FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayAMERICA-EAST

0:3

HomeBIG-EAST

St. John's (NY) def. Bryant 3–0

(25-21, 25-8, 25-13)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
BRYANT	21	8	13	0
STJOHN	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

STJOHN above 50 · BRYANT below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Bryant — set 1, BRYANT 20-20 STJOHN. Bryant ace on Carola Tesoro. STJOHN win probability 91% → 89%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

BRYANT 8.7%91.3% STJOHN

Bryant wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

5.0%

St. John's (NY) wins

3-0

46.8%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.1%

BRYANT break %: 36.6% vs this opp
STJOHN break %: 47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
BRYANT serverAce+2.5%
Bryant ace on Carola Tesoro
Set 1 · BRYANT 20-20 STJOHN · BRYANT 9% → 11%
02
Carola TesoroKill+2.3%
Kill by Carola Tesoro (set by Amanda Caputi)
Set 1 · BRYANT 20-22 STJOHN · STJOHN 91% → 93%
03
BRYANT serverAce+1.9%
Bryant ace on Rashanny Solano smith
Set 1 · BRYANT 13-11 STJOHN · BRYANT 11% → 13%
04
Lejla HadåÿiredåÿepovicKill+1.9%
Kill by Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic (set by Carola Tesoro)
Set 1 · BRYANT 20-21 STJOHN · STJOHN 89% → 91%
05
Carola TesoroKill+1.8%
Kill by Carola Tesoro (set by Amanda Caputi)
Set 1 · BRYANT 21-23 STJOHN · STJOHN 92% → 94%
06
Kaitlin CurranKill+1.7%
Kill by Kaitlin Curran (set by Carrina Barron)
Set 1 · BRYANT 10-7 STJOHN · BRYANT 12% → 14%
07
Lejla HadåÿiredåÿepovicAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic
Set 1 · BRYANT 19-20 STJOHN · BRYANT 7% → 9%
08
Layla OlatundeAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Layla Olatunde
Set 1 · BRYANT 13-13 STJOHN · STJOHN 88% → 90%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Bryantaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Kaitlin CurranOH	3	11	6	28	.179	1	2	1	11	1	0	0	13
12Kalia AlvaradoOH	3	7	4	31	.097	1	0	0	11	3	0	0	7
13Hannah JacksonOH	3	4	1	15	.200	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
16Layla OlatundeMB	3	3	8	21	-.238	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
7Brookelyn TalmadgeMB	3	3	2	14	.071	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
5Madison KeemS	3	0	0	2	.000	22	0	1	8	0	0	0	0
14Cara LewandowskiOH	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
1Carrina BarronL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	17	1	0	0	1
20Natalie RicevutoOH	3	0	2	6	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
15Alicia JohansenMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Claudia Camacho-castroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0
6Laura Rene-fraserS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Luiza BergamaschiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Madison KoellerS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Nadine AbdatMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Nina GavinOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Ruth OchelliOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Sophia GonzalezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	24	125	.048	28	3	5	49	6	4	2	42

St. John's (NY)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Lejla HadåÿiredåÿepovicOH	3	12	3	32	.281	0	4	0	10	0	0	4	2	18
19Carola TesoroOH	3	10	2	33	.242	1	0	2	5	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
2Kendall WhiteOH	3	4	0	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Teodora StamenkovicMB	3	3	0	7	.429	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
14Chloe' BellMB	3	2	0	6	.333	2	0	0	3	0	1	3	2.5	4.5
12Amanda CaputiS	3	0	0	0	–	13	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
21Soheila CirelliOH	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
3Angelica RodriguezOPP	3	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
33Sumaiyya HarrisMB	3	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
4Martina CapponcelliS	3	0	0	0	–	16	1	2	5	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
22Kya HarrisMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
10Barbara Costa dos santosOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Brooke BoylesOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Katianna BetancurL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
9Rashanny Solano smithL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	20	2	0	0	0	0
8Shiloh ClaytonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	5	107	.318	36	6	4	58	3	1	18	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 BRYANT · STJOHN 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 BRYANTSTJOHN 3

