FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeCUSA

Liberty def. Lamar University 3–0

(25-19, 25-18, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LAMAR	19	18	23	0
LIBRTY	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LIBRTY above 50 · LAMAR below

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Lamar University — set 1, LAMAR 14-12 LIBRTY. Paige Overcash stuffed by Rihanna Bryant & Madelynn Coy. LIBRTY win probability 92% → 90%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LAMAR 5.7%94.3% LIBRTY

Lamar University wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.6%

3-2

3.4%

Liberty wins

3-0

53.6%

3-1

30.2%

3-2

10.6%

LAMAR break %: 36.2% vs this opp
LIBRTY break %: 48.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Paige OvercashAttack error+1.5%
Paige Overcash stuffed by Rihanna Bryant & Madelynn Coy
Set 1 · LAMAR 14-12 LIBRTY · LAMAR 8% → 10%
02
Maja MalinowskaAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Maja Malinowska
Set 1 · LAMAR 16-16 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 91% → 92%
03
Jenna OttsKill+1.4%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Charli Crowson)
Set 1 · LAMAR 16-17 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 92% → 94%
04
Nisaan MartinezKill+1.3%
Kill by Nisaan Martinez (set by Alexa Gonzalez)
Set 1 · LAMAR 13-12 LIBRTY · LAMAR 7% → 8%
05
Addison HartAttack error+1.3%
Addison Hart stuffed by Rihanna Bryant & Kinley Elms
Set 1 · LAMAR 16-14 LIBRTY · LAMAR 9% → 10%
06
LIBRTY serverService error+1.2%
Liberty service error
Set 1 · LAMAR 15-13 LIBRTY · LAMAR 9% → 10%
07
LAMAR serverAce+1.2%
Lamar University ace on Team
Set 1 · LAMAR 7-4 LIBRTY · LAMAR 8% → 9%
08
LIBRTY serverAce+1.2%
Liberty ace on Maja Malinowska
Set 1 · LAMAR 16-18 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 94% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Lamar Universityaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Nisaan MartinezMB	3	10	1	19	.474	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	11
22Madelynn CoyOH	3	7	5	27	.074	0	1	3	8	1	1	0.5	8.5
17Maja MalinowskaOH	3	7	7	27	.000	1	0	2	7	3	0	0	7
14Rihanna BryantMB	3	2	1	10	.100	0	1	0	0	0	4	2	5
3Alexa GonzalezS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	2	6	0	0	0	0
30Saida MaksoudMB	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
9Kinley ElmsOPP	3	9	2	18	.389	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	10
1Katelyn HughesS	3	0	0	0	–	19	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
19Gabby BakerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	11	1	0	0	0
16Leila CeaserOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
20Kiana SouzaL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Riley JohnsonMB	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	16	104	.202	36	3	9	36	5	12	6	60

Libertyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Laney DaniellMB	3	8	0	13	.615	0	2	2	0	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
2Carly O'BrienOH	3	9	1	19	.421	2	0	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
24Layla CollinsMB	3	7	0	11	.636	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
8Jenna OttsOH	3	7	3	18	.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
16Charli CrowsonS	3	0	0	1	.000	19	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
22Molly LittlefieldL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
7Addison HartOH	3	7	6	23	.043	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	2	9
25Paige OvercashOH	3	7	3	15	.267	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
11Alison BierwagenS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
5Melis UralL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	13	1	0	0	0	0
3VB TrostOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Jana ThymesMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Keira RosenmarkleOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	14	104	.298	43	5	6	43	3	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 LAMAR · LIBRTY 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 LAMARLIBRTY 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 5 LAMARLIBRTY 6

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 LAMARLIBRTY 4

Bars above the line = Liberty leads, below = Lamar University leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Lamar University

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	47%7/15
2	50%6/12	30%3/10
3	75%6/8	25%2/8
4	100%6/6	50%6/12
5	30%6/20	14%1/7
6	43%6/14	40%4/10
All	51%37/73	37%23/62

