FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

3:0

HomeCAA

Maryland def. Campbell 3–0

(25-20, 25-14, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MD	25	25	25	3
CAMPBL	20	14	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CAMPBL above 50 · MD below

Biggest swing: 0.9% to Maryland — set 1, MD 1-0 CAMPBL. Leah Freesemann stuffed by Duru Gökçen & Ava Brown. CAMPBL win probability 8% → 8%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

MD 91.5%8.5% CAMPBL

Maryland wins

3-0

47.2%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

12.9%

Campbell wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.5%

3-2

4.9%

MD break %: 48.3% vs this opp
CAMPBL break %: 37.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Leah FreesemannAttack error+0.9%
Leah Freesemann stuffed by Duru Gökçen & Ava Brown
Set 1 · MD 1-0 CAMPBL · MD 92% → 92%
02
Victoria TupyAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Victoria Tupy
Set 1 · MD 2-0 CAMPBL · MD 92% → 93%
03
Sydney BryantAttack error+0.7%
Sydney Bryant stuffed by Maddie Lambers & Leah Freesemann
Set 2 · MD 0-1 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 4% → 5%
04
Haley MelbyKill+0.7%
Kill by Haley Melby (set by Sara Toth)
Set 1 · MD 5-2 CAMPBL · MD 93% → 94%
05
Breanna McMillanKill+0.6%
Kill by Breanna McMillan (set by Lauren Wheeler)
Set 3 · MD 16-17 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 2% → 2%
06
Eva RohrbachKill+0.6%
Kill by Eva Rohrbach (set by Sara Toth)
Set 1 · MD 21-17 CAMPBL · MD 94% → 95%
07
CAMPBL serverAce+0.6%
Campbell ace on Team
Set 1 · MD 20-17 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 5% → 6%
08
Emma McCartneyKill+0.6%
Kill by Emma McCartney (set by Hannah Pattie)
Set 1 · MD 3-2 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 7% → 8%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Marylandaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
44Eva RohrbachMB	3	10	1	14	.643	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	13
3Ava BrownOH	3	7	2	20	.250	0	2	2	5	0	0	7	3.5	12.5
16Sydney BryantOH	3	11	5	34	.176	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	12
23Duru GökçenMB	3	5	2	9	.333	0	0	0	2	0	1	7	4.5	9.5
18Sara TothS	3	2	0	3	.667	36	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
4Haley MelbyOH	2	4	0	11	.364	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
24Brooklynne BrassOH	3	2	1	15	.067	0	1	0	6	1	0	2	1	4
6Elayna DavidsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
2Raina ChwialkowskiDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	15	0	0	0	0	0
11Marlee SivakOH	1	0	1	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Addie CanadyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	12	112	.259	39	3	4	47	3	2	22	13	75

Campbellhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Emma McCartneyOH	3	16	9	42	.167	1	1	2	8	0	0	0	17
6Victoria TupyOH	3	13	6	33	.212	0	0	0	5	1	1	0.5	13.5
5Leah FreesemannOH	3	4	1	16	.188	0	0	0	4	0	2	1	5
15Hailey HeytveltMB	3	1	6	12	-.417	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2
3Maddie LambersMB	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
9Hannah PattieS	3	0	1	3	-.333	14	0	0	10	0	0	0	0
14Breanna McMillanOH	3	1	2	7	-.143	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
7Aubree FernandezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	9	1	0	0	1
10Sadie JohnstonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
8Ella DuongOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
1Lauren WheelerS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
13Marlena LeeOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Alexis JodieS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	27	121	.074	35	3	3	51	3	8	4	55

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 MD · CAMPBL 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 MDCAMPBL 4

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 5 MDCAMPBL 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 MDCAMPBL 5

Bars above the line = Campbell leads, below = Maryland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Maryland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	50%6/12
2	70%7/10	46%6/13
3	60%6/10	54%7/13
4	63%5/8	64%9/14
5	63%5/8	64%9/14
6	56%5/9	38%3/8
All	63%35/56	54%40/74

