FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

0:3

HomeWCC

Portland def. Nevada 3–0

(25-23, 25-18, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NEVADA	23	18	18	0
PORT	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PORT above 50 · NEVADA below

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Portland — set 1, NEVADA 23-25 PORT. Kill by Havannah Hoeft (set by Kalaweloilehua Chock). PORT win probability 90% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NEVADA 13.4%86.6% PORT

Nevada wins

3-0

1.9%

3-1

4.2%

3-2

7.2%

Portland wins

3-0

39.2%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

15.9%

NEVADA break %: 37.1% vs this opp
PORT break %: 45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Havannah HoeftKill+3.4%
Kill by Havannah Hoeft (set by Kalaweloilehua Chock)
Set 1 · NEVADA 23-25 PORT · PORT 90% → 93%
02
Eliot Diehl PalmerKill+2.7%
Kill by Eliot Diehl Palmer (set by Havannah Hoeft)
Set 1 · NEVADA 17-17 PORT · PORT 81% → 84%
03
Kalaweloilehua ChockKill+2.7%
Kill by Kalaweloilehua Chock (set by Havannah Hoeft)
Set 1 · NEVADA 17-18 PORT · PORT 84% → 86%
04
Adriana DornAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Adriana Dorn
Set 1 · NEVADA 17-16 PORT · PORT 78% → 81%
05
Kalaweloilehua ChockAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Kalaweloilehua Chock
Set 1 · NEVADA 16-12 PORT · NEVADA 22% → 25%
06
NEVADA serverAce+2.4%
Nevada ace on Callie Pieper
Set 1 · NEVADA 13-10 PORT · NEVADA 19% → 21%
07
Karly BonaventureAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Karly Bonaventure
Set 1 · NEVADA 17-19 PORT · PORT 86% → 89%
08
Alana VillelaKill+2.3%
Kill by Alana Villela (set by Havannah Hoeft)
Set 1 · NEVADA 16-14 PORT · PORT 77% → 79%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Nevadaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
19Jess WalkenhorstOPP	3	8	2	15	.400	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
7Ceren SertMB	3	7	1	14	.429	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
10Paige ThiesOH	3	6	3	19	.158	1	1	1	5	0	1	0.5	7.5
2Mckaley HerrOH	3	5	3	25	.080	0	0	2	3	2	2	1	6
14Karly BonaventureMB	3	2	3	9	-.111	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
13Adriana DornS	3	1	1	3	.000	17	0	1	7	0	0	0	1
6Madison LongOPP	3	3	1	11	.182	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
8Masyn NavarroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	14	3	0	0	1
12Keely HummelS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
5Summer SuppikL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	2
15Lara PachecoL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
0Malia PilimaiOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	14	97	.186	27	5	6	35	7	8	4	59

Portlandhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
17Kalaweloilehua ChockOH	3	13	4	25	.360	1	0	0	7	1	1	0.5	13.5
6Lillian LansingOH	3	7	4	23	.130	2	2	2	9	0	1	0.5	9.5
5Eliot Diehl PalmerOH	3	8	2	17	.353	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	9.5
18Taina KaauwaiMB	3	7	1	13	.462	1	0	2	0	0	2	1	8
3Havannah HoeftS	3	4	0	7	.571	31	1	0	13	0	0	0	5
21Alana VillelaMB	2	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Jeryn HildenbrandDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	3	5	0	0	0	2
14Tinoa Woodward-HartDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	4	1	0	0	2
12Amiyah EasonDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
16Callie PieperOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
13Shaylee StephenMB	1	2	1	8	.125	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
9Lila KrallOPP	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		45	12	99	.333	39	7	9	42	5	10	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 NEVADA · PORT 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 NEVADAPORT 6

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 NEVADAPORT 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 NEVADAPORT 4

Bars above the line = Portland leads, below = Nevada leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Nevada

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	43%6/14
2	78%7/9	20%2/10
3	58%7/12	22%2/9
4	70%7/10	13%1/8
5	67%6/9	36%4/11
6	33%6/18	33%3/9
All	56%41/73	30%18/61

