Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Portland def. Seattle U 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Portland 93.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Portland beat visiting Seattle U 3-2 (24-26, 25-21, 25-19, 19-25, 15-4) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Portland's Kalaweloilehua Chock led with 20 kills, and Jeryn Hildenbrand added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set12345Sets
SEATTL2621192542
PORT24252519153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Ava Lilo, and Portland needed each of them.

The match turned twice; each line shows Portland's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Portland 93% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Seattle U 9–5 Portland

    Down 5–9, Portland scored 7 straight to lead 12–9.

    Portland 67% → 83%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Seattle U 1–2 Portland

    Portland scored 4 straight to stretch a 2–1 lead to 6–1.

    Portland 81% → 96%

Portland above 50Seattle U belowMax swing 6.3%

Seattle UPortland

Sideout %
Seattle U 45.4·Portland 51.6
Break %
Seattle U 48.4·Portland 54.6
Hitting
Seattle U .178·Portland .266
Longest run
Seattle U 5·Portland 7

Lila Krall
5 kills on .143, 6 points; 5 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Portland above 50 · Seattle U below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+6.3% PORTrally 203 · set 5

Biggest swing: 6.3% to Portland — set 5, SEATTL 0-1 PORT. Kill by Vanessa Haddock (set by Havannah Hoeft). PORT win probability 73% → 80%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SEATTL 8.1%91.9% PORT

Seattle U wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.4%
3-2
4.7%

Portland wins

3-0
48.0%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
12.7%
SEATTL break %
38.5% vs this opp
PORT break %
49.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Vanessa Haddock (set by Havannah Hoeft)

    Set 5 · SEATTL 0-1 PORT · PORT 73% → 80%

  2. 02
    Seattle UAce+6.3%

    Seattle U ace on Amiyah Eason

    Set 1 · SEATTL 26-24 PORT · SEATTL 14% → 20%

  3. 03

    Kill by Shaylee Stephen (set by Havannah Hoeft)

    Set 5 · SEATTL 0-2 PORT · PORT 80% → 85%

  4. 04
    Seattle UAce+4.8%

    Seattle U ace

    Set 1 · SEATTL 24-23 PORT · SEATTL 9% → 14%

  5. 05

    Ace by Jeryn Hildenbrand on Clara Garcia

    Set 5 · SEATTL 1-4 PORT · PORT 85% → 90%

  6. 06
    Chloee LeslieKill+4.3%

    Kill by Chloee Leslie (set by Grace Jones)

    Set 5 · SEATTL 1-2 PORT · SEATTL 15% → 19%

  7. 07

    Taina Kaauwai stuffed by Chloee Leslie & Lexi Jones

    Set 2 · SEATTL 15-13 PORT · SEATTL 27% → 31%

  8. 08
    Lila KrallKill+4.2%

    Kill by Lila Krall (set by Havannah Hoeft)

    Set 5 · SEATTL 1-3 PORT · PORT 81% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
511931.06502174031.514.5
5307.429042400429
53313.000000100636
5102.5001821500003
44416.000000201015
33123.08710031010.53.5
519439.3850001002120
5011-1.0002111100001
5000–101520000
5000–2301800000
4000–021460002
2219.111000000213
2305.600000100003
Team totals4923146.1784511852141181095
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520649.286011131052.523.5
517325.5601122012220
5227.000100000846
5307.42951011200214
5000–0001210000
3439.111000020004
58429.1380221000010
5000–253420005
5000–1421420004
45314.143000010216
1113.00001010010.52.5
Team totals6022143.266561411591112011108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Seattle U vs Portland

Season series · Portland leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SEATTL · PORT 7

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 SEATTLPORT 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 SEATTLPORT 7

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 SEATTLPORT 6

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 SEATTLPORT 6

Set 5

4-15

Longest run 1 SEATTLPORT 5

Bars above the line = Portland leads, below = Seattle U leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Seattle U

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
50%6/12
2
50%7/14
59%10/17
3
33%7/21
0%0/7
4
70%7/10
59%10/17
5
63%5/8
50%6/12
6
33%5/15
55%6/11
All
46%38/83
50%38/76

Portland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
70%14/20
2
47%7/15
42%5/12
3
58%7/12
53%8/15
4
47%7/15
63%12/19
5
45%5/11
25%2/8
6
50%4/8
44%4/9
All
50%38/76
54%45/83

