CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsWed, Sep 2, 2026
Maryland logo

AwayBIG-TEN

3:1

Maryland def. Arkansas 31

(24-26, 30-28, 25-22, 25-18)
Set1234Sets
MD243025253
ARK262822181

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ARK above 50 · MD below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100ARKMDBiggest swing +11.6% ARK · S2 27-28rally 198 · set 4

Biggest swing: 11.6% to Arkansas — set 2, MD 27-28 ARK. Kill by Parker Duncan. ARK win probability 58%70%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MD 62.7%37.3% ARK

Maryland wins

3-0
18.7%
3-1
24.0%
3-2
20.0%

Arkansas wins

3-0
7.9%
3-1
13.5%
3-2
16.0%
MD break %
41.4% vs this opp
ARK break %
39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Parker DuncanKill+11.6%

    Kill by Parker Duncan

    Set 2 · MD 27-28 ARK · ARK 58%70%

  2. 02
    Haley MelbyKill+11.1%

    Kill by Haley Melby (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 2 · MD 24-23 ARK · MD 38%49%

  3. 03
    Parker DuncanAttack error+11.1%

    Parker Duncan stuffed by Ava Brown & Duru Gökçen

    Set 2 · MD 29-28 ARK · MD 38%49%

  4. 04
    Sydney BryantAttack error+10.6%

    Attack error by Sydney Bryant

    Set 1 · MD 24-26 ARK · ARK 47%57%

  5. 05
    Haley MelbyKill+10.5%

    Kill by Haley Melby (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 3 · MD 23-22 ARK · MD 57%67%

  6. 06
    Parker DuncanAttack error+10.5%

    Parker Duncan stuffed by Duru Gökçen & Ava Brown

    Set 2 · MD 30-28 ARK · MD 49%60%

  7. 07
    MD serverAce+9.5%

    Maryland ace on Parker Duncan

    Set 3 · MD 24-22 ARK · MD 67%77%

  8. 08
    Parker DuncanKill+9.3%

    Kill by Parker Duncan (set by Kiki Remensperger)

    Set 2 · MD 22-23 ARK · ARK 58%68%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418247.34001381010.519.5
414330.3671008006317
47215.3331000008411
410223.34800200010.510.5
4205.4005512130010.53.5
1000010310001
414740.17500010010.514.5
40003212410002
4000000700000
3002.0001001520000
1023-.667000000000
1000001120000
Team totals6518165.28561598070189104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418851.196104112111.519.5
413438.2370147002115
47017.41200120212.59.5
44110.300000310848
4317.28644121101015
40000121310001
413237.2970002004215
4001.0005311110003
22Ava RothL/DS
3000002000000
1001.000512300212
Team totals5816162.259557186354181394

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MD · ARK 4

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 3 MDARK 4

Set 2

30-28

Longest run 3 MDARK 2

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 MDARK 4

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 4 MDARK 4

Bars above the line = Arkansas leads, below = Maryland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Maryland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%13/20
42%8/19
2
69%11/16
42%8/19
3
61%11/18
35%6/17
4
85%11/13
48%10/21
5
59%10/17
15%2/13
6
82%9/11
36%5/14
All
68%65/95
38%39/103

Arkansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
42%8/19
2
50%11/22
25%4/16
3
65%11/17
15%2/13
4
58%11/19
42%8/19
5
71%10/14
21%3/14
6
64%9/14
36%5/14
All
62%64/103
32%30/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

