FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayWCC

0:3

HomeSUMMIT-LEAGUE

North Dakota St. def. Portland 3–0

(25-21, 25-22, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
PORT	21	22	16	0
ND ST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ND ST above 50 · PORT below

Biggest swing: 2.6% to North Dakota St. — set 2, PORT 21-24 ND ST. Attack error by Kalaweloilehua Chock. ND ST win probability 89% → 91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PORT 35.5%64.5% ND ST

Portland wins

3-0

7.3%

3-1

12.7%

3-2

15.4%

North Dakota St. wins

3-0

19.7%

3-1

24.7%

3-2

20.0%

PORT break %: 41.6% vs this opp
ND ST break %: 44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kalaweloilehua ChockAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Kalaweloilehua Chock
Set 2 · PORT 21-24 ND ST · ND ST 89% → 91%
02
Arianna BlohmKill+2.5%
Kill by Arianna Blohm (set by Sarah Pfiffner)
Set 2 · PORT 20-23 ND ST · ND ST 87% → 90%
03
Courtney PetersKill+2.4%
Kill by Courtney Peters (set by Sarah Pfiffner)
Set 2 · PORT 19-22 ND ST · ND ST 87% → 89%
04
Zoe JohnKill+2.4%
Kill by Zoe John (set by Sarah Pfiffner)
Set 2 · PORT 22-25 ND ST · ND ST 90% → 92%
05
PORT serverAce+2.3%
Portland ace on Maddy Dombeck
Set 2 · PORT 19-21 ND ST · PORT 11% → 13%
06
Kalaweloilehua ChockAttack error+2.2%
Kalaweloilehua Chock stuffed by Courtney Peters & Arianna Blohm
Set 1 · PORT 0-2 ND ST · ND ST 66% → 68%
07
Maui RobinsKill+2.1%
Kill by Maui Robins (set by Havannah Hoeft)
Set 2 · PORT 2-1 ND ST · PORT 20% → 22%
08
Arianna BlohmKill+2.1%
Kill by Arianna Blohm (set by Sarah Pfiffner)
Set 2 · PORT 3-4 ND ST · ND ST 79% → 81%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Portlandaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Maui RobinsOH	3	10	2	20	.400	1	2	0	4	0	2	1	13
17Kalaweloilehua ChockOH	3	7	7	29	.000	2	1	0	7	3	1	0.5	8.5
18Taina KaauwaiMB	3	7	1	11	.545	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
3Havannah HoeftS	3	4	1	6	.500	27	0	3	11	0	2	1	5
5Eliot Diehl PalmerOH	2	3	3	15	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
21Alana VillelaMB	2	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	2
4Jeryn HildenbrandDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	1
12Amiyah EasonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Tinoa Woodward-HartDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	5	4	0	0	0
13Shaylee StephenMB	2	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
11Vanessa HaddockOH	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		35	17	94	.191	32	4	3	34	8	12	6	59

North Dakota St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Courtney PetersOH	3	14	6	32	.250	1	0	1	7	2	0	2	1	15
3Arianna BlohmMB	3	9	1	15	.533	0	1	0	1	0	1	5	3.5	13.5
8Emma TallmanMB	3	7	2	22	.227	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
9Sarah PfiffnerS	3	3	1	7	.286	29	0	2	10	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
12Sadie JohnsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
4Kendall WorwaMB	3	0	0	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Zoe JohnOH	3	13	4	22	.409	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
5Maddy DombeckS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	3	1	5	1	0	0	0	3
10Rya BorerDS	3	0	0	1	.000	9	3	1	3	0	0	0	0	3
Team totals		46	14	104	.308	42	8	6	35	4	2	10	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 PORT · ND ST 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 PORTND ST 7

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 PORTND ST 6

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 PORTND ST 7

Bars above the line = North Dakota St. leads, below = Portland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Portland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	36%4/11
2	38%6/16	50%7/14
3	46%6/13	25%2/8
4	71%5/7	33%3/9
5	56%5/9	50%5/10
6	42%5/12	44%4/9
All	47%34/73	41%25/61

