FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

3:0

HomeSWAC

Lamar University def. Southern U. 3–0

(25-12, 26-24, 25-17)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
LAMAR	25	26	25	3
SOUTHR	12	24	17	0

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SOUTHR above 50 · LAMAR below

Biggest swing: 4.9% to Lamar University — set 2, LAMAR 25-24 SOUTHR. Mariah Mott stuffed by Rihanna Bryant & Grace Hill. SOUTHR win probability 12% → 7%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LAMAR 82.4%17.6% SOUTHR

Lamar University wins

3-0

34.1%

3-1

30.8%

3-2

17.5%

Southern U. wins

3-0

2.7%

3-1

5.7%

3-2

9.1%

LAMAR break %: 49.2% vs this opp
SOUTHR break %: 42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Mariah MottAttack error+4.9%
Mariah Mott stuffed by Rihanna Bryant & Grace Hill
Set 2 · LAMAR 25-24 SOUTHR · LAMAR 88% → 93%
02
Nisaan MartinezKill+4.7%
Kill by Nisaan Martinez (set by Alexa Gonzalez)
Set 2 · LAMAR 24-24 SOUTHR · LAMAR 83% → 88%
03
Maleah FaustKill+4.7%
Kill by Maleah Faust (set by Maleah Faust)
Set 2 · LAMAR 23-24 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 12% → 17%
04
Braelynn ReeseKill+4.3%
Kill by Braelynn Reese (set by Maleah Faust)
Set 2 · LAMAR 22-23 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 11% → 16%
05
Grace HillKill+4.2%
Kill by Grace Hill
Set 2 · LAMAR 26-24 SOUTHR · LAMAR 93% → 97%
06
Grace HillKill+3.4%
Kill by Grace Hill (set by Alexa Gonzalez)
Set 2 · LAMAR 23-23 SOUTHR · LAMAR 84% → 88%
07
Mariah MottKill+2.7%
Kill by Mariah Mott (set by Maleah Faust)
Set 2 · LAMAR 22-22 SOUTHR · SOUTHR 9% → 11%
08
SOUTHR serverService error+2.6%
Southern U. service error
Set 2 · LAMAR 22-21 SOUTHR · LAMAR 89% → 91%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Lamar Universityaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Rihanna BryantMB	3	10	1	16	.563	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	12
9Kinley ElmsOPP	3	7	1	23	.261	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	7.5
17Maja MalinowskaOH	3	6	6	20	.000	0	0	2	10	1	1	0.5	6.5
21Kimaya WebbMB	3	3	0	3	1.000	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Katelyn HughesS	3	0	0	0	–	21	1	1	4	0	0	0	1
12Grace HillOH	2	7	3	21	.190	0	0	2	8	0	1	0.5	7.5
5Nisaan MartinezMB	3	8	0	16	.500	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
19Gabby BakerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	19	0	0	0	2
3Alexa GonzalezS	3	0	0	1	.000	17	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
20Kiana SouzaL/DS	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
6Emily MoonOH	1	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
Team totals		44	12	106	.302	40	3	8	53	2	10	5	76

Southern U.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Mariah MottOH	3	9	3	18	.333	0	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	11.5
18Paulina Agudelo MarinMB	3	7	2	16	.313	1	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
11Sereniti JohnsonOH	3	6	1	28	.179	2	0	1	3	0	0	0	6
15Norielle BattleOH	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
9Maleah FaustS	3	1	1	3	.000	13	1	2	3	0	0	0	2
2Reagan RobinsonL/DS	3	0	2	14	-.143	1	0	1	10	1	0	0	0
4Braelynn ReeseOH	3	3	7	18	-.222	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	5
10Penina VitoS	3	0	0	1	.000	9	1	1	7	0	0	0	1
19Najah HarrisDS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	11	0	0	0	0
13Elizabeth LualemagaOH	2	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	1
14Alayah WilsonOH	2	0	1	6	-.167	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	18	118	.110	29	2	6	40	3	12	6	53

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 LAMAR · SOUTHR 5

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 5 LAMARSOUTHR 2

Set 2*

26-24

Longest run 5 LAMARSOUTHR 5

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 6 LAMARSOUTHR 4

Bars above the line = Southern U. leads, below = Lamar University leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Lamar University

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	70%7/10
2	57%4/7	20%1/5
3	80%4/5	0%0/4
4	80%4/5	43%3/7
5	100%4/4	50%4/8
6	100%4/4	71%10/14
All	81%25/31	52%25/48

Southern U.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%4/5	17%1/6
2	100%4/4	43%3/7
3	57%4/7	20%1/5
4	50%4/8	20%1/5
5	29%4/14	0%0/4
6	30%3/10	0%0/4
All	48%23/48	19%6/31