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

203 rallies

#SEATTL-PORTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PORTPORT×5Attack errOrinayo Olukanmi+0.7
20-2PORTPORT×5KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.6
30-3PORTPORT×5KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.5
40-4PORTPORT×5KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
50-5PORTPORT×5KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
61-5PORTSEATTLKillOrinayo Olukanmiset Bella Jones+0.3
71-6SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.3
81-7PORTPORTAttack errOrinayo Olukanmi+0.3
92-7PORTSEATTLServe errKalaweloilehua Chock+0.2
102-8SEATTLPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
112-9PORTPORTAceJeryn Hildenbrandaced Chloee Leslie+0.2
123-9PORTSEATTL×4KillTamara Ungaset Grace Jones+0.1
134-9SEATTLSEATTL×4AceSeattle Uaced Eliot Diehl Palmer+0.3
145-9SEATTLSEATTL×4KillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+0.4
156-9SEATTLSEATTL×4AceSeattle Uaced Eliot Diehl Palmer+0.5
166-10SEATTLPORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
177-10PORTSEATTLServe errAva Lilo+0.4
188-10SEATTLSEATTLAttack errTaina Kaauwai+0.7
198-11SEATTLPORT×3KillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+0.5
208-12PORTPORT×3Attack errLexi Jones+0.6
218-13PORTPORT×3AceVanessa Haddockaced Elaina Duong+0.4
229-13PORTSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+0.3
2310-13SEATTLSEATTL×3KillLexi Jonesset Bella Jones+0.5
2411-13SEATTLSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Janae Demant+0.7
2511-14SEATTLPORT×4KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.6
2611-15PORTPORT×4Attack errChloee Leslie+0.6
2711-16PORTPORT×4AceTaina Kaauwai+0.4
2811-17PORTPORT×4BlockedChloee Leslieblk Havannah Hoeft, Shaylee Stephen+0.3
2912-17PORTSEATTLServe errTaina Kaauwai+0.2
3012-18SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
3113-18PORTSEATTL×3KillLexi Jonesset Bella Jones+0.2
3214-18SEATTLSEATTL×3Bad setShaylee Stephen+0.3
3315-18SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedEliot Diehl Palmerblk Hailey McEllrath, Lexi Jones+0.6
3415-19SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.5
3516-19PORTSEATTLKillOrinayo Olukanmiset Janae Demant+0.4
3616-20SEATTLPORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.5
3717-20PORTSEATTL×3BlockedEliot Diehl Palmerblk Hailey McEllrath, Tamara Unga+0.4
3818-20SEATTLSEATTL×3KillTeagan Meltonset Taina Kaauwai+0.9
3919-20SEATTLSEATTL×3KillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.4
4019-21SEATTLPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+1.2
4119-22PORTPORTAttack errTeagan Melton+1.2
4220-22PORTSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+0.7
4321-22SEATTLSEATTL×3Attack errVanessa Haddock+1.5
4422-22SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedVanessa Haddockblk Lexi Jones, Teagan Melton+2.6
4522-23SEATTLPORTAttack errLexi Jones+2.2
4623-23PORTSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+2.3
4724-23SEATTLSEATTLAceSeattle U+4.8
4824-24SEATTLPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+3.7
4925-24PORTSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Bella Jones+3.7
5026-24SEATTLSEATTLAceSeattle Uaced Amiyah Eason+6.3
Set 2
10-1SEATTLPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+1.2
21-1PORTSEATTL×5KillTeagan Meltonset Jeryn Hildenbrand+1.4
32-1SEATTLSEATTL×5BlockedTaina Kaauwaiblk Lexi Jones, Teagan Melton+2.2
43-1SEATTLSEATTL×5Bad setKalaweloilehua Chock+2.5
54-1SEATTLSEATTL×5BlockedEliot Diehl Palmerblk Chloee Leslie, Lexi Jones+2.8
65-1SEATTLSEATTL×5AceSeattle Uaced Jeryn Hildenbrand+3.0
75-2SEATTLPORTServe errSeattle U+1.9
86-2PORTSEATTLServe errAva Lilo+2.4
96-3SEATTLPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.9
107-3PORTSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Bella Jones+2.5
117-4SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+2.0
128-4PORTSEATTLKillOrinayo Olukanmiset Bella Jones+2.6
138-5SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+2.0
149-5PORTSEATTLServe errHavannah Hoeft+2.6
159-6SEATTLPORT×7Serve errSeattle U+2.1
169-7PORTPORT×7AceKalaweloilehua Chockaced Tamara Unga+2.9
179-8PORTPORT×7Bad setGrace Jones+2.8
