FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Central Ark. def. West Ga. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Central Ark. 85.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Central Ark. beat visiting West Ga. 3-0 (25-19, 25-13, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Ella Chaney and Sarah Carnathan led Central Ark. with 7 kills each; West Ga.'s Grace-Blythe Cornett had a match-high 10.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set123Sets
W GA1913170
C ARK2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Central Ark. held West Ga. under 20 in every set.

Win probability never moved more than 2.3 points on one rally; West Ga. topped out at 21% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Central Ark. 85% before first serve.

West Ga.Central Ark.
  • Break %+22.2 pts
    35.357.5

    Points won on own serve: 42 of 73 vs 18 of 51. West Ga. sided out 42.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.223
    .044.267

    Kills and errors: 36–9 vs 29–24.

  • Longest run+5
    49

    9 straight Central Ark. points in the second set stretched a 15–12 lead to 24–12. Final score of the set: 25–13.

Central Ark. above 50West Ga. belowMax swing 2.3%

West Ga.Central Ark.

Aces
West Ga. 4·Central Ark. 4
Serve err
West Ga. 9·Central Ark. 6
Blocks
West Ga. 2·Central Ark. 120 BS · 4 BA vs 0 BS · 24 BA
Digs
West Ga. 49·Central Ark. 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Central Ark. above 50 · West Ga. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.3% W GArally 124 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.3% to West Ga. — set 1, W GA 15-15 C ARK. Ella Chaney stuffed by Milena Cetkovic & Grace-Blythe Cornett. C ARK win probability 86% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W GA 13.6%86.4% C ARK

West Ga. wins

3-0
2.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
7.3%

Central Ark. wins

3-0
38.9%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
16.0%
W GA break %
40.0% vs this opp
C ARK break %
48.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ella Chaney stuffed by Milena Cetkovic & Grace-Blythe Cornett

    Set 1 · W GA 15-15 C ARK · W GA 14% → 16%

  2. 02
    Brooke McCallKill+2.2%

    Kill by Brooke McCall (set by Anezka Ourednikova)

    Set 1 · W GA 18-19 C ARK · W GA 12% → 14%

  3. 03

    Kill by Karlyn Frazier

    Set 1 · W GA 15-17 C ARK · C ARK 85% → 88%

  4. 04

    Kill by Valiree Schmus (set by Hannah Nicholson)

    Set 1 · W GA 13-13 C ARK · W GA 14% → 16%

  5. 05

    Brooke McCall stuffed by McKinzee Haas & Tatelyn Brandsma

    Set 1 · W GA 18-21 C ARK · C ARK 88% → 90%

  6. 06

    Kill by Valiree Schmus (set by Anezka Ourednikova)

    Set 1 · W GA 7-4 C ARK · W GA 19% → 21%

  7. 07
    West Ga.Service error+1.9%

    West Ga. service error

    Set 1 · W GA 18-20 C ARK · C ARK 86% → 88%

  8. 08
    Annie HopkinsKill+1.9%

    Kill by Annie Hopkins (set by Tatelyn Brandsma)

    Set 1 · W GA 13-15 C ARK · C ARK 86% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
3101038.0000406202115
38627.074000200008
37324.167102410007
32021.0001801500002
3139-.22200150010.51.5
3104.25000010010.51.5
3004.0001011910000
3000–000200000
3000–102300000
2000–002000000
1025-.400000000000
1001.000000200000
1000–200000000
Team totals2924114.044234949404249
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36212.3330003008410
37330.133000120052.59.5
37321.190121630009
36012.500002200428
3409.4442522600428
3000–000600000
36115.33300020031.57.5
3002.0003011700000
3000–000000000
Team totals369101.26729465440241275

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

West Ga. vs Central Ark.

Season series · Central Ark. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 W GA · C ARK 9

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 W GAC ARK 5

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 3 W GAC ARK 9

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 W GAC ARK 4

Bars above the line = Central Ark. leads, below = West Ga. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

West Ga.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
0%0/6
2
43%6/14
40%4/10
3
46%6/13
33%3/9
4
31%5/16
50%6/12
5
40%4/10
38%3/8
6
44%4/9
33%2/6
All
42%31/73
35%18/51

