FinalThu, Oct 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Portland def. Pacific 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Portland 85.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Portland won at Pacific 3-0 (25-22, 25-22, 25-21) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Portland's Taina Kaauwai and Kalaweloilehua Chock led with 15 kills each, and Jeryn Hildenbrand added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 8

Set123Sets
PORT2525253
PACIF2222210

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Taina Kaauwai needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. Portland swept Pacific.

Win probability never moved more than 2.7 points on one rally; Pacific topped out at 23% in Set 1. Portland went in as RallyIQ's 86% pick.

PortlandPacific
  • Hitting+.182
    .337.155

    42 kills, 11 errors vs 32 kills, 17 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    5 straight Portland points in the second set turned a 9–11 deficit into a 14–11 lead. Final score of the set: 25–22.

Pacific above 50Portland belowMax swing 2.7%

PortlandPacific

Aces
Portland 6·Pacific 12
Serve err
Portland 8·Pacific 9
Blocks
Portland 7·Pacific 60 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Portland 44·Pacific 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Pacific above 50 · Portland below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.7% PACIFrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.7% to Pacific — set 1, PORT 12-15 PACIF. Pacific ace on Callie Pieper. PACIF win probability 20% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PORT 83.4%16.6% PACIF

Portland wins

3-0
35.2%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.2%

Pacific wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
8.7%
PORT break %
46.1% vs this opp
PACIF break %
38.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    PacificAce+2.7%

    Pacific ace on Callie Pieper

    Set 1 · PORT 12-15 PACIF · PACIF 20% → 23%

  2. 02

    Kill by Havannah Hoeft (set by Chloe Giehtbrock)

    Set 1 · PORT 17-16 PACIF · PORT 83% → 86%

  3. 03
    PortlandAce+2.5%

    Portland ace on Ella Gridley

    Set 1 · PORT 15-15 PACIF · PORT 81% → 84%

  4. 04

    Kill by Vanessa Zussino (set by Ella Gridley)

    Set 1 · PORT 10-13 PACIF · PACIF 20% → 22%

  5. 05
    Hanna VorhiesAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Hanna Vorhies

    Set 1 · PORT 14-15 PACIF · PORT 79% → 81%

  6. 06
    Taina KaauwaiAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Taina Kaauwai

    Set 1 · PORT 10-12 PACIF · PACIF 17% → 20%

  7. 07
    PortlandAce+2.3%

    Portland ace

    Set 1 · PORT 18-16 PACIF · PORT 86% → 88%

  8. 08
    Alessia CouchondBad set+2.2%

    Bad set by Alessia Couchond

    Set 1 · PORT 12-13 PACIF · PORT 79% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315219.68400010052.517.5
315334.3532104202117
35311.18210010010.55.5
3417.42910000031.55.5
3113.000330170031.52.5
32118.056003430002
3000–0221400002
3000–0211030002
3000–011000001
2000–100310000
Team totals421192.33738684412014775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311630.16702271031.514.5
38318.2780332102112
3318.25002220031.56.5
34112.250000001226
3011-1.0001711900001
3001.000111410001
33211.091000000003
3000–030000003
3002.000400610000
3000–700400000
2219.111000200002
2000–000000000
1125-.200000000001
Team totals321797.15529129366110665

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Portland vs Pacific

Season series · Portland leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PORT · PACIF 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 PORTPACIF 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 PORTPACIF 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 PORTPACIF 3

Bars above the line = Pacific leads, below = Portland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Portland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%6/10
40%4/10
2
71%5/7
29%2/7
3
80%4/5
43%3/7
4
50%4/8
64%7/11
5
67%4/6
43%3/7
6
57%4/7
50%4/8
All
63%27/43
46%23/50

Pacific

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%6/10
43%3/7
2
71%5/7
40%4/10
3
57%4/7
29%2/7
4
36%4/11
20%1/5
5
57%4/7
50%4/8
6
50%4/8
33%2/6
All
54%27/50
37%16/43

