FinalTue, Sep 8, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeBIG-12

Houston def. Lamar University 3–0

(25-16, 25-17, 25-15)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LAMAR	16	17	15	0
HOU	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

HOU above 50 · LAMAR below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to Lamar University — set 1, LAMAR 3-2 HOU. Attack error by Tara Greenberry. HOU win probability 97% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LAMAR 3.0%97.0% HOU

Lamar University wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.8%

3-2

1.9%

Houston wins

3-0

62.3%

3-1

27.3%

3-2

7.4%

LAMAR break %: 36.4% vs this opp
HOU break %: 50.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Tara GreenberryAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Tara Greenberry
Set 1 · LAMAR 3-2 HOU · LAMAR 3% → 4%
02
Kamille GibsonAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Kamille Gibson
Set 2 · LAMAR 7-4 HOU · LAMAR 2% → 3%
03
Grace HillAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Grace Hill
Set 2 · LAMAR 9-8 HOU · HOU 97% → 98%
04
Nisaan MartinezKill+0.4%
Kill by Nisaan Martinez (set by Gabby Baker)
Set 2 · LAMAR 9-6 HOU · LAMAR 3% → 3%
05
Kamille GibsonKill+0.4%
Kill by Kamille Gibson (set by Kalei Edson)
Set 1 · LAMAR 3-4 HOU · HOU 97% → 97%
06
LAMAR serverAce+0.4%
Lamar University ace on Team
Set 2 · LAMAR 6-4 HOU · LAMAR 2% → 2%
07
HOU serverService error+0.4%
Houston service error
Set 2 · LAMAR 8-5 HOU · LAMAR 2% → 3%
08
HOU serverAce+0.4%
Houston ace on Leila Ceaser
Set 2 · LAMAR 9-9 HOU · HOU 98% → 98%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Lamar Universityaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Nisaan MartinezMB	3	10	3	28	.250	0	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	12.5
12Grace HillOH	3	9	6	34	.088	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	9
14Rihanna BryantMB	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	2	0	4	2	3
30Saida MaksoudMB	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	1.5
3Alexa GonzalezS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
22Madelynn CoyOH	2	2	4	10	-.200	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	2
9Kinley ElmsOPP	3	2	2	12	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
19Gabby BakerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	15	1	0	0	1
1Katelyn HughesS	3	0	0	1	.000	8	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
20Kiana SouzaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	2	0	0	0
16Leila CeaserOH	1	1	2	8	-.125	0	1	0	3	4	0	0	2
18Gabrielle St LouisOPP	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Addison StanleyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Jo MoffittS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		25	19	103	.058	24	2	6	44	10	14	7	48

Houstonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Sydney JonesOH	3	11	5	30	.200	0	0	2	5	0	1	0.5	11.5
4Kamille GibsonOH	3	8	4	24	.167	1	3	2	9	0	0	0	11
3Alexis RobersonMB	3	6	0	9	.667	1	0	0	1	0	4	2	8
34Tara GreenberryOH	3	5	3	11	.182	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	5
6Kalei EdsonS	3	2	0	6	.333	30	1	1	9	0	3	1.5	4.5
5Lily BarronOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
21Noemi DespaigneOH	3	7	2	18	.278	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	8
15Cali ReeceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
19Mattie CasaleDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	12	0	0	0	0
24Gillian PittsL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	4	0	2	0	0	0	4
1Alyssa GonzalesOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		40	14	100	.260	35	10	6	52	2	8	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 LAMAR · HOU 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 LAMARHOU 6

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 LAMARHOU 5

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 LAMARHOU 4

Bars above the line = Houston leads, below = Lamar University leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Lamar University

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%6/11	40%4/10
2	50%6/12	33%3/9
3	55%6/11	40%4/10
4	45%5/11	33%3/9
5	45%5/11	0%0/5
6	24%4/17	29%2/7
All	44%32/73	32%16/50

Houston

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	69%11/16
2	75%6/8	33%3/9
3	55%6/11	45%5/11
4	86%6/7	60%9/15
5	83%5/6	38%3/8
6	80%4/5	71%10/14
All	68%34/50	56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