Central Ark.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
58%7/12
2
67%6/9
50%6/12
3
55%6/11
50%6/12
4
60%6/10
70%14/20
5
57%4/7
50%4/8
6
67%4/6
56%5/9
All
65%33/51
58%42/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#W GA-C ARKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W GAC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.0
20-2C ARKC ARKAceCentral Ark.aced Valiree Schmus+1.2
31-2C ARKW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+0.9
42-2W GAW GAAttack errSarah Carnathan+1.4
52-3W GAC ARKServe errWest Ga.+1.0
63-3C ARKW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+1.1
74-3W GAW GABad setTatelyn Brandsma+1.6
84-4W GAC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Olivia Kremer+1.2
95-4C ARKW GA×3Serve errCentral Ark.+1.3
106-4W GAW GA×3AceGrace-Blythe Cornett+1.9
117-4W GAW GA×3KillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+2.0
127-5W GAC ARKBlockedGrace-Blythe Cornettblk Ella Chaney, Karlyn Frazier+1.3
138-5C ARKW GAKillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+1.6
148-6W GAC ARK×5Serve errWest Ga.+1.4
158-7C ARKC ARK×5KillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.8
168-8C ARKC ARK×5Attack errBrooke McCall+1.8
178-9C ARKC ARK×5KillTatelyn Brandsmaset Anezka Ourednikova+1.7
188-10C ARKC ARK×5BlockedBrooke McCallblk Karlyn Frazier, Tatelyn Brandsma+1.5
199-10C ARKW GAKillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+1.2
209-11W GAC ARKKillTatelyn Brandsma+1.2
2110-11C ARKW GAKillBrooke McCallset Valiree Schmus+1.2
2210-12W GAC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.2
2311-12C ARKW GABlockedSarah Carnathanblk Maddy Kirmer, Grace-Blythe Cornett+1.3
2411-13W GAC ARKServe errWest Ga.+1.3
2512-13C ARKW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+1.3
2613-13W GAW GAKillValiree Schmusset Hannah Nicholson+2.1
2713-14W GAC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.6
2813-15C ARKC ARKKillAnnie Hopkinsset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.9
2914-15C ARKW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+1.4
3015-15W GAW GABlockedElla Chaneyblk Milena Cetkovic, Grace-Blythe Cornett+2.3
3115-16W GAC ARK×3KillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.7
3215-17C ARKC ARK×3KillKarlyn Frazier+2.1
3315-18C ARKC ARK×3BlockedMilena Cetkovicblk Karlyn Frazier, Ella Chaney+1.7
3416-18C ARKW GAKillAnezka Ourednikovaset Sarah Carnathan+1.2
3516-19W GAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.4
3617-19C ARKW GAKillMilena Cetkovicset Trinity Hamilton+1.2
3718-19W GAW GAKillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+2.2
3818-20W GAC ARK×5Serve errWest Ga.+1.9
3918-21C ARKC ARK×5BlockedBrooke McCallblk McKinzee Haas, Tatelyn Brandsma+2.0
4018-22C ARKC ARK×5KillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+1.3
4118-23C ARKC ARK×5KillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.7
4218-24C ARKC ARK×5KillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.3
4319-24C ARKW GAServe errCentral Ark.·
4419-25W GAC ARKBad setGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.1
Set 2
10-1C ARKC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.9
21-1C ARKW GAKillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+0.8
31-2W GAC ARKKillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.7
42-2C ARKW GAServe errCentral Ark.+0.8
52-3W GAC ARKKillElla Chaneyset Olivia Kremer+0.7
63-3C ARKW GAServe errCentral Ark.+0.8
73-4W GAC ARKBlockedValiree Schmusblk Annie Hopkins, Karlyn Frazier+0.8
84-4C ARKW GAKillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+0.8
94-5W GAC ARKServe errWest Ga.+0.8
104-6C ARKC ARKKillTatelyn Brandsmaset Anezka Ourednikova+0.9
115-6C ARKW GAAttack errKarlyn Frazier+0.8
125-7W GAC ARKAttack errGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.7
136-7C ARKW GAKillBrooke McCallset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.8
146-8W GAC ARKKillTatelyn Brandsmaset Anezka Ourednikova+0.8
156-9C ARKC ARKAttack errBrooke McCall+0.9
167-9C ARKW GAServe errCentral Ark.+0.7
178-9W GAW GAKillValiree Schmus+1.1
188-10W GAC ARK×4Attack errGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.8
198-11C ARKC ARK×4Attack errGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.9