Liberty

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	40%4/10
2	70%7/10	50%7/14
3	60%6/10	40%4/10
4	60%6/10	25%2/8
5	86%6/7	45%5/11
6	43%6/14	70%14/20
All	63%39/62	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	LAMAR-LIBRTY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson	+0.4
2	1-1	LIBRTY	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Carly O'Brien	blk Saida Maksoud, Nisaan Martinez	+0.5
3	2-1	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Gabby Baker	+0.8
4	3-1	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Madelynn Coy	set Alexa Gonzalez	+1.0
5	3-2	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Attack err	Maja Malinowska		+0.6
6	4-2	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.7
7	4-3	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.6
8	4-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+0.8
9	5-4	LIBRTY	LAMAR×3	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.7
10	6-4	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+1.1
11	7-4	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Ace	LAMAR server	aced Team	+1.2
12	7-5	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.7
13	8-5	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Madelynn Coy	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.9
14	8-6	LAMAR	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Addison Hart	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.8
15	8-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Addison Hart	set Charli Crowson	+1.1
16	8-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Addison Hart	set Charli Crowson	+1.0
17	9-8	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.8
18	9-9	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.7
19	10-9	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.9
20	10-10	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.8
21	10-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.0
22	11-11	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.8
23	11-12	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+0.7
24	12-12	LIBRTY	LAMAR×3	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.8
25	13-12	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+1.3
26	14-12	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Paige Overcash	blk Rihanna Bryant, Madelynn Coy	+1.5
27	14-13	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.0
28	15-13	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.2
29	15-14	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Attack err	Kinley Elms	blk Addison Hart, Laney Daniell	+1.0
30	16-14	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Attack err	Addison Hart	blk Rihanna Bryant, Kinley Elms	+1.3
31	16-15	LAMAR	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.1
32	16-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Maja Malinowska		+1.5
33	16-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+1.4
34	16-18	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Maja Malinowska	+1.2
35	17-18	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.9
36	17-19	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.9
37	18-19	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.9
38	18-20	LAMAR	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Layla Collins	+1.0
39	18-21	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.0
40	18-22	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+0.6
41	18-23	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Maja Malinowska		+0.3
42	19-23	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Maja Malinowska	+0.1
43	19-24	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Molly Littlefield	+0.2
44	19-25	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Nisaan Martinez	blk Laney Daniell, Carly O'Brien	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.4
2	1-1	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.3
3	1-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Melis Ural	+0.4
4	2-2	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.3
5	2-3	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.3
6	3-3	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.4
7	4-3	LAMAR	LAMAR	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.6
8	4-4	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
9	5-4	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Madelynn Coy	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.4
10	5-5	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Addison Hart	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
11	6-5	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.5
12	6-6	LAMAR	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
13	6-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.5
14	6-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Melis Ural	+0.4
15	6-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Attack err	Rihanna Bryant	blk Addison Hart	+0.4
16	6-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Addison Hart		+0.3
17	6-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Attack err	Madelynn Coy	blk Addison Hart, Layla Collins	+0.2
18	7-11	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Madelynn Coy	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.1
19	7-12	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.2
20	7-13	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Madelynn Coy	+0.2
21	8-13	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.1
22	8-14	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson	+0.1
23	8-15	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Melis Ural	+0.1
24	9-15	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.1
25	9-16	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+0.1
26	10-16	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.1
27	11-16	LAMAR	LAMAR	Kill	Saida Maksoud	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.1
28	11-17	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.1
29	12-17	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Attack err	Addison Hart	blk Saida Maksoud, Nisaan Martinez	+0.1
30	12-18	LAMAR	LIBRTY×6	Attack err	Madelynn Coy	blk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash	+0.1
31	12-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
32	12-20	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Maja Malinowska	+0.0
33	12-21	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Carly O'Brien	+0.0
34	12-22	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Gabby Baker	+0.0
35	12-23	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×6	Kill	Addison Hart	set Carly O'Brien	+0.0
36	13-23	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.0
37	13-24	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.0
38	14-24	LIBRTY	LAMAR×5	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.0
39	15-24	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Attack err	Addison Hart		+0.0
40	16-24	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Attack err	Keira Rosenmarkle	blk Rihanna Bryant, Leila Ceaser	+0.0
41	17-24	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Attack err	Addison Hart		+0.0
42	18-24	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Kill	Leila Ceaser	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.0
43	18-25	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Riley Johnson	+0.2
2	2-0	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+0.3
3	3-0	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.3
4	3-1	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.2
5	3-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson	+0.3
6	4-2	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.2
7	4-3	LAMAR	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Madelynn Coy		+0.2
8	4-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Maja Malinowska	+0.3
9	4-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Madelynn Coy		+0.2
10	4-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.2
11	5-6	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.2
12	5-7	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Melis Ural	+0.1
13	6-7	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Madelynn Coy	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.2
14	7-7	LAMAR	LAMAR	Kill	Madelynn Coy	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.3
15	7-8	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Addison Hart	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.2
16	8-8	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
17	9-8	LAMAR	LAMAR	Ace	LAMAR server	aced Melis Ural	+0.3
18	9-9	LAMAR	LIBRTY×3	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.2
19	9-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Madelynn Coy		+0.3
20	9-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Maja Malinowska		+0.2
21	10-11	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
22	11-11	LAMAR	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.3
23	11-12	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.2
24	12-12	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
25	12-13	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.2
26	13-13	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.3
27	14-13	LAMAR	LAMAR	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+0.4
28	14-14	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.3
29	15-14	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Kill	Madelynn Coy	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.3
30	15-15	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.3
31	15-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Addison Hart	+0.4
32	16-16	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Attack err	Addison Hart		+0.3
33	17-16	LAMAR	LAMAR	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.5
34	17-17	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.3
35	18-17	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Attack err	Addison Hart	blk Rihanna Bryant, Kinley Elms	+0.4
36	18-18	LAMAR	LIBRTY×3	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.4
37	18-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.5
38	18-20	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Kinley Elms		+0.4
39	19-20	LIBRTY	LAMAR×4	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.3
40	20-20	LAMAR	LAMAR×4	Ace	LAMAR server	aced Addison Hart	+0.6
41	21-20	LAMAR	LAMAR×4	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.8
42	22-20	LAMAR	LAMAR×4	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+0.9
43	22-21	LAMAR	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Carly O'Brien		+0.5
44	22-22	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Maja Malinowska		+0.8
45	22-23	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Maja Malinowska	blk Jenna Otts, Layla Collins	+0.9
46	22-24	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Melis Ural	+0.7
47	23-24	LIBRTY	LAMAR	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.3
48	23-25	LAMAR	LIBRTY	Attack err	Maja Malinowska	blk Layla Collins, Jenna Otts	+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Lamar University first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.