189-9PORTPORT×7KillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+2.7
199-10PORTPORT×7KillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+2.4
209-11PORTPORT×7KillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+2.1
219-12PORTPORT×7KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.8
2210-12PORTSEATTL×3KillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.3
2311-12SEATTLSEATTL×3KillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+2.2
2412-12SEATTLSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+2.8
2512-13SEATTLPORTBlockedChloee Leslieblk Shaylee Stephen, Lila Krall+2.0
2613-13PORTSEATTL×3Serve errJeryn Hildenbrand+2.3
2714-13SEATTLSEATTL×3AceSeattle Uaced Lila Krall+3.6
2815-13SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedTaina Kaauwaiblk Chloee Leslie, Lexi Jones+4.2
2915-14SEATTLPORT×4KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Kalaweloilehua Chock+2.7
3015-15PORTPORT×4Attack errChloee Leslie+3.6
3115-16PORTPORT×4KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+3.4
3215-17PORTPORT×4AceAva Liloaced Elaina Duong+2.9
3316-17PORTSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+2.2
3416-18SEATTLPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+2.3
3516-19PORTPORT×3AceVanessa Haddockaced Elaina Duong+2.4
3616-20PORTPORT×3BlockedChloee Leslieblk Taina Kaauwai, Havannah Hoeft+1.7
3717-20PORTSEATTLServe errVanessa Haddock+1.0
3817-21SEATTLPORTServe errSeattle U+1.2
3918-21PORTSEATTLKillBella Jonesset Clara Garcia+0.9
4018-22SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.2
4118-23PORTPORTBlockedOrinayo Olukanmiblk Kalaweloilehua Chock, Shaylee Stephen+0.8
4219-23PORTSEATTLKillHailey McEllrathset Bella Jones+0.3
4319-24SEATTLPORTBlockedTamara Ungablk Kalaweloilehua Chock, Shaylee Stephen+0.5
4420-24PORTSEATTLKillTamara Ungaset Grace Jones+0.1
4521-24SEATTLSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+0.5
4621-25SEATTLPORTServe errSeattle U+0.7
Set 3
11-0PORTSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.4
21-1SEATTLPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Shaylee Stephen+1.2
31-2PORTPORTAceJeryn Hildenbrandaced Chloee Leslie+1.5
42-2PORTSEATTL×3KillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.3
53-2SEATTLSEATTL×3AceSeattle U+2.0
64-2SEATTLSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslie+2.3
74-3SEATTLPORT×6KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.5
84-4PORTPORT×6AceAva Liloaced Elaina Duong+1.9
94-5PORTPORT×6Attack errLexi Jones+1.7
104-6PORTPORT×6Attack errChloee Leslie+1.5
114-7PORTPORT×6KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.3
124-8PORTPORT×6AceAva Liloaced Chloee Leslie+1.0
135-8PORTSEATTLBlockedVanessa Haddockblk Orinayo Olukanmi+0.8
145-9SEATTLPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.8
156-9PORTSEATTLServe errVanessa Haddock+0.8
166-10SEATTLPORTKillHavannah Hoeftset Tamara Unga+0.8
177-10PORTSEATTL×3KillHailey McEllrathset Bella Jones+0.8
188-10SEATTLSEATTL×3Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+1.4
199-10SEATTLSEATTL×3KillTeagan Meltonset Tamara Unga+1.8
209-11SEATTLPORT×3KillShaylee Stephenset Havannah Hoeft+1.3
219-12PORTPORT×3Attack errJanae Demant+1.5
229-13PORTPORT×3BlockedTeagan Meltonblk Shaylee Stephen, Kalaweloilehua Chock+1.2
2310-13PORTSEATTLAttack errLila Krall+0.8
2410-14SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.9
2511-14PORTSEATTL×4KillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+0.9
2612-14SEATTLSEATTL×4Attack errLila Krall+1.6
2713-14SEATTLSEATTL×4AceSeattle Uaced Jeryn Hildenbrand+2.1
2814-14SEATTLSEATTL×4AceSeattle Uaced Kalaweloilehua Chock+2.8
2914-15SEATTLPORTAttack errChloee Leslie+2.0
3014-16PORTPORTBlockedChloee Leslieblk Taina Kaauwai+2.4
3115-16PORTSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.8
3215-17SEATTLPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.8
3315-18PORT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.0
3415-19PORTPORT×3AceAva Liloaced Elaina Duong+1.5
3516-19PORTSEATTLKillLexi Jonesset Bella Jones+0.9
3616-20SEATTLPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.1
3716-21PORTPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.9
3817-21PORTSEATTLKillTamara Ungaset Bella Jones+0.4