208-12C ARKC ARK×4KillMcKinzee Haas+0.8
218-13C ARKC ARK×4AceCentral Ark.aced Giorgia Mandotti+0.6
229-13C ARKW GAKillMaddy Kirmerset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.4
239-14W GAC ARKServe errWest Ga.+0.5
249-15C ARKC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.5
2510-15C ARKW GA×3KillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.3
2611-15W GAW GA×3AceGrace-Blythe Cornettaced Sarah Carnathan+0.5
2712-15W GAW GA×3AceGrace-Blythe Cornettaced Sarah Carnathan+0.7
2812-16W GAC ARK×9KillAnnie Hopkinsset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.7
2912-17C ARKC ARK×9KillElla Chaneyset Olivia Kremer+0.6
3012-18C ARKC ARK×9BlockedMilena Cetkovicblk Karlyn Frazier, Ella Chaney+0.4
3112-19C ARKC ARK×9KillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.3
3212-20C ARKC ARK×9KillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.1
3312-21C ARKC ARK×9KillKarlyn Frazierset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.1
3412-22C ARKC ARK×9BlockedMilena Cetkovicblk Karlyn Frazier, Ella Chaney·
3512-23C ARKC ARK×9BlockedGiovana Ribeiroblk Tatelyn Brandsma, Karlyn Frazier·
3612-24C ARKC ARK×9BlockedGiovana Ribeiroblk Tatelyn Brandsma, Karlyn Frazier·
3713-24C ARKW GAAttack errKarlyn Frazier·
3813-25W GAC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Tatelyn Brandsma·
Set 3
10-1W GAC ARKKillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.4
21-1C ARKW GA×3Serve errCentral Ark.+0.4
32-1W GAW GA×3KillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+0.6
43-1W GAW GA×3KillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+0.6
53-2W GAC ARK×4KillMcKinzee Haasset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.4
63-3C ARKC ARK×4AceCentral Ark.aced Grace-Blythe Cornett+0.5
73-4C ARKC ARK×4Attack errGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.5
83-5C ARKC ARK×4BlockedGrace-Blythe Cornettblk McKinzee Haas, Annie Hopkins+0.5
94-5C ARKW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Giorgia Mandotti+0.4
104-6W GAC ARK×3BlockedGrace-Blythe Cornettblk McKinzee Haas, Ella Chaney+0.4
114-7C ARKC ARK×3KillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.4
124-8C ARKC ARK×3Attack errGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.4
135-8C ARKW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+0.3
146-8W GAW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.4
156-9W GAC ARKServe errWest Ga.+0.3
167-9C ARKW GA×4KillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Anezka Ourednikova+0.3
178-9W GAW GA×4Attack errElla Chaney+0.5
189-9W GAW GA×4KillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+0.6
1910-9W GAW GA×4AceGrace-Blythe Cornettaced Sarah Carnathan+0.7
2010-10W GAC ARKAttack errValiree Schmus+0.5
2110-11C ARKC ARKAttack errValiree Schmus+0.7
2211-11C ARKW GAKillValiree Schmusset Anezka Ourednikova+0.5
2312-11W GAW GAAttack errSarah Carnathan+0.8
2412-12W GAC ARKKillKarlyn Frazierset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.6
2512-13C ARKC ARKAttack errGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.7
2613-13C ARKW GAKillAnezka Ourednikova+0.6
2713-14W GAC ARK×3KillSarah Carnathanset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.6
2813-15C ARKC ARK×3Attack errBrooke McCall+0.7
2913-16C ARKC ARK×3AceCentral Ark.aced Grace-Blythe Cornett+0.6
3014-16C ARKW GAKillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+0.4
3114-17W GAC ARK×3Serve errWest Ga.+0.4
3214-18C ARKC ARK×3BlockedBrooke McCallblk Annie Hopkins, McKinzee Haas+0.5
3314-19C ARKC ARK×3KillAnnie Hopkinsset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.3
3415-19C ARKW GAKillBrooke McCallset Anezka Ourednikova+0.2
3516-19W GAW GAAttack errElla Chaney+0.4
3616-20W GAC ARK×4KillElla Chaneyset Tatelyn Brandsma+0.4
3716-21C ARKC ARK×4Attack errGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.3
3816-22C ARKC ARK×4KillKarlyn Frazier+0.2
3916-23C ARKC ARK×4KillAnnie Hopkinsset Sarah Carnathan+0.1
4017-23C ARKW GAAttack errAnnie Hopkins·
4117-24W GAC ARKServe errWest Ga.·
4217-25C ARKC ARKBad setAnezka Ourednikova·

Score shown after each rally, West Ga. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).