Campbell

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	50%6/12
2	54%7/13	30%3/10
3	38%5/13	30%3/10
4	36%5/14	50%5/10
5	42%5/12	17%1/6
6	83%5/6	38%3/8
All	46%34/74	38%21/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	MD-CAMPBL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MD	MD	Attack err	Leah Freesemann	blk Duru Gökçen, Ava Brown	+0.9
2	2-0	MD	MD	Attack err	Victoria Tupy		+0.8
3	2-1	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Hannah Pattie	+0.6
4	3-1	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.6
5	3-2	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Hannah Pattie	+0.6
6	4-2	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.6
7	5-2	MD	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.7
8	5-3	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Hannah Pattie	+0.5
9	6-3	CAMPBL	MD×3	Attack err	Emma McCartney	blk Eva Rohrbach, Ava Brown	+0.5
10	7-3	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Emma McCartney		+0.6
11	8-3	MD	MD×3	Ace	MD server	aced Aubree Fernandez	+0.5
12	8-4	MD	CAMPBL	Serve err	MD server		+0.3
13	8-5	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Ace	CAMPBL server	aced Team	+0.6
14	9-5	CAMPBL	MD×5	Attack err	Victoria Tupy		+0.5
15	10-5	MD	MD×5	Attack err	Victoria Tupy		+0.5
16	11-5	MD	MD×5	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Eva Rohrbach	+0.4
17	12-5	MD	MD×5	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.3
18	13-5	MD	MD×5	Attack err	Breanna McMillan		+0.2
19	13-6	MD	CAMPBL	Attack err	Sydney Bryant		+0.1
20	14-6	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.1
21	14-7	MD	CAMPBL	Attack err	Sydney Bryant		+0.1
22	15-7	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.1
23	15-8	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Hannah Pattie	+0.1
24	15-9	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Hannah Pattie	+0.2
25	16-9	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.2
26	16-10	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Hannah Pattie	+0.1
27	16-11	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Ace	CAMPBL server	aced Brooklynne Brass	+0.3
28	17-11	CAMPBL	MD	Serve err	CAMPBL server		+0.3
29	18-11	MD	MD	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.2
30	18-12	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Leah Freesemann	set Hannah Pattie	+0.1
31	19-12	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.2
32	19-13	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.1
33	20-13	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.1
34	20-14	MD	CAMPBL×4	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.1
35	20-15	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×4	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Sadie Johnston	+0.2
36	20-16	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×4	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.4
37	20-17	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×4	Ace	CAMPBL server	aced Team	+0.6
38	21-17	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.6
39	22-17	MD	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.5
40	22-18	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.2
41	23-18	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.3
42	23-19	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Hannah Pattie	+0.1
43	24-19	CAMPBL	MD	Attack err	Emma McCartney	blk Duru Gökçen, Ava Brown	+0.2
44	24-20	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Hannah Pattie	+0.1
45	25-20	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Maddie Lambers, Leah Freesemann	+0.7
2	1-1	CAMPBL	MD×4	Attack err	Victoria Tupy	blk Duru Gökçen, Ava Brown	+0.5
3	2-1	MD	MD×4	Ace	MD server	aced Victoria Tupy	+0.6
4	3-1	MD	MD×4	Kill	Ava Brown	set Raina Chwialkowski	+0.5
5	4-1	MD	MD×4	Attack err	Victoria Tupy		+0.5
6	4-2	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Leah Freesemann	set Hannah Pattie	+0.4
7	5-2	CAMPBL	MD×3	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.3
8	6-2	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Emma McCartney	blk Eva Rohrbach, Ava Brown	+0.4
9	7-2	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Maddie Lambers		+0.3
10	7-3	MD	CAMPBL	Attack err	Eva Rohrbach		+0.2
11	7-4	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Attack err	Ava Brown		+0.4
12	8-4	CAMPBL	MD×5	Kill	Haley Melby	set Sara Toth	+0.3
13	9-4	MD	MD×5	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.3
14	10-4	MD	MD×5	Ace	MD server	aced Team	+0.2
15	11-4	MD	MD×5	Kill	Sara Toth	set Sara Toth	+0.2
16	12-4	MD	MD×5	Attack err	Emma McCartney	blk Eva Rohrbach	+0.1
17	12-5	MD	CAMPBL×3	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Emma McCartney	+0.1
18	12-6	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×3	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.1
19	12-7	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×3	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Aubree Fernandez	+0.2
20	13-7	CAMPBL	MD×5	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.2
21	14-7	MD	MD×5	Attack err	Emma McCartney		+0.2
22	15-7	MD	MD×5	Kill	Sara Toth	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.1
23	16-7	MD	MD×5	Attack err	Hailey Heytvelt		+0.1
