Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 21, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Lamar University def. Northwestern St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Lamar University 62.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 21, 6:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Lamar University won at Northwestern St. 3-1 (25-27, 25-22, 25-22, 25-22) on Wed, Oct 21, 2026. Lamar University's Nisaan Martinez led with 20 kills, and Gabby Baker added 23 digs.

Data through · final Oct 21

Set1234Sets
LAMAR252525253
NW ST272222221

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Lamar University needed all of Nisaan Martinez's 22 points to get by Northwestern St.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Lamar University's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Lamar University 62% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Lamar University 24–24 Northwestern St.

    Northwestern St. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Northwestern St.

    Lamar University 62% → 42%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Lamar University 22–22 Northwestern St.

    From 22–22, Lamar University scored 3 straight to lead 25–22.

    Lamar University 59% → 81%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Lamar University 18–20 Northwestern St.

    Lamar University scored 5 straight to turn an 18–20 deficit into a 23–20 lead.

    Lamar University 68% → 96%

Northwestern St. above 50Lamar University belowMax swing 10.3%

Lamar UniversityNorthwestern St.

Sideout %
Lamar University 59.6·Northwestern St. 55.6
Break %
Lamar University 44.4·Northwestern St. 40.4
Hitting
Lamar University .183·Northwestern St. .153
Longest run
Lamar University 5·Northwestern St. 4

Nisaan Martinez
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 20 K, .269, 22 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northwestern St. above 50 · Lamar University below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.3% NW STrally 193 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.3% to Northwestern St. — set 1, LAMAR 25-27 NW ST. Grace Hill stuffed by Julia Whitfield & Elsie Sanchez. NW ST win probability 48% → 58%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LAMAR 65.3%34.7% NW ST

Lamar University wins

3-0
20.2%
3-1
25.1%
3-2
20.0%

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
7.1%
3-1
12.4%
3-2
15.2%
LAMAR break %
45.0% vs this opp
NW ST break %
42.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Grace Hill stuffed by Julia Whitfield & Elsie Sanchez

    Set 1 · LAMAR 25-27 NW ST · NW ST 48% → 58%

  2. 02
    Elsie SanchezKill+9.8%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Emmarie McFarland)

    Set 1 · LAMAR 25-26 NW ST · NW ST 38% → 48%

  3. 03

    Kill by Nisaan Martinez (set by Gabby Baker)

    Set 3 · LAMAR 24-22 NW ST · LAMAR 67% → 76%

  4. 04
    Maja MalinowskaAttack error+8.3%

    Attack error by Maja Malinowska

    Set 3 · LAMAR 22-22 NW ST · NW ST 32% → 41%

  5. 05
    Olivia NziokiAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Olivia Nzioki

    Set 3 · LAMAR 23-22 NW ST · LAMAR 59% → 67%

  6. 06

    Kill by Nisaan Martinez (set by Alexa Gonzalez)

    Set 1 · LAMAR 24-23 NW ST · LAMAR 62% → 69%

  7. 07
    Elsie SanchezKill+7.1%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 1 · LAMAR 24-24 NW ST · NW ST 31% → 38%

  8. 08
    Northwestern St.Service error+7.1%

    Northwestern St. service error

    Set 1 · LAMAR 25-24 NW ST · LAMAR 62% → 69%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416957.123220181233.521.5
43010.30002410052.57.5
43522-.09110010010.53.5
4000–18011100000
4000–000710000
1003.00000000010.50.5
420652.2690003004222
413333.3030001010114
4000–6112310001
4000–27021300000
3103.333000000212
Team totals5623180.183545878331611100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413633.2120000008417
413442.2140107102115
47116.3751123008412
48423.174000300219
42111.0914500120052.54.5
4000–100400000
4161360.05010242073.519.5
4000–3113300001
4011-1.0004021700000
4001.000100620000
1002.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5930189.15356378950321693

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LAMAR · NW ST 4

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 4 LAMARNW ST 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 LAMARNW ST 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 LAMARNW ST 4

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 5 LAMARNW ST 4

Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = Lamar University leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Lamar University

SlotSideout %Break %
1
85%11/13
40%6/15
2
52%11/21
48%10/21
3
43%10/23
44%8/18
4
62%8/13
61%14/23
5
73%8/11
38%5/13
6
62%8/13
11%1/9
All
60%56/94
44%44/99

