FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeUAC-

West Ga. def. Northwestern St. 3–0

(25-17, 25-19, 25-23)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
NW ST	17	19	23	0
W GA	25	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

W GA above 50 · NW ST below

Biggest swing: 2.7% to West Ga. — set 3, NW ST 23-25 W GA. Attack error by Amber Craig. W GA win probability 97% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NW ST 29.4%70.6% W GA

Northwestern St. wins

3-0

5.5%

3-1

10.3%

3-2

13.6%

West Ga. wins

3-0

23.7%

3-1

27.1%

3-2

19.8%

NW ST break %: 41.8% vs this opp
W GA break %: 45.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Amber CraigAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Amber Craig
Set 3 · NW ST 23-25 W GA · W GA 97% → 100%
02
Valiree SchmusAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Valiree Schmus
Set 2 · NW ST 12-12 W GA · NW ST 15% → 17%
03
W GA serverAce+2.3%
West Ga. ace on Team
Set 2 · NW ST 12-14 W GA · W GA 85% → 87%
04
Unlogged pointFeed gap+2.2%
Point Northwestern St. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 2 · NW ST 14-15 W GA · NW ST 12% → 15%
05
Unlogged pointFeed gap+2.2%
Point West Ga. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 2 · NW ST 10-10 W GA · W GA 80% → 83%
06
Valiree SchmusKill+2.2%
Kill by Valiree Schmus (set by Anezka Ourednikova)
Set 2 · NW ST 10-11 W GA · W GA 83% → 85%
07
W GA serverAce+2.2%
West Ga. ace on Valerie Brown
Set 2 · NW ST 14-17 W GA · W GA 87% → 89%
08
Valiree SchmusKill+2.2%
Kill by Valiree Schmus (set by Adriana Medrano)
Set 2 · NW ST 10-9 W GA · W GA 78% → 80%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Northwestern St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
17Elsie SanchezOH	3	8	6	30	.067	0	1	1	3	5	0	0	9
22Olivia NziokiMB	3	9	4	21	.238	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	9
6Amber CraigOH	3	9	3	20	.300	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
4Kenadii WinfreyMB	3	6	2	13	.308	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	7
11Jade LongladS	3	1	0	5	.200	31	2	0	3	0	1	1	4
7Harper CauleyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	0
16Anna Claire HebertS	3	0	0	2	.000	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
2Emmarie McFarlandL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	3	0	2	17	0	0	0	0
12Valerie BrownL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	2	0	0	0
14Ana GjorgjievskaOH	2	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
5Gillian WolfOH	1	1	0	8	.125	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
Team totals		36	17	105	.181	35	4	8	45	9	1	1	59

West Ga.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Valiree SchmusOH	3	14	5	35	.257	2	2	1	7	0	1	0	1	17
10Grace-Blythe CornettOH	3	10	0	15	.667	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	10
1Brooke McCallOH	3	9	5	28	.143	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	9.5
24Maddy KirmerMB	3	3	0	6	.500	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	4
12Milena CetkovicMB	3	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	3.5	3.5
18Anezka OurednikovaS	3	2	0	4	.500	29	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	2
9Adriana MedranoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	4	1	8	0	0	0	0	4
7Cassie ThayseOPP	3	0	0	2	.000	0	2	3	7	0	0	0	0	2
15Giorgia MandottiL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	2	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
20Allison BowserOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	10	95	.295	37	9	7	46	4	5	2	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 NW ST · W GA 5

Set 1*

17-25

Longest run 3 NW STW GA 5

Set 2*

19-25

Longest run 4 NW STW GA 5

Set 3*

23-25

Longest run 3 NW STW GA 5

Bars above the line = West Ga. leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Northwestern St.

No clean sets to split.

