FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

San Diego def. Portland 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: San Diego 89.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

San Diego won at Portland 3-0 (25-17, 25-10, 25-11) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. San Diego's Kierstyn Barton led with 12 kills, and Lauren Lynch added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
USD2525253
PORT1710110

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kierstyn Barton hit .524 with 12 kills as San Diego rolled past Portland.

Win probability never moved more than 1.6 points on one rally; Portland topped out at 15% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave San Diego 90% before first serve.

San DiegoPortland
  • Break %+35.5 pts
    63.027.5

    Points won on own serve: 46 of 73 vs 11 of 40. Portland sided out 37.0% of the time.

  • Hitting+.406
    .453.047

    39 K / 5 E against 26 K / 22 E.

  • Longest run+2
    64

    Up 12–11 in the first set, San Diego scored 6 straight to make it 18–11. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Portland above 50San Diego belowMax swing 1.6%

San DiegoPortland

Aces
San Diego 9·Portland 1
Serve err
San Diego 5·Portland 5
Blocks
San Diego 10·Portland 23 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 4 BA
Digs
San Diego 31·Portland 28

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Portland above 50 · San Diego below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.6% PORTrally 113 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Portland — set 1, USD 4-7 PORT. Nemo Beach stuffed by Havannah Hoeft & Taina Kaauwai. PORT win probability 13% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USD 94.6%5.4% PORT

San Diego wins

3-0
54.4%
3-1
30.0%
3-2
10.3%

Portland wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.5%
3-2
3.2%
USD break %
50.0% vs this opp
PORT break %
37.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Nemo Beach stuffed by Havannah Hoeft & Taina Kaauwai

    Set 1 · USD 4-7 PORT · PORT 13% → 15%

  2. 02
    Taina KaauwaiKill+1.6%

    Kill by Taina Kaauwai (set by Havannah Hoeft)

    Set 1 · USD 8-9 PORT · PORT 11% → 12%

  3. 03
    Meghan ScholzAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Meghan Scholz

    Set 1 · USD 3-5 PORT · PORT 12% → 13%

  4. 04
    Vanessa HaddockAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Vanessa Haddock

    Set 1 · USD 6-7 PORT · USD 86% → 88%

  5. 05
    San DiegoAce+1.4%

    San Diego ace on Tinoa Woodward-Hart

    Set 1 · USD 11-10 PORT · USD 89% → 90%

  6. 06
    San DiegoAce+1.4%

    San Diego ace on Tinoa Woodward-Hart

    Set 1 · USD 7-7 PORT · USD 88% → 89%

  7. 07

    Ace by Kalaweloilehua Chock on Kalli Lipo

    Set 1 · USD 0-2 PORT · PORT 11% → 13%

  8. 08
    Ryann KnuthAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Ryann Knuth

    Set 1 · USD 3-4 PORT · PORT 10% → 12%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312121.52410040031.513.5
36216.2500212034513
3809.88900010031.59.5
3102.500302150031.54.5
32113.07700240010.52.5
3000–000410000
39112.6670201000011
3000–4211000002
1102.500000000001
1000–010000001
Team totals39575.45335953113141075
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38729.034110300009
38520.15000120010.58.5
3719.667001000218
3128-.125000000001
3001.0001900100010.50.5
22411-.182000100002
3000–000100000
3000–501740000
3000–002330000
2000–000000000
1014-.250000000000
1023-.667000000000
1001.000000100000
Team totals262286.047251528904238

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

San Diego vs Portland

Season series · San Diego leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 USD · PORT 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 6 USDPORT 4

Set 2

25-10

Longest run 5 USDPORT 1

Set 3

25-11

Longest run 6 USDPORT 3

Bars above the line = Portland leads, below = San Diego leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
69%9/13
2
55%6/11
60%9/15
3
67%6/9
33%3/9
4
83%5/6
55%6/11
5
100%3/3
77%10/13
6
100%3/3
75%9/12
All
73%29/40
63%46/73

Portland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%6/15
29%2/7
2
55%6/11
45%5/11
3
45%5/11
33%3/9
4
40%4/10
17%1/6
5
20%3/15
0%0/4
6
27%3/11
0%0/3
All
37%27/73
28%11/40