North Dakota St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	50%5/10
2	64%7/11	56%9/16
3	60%6/10	70%14/20
4	100%6/6	25%2/8
5	42%5/12	50%5/10
6	71%5/7	44%4/9
All	59%36/61	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	PORT-ND ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	PORT	ND ST×7	Serve err	PORT server		+1.7
2	0-2	ND ST	ND ST×7	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock	blk Courtney Peters, Arianna Blohm	+2.2
3	0-3	ND ST	ND ST×7	Ace	ND ST server	aced Kalaweloilehua Chock	+2.0
4	0-4	ND ST	ND ST×7	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock	blk Emma Tallman, Arianna Blohm	+1.8
5	0-5	ND ST	ND ST×7	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.6
6	0-6	ND ST	ND ST×7	Ace	ND ST server	aced Kalaweloilehua Chock	+1.4
7	0-7	ND ST	ND ST×7	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Rya Borer	+1.1
8	1-7	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Tinoa Woodward-Hart	+0.7
9	2-7	PORT	PORT	Attack err	Courtney Peters		+1.2
10	2-8	PORT	ND ST	Attack err	Havannah Hoeft		+1.0
11	2-9	ND ST	ND ST	Attack err	Eliot Diehl Palmer		+1.1
12	3-9	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.7
13	3-10	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.8
14	4-10	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.7
15	4-11	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.8
16	5-11	ND ST	PORT×4	Kill	Havannah Hoeft	set Kalaweloilehua Chock	+0.7
17	6-11	PORT	PORT×4	Attack err	Zoe John		+1.1
18	7-11	PORT	PORT×4	Kill	Havannah Hoeft		+1.5
19	8-11	PORT	PORT×4	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Maui Robins	+1.9
20	8-12	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.6
21	8-13	ND ST	ND ST	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock		+1.8
22	9-13	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.1
23	10-13	PORT	PORT	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.9
24	10-14	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.7
25	11-14	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.5
26	11-15	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Emma Tallman	set Rya Borer	+1.7
27	11-16	ND ST	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm		+1.8
28	12-16	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Alana Villela	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.1
29	12-17	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.4
30	12-18	ND ST	ND ST	Attack err	Eliot Diehl Palmer	blk Courtney Peters, Arianna Blohm	+1.3
31	13-18	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Havannah Hoeft	set Kalaweloilehua Chock	+0.7
32	13-19	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Sarah Pfiffner	set Maddy Dombeck	+0.9
33	14-19	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.6
34	14-20	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.9
35	14-21	ND ST	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.7
36	15-21	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.2
37	16-21	PORT	PORT	Ace	PORT server	aced Team	+0.6
38	16-22	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.7
39	17-22	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.3
40	18-22	PORT	PORT	Attack err	Zoe John		+0.8
41	18-23	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Rya Borer	+1.0
42	19-23	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.4
43	20-23	PORT	PORT	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Tinoa Woodward-Hart	+1.1
44	20-24	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Emma Tallman	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.6
45	21-24	ND ST	PORT	Attack err	Courtney Peters	blk Alana Villela, Kalaweloilehua Chock	+0.5
46	21-25	PORT	ND ST	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock		+1.1
Set 2
1	0-1	ND ST	ND ST	Kill	Emma Tallman	set Rya Borer	+1.9
2	1-1	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.5
3	2-1	PORT	PORT	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+2.1
4	2-2	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Rya Borer	+1.5
5	3-2	ND ST	PORT	Serve err	ND ST server		+1.6
6	3-3	PORT	ND ST×6	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.6
7	3-4	ND ST	ND ST×6	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+2.1
8	3-5	ND ST	ND ST×6	Ace	ND ST server	aced Tinoa Woodward-Hart	+2.0
9	3-6	ND ST	ND ST×6	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.9
10	3-7	ND ST	ND ST×6	Attack err	Maui Robins		+1.7
11	3-8	ND ST	ND ST×6	Attack err	Maui Robins		+1.5
12	4-8	ND ST	PORT×3	Kill	Eliot Diehl Palmer	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.0
13	5-8	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Courtney Peters	blk Taina Kaauwai, Havannah Hoeft	+1.6
14	6-8	PORT	PORT×3	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.8
15	6-9	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.5
16	7-9	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.4
17	7-10	PORT	ND ST×4	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.5
18	7-11	ND ST	ND ST×4	Kill	Zoe John	set Maddy Dombeck	+1.8
19	7-12	ND ST	ND ST×4	Ace	ND ST server	aced Tinoa Woodward-Hart	+1.5
20	7-13	ND ST	ND ST×4	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.2