198 rallies

Rally log

#MD-ARKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MDMDAttack errAleki Alexander+2.4
22-0MDMDAceMD serveraced Aleki Alexander+2.3
32-1MDARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
43-1ARKMDKillHaley Melbyset Raina Chwialkowski+1.6
53-2MDARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.6
63-3ARKARKBad setSara Toth+2.5
74-3ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.7
84-4MDARKServe errMD server+1.8
95-4ARKMD×3KillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+1.8
106-4MDMD×3KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.6
117-4MDMD×3KillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.4
127-5MDARKServe errMD server+1.5
138-5ARKMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.6
148-6MDARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
159-6ARKMDServe errARK server+1.7
169-7MDARKKillKiki Remenspergerset Madi Benne+1.5
1710-7ARKMD×3KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.7
1811-7MDMD×3Attack errParker Duncanblk Ava Brown, Duru Gökçen+2.2
1912-7MDMD×3KillHaley Melby+1.8
2012-8MDARKAttack errDuru Gökçen+1.0
2113-8ARKMDServe errARK server+1.2
2213-9MDARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.0
2314-9ARKMDServe errARK server+1.2
2414-10MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+1.0
2514-11ARKARKAceARK serveraced Addie Canady+1.9
2615-11ARKMDAttack errRomani Thurman+1.6
2715-12MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+1.3
2815-13ARKARKAceARK serveraced Addie Canady+2.5
2916-13ARKMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.0
3016-14MDARKServe errMD server+1.8
3117-14ARKMDKillDuru Gökçenset Sara Toth+2.1
3218-14MDMDAceMD serveraced Gaby Cornier+2.5
3318-15MDARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.3
3418-16ARKARKKillParker Duncan+2.7
3519-16ARKMDKillDuru Gökçenset Sara Toth+2.3
3619-17MDARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.8
3720-17ARKMDKillDuru Gökçenset Sara Toth+2.4
3821-17MDMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+2.6
3921-18MDARKServe errMD server+1.1
4021-19ARKARKAttack errAva Brownblk Laci Bohannan, Aleki Alexander+2.6
4122-19ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.6
4222-20MDARK×4KillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.7
4322-21ARKARK×4KillRomani Thurmanset Madi Benne+4.1
4422-22ARKARK×4KillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+6.3
4522-23ARKARK×4AceARK serveraced Elayna Davidson+8.1
4623-23ARKMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+5.1
4723-24MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+6.8
4824-24ARKMDAttack errLaci Bohannan+6.8
4924-25MDARKAttack errSydney Bryantblk Layla Smith+6.8
5024-26ARKARKAttack errSydney Bryant+10.6
Set 2
10-1ARKARKAceARK serveraced Brooklynne Brass+2.9
21-1ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.9
31-2MDARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+2.0
41-3ARKARKAttack errAva Brownblk Laci Bohannan, Aleki Alexander+3.1
52-3ARKMDServe errARK server+1.9
62-4MDARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+2.1
73-4ARKMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.0
83-5MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+2.2
94-5ARKMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.0
104-6MDARKAttack errSydney Bryantblk Kiki Remensperger+2.2
115-6ARKMDServe errARK server+2.1
126-6MDMDKillDuru Gökçen+3.2
136-7MDARKServe errMD server+2.3
147-7ARKMDServe errARK server+2.2
157-8MDARKKillKiki Remenspergerset Parker Duncan+2.4
167-9ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+3.6
178-9ARKMDAttack errRomani Thurmanblk Haley Melby, Duru Gökçen+2.2
188-10MDARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+2.5
198-11ARKARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+3.6
209-11ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.1
219-12MDARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+2.5
2210-12ARKMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.2
2310-13MDARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+2.6
2411-13ARKMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.2
2512-13MDMDAttack errLaci Bohannanblk Sara Toth, Duru Gökçen+3.8
2612-14MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+2.9
2713-14ARKMDAttack errKiki Remensperger+2.6
2813-15MDARKAttack errAva Brownblk Parker Duncan+3.0
2914-15ARKMDKillDuru Gökçenset Sara Toth+2.7
3015-15MDMDAttack errParker Duncanblk Ava Brown, Duru Gökçen+4.4
3115-16MDARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+3.2
3216-16ARKMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+3.1
3316-17MDARKKillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+3.4
3417-17ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+3.3
3517-18MDARKAttack errEva Rohrbachblk Laci Bohannan, Aleki Alexander+3.6
3618-18ARKMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+3.5
3718-19MDARKServe errMD server+3.9
3819-19ARKMDServe errARK server+3.7
3919-20MDARKServe errMD server+4.3
4020-20ARKMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+4.1
4120-21MDARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+4.7
4221-21ARKMDServe errARK server+4.5
4322-21MDMDAttack errParker Duncan+7.6
4422-22MDARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+4.9
4522-23ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+9.3
4623-23ARKMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+5.9
4724-23MDMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+11.1
4824-24MDARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+7.4
4925-24ARKMDServe errARK server+7.4
5025-25MDARKAttack errHaley Melbyblk Aleki Alexander, Romani Thurman+7.4
5126-25ARKMDServe errARK server+7.4
5226-26MDARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+7.4
5327-26ARKMDServe errARK server+7.4