Portland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	70%14/20
2	73%8/11	33%4/12
3	78%7/9	36%4/11
4	100%7/7	30%3/10
5	50%7/14	36%4/11
6	86%6/7	33%3/9
All	70%43/61	44%32/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	NEVADA-PORT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NEVADA	NEVADA	Attack err	Eliot Diehl Palmer		+1.5
2	1-1	NEVADA	PORT	Attack err	Mckaley Herr		+1.0
3	2-1	PORT	NEVADA×3	Kill	Mckaley Herr	set Adriana Dorn	+1.1
4	3-1	NEVADA	NEVADA×3	Ace	NEVADA server	aced Kalaweloilehua Chock	+1.7
5	4-1	NEVADA	NEVADA×3	Ace	NEVADA server	aced Tinoa Woodward-Hart	+1.8
6	4-2	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Lillian Lansing	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.1
7	5-2	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Paige Thies	set Adriana Dorn	+1.4
8	5-3	NEVADA	PORT	Attack err	Paige Thies		+1.1
9	6-3	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Ceren Sert	set Adriana Dorn	+1.4
10	6-4	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Lillian Lansing	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.2
11	7-4	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Ceren Sert	set Adriana Dorn	+1.4
12	7-5	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Havannah Hoeft	set Lillian Lansing	+1.2
13	8-5	PORT	NEVADA	Serve err	PORT server		+1.5
14	8-6	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Havannah Hoeft		+1.2
15	9-6	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Paige Thies	set Adriana Dorn	+1.5
16	10-6	NEVADA	NEVADA	Kill	Jess Walkenhorst	set Adriana Dorn	+2.2
17	10-7	NEVADA	PORT×3	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.2
18	10-8	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Mckaley Herr	blk Eliot Diehl Palmer, Alana Villela	+1.9
19	10-9	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Karly Bonaventure		+2.0
20	11-9	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Jess Walkenhorst	set Adriana Dorn	+1.6
21	11-10	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.4
22	12-10	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Karly Bonaventure	set Adriana Dorn	+1.7
23	13-10	NEVADA	NEVADA	Ace	NEVADA server	aced Callie Pieper	+2.4
24	13-11	NEVADA	PORT	Attack err	Lillian Lansing		+1.4
25	14-11	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Ceren Sert	set Adriana Dorn	+1.8
26	14-12	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Lillian Lansing	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.5
27	15-12	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Paige Thies	set Adriana Dorn	+1.9
28	16-12	NEVADA	NEVADA	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock		+2.5
29	16-13	NEVADA	PORT	Serve err	NEVADA server		+1.3
30	16-14	PORT	PORT	Kill	Alana Villela	set Havannah Hoeft	+2.3
31	17-14	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Mckaley Herr	set Lillian Lansing	+2.1
32	17-15	NEVADA	PORT×6	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.6
33	17-16	PORT	PORT×6	Attack err	Adriana Dorn		+2.6
34	17-17	PORT	PORT×6	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Havannah Hoeft	+2.7
35	17-18	PORT	PORT×6	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+2.7
36	17-19	PORT	PORT×6	Attack err	Karly Bonaventure		+2.3
37	17-20	PORT	PORT×6	Ace	PORT server	aced Mckaley Herr	+1.8
38	18-20	PORT	NEVADA	Attack err	Eliot Diehl Palmer	blk Karly Bonaventure, Mckaley Herr	+1.0
39	18-21	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.3
40	19-21	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Mckaley Herr	set Adriana Dorn	+1.0
41	19-22	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Lillian Lansing	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.4
42	20-22	PORT	NEVADA	Serve err	PORT server		+1.0
43	20-23	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Taina Kaauwai	+1.4
44	21-23	PORT	NEVADA	Serve err	PORT server		+0.8
45	21-24	NEVADA	PORT	Serve err	NEVADA server		+1.4
46	22-24	PORT	NEVADA	Serve err	PORT server		+0.6
47	23-24	NEVADA	NEVADA	Ace	NEVADA server	aced Team	+2.1
48	23-25	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Havannah Hoeft	set Kalaweloilehua Chock	+3.4
Set 2
1	1-0	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Jess Walkenhorst	set Adriana Dorn	+0.8
2	1-1	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.7
3	1-2	PORT	PORT	Kill	Alana Villela		+0.9
4	2-2	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Jess Walkenhorst	set Adriana Dorn	+0.7
5	3-2	NEVADA	NEVADA	Kill	Jess Walkenhorst	set Adriana Dorn	+1.1
6	3-3	NEVADA	PORT×4	Serve err	NEVADA server		+0.7
7	3-4	PORT	PORT×4	Ace	PORT server	aced Summer Suppik	+1.0
8	3-5	PORT	PORT×4	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.9
9	3-6	PORT	PORT×4	Attack err	Paige Thies	blk Taina Kaauwai, Eliot Diehl Palmer	+0.8
10	4-6	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Ceren Sert	set Adriana Dorn	+0.5
11	4-7	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.5
12	4-8	PORT	PORT	Ace	PORT server	aced Masyn Navarro	+0.7
13	5-8	PORT	NEVADA	Serve err	PORT server		+0.4
14	5-9	NEVADA	PORT	Attack err	Ceren Sert	blk Lillian Lansing, Taina Kaauwai	+0.5
15	5-10	PORT	PORT	Ace	PORT server	aced Masyn Navarro	+0.5
16	6-10	PORT	NEVADA	Serve err	PORT server		+0.3
17	6-11	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Havannah Hoeft		+0.4
18	7-11	PORT	NEVADA	Serve err	PORT server		+0.3
19	7-12	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Jeryn Hildenbrand	+0.4