21	8-13	ND ST	PORT×3	Kill	Kalaweloilehua Chock	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.7
22	9-13	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Zoe John	blk Alana Villela, Havannah Hoeft	+1.3
23	10-13	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Sarah Pfiffner		+1.6
24	10-14	PORT	ND ST×4	Kill	Zoe John	set Maddy Dombeck	+1.5
25	10-15	ND ST	ND ST×4	Kill	Zoe John	set Courtney Peters	+1.6
26	10-16	ND ST	ND ST×4	Attack err	Alana Villela		+1.2
27	10-17	ND ST	ND ST×4	Attack err	Shaylee Stephen		+0.8
28	11-17	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Havannah Hoeft	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.4
29	11-18	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.6
30	12-18	ND ST	PORT×4	Serve err	ND ST server		+0.4
31	13-18	PORT	PORT×4	Ace	PORT server	aced Courtney Peters	+0.8
32	14-18	PORT	PORT×4	Kill	Shaylee Stephen	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.1
33	15-18	PORT	PORT×4	Attack err	Courtney Peters		+1.6
34	15-19	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Emma Tallman	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.6
35	15-20	ND ST	ND ST	Attack err	Eliot Diehl Palmer		+1.5
36	16-20	ND ST	PORT	Attack err	Emma Tallman	blk Maui Robins, Shaylee Stephen	+0.7
37	17-20	PORT	PORT	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.5
38	17-21	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.6
39	18-21	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.1
40	19-21	PORT	PORT	Ace	PORT server	aced Maddy Dombeck	+2.3
41	19-22	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+2.4
42	20-22	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.7
43	20-23	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+2.5
44	21-23	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.5
45	21-24	PORT	ND ST	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock		+2.6
46	22-24	ND ST	PORT	Serve err	ND ST server		+1.0
47	22-25	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+2.4
Set 3
1	1-0	PORT	PORT	Attack err	Courtney Peters	blk Shaylee Stephen, Vanessa Haddock	+1.2
2	1-1	PORT	ND ST	Serve err	PORT server		+0.9
3	1-2	ND ST	ND ST	Ace	ND ST server	aced Kalaweloilehua Chock	+1.2
4	2-2	ND ST	PORT×3	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.9
5	3-2	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Arianna Blohm		+1.3
6	4-2	PORT	PORT×3	Ace	PORT server	aced Courtney Peters	+1.3
7	4-3	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Emma Tallman	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.9
8	4-4	ND ST	ND ST	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.3
9	5-4	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Shaylee Stephen	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.0
10	6-4	PORT	PORT	Attack err	Courtney Peters		+1.4
11	6-5	PORT	ND ST×3	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.0
12	6-6	ND ST	ND ST×3	Attack err	Taina Kaauwai	blk Arianna Blohm	+1.3
13	6-7	ND ST	ND ST×3	Attack err	Vanessa Haddock	blk Zoe John, Arianna Blohm	+1.3
14	7-7	ND ST	PORT	Serve err	ND ST server		+1.0
15	7-8	PORT	ND ST	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock	blk Sarah Pfiffner	+1.0
16	7-9	ND ST	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.3
17	8-9	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.0
18	9-9	PORT	PORT	Attack err	Zoe John		+1.4
19	9-10	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Sarah Pfiffner	set Courtney Peters	+1.1
20	10-10	ND ST	PORT	Serve err	ND ST server		+1.1
21	10-11	PORT	ND ST×5	Kill	Zoe John	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.1
22	10-12	ND ST	ND ST×5	Kill	Emma Tallman	set Rya Borer	+1.5
23	10-13	ND ST	ND ST×5	Kill	Courtney Peters		+1.3
24	10-14	ND ST	ND ST×5	Ace	ND ST server	aced Tinoa Woodward-Hart	+1.2
25	10-15	ND ST	ND ST×5	Kill	Emma Tallman	set Rya Borer	+0.9
26	11-15	ND ST	PORT×3	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.6
27	12-15	PORT	PORT×3	Attack err	Emma Tallman	blk Shaylee Stephen, Maui Robins	+1.0
28	13-15	PORT	PORT×3	Kill	Vanessa Haddock	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.3
29	13-16	PORT	ND ST	Serve err	PORT server		+1.1
30	14-16	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Maui Robins	set Havannah Hoeft	+1.0
31	14-17	PORT	ND ST×7	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Sarah Pfiffner	+1.2
32	14-18	ND ST	ND ST×7	Bad set	Tinoa Woodward-Hart		+1.3
33	14-19	ND ST	ND ST×7	Ace	ND ST server	aced Tinoa Woodward-Hart	+0.9
34	14-20	ND ST	ND ST×7	Ace	ND ST server	aced Team	+0.6
35	14-21	ND ST	ND ST×7	Kill	Arianna Blohm	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.3
36	14-22	ND ST	ND ST×7	Kill	Sarah Pfiffner	set Rya Borer	+0.2
37	14-23	ND ST	ND ST×7	Attack err	Kalaweloilehua Chock	blk Arianna Blohm, Sarah Pfiffner	+0.1
38	15-23	ND ST	PORT	Serve err	ND ST server		+0.0
39	15-24	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Courtney Peters	set Sarah Pfiffner	+0.0
40	16-24	ND ST	PORT	Kill	Taina Kaauwai	set Havannah Hoeft	+0.0
41	16-25	PORT	ND ST	Kill	Zoe John	set Rya Borer	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Portland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.