5427-27MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+7.4
5527-28ARKARKKillParker Duncan+11.6
5628-28ARKMD×3KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+7.9
5729-28MDMD×3Attack errParker Duncanblk Ava Brown, Duru Gökçen+11.1
5830-28MDMD×3Attack errParker Duncanblk Duru Gökçen, Ava Brown+10.5
Set 3
10-1MDARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+2.3
21-1ARKMD×3Attack errParker Duncanblk Ava Brown, Duru Gökçen+2.3
32-1MDMD×3KillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+3.4
43-1MDMD×3KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+3.2
53-2MDARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+2.1
64-2ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.2
75-2MDMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+3.1
85-3MDARK×3KillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+2.0
95-4ARKARK×3KillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+3.3
105-5ARKARK×3AceARK serveraced Raina Chwialkowski+3.6
116-5ARKMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.5
126-6MDARKServe errMD server+2.5
137-6ARKMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.5
147-7MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+2.6
157-8ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+4.1
168-8ARKMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.7
178-9MDARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+2.9
189-9ARKMDKillDuru Gökçenset Sara Toth+2.8
199-10MDARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+3.0
209-11ARKARKAttack errDuru Gökçen+4.5
2110-11ARKMDServe errARK server+2.8
2210-12MDARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+3.1
2311-12ARKMDServe errARK server+2.8
2412-12MDMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+4.6
2512-13MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+3.3
2612-14ARKARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+5.0
2713-14ARKMD×5KillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+3.0
2814-14MDMD×5KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+5.0
2915-14MDMD×5KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+5.1
3016-14MDMD×5KillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+4.9
3117-14MDMD×5AceMD serveraced Parker Duncan+4.3
3217-15MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Kiki Remensperger+2.4
3318-15ARKMDServe errARK server+3.0
3418-16MDARK×4KillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+2.5
3518-17ARKARK×4KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+4.8
3618-18ARKARK×4Attack errSydney Bryant+6.0
3718-19ARKARK×4AceARK serveraced Haley Melby+6.8
3819-19ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+4.4
3919-20MDARKKillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+5.0
4019-21ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+7.5
4120-21ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+4.0
4220-22MDARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+5.6
4321-22ARKMD×5KillDuru Gökçenset Ava Brown+4.2
4422-22MDMD×5AceMD serveraced Madi Benne+8.9
4523-22MDMD×5KillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+10.5
4624-22MDMD×5AceMD serveraced Parker Duncan+9.5
4725-22MDMD×5KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+4.8
Set 4
11-0ARKMDKillAva Brownset Duru Gökçen+2.0
21-1MDARKAttack errHaley Melbyblk Parker Duncan, Aleki Alexander+2.0
31-2ARKARKBad setSara Toth+3.2
42-2ARKMD×4KillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+2.1
53-2MDMD×4Attack errRomani Thurman+3.1
64-2MDMD×4KillHaley Melbyset Raina Chwialkowski+3.0
75-2MDMD×4KillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+2.8
85-3MDARKKillRomani Thurmanset Kiki Remensperger+1.8
96-3ARKMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.9
107-3MDMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.5
117-4MDARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
128-4ARKMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.7
138-5MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Livia Niu+1.6
149-5ARKMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.8
159-6MDARKServe errMD server+1.6
1610-6ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.8
1711-6MDMDAttack errParker Duncan+2.2
1811-7MDARKKillParker Duncanset Livia Niu+1.2
1912-7ARKMDServe errARK server+1.5
2012-8MDARKKillParker Duncanset Livia Niu+1.2
2113-8ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.5
2214-8MDMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+1.7
2314-9MDARKAttack errEva Rohrbachblk Laci Bohannan, Aleki Alexander+0.9
2415-9ARKMD×4KillSara Tothset Brooklynne Brass+1.1
2516-9MDMD×4KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.2
2617-9MDMD×4Attack errRomani Thurmanblk Sydney Bryant, Eva Rohrbach+0.7
2718-9MDMD×4KillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.4
2818-10MDARKAttack errSydney Bryantblk Layla Smith+0.1
2918-11ARKARKAttack errSydney Bryant+0.4
3019-11ARKMDServe errARK server+0.4
3120-11MDMDKillSara Tothset Livia Niu+0.3
3220-12MDARKKillLaci Bohannanset Livia Niu+0.1
3320-13ARKARKAttack errSydney Bryantblk Livia Niu, Layla Smith+0.2
3421-13ARKMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.3
3522-13MDMDAttack errParker Duncanblk Ava Brown, Duru Gökçen+0.2
3622-14MDARKKillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+0.0
3723-14ARKMDServe errARK server+0.1
3824-14MDMDKillHaley Melbyset Raina Chwialkowski+0.0
3924-15MDARK×4Attack errMarlee Sivakblk Livia Niu, Aleki Alexander+0.0
4024-16ARKARK×4KillRomani Thurmanset Livia Niu+0.0
4124-17ARKARK×4Attack errMarlee Sivakblk Romani Thurman, Aleki Alexander+0.0
4224-18ARKARK×4AceARK serveraced Brooklynne Brass+0.0
4325-18ARKMDServe errARK server+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Maryland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.