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

113 rallies

#USD-PORTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PORTPORTKillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+1.2
20-2PORTPORTAceKalaweloilehua Chockaced Kalli Lipo+1.3
31-2PORTUSD×3BlockedVanessa Haddockblk Meghan Scholz, Kierstyn Barton+0.9
42-2USDUSD×3Attack errLila Krall+1.2
53-2USDUSD×3BlockedVanessa Haddockblk Meghan Scholz, Kylie Munday+1.1
63-3USDPORT×3KillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+0.9
73-4PORTPORT×3Attack errRyann Knuth+1.3
83-5PORTPORT×3Attack errMeghan Scholz+1.5
94-5PORTUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.0
104-6USDPORTServe errSan Diego+1.2
114-7PORTPORTBlockedNemo Beachblk Havannah Hoeft, Taina Kaauwai+1.6
125-7PORTUSD×4Serve errPortland+1.1
136-7USDUSD×4Attack errVanessa Haddock+1.4
147-7USDUSD×4AceSan Diegoaced Tinoa Woodward-Hart+1.4
158-7USDUSD×4AceSan Diego+1.3
168-8USDPORTServe errSan Diego+1.0
178-9PORTPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.6
189-9PORTUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.1
199-10USDPORTServe errSan Diego+1.3
2010-10PORTUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.1
2111-10USDUSD×3AceSan Diegoaced Tinoa Woodward-Hart+1.4
2212-10USDUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.3
2312-11USDPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.0
2413-11PORTUSD×6KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+1.0
2514-11USDUSD×6KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.1
2615-11USDUSD×6KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.9
2716-11USDUSD×6Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+0.6
2817-11USDUSD×6Attack errLila Krall+0.4
2918-11USDUSD×6BlockedLila Krallblk Meghan Scholz+0.3
3018-12USDPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.1
3119-12PORTUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.2
3220-12USDUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
3321-12USDUSD×3BlockedLila Krallblk Ryann Knuth, Meghan Scholz+0.1
3421-13USDPORT×4KillShaylee Stephenset Havannah Hoeft·
3521-14PORTPORT×4KillVanessa Haddockset Jeryn Hildenbrand+0.1
3621-15PORTPORT×4Attack errKierstyn Barton+0.1
3721-16PORTPORT×4KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
3822-16PORTUSD×3Serve errPortland+0.2
3923-16USDUSD×3BlockedVanessa Haddockblk Meghan Scholz, Kylie Munday+0.1
4024-16USDUSD×3KillMeghan Scholz·
4124-17USDPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft·
4225-17PORTUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday·
Set 2
11-0USDUSDAceLauren Lynch+0.7
22-0USDUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.6
32-1USDPORTKillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+0.5
43-1PORTUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.5
53-2USDPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Jeryn Hildenbrand+0.5
64-2PORTUSDServe errPortland+0.5
74-3USDPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.5
85-3PORTUSDBlockedKalaweloilehua Chockblk Meghan Scholz+0.5
95-4USDPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Jeryn Hildenbrand+0.5
106-4PORTUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.5
117-4USDUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.6
127-5USDPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.5
138-5PORTUSD×3KillBayLea Sparksset Kierstyn Barton+0.5
149-5USDUSD×3AceNemo Beachaced Jeryn Hildenbrand+0.5
1510-5USDUSD×3KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.4
1610-6USDPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Jeryn Hildenbrand+0.3
1711-6PORTUSDBlockedVanessa Haddockblk BayLea Sparks, Kierstyn Barton+0.3
1812-6USDUSDAceLauren Lynchaced Jeryn Hildenbrand+0.3
1912-7USDPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
2013-7PORTUSD×4KillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.2
2114-7USDUSD×4Attack errTaina Kaauwai+0.2
2215-7USDUSD×4Attack errCallie Pieper+0.1
2316-7USDUSD×4KillRyann Knuthset Lauren Lynch+0.1
2416-8USDPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft·
2517-8PORTUSDKillRyann Knuthset Lauren Lynch+0.1
2618-8USDUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday·
2718-9USDPORTServe errRyann Knuth·
2819-9PORTUSDAttack errKalaweloilehua Chock·
2920-9USDUSDBlockedKalaweloilehua Chockblk BayLea Sparks, Kylie Munday·
3020-10USDPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft·
3121-10PORTUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Lauren Lynch·
3222-10USDUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday·
3323-10USDUSD×5Attack errShaylee Stephen·
3424-10USDUSD×5KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday·
3525-10USDUSD×5AceKylie Mundayaced Jeryn Hildenbrand·
Set 3
11-0PORTUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.2
22-0USDUSD×3Attack errEliot Diehl Palmer+0.3
33-0USDUSD×3BlockedShaylee Stephenblk Meghan Scholz+0.3
43-1USDPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
54-1PORTUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.2
64-2USDPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.2
75-2PORTUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.2
85-3USDPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
96-3PORTUSD×5KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.2
107-3USDUSD×5KillNemo Beach+0.2
118-3USDUSD×5KillBayLea Sparks+0.2
129-3USDUSD×5AceKylie Mundayaced Tinoa Woodward-Hart+0.1
1310-3USDUSD×5KillKierstyn Bartonset Lauren Lynch+0.1
1410-4USDPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.1
1511-4PORTUSD×6Serve errPortland+0.1
1612-4USDUSD×6KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.1
1713-4USDUSD×6KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday·
1814-4USDUSD×6BlockedKalaweloilehua Chockblk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks·
1915-4USDUSD×6KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday·
2016-4USDUSD×6Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock·
2116-5USDPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Jeryn Hildenbrand·
2217-5PORTUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday·
2318-5USDUSDAttack errEliot Diehl Palmer·
2418-6USDPORTServe errLauren Lynch·
2519-6PORTUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday·
2619-7USDPORTBad setKierstyn Barton·
2720-7PORTUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday·
2820-8USDPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft·
2920-9PORTPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwai·
3020-10PORTPORT×3BlockedMeghan Scholzblk Taina Kaauwai, Vanessa Haddock·
3121-10PORTUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday·
3222-10USDUSD×3KillKylie Mundayset Vanessa Haddock·
3323-10USDUSD×3AceReese Batesaced Jeryn Hildenbrand·
3423-11USDPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft·
3524-11PORTUSDServe errPortland·
3625-11USDUSDAttack errKalaweloilehua Chock·

Score shown after each rally, San Diego first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).