Set 2*

8-25

Longest run 2 BRYANTSTJOHN 7

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 BRYANTSTJOHN 6

Bars above the line = St. John's (NY) leads, below = Bryant leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Bryant

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%5/5	29%2/7
2	63%5/8	38%3/8
3	44%4/9	29%2/7
4	40%4/10	33%2/6
5	27%3/11	0%0/4
6	60%3/5	25%1/4
All	50%24/48	28%10/36

St. John's (NY)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	40%2/5
2	63%5/8	0%0/5
3	71%5/7	38%3/8
4	67%4/6	56%5/9
5	100%4/4	60%6/10
6	75%3/4	73%8/11
All	72%26/36	50%24/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

117 rallies

Rally log

#	BRYANT-STJOHN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+1.1
2	1-1	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Teodora Stamenkovic	+0.7
3	2-1	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Carrina Barron	+0.8
4	2-2	BRYANT	STJOHN	Attack err	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.7
5	3-2	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.9
6	3-3	BRYANT	STJOHN	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.8
7	4-3	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kalia Alvarado	set Madison Keem	+0.9
8	5-3	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+1.4
9	5-4	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.9
10	6-4	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+1.1
11	6-5	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.9
12	7-5	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+1.1
13	8-5	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Claudia Camacho-castro	+1.6
14	8-6	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Martina Capponcelli	+1.0
15	8-7	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran	blk Sumaiyya Harris, Teodora Stamenkovic	+1.4
16	9-7	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+1.2
17	10-7	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Carrina Barron	+1.7
18	10-8	BRYANT	STJOHN	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.0
19	11-8	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+1.3
20	11-9	BRYANT	STJOHN×3	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic		+1.1
21	11-10	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Ace	STJOHN server	aced Kalia Alvarado	+1.6
22	11-11	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+1.5
23	12-11	STJOHN	BRYANT	Attack err	Carola Tesoro	blk Brookelyn Talmadge, Hannah Jackson	+1.2
24	13-11	BRYANT	BRYANT	Ace	BRYANT server	aced Rashanny Solano smith	+1.9
25	13-12	BRYANT	STJOHN×3	Serve err	BRYANT server		+1.2
26	13-13	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Layla Olatunde		+1.7
27	13-14	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Layla Olatunde	blk Chloe' Bell	+1.6
28	14-14	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kalia Alvarado	set Madison Keem	+1.2
29	14-15	BRYANT	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Rashanny Solano smith	+1.1
30	14-16	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Ace	STJOHN server	aced Kaitlin Curran	+1.4
31	14-17	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Sumaiyya Harris	set Martina Capponcelli	+1.2
32	15-17	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kalia Alvarado		+0.8
33	15-18	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.8
34	16-18	STJOHN	BRYANT	Serve err	STJOHN server		+0.8
35	16-19	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.9
36	17-19	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+0.8
37	17-20	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.9
38	18-20	STJOHN	BRYANT×3	Attack err	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Rashanny Solano smith	+0.8
39	19-20	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Attack err	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic		+1.7
40	20-20	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Ace	BRYANT server	aced Carola Tesoro	+2.5
41	20-21	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Carola Tesoro	+1.9
42	20-22	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.3
43	21-22	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+1.4
44	21-23	BRYANT	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+1.8
45	21-24	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Kalia Alvarado		+1.5
46	21-25	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Layla Olatunde	blk Kendall White, Chloe' Bell	+0.5
Set 2
1	0-1	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+0.6
2	1-1	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.5
3	1-2	BRYANT	STJOHN×6	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.4
4	1-3	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Ace	STJOHN server	aced Kalia Alvarado	+0.6
5	1-4	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Ace	STJOHN server	aced Kalia Alvarado	+0.5
6	1-5	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Rashanny Solano smith	+0.4
7	1-6	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
8	1-7	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Ace	STJOHN server	aced Carrina Barron	+0.2
9	2-7	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kalia Alvarado		+0.2
10	2-8	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Teodora Stamenkovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.2
11	3-8	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Carola Tesoro		+0.2
12	3-9	BRYANT	STJOHN×3	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+0.2