3917-22SEATTLPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.6
4017-23PORTPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
4118-23PORTSEATTLKillOrinayo Olukanmiset Bella Jones+0.1
4219-23SEATTLSEATTLAttack errKalaweloilehua Chock+0.3
4319-24SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.4
4419-25PORTPORTBlockedTeagan Meltonblk Shaylee Stephen, Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.1
Set 4
11-0SEATTLSEATTLAttack errVanessa Haddock+1.3
21-1SEATTLPORTBlockedChloee Leslieblk Lila Krall, Shaylee Stephen+0.9
31-2PORTPORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.1
42-2PORTSEATTLServe errJeryn Hildenbrand+0.9
53-2SEATTLSEATTLBlockedLila Krallblk Chloee Leslie, Lexi Jones+1.4
63-3SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.0
74-3PORTSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.1
84-4SEATTLPORT×6KillCallie Pieperset Havannah Hoeft+1.0
94-5PORTPORT×6Bad setBella Jones+1.3
104-6PORTPORT×6AceCallie Pieperaced Clara Garcia+1.1
114-7PORTPORT×6Bad setJanae Demant+0.9
124-8PORTPORT×6BlockedOrinayo Olukanmiblk Kalaweloilehua Chock, Taina Kaauwai+0.8
134-9PORTPORT×6KillHavannah Hoeftset Taina Kaauwai+0.6
145-9PORTSEATTL×4KillChloee Leslieset Bella Jones+0.4
156-9SEATTLSEATTL×4Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+0.7
167-9SEATTLSEATTL×4KillTierney Ervinset Bella Jones+1.0
178-9SEATTLSEATTL×4KillTeagan Meltonset Bella Jones+1.3
188-10SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.9
199-10PORTSEATTLKillLinnaea Mooreset Bella Jones+1.0
2010-10SEATTLSEATTLAceSeattle Uaced Ava Lilo+1.6
2110-11SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.2
2211-11PORTSEATTL×4Attack errShaylee Stephen+1.3
2312-11SEATTLSEATTL×4Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+2.1
2413-11SEATTLSEATTL×4KillHailey McEllrathset Grace Jones+2.4
2514-11SEATTLSEATTL×4Serve errSeattle U+2.6
2614-12SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.6
2714-13PORTPORTBlockedTeagan Meltonblk Shaylee Stephen, Callie Pieper+2.2
2815-13PORTSEATTLKillTierney Ervinset Grace Jones+2.1
2916-13SEATTLSEATTLAttack errCallie Pieper+2.9
3016-14SEATTLPORTServe errSeattle U+1.7
3117-14PORTSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+2.3
3218-14SEATTLSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+3.0
3318-15SEATTLPORTServe errSeattle U+1.6
3419-15PORTSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+2.4
3519-16SEATTLPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.6
3619-17PORTPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+2.6
3719-18PORTPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+3.0
3820-18PORTSEATTL×3KillChloee Leslieset Bella Jones+2.9
3921-18SEATTLSEATTL×3AceSeattle Uaced Ava Lilo+3.9
4022-18SEATTLSEATTL×3KillLinnaea Mooreset Bella Jones+3.3
4122-19SEATTLPORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.3
4223-19PORTSEATTL×3Serve errTaina Kaauwai+2.5
4324-19SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedKalaweloilehua Chockblk Linnaea Moore, Hailey McEllrath+1.8
4425-19SEATTLSEATTL×3BlockedKalaweloilehua Chockblk Linnaea Moore, Hailey McEllrath+1.4
Set 5
10-1PORTPORTKillVanessa Haddockset Havannah Hoeft+6.3
20-2PORTPORTKillShaylee Stephenset Havannah Hoeft+5.5
31-2PORTSEATTLKillChloee Leslieset Grace Jones+4.3
41-3SEATTLPORT×4KillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+4.2
51-4PORTPORT×4AceJeryn Hildenbrandaced Clara Garcia+4.7
61-5PORTPORT×4KillLila Krallset Havannah Hoeft+3.7
71-6PORTPORT×4AceJeryn Hildenbrandaced Chloee Leslie+2.6
82-6PORTSEATTLKillTeagan Meltonset Grace Jones+1.7
92-7SEATTLPORT×5Serve errSeattle U+1.9
102-8PORTPORT×5KillVanessa Haddockset Jeryn Hildenbrand+1.7
112-9PORTPORT×5KillVanessa Haddockset Ava Lilo+1.0
122-10PORTPORT×5AceAva Liloaced Elaina Duong+0.5
132-11PORTPORT×5KillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
143-11PORTSEATTLServe errAva Lilo+0.1
153-12SEATTLPORT×3Attack errLinnaea Moore+0.1
163-13PORTPORT×3KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Ava Lilo·
173-14PORTPORT×3KillHavannah Hoeft·
184-14PORTSEATTLKillTierney Ervinset Bella Jones·
194-15SEATTLPORTServe errSeattle U·

Score shown after each rally, Seattle U first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).