDER	STJOHN	Attack err	Rylah Robinson	blk Kendall White, Chloe' Bell	+0.1
12	6-6	STJOHN	RIDER	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+0.1
13	7-6	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	RIDER server	aced Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	+0.2
14	7-7	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.1
15	7-8	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.2
16	8-8	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Madison Daley	set Katie Cook	+0.1
17	8-9	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.1
18	9-9	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
19	9-10	RIDER	STJOHN×4	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.1
20	9-11	STJOHN	STJOHN×4	Attack err	Molly Rohde	blk Teodora Stamenkovic	+0.1
21	9-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×4	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.1
22	9-13	STJOHN	STJOHN×4	Attack err	Aubrey Baker		+0.1
23	10-13	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.1
24	11-13	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Teodora Stamenkovic		+0.1
25	11-14	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.1
26	11-15	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Teodora Stamenkovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.1
27	12-15	STJOHN	RIDER×4	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Simone Langford	+0.1
28	13-15	RIDER	RIDER×4	Ace	RIDER server	aced Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	+0.1
29	14-15	RIDER	RIDER×4	Attack err	Kendall White	blk Aubrey Baker, Annabell Zachritz	+0.2
30	15-15	RIDER	RIDER×4	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+0.3
31	15-16	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Teodora Stamenkovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.2
32	16-16	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Katie Cook	+0.2
33	17-16	RIDER	RIDER	Attack err	Kendall White	blk Annabell Zachritz, Rylah Robinson	+0.4
34	17-17	RIDER	STJOHN	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.3
35	18-17	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Katie Cook	+0.4
36	18-18	RIDER	STJOHN×3	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.3
37	18-19	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.4
38	18-20	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+0.3
39	19-20	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Molly Rohde	set Katie Cook	+0.2
40	19-21	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.2
41	20-21	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Simone Langford	+0.2
42	20-22	RIDER	STJOHN	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.3
43	21-22	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.2
44	21-23	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Teodora Stamenkovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.3
45	22-23	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.2
46	22-24	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.3
47	22-25	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Aubrey Baker		+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.0
2	0-2	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Molly Rohde		+0.0
3	1-2	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
4	1-3	RIDER	STJOHN	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
5	2-3	STJOHN	RIDER	Serve err	STJOHN server		+0.0
6	2-4	RIDER	STJOHN	Attack err	Aubrey Baker		+0.0
7	2-5	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Sumaiyya Harris		+0.0
8	3-5	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
9	3-6	RIDER	STJOHN	Serve err	RIDER server		+0.0
10	4-6	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
11	4-7	RIDER	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.0
12	4-8	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.0
13	4-9	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Annabell Zachritz		+0.0
14	5-9	STJOHN	RIDER×3	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
15	6-9	RIDER	RIDER×3	Kill	Molly Rohde		+0.0
16	7-9	RIDER	RIDER×3	Bad set	Amanda Caputi		+0.0
17	7-10	RIDER	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.0
18	7-11	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Molly Rohde		+0.0
19	7-12	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Molly Rohde	blk Carola Tesoro, Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	+0.0
20	8-12	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
21	8-13	RIDER	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Rylah Robinson	blk Teodora Stamenkovic, Kendall White	+0.0
22	8-14	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Ace	STJOHN server	aced Team	+0.0
23	8-15	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Ace	STJOHN server	aced Carly Allen	+0.0
24	9-15	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Rylah Robinson	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
25	10-15	RIDER	RIDER	Ace	RIDER server	aced Team	+0.0
26	10-16	RIDER	STJOHN	Attack err	Molly Rohde	blk Teodora Stamenkovic	+0.0
27	11-16	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Anja Kelly	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
28	11-17	RIDER	STJOHN×5	Kill	Teodora Stamenkovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.0
29	11-18	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Aubrey Baker	blk Chloe' Bell, Amanda Caputi	+0.0
30	11-19	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Annabell Zachritz		+0.0
31	11-20	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Anja Kelly		+0.0
32	11-21	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Ace	STJOHN server	aced Olivia DeSaro	+0.0
33	12-21	STJOHN	RIDER	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+0.0
34	12-22	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.0
35	12-23	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+0.0
36	13-23	STJOHN	RIDER	Kill	Aubrey Baker	set Makenna Mason	+0.0
37	13-24	RIDER	STJOHN	Kill	Amanda Caputi	set Katianna Betancur	+0.0
38	13-25	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Rylah Robinson		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Rider first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.