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#PORT-PACIFSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PORTPORTKillLila Krallset Sydney Cazimero+1.3
22-0PORTPORTAttack errNicole Zake+1.2
32-1PORTPACIFKillEllie Prindlset Alessia Couchond+0.9
43-1PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.9
53-2PORTPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+0.9
64-2PACIFPORTServe errPacific+0.9
74-3PORTPACIFServe errPortland+0.9
84-4PACIFPACIFAttack errLila Krall+1.5
95-4PACIFPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.0
105-5PORTPACIFBad setTaina Kaauwai+1.1
115-6PACIFPACIFKillHannah Koesterset Chloe Giehtbrock+1.8
126-6PACIFPORTKillCallie Pieperset Havannah Hoeft+1.2
136-7PORTPACIFKillHannah Koesterset Chloe Giehtbrock+1.3
146-8PACIFPACIFAcePacificaced Callie Pieper+2.0
157-8PACIFPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.3
168-8PORTPORT×3BlockedAlessia Couchondblk Sydney Cazimero, Kalaweloilehua Chock+1.8
179-8PORTPORT×3AcePortlandaced Isabella Gutierrez+1.7
189-9PORTPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+1.3
199-10PACIFPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+2.0
2010-10PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.4
2110-11PORTPACIF×3KillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+1.6
2210-12PACIFPACIF×3Attack errTaina Kaauwai+2.4
2310-13PACIFPACIF×3KillVanessa Zussinoset Ella Gridley+2.5
2411-13PACIFPORTBlockedNicole Zakeblk Taina Kaauwai, Sydney Cazimero+1.5
2512-13PORTPORTBad setAlessia Couchond+2.2
2612-14PORTPACIFBlockedSydney Cazimeroblk Adeline Sirbu+1.9
2712-15PACIFPACIFAcePacificaced Callie Pieper+2.7
2813-15PACIFPORT×3KillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+1.5
2914-15PORTPORT×3Attack errHanna Vorhies+2.4
3015-15PORTPORT×3AcePortlandaced Ella Gridley+2.5
3115-16PORTPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Chloe Giehtbrock+2.0
3216-16PACIFPORT×4Serve errPacific+1.8
3317-16PORTPORT×4KillHavannah Hoeftset Chloe Giehtbrock+2.5
3418-16PORTPORT×4AcePortland+2.3
3519-16PORTPORT×4KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.8
3619-17PORTPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Chloe Giehtbrock+1.1
3720-17PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.3
3821-17PORTPORTBlockedHanna Vorhiesblk Kalaweloilehua Chock, Taina Kaauwai+1.3
3921-18PORTPACIFServe errPortland+0.6
4022-18PACIFPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.9
4123-18PORTPORTBlockedVanessa Zussinoblk Havannah Hoeft, Sydney Cazimero+0.6
4223-19PORTPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+0.2
4323-20PACIFPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Isabella Gutierrez+0.6
4424-20PACIFPORTKillSydney Cazimeroset Havannah Hoeft+0.7
4524-21PORTPACIFServe errPortland+0.2
4624-22PACIFPACIFBlockedKalaweloilehua Chockblk Nicole Zake, Adeline Sirbu+0.8
4725-22PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.3
Set 2
11-0PORT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
22-0PORTPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Lila Krall+0.9
32-1PORTPACIF×4KillEllie Prindlset Alessia Couchond+0.6
42-2PACIFPACIF×4KillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+1.0
52-3PACIFPACIF×4BlockedLila Krallblk Nicole Zake, Ellie Prindl+1.2
62-4PACIFPACIF×4AcePacificaced Callie Pieper+1.3
73-4PACIFPORT×3Serve errPacific+0.8
84-4PORTPORT×3KillLila Krallset Kalaweloilehua Chock+1.2
95-4PORTPORT×3Attack errEllie Prindl+1.1
105-5PORTPACIF×3Serve errPortland+0.8
115-6PACIFPACIF×3BlockedCallie Pieperblk Adeline Sirbu, Vanessa Zussino+1.3
125-7PACIFPACIF×3AcePacificaced Kalaweloilehua Chock+1.4
136-7PACIFPORT×4Serve errPacific+0.9
147-7PORTPORT×4KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.3
158-7PORTPORT×4AcePortlandaced Nicole Zake+1.2
169-7PORTPORT×4KillCallie Pieperset Taina Kaauwai+1.1
179-8PORTPACIF×4KillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+0.8
189-9PACIFPACIF×4AcePacific+1.3
199-10PACIFPACIF×4KillNicole Zake+1.5
209-11PACIFPACIF×4AcePacificaced Tinoa Woodward-Hart+1.6
2110-11PACIFPORT×5KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.0
2211-11PORTPORT×5KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.5
2312-11PORTPORT×5KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.4