13	3-10	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Soheila Cirelli	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.2
14	3-11	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Attack err	Layla Olatunde	blk Chloe' Bell, Carola Tesoro	+0.1
15	4-11	STJOHN	BRYANT	Serve err	STJOHN server		+0.1
16	4-12	BRYANT	STJOHN	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran	set Claudia Camacho-castro	+0.1
17	5-12	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.1
18	5-13	BRYANT	STJOHN×7	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.1
19	5-14	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Chloe' Bell	+0.1
20	5-15	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Carrina Barron	+0.0
21	5-16	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Attack err	Brookelyn Talmadge	blk Teodora Stamenkovic, Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	+0.0
22	5-17	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Kill	Soheila Cirelli	set Chloe' Bell	+0.0
23	5-18	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Attack err	Brookelyn Talmadge		+0.0
24	5-19	STJOHN	STJOHN×7	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+0.0
25	6-19	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Carrina Barron	+0.0
26	7-19	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+0.0
27	7-20	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.0
28	8-20	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Brookelyn Talmadge	set Madison Keem	+0.0
29	8-21	BRYANT	STJOHN×5	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.0
30	8-22	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.0
31	8-23	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.0
32	8-24	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+0.0
33	8-25	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Kendall White	set Madison Keem	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Rashanny Solano smith	+0.2
2	1-1	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kalia Alvarado		+0.2
3	1-2	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+0.2
4	2-2	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Kalia Alvarado	set Madison Keem	+0.2
5	3-2	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Carola Tesoro	blk Layla Olatunde, Hannah Jackson	+0.4
6	3-3	BRYANT	STJOHN	Attack err	Kalia Alvarado	set Madison Keem	+0.2
7	3-4	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Kalia Alvarado	blk Martina Capponcelli, Soheila Cirelli	+0.3
8	4-4	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.3
9	5-4	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Kalia Alvarado	set Madison Keem	+0.4
10	5-5	BRYANT	STJOHN	Attack err	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+0.3
11	6-5	STJOHN	BRYANT	Attack err	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.3
12	6-6	BRYANT	STJOHN×6	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.3
13	6-7	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Attack err	Layla Olatunde	blk Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic, Teodora Stamenkovic	+0.4
14	6-8	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Kill	Soheila Cirelli	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.3
15	6-9	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Kill	Teodora Stamenkovic	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.3
16	6-10	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Kill	Soheila Cirelli	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.2
17	6-11	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Attack err	Cara Lewandowski		+0.2
18	7-11	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Kalia Alvarado	+0.1
19	7-12	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Teodora Stamenkovic	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.1
20	7-13	STJOHN	STJOHN	Ace	STJOHN server	aced Claudia Camacho-castro	+0.1
21	8-13	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+0.1
22	8-14	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Angelica Rodriguez	set Amanda Caputi	+0.1
23	9-14	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.1
24	10-14	BRYANT	BRYANT	Ace	BRYANT server	aced Rashanny Solano smith	+0.1
25	10-15	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Angelica Rodriguez	set Amanda Caputi	+0.1
26	11-15	STJOHN	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.1
27	11-16	BRYANT	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.1
28	12-16	STJOHN	BRYANT	Serve err	STJOHN server		+0.1
29	12-17	BRYANT	STJOHN×5	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.1
30	12-18	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.1
31	12-19	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+0.1
32	12-20	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Soheila Cirelli	set Martina Capponcelli	+0.0
33	12-21	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Kalia Alvarado		+0.0
34	13-21	STJOHN	BRYANT	Serve err	STJOHN server		+0.0
35	13-22	BRYANT	STJOHN×4	Attack err	Layla Olatunde	blk Chloe' Bell, Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic	+0.0
36	13-23	STJOHN	STJOHN×4	Attack err	Natalie Ricevuto		+0.0
37	13-24	STJOHN	STJOHN×4	Attack err	Natalie Ricevuto	blk Soheila Cirelli, Kya Harris	+0.0
38	13-25	STJOHN	STJOHN×4	Attack err	Layla Olatunde	blk Lejla Hadåÿiredåÿepovic, Kya Harris	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Bryant first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.