123 rallies

Rally log

#	LAMAR-HOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LAMAR	HOU	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.3
2	1-1	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.3
3	1-2	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Kalei Edson		+0.3
4	2-2	HOU	LAMAR	Serve err	HOU server		+0.3
5	3-2	LAMAR	LAMAR	Attack err	Tara Greenberry		+0.5
6	3-3	LAMAR	HOU×3	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.4
7	3-4	HOU	HOU×3	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.4
8	3-5	HOU	HOU×3	Attack err	Grace Hill		+0.4
9	4-5	HOU	LAMAR	Serve err	HOU server		+0.3
10	4-6	LAMAR	HOU	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.3
11	4-7	HOU	HOU	Attack err	Rihanna Bryant		+0.3
12	5-7	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Madelynn Coy	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
13	5-8	LAMAR	HOU×4	Kill	Alexis Roberson	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
14	5-9	HOU	HOU×4	Attack err	Madelynn Coy	blk Kalei Edson, Alexis Roberson	+0.2
15	5-10	HOU	HOU×4	Attack err	Kinley Elms		+0.2
16	5-11	HOU	HOU×4	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
17	6-11	HOU	LAMAR	Bad set	Mattie Casale		+0.1
18	7-11	LAMAR	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.2
19	7-12	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
20	8-12	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.1
21	9-12	LAMAR	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.3
22	9-13	LAMAR	HOU	Attack err	Grace Hill		+0.2
23	10-13	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.2
24	10-14	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Tara Greenberry	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
25	11-14	HOU	LAMAR	Attack err	Tara Greenberry	blk Rihanna Bryant, Nisaan Martinez	+0.2
26	11-15	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
27	12-15	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
28	12-16	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
29	13-16	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
30	13-17	LAMAR	HOU	Attack err	Grace Hill		+0.3
31	14-17	HOU	LAMAR	Serve err	HOU server		+0.2
32	14-18	LAMAR	HOU×6	Attack err	Nisaan Martinez		+0.3
33	14-19	HOU	HOU×6	Attack err	Madelynn Coy	blk Kalei Edson, Alexis Roberson	+0.2
34	14-20	HOU	HOU×6	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
35	14-21	HOU	HOU×6	Attack err	Madelynn Coy	blk Alexis Roberson, Kalei Edson	+0.1
36	14-22	HOU	HOU×6	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
37	14-23	HOU	HOU×6	Kill	Alexis Roberson	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
38	15-23	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.0
39	16-23	LAMAR	LAMAR	Attack err	Kamille Gibson		+0.0
40	16-24	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
41	16-25	HOU	HOU	Attack err	Nisaan Martinez		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	HOU	HOU	Attack err	Leila Ceaser		+0.2
2	0-2	HOU	HOU	Attack err	Leila Ceaser		+0.2
3	1-2	HOU	LAMAR×3	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
4	2-2	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Grace Hill	set Gabby Baker	+0.3
5	3-2	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Ace	LAMAR server	aced Team	+0.3
6	3-3	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Alexis Roberson	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
7	4-3	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Leila Ceaser	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.3
8	4-4	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
9	5-4	HOU	LAMAR×3	Kill	Grace Hill	set Gabby Baker	+0.3
10	6-4	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Ace	LAMAR server	aced Team	+0.4
11	7-4	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Kamille Gibson		+0.5
12	7-5	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.3
13	8-5	HOU	LAMAR	Serve err	HOU server		+0.4
14	8-6	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Mattie Casale	+0.3
15	9-6	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Gabby Baker	+0.4
16	9-7	LAMAR	HOU×5	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.3
17	9-8	HOU	HOU×5	Attack err	Grace Hill		+0.4
18	9-9	HOU	HOU×5	Ace	HOU server	aced Leila Ceaser	+0.4
19	9-10	HOU	HOU×5	Attack err	Kinley Elms		+0.3
20	9-11	HOU	HOU×5	Ace	HOU server	aced Leila Ceaser	+0.3
21	10-11	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