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
31%4/13
2
65%11/17
39%7/18
3
38%9/24
48%10/21
4
50%9/18
47%8/17
5
89%8/9
47%7/15
6
70%7/10
20%2/10
All
56%55/99
40%38/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

193 rallies

#LAMAR-NW STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LAMARNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Valerie Brown+1.8
21-1NW STLAMAR×3KillKinley Elmsset Katelyn Hughes+1.8
32-1LAMARLAMAR×3KillNisaan Martinezset Kinley Elms+2.3
43-1LAMARLAMAR×3Attack errElizabeth Muguruza+2.3
53-2LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.7
64-2NW STLAMARKillSaida Maksoudset Alexa Gonzalez+1.8
74-3LAMARNW ST×4BlockedNisaan Martinezblk Elsie Sanchez, Olivia Nzioki+1.7
84-4NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+2.5
94-5NW STNW ST×4BlockedGrace Hillblk Julia Whitfield, Jade Longlad+2.6
104-6NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+2.7
115-6NW STLAMAR×3KillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+1.9
126-6LAMARLAMAR×3KillGrace Hillset Alexa Gonzalez+2.6
137-6LAMARLAMAR×3KillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+2.6
147-7LAMARNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.0
158-7NW STLAMARKillGrace Hillset Alexa Gonzalez+2.1
168-8LAMARNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Elsie Sanchez+2.1
179-8NW STLAMARKillGrace Hillset Katelyn Hughes+2.1
1810-8LAMARLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+2.7
1910-9LAMARNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.0
2011-9NW STLAMARBlockedAmber Craigblk Rihanna Bryant, Maja Malinowska+2.1
2111-10LAMARNW STAttack errMaja Malinowska+2.1
2212-10NW STLAMARServe errNorthwestern St.+2.2
2312-11LAMARNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+2.1
2413-11NW STLAMAR×4KillMaja Malinowskaset Alexa Gonzalez+2.3
2514-11LAMARLAMAR×4KillNisaan Martinezset Gabby Baker+2.7
2615-11LAMARLAMAR×4Attack errElsie Sanchez+2.4
2716-11LAMARLAMAR×4KillMaja Malinowskaset Alexa Gonzalez+1.9
2816-12LAMARNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.1
2917-12NW STLAMARBlockedJulia Whitfieldblk Grace Hill+1.4
3018-12LAMARLAMARAceSaida Maksoudaced Elsie Sanchez+1.4
3118-13LAMARNW ST×3Serve errSaida Maksoud+0.7
3218-14NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+1.4
3318-15NW STNW ST×3BlockedNisaan Martinezblk Julia Whitfield, Elsie Sanchez+2.0
3419-15NW STLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+1.9
3519-16LAMARNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.5
3620-16NW STLAMARServe errNorthwestern St.+2.0
3720-17LAMARNW ST×3KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+1.4
3820-18NW STNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.7
3920-19NW STNW ST×3Attack errKinley Elms+3.8
4021-19NW STLAMARServe errNorthwestern St.+3.6
4121-20LAMARNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Emmarie McFarland+3.1
4222-20NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+3.9
4323-20LAMARLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+4.0
4423-21LAMARNW ST×3KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+1.8
4523-22NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Maja Malinowska+4.2
4623-23NW STNW ST×3BlockedNisaan Martinezblk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez+7.1
4724-23NW STLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+7.1
4824-24LAMARNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+7.1
4925-24NW STLAMARServe errNorthwestern St.+7.1
5025-25LAMARNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+7.1
5125-26NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+9.8
5225-27NW STNW ST×3BlockedGrace Hillblk Julia Whitfield, Elsie Sanchez+10.3
Set 2
11-0NW STLAMARServe errNorthwestern St.+2.0
22-0LAMARLAMARAceGabby Bakeraced Elizabeth Muguruza+2.5
32-1LAMARNW STServe errGabby Baker+1.9
43-1NW STLAMARAttack errElsie Sanchez+2.0
53-2LAMARNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.0
64-2NW STLAMAR×5KillMaja Malinowskaset Alexa Gonzalez+2.0
75-2LAMARLAMAR×5KillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+2.5
86-2LAMARLAMAR×5KillNisaan Martinezset Gabby Baker+2.3
97-2LAMARLAMAR×5AceMaja Malinowskaaced Elsie Sanchez+2.0
108-2LAMARLAMAR×5KillGrace Hillset Alexa Gonzalez+1.7
118-3LAMARNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.1
