Cal Poly vs Cal State Fullerton: Cal Poly Wins 3-0 (Oct 9)

FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Cal Poly 99.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cal Poly won at Cal St. Fullerton 3-0 (25-19, 25-23, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Cal Poly's Kayla Murdoch led with 10 kills, and Elif Hurriyet added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CALPLY	25	25	25	3
CSFULL	19	23	18	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Cal Poly won it on serve.

Win probability never moved more than 0.3 points on one rally; Cal St. Fullerton topped out at 1% in Set 2. Cal Poly went in as RallyIQ's 99% pick.

Cal PolyCal St. Fullerton

Break %+13.2 pts
43.830.6
On serve: 32/73 against 19/62 (Cal St. Fullerton sideout 56.2%).
Hitting+.110
.238.128
38 kills, 14 errors vs 34 kills, 20 errors.
Longest run+3
63
Up 19–18 in the third set, Cal Poly scored 6 straight to make it 25–18. That set ended 25–18.

Cal St. Fullerton above 50Cal Poly belowMax swing 0.3%

Cal PolyCal St. Fullerton

Aces: Cal Poly 8·Cal St. Fullerton 3
Serve err: Cal Poly 9·Cal St. Fullerton 8
Blocks: Cal Poly 4·Cal St. Fullerton 52 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Cal Poly 42·Cal St. Fullerton 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cal St. Fullerton above 50 · Cal Poly below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Cal Poly stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CALPLY 99.0%1.0% CSFULL

Cal Poly wins

3-0

73.9%

3-1

21.3%

3-2

3.8%

Cal St. Fullerton wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.7%

CALPLY break %: 49.1% vs this opp
CSFULL break %: 31.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Cal Polyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Emma FredrickOH	3	4	5	27	-.037	0	3	2	4	0	2	0	2	9
15Charlotte KellyMB	3	9	0	12	.750	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	9
13Kendall BeshearOH	3	7	3	24	.167	1	1	4	5	0	0	0	0	8
12Breklyn PullingMB	3	7	1	11	.545	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	8
8Alexis HauryS	3	1	0	1	1.000	32	1	1	10	0	0	2	1	3
7Noelle VanachtL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	1
16Kayla MurdochOH	3	10	4	23	.261	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	10
6Maren O'FarrellL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
21Elif HurriyetL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	0	0
53Ella ScottL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
5Kamille ScottOPP	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Chloe LelugeMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	14	101	.238	34	8	9	42	3	2	4	4	75

Cal St. Fullertonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Bella RislingOH	3	9	2	20	.350	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	10
2Parys TaylorOH	3	8	7	26	.038	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
18Zariah CrosbyMB	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
9Hannah HassMB	3	3	1	8	.250	1	2	2	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
8Kaia HerwegL/DS	3	1	1	6	.000	1	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	1
12Italia BernalS	3	1	0	4	.250	15	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	1
3Sofia ShineOH	3	5	6	22	-.045	0	0	1	2	2	0	1	0.5	5.5
6Sibley OsterS	3	2	0	6	.333	8	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
15Kaieva ChristensenL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	3	4	2	0	0	0	1
11Mia FeldhausL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	8	2	0	0	0	0
13Emilia GrahamMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
7Jaiden MojicaS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	20	109	.128	28	3	8	42	8	1	8	5	60

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Cal Poly vs Cal St. Fullerton

Season series · Cal Poly leads 1-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026Cal Poly at Cal St. Fullerton · Cal Poly won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 7, 2026Cal St. Fullerton at Cal PolyPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CALPLY · CSFULL 3

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 3 CALPLYCSFULL 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 CALPLYCSFULL 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 6 CALPLYCSFULL 3

Bars above the line = Cal St. Fullerton leads, below = Cal Poly leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cal Poly

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	50%7/14
2	57%8/14	60%12/20
3	80%8/10	20%2/10
4	60%6/10	33%3/9
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	75%6/8	40%4/10
All	69%43/62	44%32/73

