FinalThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Nicholls def. Lamar University 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Lamar University 63.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 6:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Nicholls beat visiting Lamar University 3-0 (25-15, 25-14, 25-21) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Nicholls' Kera Arrington led with 12 kills, and Natalia Navarro added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set123Sets
LAMAR1514210
NICHST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Madison Smith served 6 aces, and Nicholls needed every one.

The match turned twice; each line shows Nicholls's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Lamar University went in at 63% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Lamar University 3–2 Nicholls

    Nicholls scored 7 straight to turn a 2–3 deficit into a 9–3 lead. The match swung to Nicholls.

    Nicholls 35% → 51%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Lamar University 3–4 Nicholls

    Nicholls scored 8 straight to stretch a 4–3 lead to 12–3.

    Nicholls 61% → 79%

Nicholls above 50Lamar University belowMax swing 3.8%

Lamar UniversityNicholls

Sideout %
Lamar University 44.6·Nicholls 66.7
Break %
Lamar University 33.3·Nicholls 55.4
Hitting
Lamar University .104·Nicholls .299
Longest run
Lamar University 4·Nicholls 8

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Nicholls above 50 · Lamar University below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.8% NICHSTrally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.8% to Nicholls — set 3, LAMAR 17-19 NICHST. Attack error by Nisaan Martinez. NICHST win probability 86% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LAMAR 67.5%32.5% NICHST

Lamar University wins

3-0
21.6%
3-1
25.9%
3-2
20.0%

Nicholls wins

3-0
6.4%
3-1
11.5%
3-2
14.6%
LAMAR break %
46.7% vs this opp
NICHST break %
43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nisaan MartinezAttack error+3.8%

    Attack error by Nisaan Martinez

    Set 3 · LAMAR 17-19 NICHST · NICHST 86% → 90%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kera Arrington (set by Jenna Cicherski)

    Set 3 · LAMAR 17-18 NICHST · NICHST 82% → 86%

  3. 03

    Kill by Jenna Cicherski (set by Tierney Terrell)

    Set 3 · LAMAR 17-20 NICHST · NICHST 90% → 93%

  4. 04

    Kill by Amelie Shalfoon (set by Isabella Padilla)

    Set 3 · LAMAR 21-24 NICHST · NICHST 95% → 98%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kera Arrington (set by Isabella Padilla)

    Set 3 · LAMAR 20-23 NICHST · NICHST 93% → 97%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kera Arrington (set by Jenna Cicherski)

    Set 3 · LAMAR 18-21 NICHST · NICHST 91% → 94%

  7. 07
    Nisaan MartinezBlock+3.0%

    Tierney Terrell stuffed by Nisaan Martinez

    Set 3 · LAMAR 15-14 NICHST · LAMAR 17% → 20%

  8. 08

    Maja Malinowska stuffed by Amelie Shalfoon & Maya Schirmer

    Set 2 · LAMAR 3-6 NICHST · NICHST 63% → 66%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39620.150000300009
35426.038111520006
3316.33300020010.53.5
31011.000021700003
3000–1501500000
2213.333000000002
310524.20800010111.511.5
3000–1303600000
3000–002710000
2119.000000010001
1000–010330001
1037-.429000010000
1000–001100000
Team totals312196.1042949401012250
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
34422.0000606100010
37112.5000000006310
36014.42900010132.58.5
3104.25001000010.52.5
3000–020200002
3000–1003700000
312318.5000001100012
33011.273000100425
3102.5001702800001
3000–5111320001
1114.000100200001
Team totals35987.29933106414114875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Lamar University vs Nicholls

Season series · Nicholls leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 LAMAR · NICHST 8

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 4 LAMARNICHST 7

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 LAMARNICHST 8

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 LAMARNICHST 4

Bars above the line = Nicholls leads, below = Lamar University leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lamar University

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
17%1/6
2
55%6/11
36%4/11
3
35%6/17
40%4/10
4
33%5/15
25%2/8
5
45%5/11
44%4/9
6
44%4/9
29%2/7
All
45%33/74
33%17/51

