FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

West Ga. def. Northwestern St. 3–0

West Ga. beat visiting Northwestern St. 3-0 (25-17, 25-19, 25-23) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. West Ga.'s Valiree Schmus led with 14 kills, and Giorgia Mandotti added 9 digs.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set123Sets
NW ST1719230
W GA2525253

Win probability

West Ga. above 50 · Northwestern St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.4% W GArally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.4% to West Ga. — set 3, NW ST 23-25 W GA. Attack error by Amber Craig. W GA win probability 97% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW ST 35.6%64.4% W GA

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
7.3%
3-1
12.8%
3-2
15.5%

West Ga. wins

3-0
19.7%
3-1
24.7%
3-2
20.0%
NW ST break %
42.4% vs this opp
W GA break %
45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Amber CraigAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Amber Craig

    Set 3 · NW ST 23-25 W GA · W GA 97% → 100%

  2. 02
    Valiree SchmusAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Valiree Schmus

    Set 2 · NW ST 12-12 W GA · NW ST 18% → 21%

  3. 03
    West Ga.Ace+2.6%

    West Ga. ace

    Set 2 · NW ST 12-14 W GA · W GA 81% → 84%

  4. 04
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+2.6%

    Point Northwestern St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · NW ST 14-15 W GA · NW ST 16% → 18%

  5. 05
    West Ga.Ace+2.6%

    West Ga. ace on Valerie Brown

    Set 2 · NW ST 14-17 W GA · W GA 84% → 87%

  6. 06

    Kill by Valiree Schmus (set by Anezka Ourednikova)

    Set 2 · NW ST 10-11 W GA · W GA 79% → 81%

  7. 07
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+2.5%

    Point West Ga. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · NW ST 10-10 W GA · W GA 76% → 79%

  8. 08

    Kill by Grace-Blythe Cornett (set by Anezka Ourednikova)

    Set 2 · NW ST 10-12 W GA · W GA 81% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38630.067011350009
39421.238000100009
39320.300000000009
36213.308011600007
3105.2003120301014
3000–003400000
3002.000101400000
3012-.5003021700000
3000–000520000
2214.250000000002
1108.125000200001
Team totals3617105.181354845910159
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314535.2572217010117
310015.6670002100010
39528.14300021010.59.5
3306.500000101014
3003.00000010313.53.5
3204.5002901800002
3000–441800004
3002.000023700002
3002.000211900001
2000–000100000
Team totals381095.295379746452675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NW ST · W GA 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 NW STW GA 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 NW STW GA 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 NW STW GA 5

Bars above the line = West Ga. leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern St.

No clean sets to split.