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	LAMAR-SOUTHR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Katelyn Hughes	+1.2
2	2-0	LAMAR	LAMAR	Kill	Kimaya Webb	set Najah Harris	+1.3
3	2-1	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Attack err	Maja Malinowska	blk Mariah Mott, Norielle Battle	+1.1
4	3-1	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Kimaya Webb	set Katelyn Hughes	+1.1
5	3-2	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Serve err	LAMAR server		+1.2
6	3-3	SOUTHR	SOUTHR	Kill	Mariah Mott	set Maleah Faust	+1.6
7	4-3	SOUTHR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+1.3
8	5-3	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Sereniti Johnson		+1.4
9	6-3	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Gabby Baker	+1.3
10	6-4	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Attack err	Grace Hill	blk Mariah Mott, Paulina Agudelo Marin	+1.1
11	7-4	SOUTHR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+1.1
12	8-4	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Ace	LAMAR server	aced Reagan Robinson	+1.1
13	9-4	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Paulina Agudelo Marin		+0.9
14	9-5	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.7
15	10-5	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.8
16	11-5	LAMAR	LAMAR	Bad set	Maleah Faust		+0.8
17	11-6	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Braelynn Reese	set Paulina Agudelo Marin	+0.6
18	12-6	SOUTHR	LAMAR×5	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.6
19	13-6	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Attack err	Braelynn Reese	blk Rihanna Bryant, Maja Malinowska	+0.6
20	14-6	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.4
21	15-6	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Attack err	Braelynn Reese		+0.3
22	16-6	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Attack err	Braelynn Reese		+0.2
23	16-7	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.1
24	17-7	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Serve err	SOUTHR server		+0.1
25	17-8	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.1
26	18-8	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Serve err	SOUTHR server		+0.1
27	18-9	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Mariah Mott	set Maleah Faust	+0.1
28	19-9	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.1
29	19-10	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Sereniti Johnson	set Maleah Faust	+0.1
30	20-10	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.1
31	20-11	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Paulina Agudelo Marin	set Penina Vito	+0.0
32	21-11	SOUTHR	LAMAR×4	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.1
33	22-11	LAMAR	LAMAR×4	Attack err	Alayah Wilson		+0.0
34	23-11	LAMAR	LAMAR×4	Attack err	Reagan Robinson		+0.0
35	24-11	LAMAR	LAMAR×4	Kill	Grace Hill	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.0
36	24-12	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Paulina Agudelo Marin	set Reagan Robinson	+0.0
37	25-12	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Serve err	LAMAR server		+1.0
2	0-2	SOUTHR	SOUTHR	Attack err	Grace Hill	blk Braelynn Reese, Mariah Mott	+1.3
3	1-2	SOUTHR	LAMAR×5	Attack err	Mariah Mott		+1.0
4	2-2	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Alexa Gonzalez	+1.2
5	3-2	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Attack err	Braelynn Reese		+1.1
6	4-2	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Ace	LAMAR server	aced Elizabeth Lualemaga	+1.0
7	5-2	LAMAR	LAMAR×5	Attack err	Mariah Mott		+0.9
8	5-3	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Mariah Mott	set Maleah Faust	+0.8
9	6-3	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.8
10	6-4	LAMAR	SOUTHR×3	Kill	Paulina Agudelo Marin	set Maleah Faust	+0.8
11	6-5	SOUTHR	SOUTHR×3	Attack err	Rihanna Bryant		+1.1
12	6-6	SOUTHR	SOUTHR×3	Kill	Sereniti Johnson	set Najah Harris	+1.3
13	7-6	SOUTHR	LAMAR×3	Serve err	SOUTHR server		+1.0
14	8-6	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Gabby Baker	+1.1
15	9-6	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+1.0
16	9-7	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.8
17	9-8	SOUTHR	SOUTHR	Attack err	Maja Malinowska		+1.2
18	10-8	SOUTHR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Katelyn Hughes	+1.0
19	11-8	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+1.1
20	12-8	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Elizabeth Lualemaga		+0.9
21	12-9	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Sereniti Johnson	set Penina Vito	+0.7
22	13-9	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.8
23	13-10	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Norielle Battle	set Penina Vito	+0.7
24	14-10	SOUTHR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Grace Hill	set Penina Vito	+0.8
25	15-10	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Braelynn Reese	blk Kimaya Webb, Nisaan Martinez	+0.8
26	16-10	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Maleah Faust		+0.6
27	16-11	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Mariah Mott	set Sereniti Johnson	+0.4
28	17-11	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.5
29	17-12	LAMAR	SOUTHR×5	Kill	Braelynn Reese	set Maleah Faust	+0.4