Cal St. Fullerton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	11%1/9
2	67%8/12	50%8/16
3	58%7/12	20%2/10
4	67%6/9	22%2/9
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	50%6/12	25%2/8
All	56%41/73	31%19/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#	CALPLY-CSFULL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	0-1	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Kaia Herweg
2	1-1	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury
3	1-2	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal
4	1-3	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Kayla Murdoch
5	2-3	CSFULL	CALPLY	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton
6	2-4	CALPLY	CSFULL	Blocked	Kendall Beshear	blk Bella Risling, Zariah Crosby
7	2-5	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Mia Feldhaus
8	3-5	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
9	4-5	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Parys Taylor
10	4-6	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Sibley Oster
11	5-6	CSFULL	CALPLY×3	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
12	6-6	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Mia Feldhaus
13	7-6	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Zariah Crosby	blk Emma Fredrick
14	7-7	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster
15	8-7	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury
16	9-7	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Sofia Shine
17	9-8	CALPLY	CSFULL	Serve err	Cal Poly
18	9-9	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Alexis Haury
19	10-9	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury
20	10-10	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Italia Bernal
21	11-10	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury
22	11-11	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal
23	11-12	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal
24	12-12	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury
25	12-13	CALPLY	CSFULL	Serve err	Cal Poly
26	13-13	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
27	14-13	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury
28	14-14	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Sibley Oster
29	15-14	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
30	16-14	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Sofia Shine
31	16-15	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Sibley Oster
32	17-15	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Alexis Haury
33	17-16	CALPLY	CSFULL	Serve err	Cal Poly
34	18-16	CSFULL	CALPLY×3	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton
35	19-16	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Kendall Beshear
36	20-16	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Sofia Shine
37	20-17	CALPLY	CSFULL	Attack err	Emma Fredrick
38	21-17	CSFULL	CALPLY×3	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury
39	22-17	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Charlotte Kelly
40	23-17	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Kaieva Christensen
41	23-18	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal
42	24-18	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury
43	24-19	CALPLY	CSFULL	Serve err	Cal Poly
44	25-19	CSFULL	CALPLY	Attack err	Parys Taylor
Set 2
1	1-0	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Hannah Hass
2	1-1	CALPLY	CSFULL×3	Serve err	Cal Poly
3	1-2	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Blocked	Kayla Murdoch	blk Zariah Crosby, Parys Taylor
4	1-3	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Ace	Cal St. Fullerton	aced Elif Hurriyet
5	2-3	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury
6	3-3	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury
7	3-4	CALPLY	CSFULL	Serve err	Cal Poly
8	4-4	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
9	5-4	CALPLY	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Kayla Murdoch
10	5-5	CALPLY	CSFULL	Serve err	Cal Poly
11	5-6	CSFULL	CSFULL	Blocked	Kayla Murdoch	blk Zariah Crosby
12	6-6	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Emma Fredrick	set Kendall Beshear
13	6-7	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster
14	6-8	CSFULL	CSFULL	Ace	Cal St. Fullerton	aced Noelle Vanacht
15	7-8	CSFULL	CALPLY	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton
16	8-8	CALPLY	CALPLY	Blocked	Sofia Shine	blk Alexis Haury, Breklyn Pulling
17	8-9	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Sibley Oster
18	9-9	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury
19	9-10	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal
20	10-10	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury
21	10-11	CALPLY	CSFULL	Attack err	Emma Fredrick
22	10-12	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Sibley Oster
23	11-12	CSFULL	CALPLY×3	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
24	12-12	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Attack err	Parys Taylor
25	13-12	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Zariah Crosby	blk Emma Fredrick
26	13-13	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Sibley Oster
27	13-14	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Emma Fredrick
28	14-14	CSFULL	CALPLY	Attack err	Parys Taylor
29	14-15	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Mia Feldhaus
30	15-15	CSFULL	CALPLY	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton
31	15-16	CALPLY	CSFULL×3	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Sibley Oster
32	15-17	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal
33	15-18	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Kamille Scott
34	16-18	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury
35	16-19	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal
36	17-19	CSFULL	CALPLY	Attack err	Bella Risling
37	18-19	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Parys Taylor
38	18-20	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal
39	19-20	CSFULL	CALPLY	Attack err	Parys Taylor
40	20-20	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Bella Risling
41	20-21	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal
42	21-21	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
43	22-21	CALPLY	CALPLY	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Kaia Herweg
44	22-22	CALPLY	CSFULL	Blocked	Emma Fredrick	blk Zariah Crosby, Bella Risling
45	23-22	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury
46	24-22	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Zariah Crosby
47	24-23	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Mia Feldhaus
48	25-23	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
Set 3
1	1-0	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury
2	1-1	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal
3	1-2	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Hannah Hass
4	2-2	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury
5	2-3	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Italia Bernal
6	3-3	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Charlotte Kelly	set Alexis Haury
7	3-4	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Sibley Oster
8	4-4	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
9	4-5	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Sibley Oster
10	5-5	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Sibley Oster
11	5-6	CALPLY	CSFULL	Attack err	Kendall Beshear
12	5-7	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Emma Fredrick
13	6-7	CSFULL	CALPLY×4	Attack err	Sofia Shine
14	7-7	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Sofia Shine
15	8-7	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Kaieva Christensen
16	9-7	CALPLY	CALPLY×4	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Mia Feldhaus
17	9-8	CALPLY	CSFULL	Blocked	Breklyn Pulling	blk Sofia Shine, Hannah Hass
18	10-8	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury
19	11-8	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Parys Taylor
20	11-9	CALPLY	CSFULL×3	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal
21	11-10	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Ace	Cal St. Fullerton	aced Noelle Vanacht
22	11-11	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Kendall Beshear
23	12-11	CSFULL	CALPLY	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton
24	12-12	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal
25	13-12	CSFULL	CALPLY	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton
26	14-12	CALPLY	CALPLY	Attack err	Kaia Herweg
27	14-13	CALPLY	CSFULL	Serve err	Cal Poly
28	14-14	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby
29	15-14	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kayla Murdoch	set Alexis Haury
30	15-15	CALPLY	CSFULL	Serve err	Cal Poly
31	15-16	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Kayla Murdoch
32	16-16	CSFULL	CALPLY×3	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton
33	17-16	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Kill	Breklyn Pulling	set Alexis Haury
34	18-16	CALPLY	CALPLY×3	Blocked	Sofia Shine	blk Alexis Haury, Breklyn Pulling
35	18-17	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal
36	19-17	CSFULL	CALPLY	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury
37	19-18	CALPLY	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Italia Bernal
38	20-18	CSFULL	CALPLY×6	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton
39	21-18	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Sofia Shine
40	22-18	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Attack err	Parys Taylor
41	23-18	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Kill	Kendall Beshear	set Alexis Haury
42	24-18	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Ace	Cal Poly	aced Italia Bernal
43	25-18	CALPLY	CALPLY×6	Kill	Alexis Haury	set Hannah Hass

Score shown after each rally, Cal Poly first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Cal Poly def. Cal St. Fullerton 3–0

Cal Poly won it on serve.