22	10-12	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Alexis Roberson	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
23	10-13	HOU	HOU	Kill	Alexis Roberson		+0.2
24	11-13	HOU	LAMAR	Attack err	Sydney Jones		+0.2
25	11-14	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Kalei Edson	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
26	11-15	HOU	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kamille Gibson	+0.2
27	12-15	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.1
28	13-15	LAMAR	LAMAR	Attack err	Sydney Jones	blk Saida Maksoud, Nisaan Martinez	+0.3
29	13-16	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Tara Greenberry	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
30	14-16	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.2
31	14-17	LAMAR	HOU×5	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
32	14-18	HOU	HOU×5	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.2
33	14-19	HOU	HOU×5	Ace	HOU server	aced Leila Ceaser	+0.1
34	14-20	HOU	HOU×5	Ace	HOU server	aced Leila Ceaser	+0.1
35	14-21	HOU	HOU×5	Kill	Tara Greenberry	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
36	15-21	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.0
37	15-22	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
38	15-23	HOU	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Gillian Pitts	+0.0
39	16-23	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.0
40	17-23	LAMAR	LAMAR	Attack err	Noemi Despaigne	blk Rihanna Bryant, Kinley Elms	+0.0
41	17-24	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
42	17-25	HOU	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Alexis Roberson	+0.1
2	0-2	HOU	HOU	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.1
3	1-2	HOU	LAMAR	Attack err	Sydney Jones	blk Saida Maksoud, Nisaan Martinez	+0.1
4	2-2	LAMAR	LAMAR	Attack err	Sydney Jones	blk Nisaan Martinez, Rihanna Bryant	+0.1
5	2-3	LAMAR	HOU×3	Kill	Sydney Jones	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
6	2-4	HOU	HOU×3	Ace	HOU server	aced Gabby Baker	+0.1
7	2-5	HOU	HOU×3	Kill	Tara Greenberry	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
8	3-5	HOU	LAMAR×3	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.1
9	4-5	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Kamille Gibson		+0.1
10	5-5	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Grace Hill	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.1
11	5-6	LAMAR	HOU	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.1
12	5-7	HOU	HOU	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
13	6-7	HOU	LAMAR	Attack err	Noemi Despaigne	blk Rihanna Bryant, Kinley Elms	+0.1
14	7-7	LAMAR	LAMAR	Attack err	Tara Greenberry		+0.1
15	7-8	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
16	7-9	HOU	HOU	Ace	HOU server	aced Grace Hill	+0.1
17	8-9	HOU	LAMAR	Serve err	HOU server		+0.1
18	8-10	LAMAR	HOU×3	Kill	Alexis Roberson	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
19	8-11	HOU	HOU×3	Kill	Kamille Gibson	set Kalei Edson	+0.1
20	8-12	HOU	HOU×3	Ace	HOU server	aced Madelynn Coy	+0.1
21	9-12	HOU	LAMAR	Serve err	HOU server		+0.1
22	9-13	LAMAR	HOU×4	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.1
23	9-14	HOU	HOU×4	Ace	HOU server	aced Grace Hill	+0.1
24	9-15	HOU	HOU×4	Attack err	Madelynn Coy		+0.0
25	9-16	HOU	HOU×4	Attack err	Saida Maksoud	blk Sydney Jones, Alexis Roberson	+0.0
26	10-16	HOU	LAMAR×3	Kill	Madelynn Coy	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.0
27	11-16	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Sydney Jones	blk Nisaan Martinez, Saida Maksoud	+0.0
28	12-16	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.1
29	12-17	LAMAR	HOU	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.0
30	13-17	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.0
31	13-18	LAMAR	HOU×4	Kill	Tara Greenberry	set Kalei Edson	+0.0
32	13-19	HOU	HOU×4	Attack err	Nisaan Martinez		+0.0
33	13-20	HOU	HOU×4	Attack err	Grace Hill		+0.0
34	13-21	HOU	HOU×4	Kill	Alyssa Gonzales	set Mattie Casale	+0.0
35	14-21	HOU	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.0
36	14-22	LAMAR	HOU×3	Attack err	Grace Hill		+0.0
37	14-23	HOU	HOU×3	Ace	HOU server	aced Kiana Souza	+0.0
38	14-24	HOU	HOU×3	Ace	HOU server	aced Kiana Souza	+0.0
39	15-24	HOU	LAMAR	Attack err	Kamille Gibson		+0.0
40	15-25	LAMAR	HOU	Kill	Noemi Despaigne	set Kalei Edson	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Lamar University first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.