30	17-13	SOUTHR	SOUTHR×5	Kill	Sereniti Johnson	set Najah Harris	+0.6
31	17-14	SOUTHR	SOUTHR×5	Kill	Mariah Mott	set Maleah Faust	+0.9
32	17-15	SOUTHR	SOUTHR×5	Kill	Mariah Mott	set Maleah Faust	+1.2
33	17-16	SOUTHR	SOUTHR×5	Kill	Sereniti Johnson	set Maleah Faust	+1.6
34	18-16	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+1.5
35	18-17	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Attack err	Grace Hill		+1.4
36	18-18	SOUTHR	SOUTHR	Kill	Sereniti Johnson		+2.2
37	19-18	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.9
38	19-19	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Paulina Agudelo Marin	set Penina Vito	+2.0
39	20-19	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+2.0
40	20-20	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Paulina Agudelo Marin	set Penina Vito	+2.2
41	21-20	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+2.3
42	21-21	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Elizabeth Lualemaga	set Sereniti Johnson	+2.4
43	22-21	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Serve err	SOUTHR server		+2.6
44	22-22	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Mariah Mott	set Maleah Faust	+2.7
45	22-23	SOUTHR	SOUTHR	Kill	Braelynn Reese	set Maleah Faust	+4.3
46	23-23	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Grace Hill	set Alexa Gonzalez	+3.4
47	23-24	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Maleah Faust	set Maleah Faust	+4.7
48	24-24	SOUTHR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+4.7
49	25-24	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Mariah Mott	blk Rihanna Bryant, Grace Hill	+4.9
50	26-24	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Grace Hill		+4.2
Set 3
1	1-0	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.4
2	1-1	LAMAR	SOUTHR×4	Kill	Mariah Mott	set Najah Harris	+0.5
3	1-2	SOUTHR	SOUTHR×4	Attack err	Maja Malinowska		+0.6
4	1-3	SOUTHR	SOUTHR×4	Attack err	Maja Malinowska	blk Mariah Mott, Braelynn Reese	+0.7
5	1-4	SOUTHR	SOUTHR×4	Attack err	Maja Malinowska		+0.7
6	2-4	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.5
7	2-5	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Attack err	Kiana Souza		+0.6
8	3-5	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Maja Malinowska	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.5
9	3-6	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Paulina Agudelo Marin	set Maleah Faust	+0.6
10	3-7	SOUTHR	SOUTHR	Ace	SOUTHR server	aced Maja Malinowska	+0.8
11	4-7	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Emily Moon	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.6
12	4-8	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Paulina Agudelo Marin	set Penina Vito	+0.7
13	5-8	SOUTHR	LAMAR×6	Serve err	SOUTHR server		+0.6
14	6-8	LAMAR	LAMAR×6	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.7
15	7-8	LAMAR	LAMAR×6	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.7
16	8-8	LAMAR	LAMAR×6	Bad set	Penina Vito		+0.7
17	9-8	LAMAR	LAMAR×6	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.7
18	10-8	LAMAR	LAMAR×6	Ace	LAMAR server	aced Team	+0.6
19	10-9	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.5
20	11-9	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Serve err	SOUTHR server		+0.5
21	11-10	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Norielle Battle	set Penina Vito	+0.6
22	12-10	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Attack err	Braelynn Reese	blk Rihanna Bryant, Kinley Elms	+0.6
23	12-11	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Attack err	Kinley Elms	blk Braelynn Reese, Mariah Mott	+0.6
24	13-11	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Bad set	Maleah Faust		+0.6
25	13-12	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Mariah Mott	set Maleah Faust	+0.6
26	14-12	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.6
27	15-12	LAMAR	LAMAR	Kill	Kimaya Webb	set Maleah Faust	+0.6
28	15-13	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Serve err	LAMAR server		+0.5
29	16-13	SOUTHR	LAMAR×3	Attack err	Reagan Robinson		+0.6
30	17-13	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Emily Moon	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.5
31	18-13	LAMAR	LAMAR×3	Kill	Nisaan Martinez	set Alexa Gonzalez	+0.4
32	18-14	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Norielle Battle	set Penina Vito	+0.3
33	19-14	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Attack err	Paulina Agudelo Marin	blk Rihanna Bryant, Nisaan Martinez	+0.3
34	20-14	LAMAR	LAMAR	Kill	Emily Moon	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.3
35	20-15	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Kill	Norielle Battle	set Penina Vito	+0.1
36	21-15	SOUTHR	LAMAR×4	Kill	Rihanna Bryant	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.2
37	22-15	LAMAR	LAMAR×4	Bad set	Penina Vito		+0.1
38	23-15	LAMAR	LAMAR×4	Bad set	Penina Vito		+0.1
39	24-15	LAMAR	LAMAR×4	Attack err	Braelynn Reese		+0.0
40	24-16	LAMAR	SOUTHR	Attack err	Maja Malinowska	blk Braelynn Reese, Norielle Battle	+0.0
41	24-17	SOUTHR	SOUTHR	Ace	SOUTHR server	aced Kiana Souza	+0.0
42	25-17	SOUTHR	LAMAR	Kill	Kinley Elms	set Katelyn Hughes	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Lamar University first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.