Nicholls

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
25%2/8
2
50%6/12
45%5/11
3
67%6/9
40%4/10
4
60%6/10
75%18/24
5
83%5/6
55%6/11
6
67%4/6
60%6/10
All
67%34/51
55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#LAMAR-NICHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NICHSTLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+1.8
21-1LAMARNICHSTBlockedMaja Malinowskablk Amelie Shalfoon, Harper Holden+1.8
32-1NICHSTLAMARKillGabrielle St Louisset Katelyn Hughes+1.8
42-2LAMARNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+1.9
53-2NICHSTLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+1.9
63-3LAMARNICHST×7Attack errNisaan Martinez+1.9
73-4NICHSTNICHST×7AceNichollsaced Gabby Baker+2.5
83-5NICHSTNICHST×7AceNichollsaced Gabby Baker+2.5
93-6NICHSTNICHST×7AceNichollsaced Gabby Baker+2.5
103-7NICHSTNICHST×7KillKera Arrington+2.4
113-8NICHSTNICHST×7KillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+2.3
123-9NICHSTNICHST×7KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+2.0
134-9NICHSTLAMAR×4KillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+1.3
145-9LAMARLAMAR×4AceLamar Universityaced Kera Arrington+2.0
156-9LAMARLAMAR×4Attack errKera Arrington+2.2
167-9LAMARLAMAR×4KillKimaya Webbset Alexa Gonzalez+2.5
177-10LAMARNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+2.3
187-11NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errGrace Hill+2.6
197-12NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Grace Hill+2.4
208-12NICHSTLAMARAttack errMadison Smith+1.6
218-13LAMARNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Jenna Cicherski+2.0
229-13NICHSTLAMARServe errNicholls+1.6
239-14LAMARNICHSTAttack errMaja Malinowska+2.0
2410-14NICHSTLAMARKillKimaya Webbset Katelyn Hughes+1.6
2510-15LAMARNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+2.0
2611-15NICHSTLAMARKillRiley Johnsonset Katelyn Hughes+1.6
2711-16LAMARNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.0
2811-17NICHSTNICHST×3KillMadison Smithset Natalia Navarro+2.0
2911-18NICHSTNICHST×3BlockedNisaan Martinezblk Maya Schirmer, Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+1.5
3012-18NICHSTLAMARServe errNicholls+0.8
3112-19LAMARNICHST×4BlockedNisaan Martinezblk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie, Maya Schirmer+1.1
3212-20NICHSTNICHST×4AceNichollsaced Kiana Souza+0.9
3312-21NICHSTNICHST×4AceNicholls+0.5
3412-22NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errGrace Hill+0.2
3513-22NICHSTLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+0.1
3613-23LAMARNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Natalia Navarro+0.1
3714-23NICHSTLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez·
3815-23LAMARLAMARAttack errKera Arrington+0.1
3915-24LAMARNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+0.1
4015-25NICHSTNICHSTAttack errGrace Hill·
Set 2
10-1LAMARNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+2.2
20-2NICHSTNICHSTBlockedLeila Ceaserblk Amelie Shalfoon, Maya Schirmer+2.8
31-2NICHSTLAMARKillGabrielle St Louisset Katelyn Hughes+2.1
42-2LAMARLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+2.7
52-3LAMARNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Natalia Navarro+2.3
62-4NICHSTNICHSTAttack errMaja Malinowska+2.9
73-4NICHSTLAMARKillGabrielle St Louisset Katelyn Hughes+2.2
83-5LAMARNICHST×8KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+2.4
93-6NICHSTNICHST×8BlockedMaja Malinowskablk Amelie Shalfoon, Maya Schirmer+2.9
103-7NICHSTNICHST×8AceNichollsaced Maja Malinowska+2.8
113-8NICHSTNICHST×8Attack errGabrielle St Louis+2.6
123-9NICHSTNICHST×8BlockedRiley Johnsonblk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie, Maya Schirmer+2.4
133-10NICHSTNICHST×8KillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+2.0
143-11NICHSTNICHST×8Attack errGabrielle St Louis+1.7
153-12NICHSTNICHST×8KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+1.3
164-12NICHSTLAMARKillGabrielle St Louisset Katelyn Hughes+0.7
174-13LAMARNICHSTKillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Jenna Cicherski+1.0
184-14NICHSTNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Jenna Cicherski+0.9