West Ga.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#NW ST-W GASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W GAW GA×4AceWest Ga.aced Elsie Sanchez+2.2
20-2W GAW GA×4KillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+2.1
30-3W GAW GA×4KillGrace-Blythe Cornett+2.0
40-4W GAW GA×4Serve errWest Ga.+1.8
51-4W GANW STServe errWest Ga.+1.3
61-5W GA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
72-5W GANW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.3
82-6NW STW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+1.5
93-6W GANW STKillAmber Craig+1.4
104-6NW STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.0
114-7NW STW GAKillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+1.7
125-7W GANW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.6
136-7NW STNW STAttack errValiree Schmus+2.3
146-8NW STW GA×3KillValiree Schmus+1.9
156-9W GAW GA×3KillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+2.3
166-10W GAW GA×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+2.0
177-10W GANW STAttack errValiree Schmus+1.4
187-11W GA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
198-11W GANW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.5
208-12NW STW GA×3Attack errEmmarie McFarland+1.6
218-13W GAW GA×3BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Milena Cetkovic+1.8
228-14W GAW GA×3Attack errElsie Sanchez+1.4
239-14W GANW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+0.9
249-15NW STW GAServe errNorthwestern St.+1.1
259-16W GAW GAKillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+1.0
2610-16W GANW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.6
2710-17NW STW GAServe errNorthwestern St.+0.7
2811-17W GANW STServe errWest Ga.+0.5
2911-18NW STW GA×5Serve errNorthwestern St.+0.7
3011-19W GAW GA×5AceWest Ga.aced Elsie Sanchez+0.6
3111-20W GAW GA×5KillMaddy Kirmerset Anezka Ourednikova+0.3
3211-21W GAW GA×5Attack errAna Gjorgjievska+0.1
3311-22W GAW GA×5AceWest Ga.aced Valerie Brown+0.1
3412-22W GANW ST×3Serve errWest Ga.·
3513-22NW ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3614-22NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.1
3714-23NW STW GAKillMaddy Kirmer+0.1
3815-23W GANW STAttack errMaddy Kirmer·
3916-23NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+0.1
4016-24NW STW GAServe errNorthwestern St.+0.1
4117-24W GANW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad·
4217-25NW STW GAServe errNorthwestern St.·
Set 2
11-0NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Brooke McCall+2.0
22-0NW STNW STKillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+2.1
32-1NW STW GABlockedAmber Craigblk Brooke McCall, Milena Cetkovic+1.5
43-1W GANW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.7
54-1NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Grace-Blythe Cornett+2.1
64-2NW STW GA×3KillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+1.5
74-3W GAW GA×3Attack errAmber Craig+2.1
8–95-4NW ST · W GA
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
106-4NW STNW ST×4Attack errBrooke McCall+2.3
117-4NW STNW ST×4Attack errBrooke McCall+2.3
128-4NW ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
138-5NW STW GAKillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+1.5
149-5W GANW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.8
159-6W GA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
169-7W GAW GAAceWest Ga.aced Elsie Sanchez+2.2
1710-7W GANW STKillJade Longladset Giorgia Mandotti+1.9
1810-8NW STW GA×5Serve errNorthwestern St.+1.7
1910-9W GAW GA×5KillValiree Schmusset Adriana Medrano+2.4
2010-10W GA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
2110-11W GAW GA×5KillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+2.5
2210-12W GAW GA×5KillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+2.4
2311-12W GANW STServe errWest Ga.+1.8
2412-12NW STNW STAttack errValiree Schmus+2.6
2512-13NW STW GA×3Attack errValiree Schmus+2.1
2612-14W GAW GA×3AceWest Ga.+2.6
27–2914-15NW ST 2 · W GA
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
3014-16NW STW GA×3KillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+2.2
3114-17W GAW GA×3AceWest Ga.aced Valerie Brown+2.6
3214-18W GAW GA×3Bad setJade Longlad+2.1
3315-18W GANW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.3
3416-18NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.+2.3
3516-19W GA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
3616-20W GAW GA×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+2.2
37–3817-21NW ST · W GA
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
3917-22NW STW GAKillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+1.1
4018-22W GANW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.6
4118-23NW STW GAKillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+1.0
4218-24W GA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
4319-24W GANW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.1
4419-25NW STW GAKillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+0.2
Set 3
11-0W GANW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.9
21-1NW STW GAKillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+0.9
31-2W GAW GAAttack errOlivia Nzioki+1.1
42-2W GANW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.9
52-3NW STW GAKillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+0.9
63-3W GANW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.9
74-3NW STNW STAttack errBrooke McCall+1.2
84-4NW STW GA×5KillAnezka Ourednikova+0.9
94-5W GAW GA×5AceWest Ga.aced Elsie Sanchez+1.2
104-6W GAW GA×5KillValiree Schmus+1.2
114-7W GAW GA×5AceWest Ga.+1.1
124-8W GAW GA×5KillValiree Schmus+1.0
135-8NW ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
146-8NW STNW ST×3Bad setAnezka Ourednikova+1.1
157-8NW STNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.2
167-9NW STW GA×4KillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+1.0
177-10W GAW GA×4Bad setJade Longlad+1.2
187-11W GAW GA×4BlockedKenadii Winfreyblk Valiree Schmus+1.0
197-12W GAW GA×4KillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+0.9
208-12W GANW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.6
218-13NW STW GAAttack errAmber Craig+0.7
229-13W GANW ST×3Attack errValiree Schmus+0.6
2310-13NW ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
2411-13NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.2
2511-14NW STW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornett+1.0
26–2712-15NW ST · W GA
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
2812-16NW STW GABlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Maddy Kirmer+0.9
2912-17W GAW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.9
3013-17W GANW STAttack errBrooke McCall+0.5
3114-17NW STNW STBad setAnezka Ourednikova+1.0
3214-18NW STW GABad setAnezka Ourednikova+0.9
3314-19W GAW GAKillBrooke McCall+0.9
3415-19W GANW STAttack errBrooke McCall+0.5
3516-19NW STNW STBlockedBrooke McCallblk Jade Longlad+0.9
3616-20NW STW GAServe errNorthwestern St.+1.0
3717-20W GANW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+0.7
3818-20NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.+1.3
3919-20NW STNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.9
4019-21W GA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
4120-21W GANW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.5
4220-22NW STW GA×3KillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+2.0
4320-23W GAW GA×3KillGrace-Blythe Cornett+1.9
4420-24W GAW GA×3KillGrace-Blythe Cornett+1.1
4521-24NW ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
4622-24NW STNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.8
4723-24NW STNW ST×3Attack errValiree Schmus+1.9
4823-25NW STW GAAttack errAmber Craig+3.4

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).