West Ga.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	NW ST-W GA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	W GA	W GA×4	Ace	W GA server	aced Elsie Sanchez	+2.0
2	0-2	W GA	W GA×4	Kill	Grace-Blythe Cornett	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.9
3	0-3	W GA	W GA×4	Kill	Grace-Blythe Cornett		+1.8
4	0-4	W GA	W GA×4	Serve err	W GA server		+1.6
5	1-4	W GA	NW ST	Serve err	W GA server		+1.2
6	1-5	NW ST	W GA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.2
7	2-5	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+1.2
8	2-6	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Grace-Blythe Cornett	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.3
9	3-6	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig		+1.2
10	4-6	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.8
11	4-7	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Brooke McCall	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.5
12	5-7	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.5
13	6-7	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Valiree Schmus		+2.1
14	6-8	NW ST	W GA×3	Kill	Valiree Schmus		+1.7
15	6-9	W GA	W GA×3	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+2.0
16	6-10	W GA	W GA×3	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+1.8
17	7-10	W GA	NW ST	Attack err	Valiree Schmus		+1.3
18	7-11	NW ST	W GA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
19	8-11	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+1.3
20	8-12	NW ST	W GA×3	Attack err	Emmarie McFarland		+1.4
21	8-13	W GA	W GA×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez	blk Milena Cetkovic	+1.5
22	8-14	W GA	W GA×3	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+1.2
23	9-14	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+0.7
24	9-15	NW ST	W GA	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.9
25	9-16	W GA	W GA	Kill	Brooke McCall	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.8
26	10-16	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+0.5
27	10-17	NW ST	W GA	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.6
28	11-17	W GA	NW ST	Serve err	W GA server		+0.4
29	11-18	NW ST	W GA×5	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.6
30	11-19	W GA	W GA×5	Ace	W GA server	aced Elsie Sanchez	+0.5
31	11-20	W GA	W GA×5	Kill	Maddy Kirmer	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.2
32	11-21	W GA	W GA×5	Attack err	Ana Gjorgjievska		+0.1
33	11-22	W GA	W GA×5	Ace	W GA server	aced Valerie Brown	+0.0
34	12-22	W GA	NW ST×3	Serve err	W GA server		+0.0
35	13-22	NW ST	NW ST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
36	14-22	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.1
37	14-23	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Maddy Kirmer		+0.1
38	15-23	W GA	NW ST	Attack err	Maddy Kirmer		+0.0
39	16-23	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Emmarie McFarland	+0.1
40	16-24	NW ST	W GA	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.1
41	17-24	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+0.0
42	17-25	NW ST	W GA	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	NW ST server	aced Brooke McCall	+1.8
2	2-0	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Emmarie McFarland	+1.9
3	2-1	NW ST	W GA	Attack err	Amber Craig	blk Brooke McCall, Milena Cetkovic	+1.4
4	3-1	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+1.5
5	4-1	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	NW ST server	aced Grace-Blythe Cornett	+1.9
6	4-2	NW ST	W GA×3	Kill	Grace-Blythe Cornett	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.4
7	4-3	W GA	W GA×3	Attack err	Amber Craig		+1.8
8	4-4	W GA	W GA×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.9
9	5-4	W GA	NW ST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.6
10	6-4	NW ST	NW ST×4	Attack err	Brooke McCall		+2.1
11	7-4	NW ST	NW ST×4	Attack err	Brooke McCall		+2.1
12	8-4	NW ST	NW ST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
13	8-5	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.4
14	9-5	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.6
15	9-6	NW ST	W GA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
16	9-7	W GA	W GA	Ace	W GA server	aced Elsie Sanchez	+2.0
17	10-7	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Jade Longlad	set Giorgia Mandotti	+1.8
18	10-8	NW ST	W GA×5	Serve err	NW ST server		+1.6
19	10-9	W GA	W GA×5	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Adriana Medrano	+2.2
20	10-10	W GA	W GA×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.2
21	10-11	W GA	W GA×5	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+2.2
22	10-12	W GA	W GA×5	Kill	Grace-Blythe Cornett	set Anezka Ourednikova	+2.1