195-14NICHSTLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+0.5
205-15LAMARNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+0.7
215-16NICHSTNICHSTAttack errNisaan Martinez+0.5
226-16NICHSTLAMARServe errNicholls+0.3
237-16LAMARLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+0.5
247-17LAMARNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+0.6
258-17NICHSTLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+0.3
268-18LAMARNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+0.5
278-19NICHSTNICHSTAceNichollsaced Leila Ceaser+0.3
289-19NICHSTLAMAR×3KillGabrielle St Louisset Maja Malinowska+0.1
2910-19LAMARLAMAR×3Attack errMadison Smith+0.3
3011-19LAMARLAMAR×3AceLamar Universityaced Madison Smith+0.4
3111-20LAMARNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+0.5
3211-21NICHSTNICHSTBlockedKimaya Webbblk Maya Schirmer, Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie+0.3
3312-21NICHSTLAMARKillKimaya Webbset Katelyn Hughes+0.1
3413-21LAMARLAMARKillRiley Johnsonset Katelyn Hughes+0.2
3513-22LAMARNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski+0.3
3613-23NICHSTNICHST×3KillZahahrah Edwards-Wyllieset Natalia Navarro+0.2
3713-24NICHSTNICHST×3KillMaya Schirmerset Jenna Cicherski·
3814-24NICHSTLAMARKillGabrielle St Louisset Katelyn Hughes·
3914-25LAMARNICHSTServe errLamar University·
Set 3
10-1NICHSTNICHSTAceNichollsaced Maja Malinowska+2.0
21-1NICHSTLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+1.6
32-1LAMARLAMARAttack errMadison Smith+2.0
42-2LAMARNICHST×3Serve errLamar University+1.6
52-3NICHSTNICHST×3KillAmelie Shalfoon+2.1
62-4NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errGabrielle St Louis+2.2
73-4NICHSTLAMAR×3KillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+1.7
84-4LAMARLAMAR×3Attack errMadison Smith+2.1
95-4LAMARLAMAR×3KillMadelynn Coyset Alexa Gonzalez+2.1
105-5LAMARNICHSTServe errLamar University+1.8
116-5NICHSTLAMAR×3Serve errNicholls+1.8
127-5LAMARLAMAR×3AceLamar Universityaced Natalia Navarro+2.1
138-5LAMARLAMAR×3KillLeila Ceaserset Alexa Gonzalez+2.0
148-6LAMARNICHSTKillTierney Terrellset Jenna Cicherski+1.5
159-6NICHSTLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+1.6
1610-6LAMARLAMARBlockedMaya Schirmerblk Kimaya Webb, Nisaan Martinez+1.8
1710-7LAMARNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+1.3
1811-7NICHSTLAMARAttack errKera Arrington+1.5
1911-8LAMARNICHST×4Serve errLamar University+1.4
2011-9NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errGabrielle St Louis+2.0
2111-10NICHSTNICHST×4KillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+2.3
2211-11NICHSTNICHST×4BlockedGabrielle St Louisblk Amelie Shalfoon+2.6
2312-11NICHSTLAMARServe errNicholls+2.1
2412-12LAMARNICHSTServe errLamar University+2.2
2512-13NICHSTNICHSTAceNicholls+2.9
2613-13NICHSTLAMARKillGabrielle St Louisset Katelyn Hughes+2.3
2713-14LAMARNICHSTServe errLamar University+2.4
2814-14NICHSTLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+2.4
2915-14LAMARLAMARBlockedTierney Terrellblk Nisaan Martinez+3.0
3015-15LAMARNICHSTServe errLamar University+2.5
3116-15NICHSTLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+2.6
3216-16LAMARNICHSTServe errLamar University+2.6
3317-16NICHSTLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+2.7
3417-17LAMARNICHST×4Serve errLamar University+2.8
3517-18NICHSTNICHST×4KillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+3.7
3617-19NICHSTNICHST×4Attack errNisaan Martinez+3.8
3717-20NICHSTNICHST×4KillJenna Cicherskiset Tierney Terrell+3.6
3818-20NICHSTLAMARServe errNicholls+2.2
3918-21LAMARNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Jenna Cicherski+3.1
4018-22NICHSTNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Natalia Navarro+2.9
4119-22NICHSTLAMARKillGabrielle St Louisset Katelyn Hughes+1.4
4220-22LAMARLAMARAceLamar Universityaced Natalia Navarro+2.7
4320-23LAMARNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.4
4421-23NICHSTLAMARKillGabrielle St Louisset Katelyn Hughes+2.0
4521-24LAMARNICHSTKillAmelie Shalfoonset Isabella Padilla+3.5
4621-25NICHSTNICHSTAttack errGabrielle St Louis+1.9

Score shown after each rally, Lamar University first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).