2413-11PORTPORT×5KillKalaweloilehua Chock+1.3
2514-11PORTPORT×5Attack errNicole Zake+1.1
2614-12PORTPACIFServe errPortland+0.7
2715-12PACIFPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.8
2816-12PORTPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Amiyah Eason+0.9
2916-13PORTPACIFKillJulia Porathset Chloe Giehtbrock+0.5
3016-14PACIFPACIFAcePacificaced Tinoa Woodward-Hart+1.0
3117-14PACIFPORTKillSydney Cazimeroset Havannah Hoeft+0.8
3218-14PORTPORTAttack errHannah Koester+0.9
3318-15PORTPACIFKillJulia Porathset Chloe Giehtbrock+0.5
3418-16PACIFPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Jeryn Hildenbrand+1.1
3519-16PACIFPORTServe errPacific+0.9
3619-17PORTPACIFKillEllie Prindlset Alessia Couchond+0.8
3720-17PACIFPORTKillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+0.9
3821-17PORTPORTBlockedNicole Zakeblk Taina Kaauwai, Lila Krall+0.9
3921-18PORTPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+0.4
4022-18PACIFPORTKillCallie Pieperset Havannah Hoeft+0.6
4122-19PORTPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+0.4
4223-19PACIFPORTBlockedNicole Zakeblk Taina Kaauwai, Havannah Hoeft+0.6
4324-19PORTPORTAttack errVanessa Zussino+0.4
4424-20PORTPACIF×3KillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+0.1
4524-21PACIFPACIF×3AcePacific+0.2
4624-22PACIFPACIF×3AcePacific+0.6
4725-22PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.9
Set 3
10-1PORTPACIFBlockedKalaweloilehua Chockblk Ellie Prindl, Vanessa Zussino+0.4
21-1PACIFPORTKillSydney Cazimeroset Havannah Hoeft+0.3
31-2PORTPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Isabella Gutierrez+0.4
42-2PACIFPORTKillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
52-3PORTPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+0.4
63-3PACIFPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
73-4PORTPACIF×3KillHannah Koesterset Chloe Giehtbrock+0.4
83-5PACIFPACIF×3AcePacificaced Tinoa Woodward-Hart+0.6
93-6PACIFPACIF×3Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+0.7
104-6PACIFPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
115-6PORTPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.6
126-6PORTPORT×3Attack errNicole Zake+0.6
136-7PORTPACIFServe errPortland+0.5
147-7PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
158-7PORTPORTAttack errVanessa Zussino+0.6
168-8PORTPACIFServe errPortland+0.4
179-8PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
1810-8PORTPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.5
1910-9PORTPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Isabella Gutierrez+0.4
2011-9PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
2111-10PORTPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+0.4
2212-10PACIFPORTServe errPacific+0.4
2313-10PORTPORTAcePortland+0.5
2413-11PORTPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+0.3
2514-11PACIFPORT×5Serve errPacific+0.4
2615-11PORTPORT×5Attack errJulia Porath+0.4
2716-11PORTPORT×5KillTaina Kaauwaiset Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.3
2817-11PORTPORT×5BlockedHannah Koesterblk Taina Kaauwai, Havannah Hoeft+0.2
2918-11PORTPORT×5Attack errAdeline Sirbu+0.1
3018-12PORTPACIFServe errPortland+0.1
3118-13PACIFPACIFAcePacificaced Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.1
3219-13PACIFPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.1
3319-14PORTPACIFAttack errTaina Kaauwai+0.1
3419-15PACIFPACIFBad setAmiyah Eason+0.2
3520-15PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
3620-16PORTPACIFKillNicole Zake+0.1
3720-17PACIFPACIFBlockedHavannah Hoeftblk Nicole Zake, Ellie Prindl+0.3
3821-17PACIFPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.3
3922-17PORTPORTKillSydney Cazimeroset Jeryn Hildenbrand+0.3
4022-18PORTPACIFAttack errLila Krall+0.1
4122-19PACIFPACIFAcePacificaced Amiyah Eason+0.3
4223-19PACIFPORTServe errPacific+0.3
4324-19PORTPORTAcePortlandaced Vanessa Zussino+0.2
4424-20PORTPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond·
4524-21PACIFPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Isabella Gutierrez+0.1
4625-21PACIFPORTServe errPacific+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Portland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).