129-3NW STLAMARAttack errElsie Sanchez+1.3
139-4LAMARNW STServe errSaida Maksoud+1.1
1410-4NW STLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+1.3
1510-5LAMARNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.1
1611-5NW STLAMARServe errNorthwestern St.+1.3
1712-5LAMARLAMARAttack errAmber Craig+1.3
1812-6LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.8
1913-6NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+1.0
2014-6LAMARLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+0.9
2114-7LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.5
2214-8NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.9
2315-8NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+0.9
2415-9LAMARNW ST×4Serve errAlexa Gonzalez+0.7
2515-10NW STNW ST×4Attack errMaja Malinowska+1.3
2615-11NW STNW ST×4Attack errMaja Malinowska+1.7
2715-12NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.aced Madelynn Coy+2.3
2816-12NW STLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+2.1
2917-12LAMARLAMARAceMaja Malinowskaaced Harper Cauley+2.2
3017-13LAMARNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+1.3
3118-13NW STLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+1.7
3218-14LAMARNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.2
3319-14NW STLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+1.6
3419-15LAMARNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.1
3519-16NW STNW ST×3BlockedKinley Elmsblk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig+2.2
3619-17NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Gabby Baker+3.1
3720-17NW STLAMARKillGrace Hillset Katelyn Hughes+3.0
3820-18LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.4
3921-18NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+3.2
4022-18LAMARLAMARAttack errOlivia Nzioki+3.0
4122-19LAMARNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.3
4222-20NW STNW ST×3BlockedMaja Malinowskablk Olivia Nzioki, Jade Longlad+3.0
4322-21NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+4.8
4423-21NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+5.1
4524-21LAMARLAMARBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Maja Malinowska+4.7
4624-22LAMARNW STServe errAlexa Gonzalez+1.5
4725-22NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Alexa Gonzalez+3.3
Set 3
11-0LAMARLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Gabby Baker+3.1
22-0LAMARLAMARAttack errElizabeth Muguruza+3.0
32-1LAMARNW STBlockedMaja Malinowskablk Amber Craig, Olivia Nzioki+2.3
43-1NW STLAMARKillSaida Maksoudset Katelyn Hughes+2.3
53-2LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.3
63-3NW STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.3
74-3NW STLAMARBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Nisaan Martinez, Saida Maksoud+2.5
85-3LAMARLAMARKillGrace Hillset Alexa Gonzalez+3.2
95-4LAMARNW ST×4KillJade Longladset Harper Cauley+2.4
105-5NW STNW ST×4BlockedNisaan Martinezblk Julia Whitfield, Elsie Sanchez+3.4
115-6NW STNW ST×4KillJade Longladset Jade Longlad+3.6
125-7NW STNW ST×4BlockedGrace Hillblk Julia Whitfield, Jade Longlad+3.7
136-7NW STLAMAR×3BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Saida Maksoud, Nisaan Martinez+2.7
147-7LAMARLAMAR×3KillNisaan Martinezset Maja Malinowska+3.7
158-7LAMARLAMAR×3Attack errAnna Claire Hebert+3.7
168-8LAMARNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+2.9
179-8NW STLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Gabby Baker+2.9
189-9LAMARNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+3.0
1910-9NW STLAMARServe errNorthwestern St.+3.0
2010-10LAMARNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+3.0
2111-10NW STLAMARKillKinley Elmsset Katelyn Hughes+3.1
2212-10LAMARLAMARAttack errAmber Craig+3.9
2312-11LAMARNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+2.9
2412-12NW STNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+4.2
2513-12NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Gabby Baker+3.3
2613-13LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.4
2714-13NW STLAMARAttack errElsie Sanchez+3.5
2814-14LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.5
2914-15NW STNW STAttack errNisaan Martinez+5.0
3015-15NW STLAMARKillSaida Maksoudset Alexa Gonzalez+3.7