23	11-12	W GA	NW ST	Serve err	W GA server		+1.6
24	12-12	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Valiree Schmus		+2.3
25	12-13	NW ST	W GA×3	Attack err	Valiree Schmus		+1.8
26	12-14	W GA	W GA×3	Ace	W GA server	aced Team	+2.3
27	12-15	W GA	W GA×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
28	13-15	W GA	NW ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
29	14-15	NW ST	NW ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.2
30	14-16	NW ST	W GA×3	Kill	Brooke McCall	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.9
31	14-17	W GA	W GA×3	Ace	W GA server	aced Valerie Brown	+2.2
32	14-18	W GA	W GA×3	Bad set	Jade Longlad		+1.8
33	15-18	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+1.1
34	16-18	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	NW ST server	aced Team	+1.9
35	16-19	NW ST	W GA×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
36	16-20	W GA	W GA×3	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+1.8
37	16-21	W GA	W GA×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.2
38	17-21	W GA	NW ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
39	17-22	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.9
40	18-22	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.5
41	18-23	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.8
42	18-24	W GA	W GA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
43	19-24	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+0.1
44	19-25	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.8
2	1-1	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Brooke McCall	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.7
3	1-2	W GA	W GA	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+0.9
4	2-2	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.7
5	2-3	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Brooke McCall	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.7
6	3-3	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.8
7	4-3	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Brooke McCall		+1.0
8	4-4	NW ST	W GA×5	Kill	Anezka Ourednikova		+0.8
9	4-5	W GA	W GA×5	Ace	W GA server	aced Elsie Sanchez	+1.0
10	4-6	W GA	W GA×5	Kill	Valiree Schmus		+0.9
11	4-7	W GA	W GA×5	Ace	W GA server	aced Team	+0.9
12	4-8	W GA	W GA×5	Kill	Valiree Schmus		+0.8
13	5-8	W GA	NW ST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
14	6-8	NW ST	NW ST×3	Bad set	Anezka Ourednikova		+0.8
15	7-8	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+1.0
16	7-9	NW ST	W GA×4	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.8
17	7-10	W GA	W GA×4	Bad set	Jade Longlad		+0.9
18	7-11	W GA	W GA×4	Attack err	Kenadii Winfrey	blk Valiree Schmus	+0.8
19	7-12	W GA	W GA×4	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+0.7
20	8-12	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+0.5
21	8-13	NW ST	W GA	Attack err	Amber Craig		+0.5
22	9-13	W GA	NW ST×3	Attack err	Valiree Schmus		+0.5
23	10-13	NW ST	NW ST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.8
24	11-13	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+0.9
25	11-14	NW ST	W GA	Kill	Grace-Blythe Cornett		+0.8
26	11-15	W GA	W GA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
27	12-15	W GA	NW ST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
28	12-16	NW ST	W GA	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki	blk Maddy Kirmer	+0.7
29	12-17	W GA	W GA	Kill	Grace-Blythe Cornett		+0.7
30	13-17	W GA	NW ST	Attack err	Brooke McCall		+0.4
31	14-17	NW ST	NW ST	Bad set	Anezka Ourednikova		+0.8
32	14-18	NW ST	W GA	Bad set	Anezka Ourednikova		+0.7
33	14-19	W GA	W GA	Kill	Brooke McCall		+0.7
34	15-19	W GA	NW ST	Attack err	Brooke McCall		+0.4
35	16-19	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Brooke McCall	blk Jade Longlad	+0.7
36	16-20	NW ST	W GA	Serve err	NW ST server		+0.8
37	17-20	W GA	NW ST×3	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+0.6
38	18-20	NW ST	NW ST×3	Ace	NW ST server	aced Team	+1.1
39	19-20	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+1.5
40	19-21	NW ST	W GA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
41	20-21	W GA	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+1.3
42	20-22	NW ST	W GA×3	Kill	Valiree Schmus	set Anezka Ourednikova	+1.6
43	20-23	W GA	W GA×3	Kill	Grace-Blythe Cornett		+1.6
44	20-24	W GA	W GA×3	Kill	Grace-Blythe Cornett		+0.9
45	21-24	W GA	NW ST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
46	22-24	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+0.7
47	23-24	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Valiree Schmus		+1.6
48	23-25	NW ST	W GA	Attack err	Amber Craig		+2.7

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.