20	7-13	PORT	PORT	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Masyn Navarro	+0.4
21	8-13	PORT	NEVADA	Attack err	Lillian Lansing		+0.2
22	8-14	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.3
23	9-14	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Jess Walkenhorst	set Adriana Dorn	+0.2
24	9-15	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Alana Villela	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.3
25	10-15	PORT	NEVADA	Attack err	Lillian Lansing		+0.2
26	11-15	NEVADA	NEVADA	Attack err	Taina Kaauwai		+0.5
27	11-16	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Kalaweloilehua Chock	+0.4
28	12-16	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Ceren Sert	set Keely Hummel	+0.3
29	12-17	NEVADA	PORT	Attack err	Mckaley Herr		+0.4
30	12-18	PORT	PORT	Ace	PORT server	aced Team	+0.4
31	13-18	PORT	NEVADA×4	Kill	Ceren Sert	set Keely Hummel	+0.2
32	14-18	NEVADA	NEVADA×4	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock		+0.4
33	15-18	NEVADA	NEVADA×4	Attack err	Lillian Lansing	blk Karly Bonaventure, Mckaley Herr	+0.7
34	16-18	NEVADA	NEVADA×4	Ace	NEVADA server	aced Callie Pieper	+1.0
35	16-19	NEVADA	PORT×3	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.8
36	16-20	PORT	PORT×3	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Lillian Lansing	+0.9
37	16-21	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Madison Long		+0.5
38	17-21	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Madison Long	set Keely Hummel	+0.2
39	18-21	NEVADA	NEVADA	Kill	Mckaley Herr		+0.6
40	18-22	NEVADA	PORT×4	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.6
41	18-23	PORT	PORT×4	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Tinoa Woodward-Hart	+0.4
42	18-24	PORT	PORT×4	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.1
43	18-25	PORT	PORT×4	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	NEVADA	NEVADA	Kill	Paige Thies	set Adriana Dorn	+0.5
2	1-1	NEVADA	PORT	Serve err	NEVADA server		+0.3
3	2-1	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Madison Long	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.4
4	2-2	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Lillian Lansing	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.4
5	3-2	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Madison Long	set Masyn Navarro	+0.4
6	3-3	NEVADA	PORT×3	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.4
7	3-4	PORT	PORT×3	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.5
8	3-5	PORT	PORT×3	Ace	PORT server	aced Masyn Navarro	+0.4
9	4-5	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Ceren Sert	set Adriana Dorn	+0.3
10	4-6	NEVADA	PORT×3	Kill	Lillian Lansing	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.3
11	4-7	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Jess Walkenhorst		+0.4
12	4-8	PORT	PORT×3	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Jeryn Hildenbrand	+0.3
13	5-8	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Jess Walkenhorst	set Keely Hummel	+0.2
14	5-9	NEVADA	PORT	Serve err	NEVADA server		+0.2
15	6-9	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Paige Thies	set Keely Hummel	+0.2
16	6-10	NEVADA	PORT×3	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Shaylee Stephen	+0.2
17	6-11	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Karly Bonaventure	blk Shaylee Stephen, Kalaweloilehua Chock	+0.3
18	6-12	PORT	PORT×3	Kill	Shaylee Stephen	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.2
19	7-12	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Jess Walkenhorst	set Keely Hummel	+0.1
20	8-12	NEVADA	NEVADA	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock		+0.2
21	8-13	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.2
22	9-13	PORT	NEVADA	Attack err	Shaylee Stephen	blk Karly Bonaventure, Paige Thies	+0.2
23	9-14	NEVADA	PORT	Bad set	Karly Bonaventure		+0.2
24	10-14	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Adriana Dorn	set Paige Thies	+0.2
25	10-15	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Lillian Lansing	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.2
26	11-15	PORT	NEVADA	Serve err	PORT server		+0.2
27	11-16	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.2
28	12-16	PORT	NEVADA×3	Kill	Mckaley Herr	set Keely Hummel	+0.2
29	13-16	NEVADA	NEVADA×3	Bad set	Tinoa Woodward-Hart		+0.3
30	14-16	NEVADA	NEVADA×3	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock	blk Jess Walkenhorst, Ceren Sert	+0.5
31	14-17	NEVADA	PORT	Serve err	NEVADA server		+0.4
32	15-17	PORT	NEVADA	Serve err	PORT server		+0.4
33	15-18	NEVADA	PORT×4	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.4
34	15-19	PORT	PORT×4	Attack err	Paige Thies	blk Shaylee Stephen, Eliot Diehl Palmer	+0.4
35	15-20	PORT	PORT×4	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock		+0.3
36	15-21	PORT	PORT×4	Attack err	Jess Walkenhorst		+0.2
37	16-21	PORT	NEVADA	Kill	Paige Thies	set Keely Hummel	+0.1
38	17-21	NEVADA	NEVADA	Kill	Karly Bonaventure	set Adriana Dorn	+0.2
39	17-22	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Shaylee Stephen	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.2
40	17-23	PORT	PORT	Serve err	PORT server		+0.1
41	18-23	PORT	NEVADA	Attack err	Lillian Lansing		+0.0
42	18-24	NEVADA	PORT	Kill	Lila Krall	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.0
43	18-25	PORT	PORT	Ace	PORT server	aced Mckaley Herr	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Nevada first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.