3115-16LAMARNW STServe errSaida Maksoud+4.1
3216-16NW STLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+3.9
3317-16LAMARLAMARBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Riley Johnson, Kinley Elms+5.3
3417-17LAMARNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+4.1
3518-17NW STLAMARKillGrace Hillset Katelyn Hughes+4.3
3618-18LAMARNW STBlockedKinley Elmsblk Julia Whitfield, Elizabeth Muguruza+4.4
3718-19NW STNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+6.4
3819-19NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+4.7
3920-19LAMARLAMARAttack errElizabeth Muguruza+6.7
4020-20LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+5.1
4121-20NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+5.6
4222-20LAMARLAMARBad setJade Longlad+7.0
4322-21LAMARNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Anna Claire Hebert+4.4
4422-22NW STNW STAttack errMaja Malinowska+8.3
4523-22NW STLAMAR×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+7.6
4624-22LAMARLAMAR×3KillNisaan Martinezset Gabby Baker+9.2
4725-22LAMARLAMAR×3BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Saida Maksoud, Nisaan Martinez+5.1
Set 4
11-0NW STLAMAR×3Attack errElizabeth Muguruza+2.1
22-0LAMARLAMAR×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+2.7
33-0LAMARLAMAR×3BlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Saida Maksoud, Maja Malinowska+2.6
43-1LAMARNW ST×4KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+1.9
53-2NW STNW ST×4BlockedKinley Elmsblk Elsie Sanchez, Olivia Nzioki+2.7
63-3NW STNW ST×4Attack errMaja Malinowska+3.0
73-4NW STNW ST×4BlockedKinley Elmsblk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez+3.1
84-4NW STLAMARAttack errElsie Sanchez+2.3
95-4LAMARLAMARBad setJade Longlad+3.1
105-5LAMARNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.4
115-6NW STNW ST×3KillJulia Whitfield+3.3
125-7NW STNW ST×3BlockedMaja Malinowskablk Julia Whitfield, Jade Longlad+3.4
136-7NW STLAMARKillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+2.4
147-7LAMARLAMARBlockedElsie Sanchezblk Saida Maksoud, Nisaan Martinez+3.3
157-8LAMARNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+2.7
168-8NW STLAMARAttack errElsie Sanchez+2.6
178-9LAMARNW ST×4Serve errSaida Maksoud+2.8
188-10NW STNW ST×4KillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+3.7
198-11NW STNW ST×4KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.6
208-12NW STNW ST×4BlockedNisaan Martinezblk Julia Whitfield, Elizabeth Muguruza+3.4
219-12NW STLAMARKillGrace Hillset Alexa Gonzalez+2.2
229-13LAMARNW STServe errKatelyn Hughes+2.7
2310-13NW STLAMARKillGrace Hillset Maja Malinowska+2.2
2411-13LAMARLAMARBlockedAmber Craigblk Maja Malinowska, Riley Johnson+3.4
2511-14LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.0
2611-15NW STNW STBlockedMaja Malinowskablk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki+3.6
2712-15NW STLAMARKillMaja Malinowskaset Katelyn Hughes+2.2
2813-15LAMARLAMARBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Maja Malinowska+3.5
2913-16LAMARNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+3.3
3014-16NW STLAMARKillKinley Elmsset Katelyn Hughes+2.7
3114-17LAMARNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+3.4
3214-18NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+3.9
3315-18NW STLAMAR×4Attack errJade Longlad+2.2
3416-18LAMARLAMAR×4KillGrace Hillset Alexa Gonzalez+3.8
3517-18LAMARLAMAR×4KillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+4.6
3618-18LAMARLAMAR×4Attack errElsie Sanchez+5.3
3718-19LAMARNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+4.5
3818-20NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Julia Whitfield+5.9
3919-20NW STLAMAR×5KillNisaan Martinezset Alexa Gonzalez+3.9
4020-20LAMARLAMAR×5KillGrace Hillset Alexa Gonzalez+6.1
4121-20LAMARLAMAR×5Attack errElsie Sanchez+6.7
4222-20LAMARLAMAR×5KillRiley Johnson+6.4
4323-20LAMARLAMAR×5AceSaida Maksoudaced Harper Cauley+4.9
4423-21LAMARNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.2
4524-21NW STLAMARKillGrace Hillset Alexa Gonzalez+3.8
4624-22LAMARNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+1.6
4725-22NW STLAMARKillGrace Hillset Katelyn Hughes+3.5

Score shown after each rally, Lamar University first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).