24	17-7	MD	MD×5	Attack err	Marlena Lee		+0.0
25	17-8	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.0
26	18-8	CAMPBL	MD×3	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.0
27	19-8	MD	MD×3	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.0
28	20-8	MD	MD×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.0
29	20-9	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.0
30	21-9	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.0
31	21-10	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Maddie Lambers	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.0
32	21-11	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Alexis Jodie	+0.0
33	22-11	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.0
34	22-12	MD	CAMPBL	Attack err	Marlee Sivak		+0.0
35	22-13	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Alexis Jodie	+0.0
36	23-13	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Duru Gökçen	set Sara Toth	+0.0
37	24-13	MD	MD	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.0
38	24-14	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Leah Freesemann	set Alexis Jodie	+0.0
39	25-14	CAMPBL	MD	Bad set	Leah Freesemann		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MD	MD	Attack err	Emma McCartney	blk Duru Gökçen, Ava Brown	+0.3
2	1-1	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Aubree Fernandez	+0.2
3	2-1	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Raina Chwialkowski	+0.2
4	3-1	MD	MD	Attack err	Hailey Heytvelt	blk Duru Gökçen	+0.2
5	3-2	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Hannah Pattie	+0.2
6	4-2	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Brooklynne Brass	set Sara Toth	+0.2
7	4-3	MD	CAMPBL×4	Serve err	MD server		+0.2
8	4-4	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×4	Attack err	Ava Brown	blk Hailey Heytvelt, Victoria Tupy	+0.3
9	4-5	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×4	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.4
10	4-6	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×4	Attack err	Brooklynne Brass	blk Hailey Heytvelt, Breanna McMillan	+0.4
11	5-6	CAMPBL	MD×3	Serve err	CAMPBL server		+0.3
12	6-6	MD	MD×3	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.4
13	7-6	MD	MD×3	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.3
14	7-7	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Aubree Fernandez	+0.3
15	8-7	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.2
16	9-7	MD	MD	Attack err	Breanna McMillan	blk Sydney Bryant, Eva Rohrbach	+0.3
17	9-8	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.2
18	10-8	CAMPBL	MD	Attack err	Hannah Pattie		+0.2
19	10-9	MD	CAMPBL×5	Kill	Leah Freesemann	set Aubree Fernandez	+0.2
20	10-10	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×5	Attack err	Duru Gökçen		+0.4
21	10-11	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×5	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Hannah Pattie	+0.5
22	10-12	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×5	Attack err	Sydney Bryant	blk Maddie Lambers, Leah Freesemann	+0.5
23	10-13	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×5	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Hannah Pattie	+0.6
24	11-13	CAMPBL	MD×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.4
25	12-13	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Emma McCartney	blk Ava Brown, Duru Gökçen	+0.5
26	13-13	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Victoria Tupy	blk Sydney Bryant, Duru Gökçen	+0.5
27	13-14	MD	CAMPBL	Serve err	MD server		+0.4
28	13-15	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Attack err	Duru Gökçen		+0.6
29	14-15	CAMPBL	MD×3	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.4
30	15-15	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Emma McCartney		+0.5
31	16-15	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Hailey Heytvelt	blk Duru Gökçen, Brooklynne Brass	+0.5
32	16-16	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Hannah Pattie	+0.4
33	16-17	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Kill	Breanna McMillan	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.6
34	17-17	CAMPBL	MD×3	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.4
35	18-17	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Hailey Heytvelt		+0.6
36	19-17	MD	MD×3	Attack err	Hailey Heytvelt		+0.5
37	19-18	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Emma McCartney	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.4
38	20-18	CAMPBL	MD	Serve err	CAMPBL server		+0.4
39	21-18	MD	MD	Attack err	Hailey Heytvelt	blk Eva Rohrbach, Brooklynne Brass	+0.4
40	21-19	MD	CAMPBL	Serve err	MD server		+0.2
41	22-19	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Brooklynne Brass	set Sara Toth	+0.3
42	22-20	MD	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.2
43	23-20	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Eva Rohrbach	set Sara Toth	+0.3
44	23-21	MD	CAMPBL	Attack err	Sydney Bryant		+0.2
45	24-21	CAMPBL	MD	Kill	Sydney Bryant	set Sara Toth	+0.3
46	25-21	MD	MD	Kill	Ava Brown	set Sara Toth	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Maryland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.