FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

Maryland def. East Carolina 3–0

Maryland won at East Carolina 3-0 (25-18, 25-15, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Maryland's Eva Rohrbach led with 10 kills, and Brooklynne Brass added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
MD2525253
E CAR1815210

Win probability

East Carolina above 50 · Maryland below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.3% MDrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.3% to Maryland — set 2, MD 13-12 E CAR. Kill by Ava Brown (set by Sara Toth). E CAR win probability 26% → 22%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MD 58.5%41.5% E CAR

Maryland wins

3-0
16.4%
3-1
22.3%
3-2
19.8%

East Carolina wins

3-0
9.3%
3-1
15.2%
3-2
17.0%
MD break %
40.3% vs this opp
E CAR break %
38.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ava BrownKill+3.3%

    Kill by Ava Brown (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 2 · MD 13-12 E CAR · MD 74% → 78%

  2. 02
    Ellie PateAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Ellie Pate

    Set 2 · MD 14-12 E CAR · MD 78% → 81%

  3. 03

    Kill by Brooklynne Brass (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 1 · MD 15-12 E CAR · MD 64% → 67%

  4. 04
    East CarolinaAce+3.0%

    East Carolina ace

    Set 2 · MD 9-10 E CAR · E CAR 25% → 28%

  5. 05
    Ellie PateKill+3.0%

    Kill by Ellie Pate (set by Taryn Gilreath)

    Set 1 · MD 12-11 E CAR · E CAR 35% → 38%

  6. 06
    Angeles AldereteAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Angeles Alderete

    Set 2 · MD 15-12 E CAR · MD 81% → 84%

  7. 07
    Aulie HuffKill+2.9%

    Kill by Aulie Huff (set by Clara Cloninger)

    Set 2 · MD 9-9 E CAR · E CAR 22% → 25%

  8. 08
    East CarolinaAce+2.7%

    East Carolina ace on Elayna Davidson

    Set 1 · MD 4-4 E CAR · E CAR 39% → 42%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310014.71411120052.513.5
39225.28001011012212
39218.3890022004211
35010.50000000111.56.5
3001.000310150010.50.5
24211.18200000010.54.5
3000–021320002
3000–111400001
2023-.667000000000
2001.000000410000
2000–000000000
Team totals37883.3493356315214975
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
3101045.0000204400012
310317.4120023004212
35311.182100100216
34411.000011700005
3204.500310240010.52.5
2112.000000000212
3000–000600000
3000–001500000
3000–000200000
2000–112100001
1214.25000000010.52.5
1000–010100001
1000–000000000
Team totals342294.1283358345010554

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 MD · E CAR 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 MDE CAR 3

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 8 MDE CAR 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 MDE CAR 3

Bars above the line = East Carolina leads, below = Maryland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Maryland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
33%3/9
2
100%7/7
22%2/9
3
88%7/8
63%12/19
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
88%7/8
56%9/16
6
45%5/11
44%4/9
All
73%41/56
47%34/73

East Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
46%6/13
2
70%7/10
0%0/7
3
37%7/19
13%1/8
4
47%7/15
36%4/11
5
60%6/10
0%0/7
6
50%5/10
40%4/10
All
53%39/73
27%15/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#MD-E CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0E CARMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.7
21-1MDE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.7
32-1E CARMDServe errEast Carolina+1.7
42-2MDE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+1.7
53-2E CARMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Raina Chwialkowski+1.7
64-2MDMDAttack errKai Bailey+2.6
74-3MDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.7
84-4E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Elayna Davidson+2.7
95-4E CARMD×4KillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+1.8
106-4MDMD×4Attack errEllie Pate+2.7
117-4MDMD×4BlockedNina Edwardsblk Sara Toth, Eva Rohrbach+2.5
128-4MDMD×4KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.3
138-5MDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.3
149-5E CARMD×3Serve errEast Carolina+1.5
1510-5MDMD×3Attack errEllie Pate+2.0
1611-5MDMD×3KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.6
1711-6MDE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.8
1811-7E CARE CAR×3BlockedSydney Bryantblk Nina Edwards, Aulie Huff+1.6
1911-8E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+2.0
2012-8E CARMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.6
2112-9MDE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
2212-10E CARE CAR×3Attack errAva Brown+2.6
2312-11E CARE CAR×3KillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+3.0
2413-11E CARMDBlockedAulie Huffblk Duru Gökçen, Sydney Bryant+2.2
2513-12MDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+2.1
2614-12E CARMD×4Attack errAngeles Alderete+2.3
2715-12MDMD×4KillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+3.2
2816-12MDMD×4BlockedKai Baileyblk Brooklynne Brass+2.6
2917-12MDMD×4KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.0
3017-13MDE CARServe errMaryland+0.9
3118-13E CARMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.3
3219-13MDMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+1.3
3319-14MDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.5
3419-15E CARE CARAttack errAva Brown+1.2
3520-15E CARMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.2
3621-15MDMDAceMarylandaced Ellie Pate+1.1
3721-16MDE CARKillTaryn Gilreath+0.3
3822-16E CARMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.6
3922-17MDE CARBlockedSydney Bryantblk Aulie Huff, Nina Edwards+0.2
4023-17E CARMDKillDuru Gökçenset Sara Toth+0.5
4124-17MDMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.2
4224-18MDE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath·
4325-18E CARMDAttack errAulie Huff+0.1
Set 2
10-1MDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.6
21-1E CARMDKillDuru Gökçenset Sara Toth+1.5
31-2MDE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.6
42-2E CARMD×3KillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+1.6
53-2MDMD×3Attack errEllie Pate+2.5
64-2MDMD×3BlockedKai Baileyblk Brooklynne Brass, Eva Rohrbach+2.4
74-3MDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
85-3E CARMDBlockedEllie Pateblk Brooklynne Brass, Ava Brown+1.6
96-3MDMDAttack errEllie Pate+2.3
106-4MDE CARKillNina Edwardsset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
117-4E CARMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.5
127-5MDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.4
137-6E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Addie Canady+2.5
148-6E CARMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.7
159-6MDMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+2.4
169-7MDE CAR×4KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.5
179-8E CARE CAR×4BlockedMarlee Sivakblk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff+2.6
189-9E CARE CAR×4KillAulie Huffset Clara Cloninger+2.9
199-10E CARE CAR×4AceEast Carolina+3.0
2010-10E CARMDServe errEast Carolina+1.9
2110-11MDE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+2.1
2211-11E CARMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.0
2311-12MDE CARKillAngeles Aldereteset Taryn Gilreath+2.1
2412-12E CARMD×8KillDuru Gökçenset Ellie Pate+2.1
2513-12MDMD×8KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+3.3
2614-12MDMD×8Attack errEllie Pate+3.2
2715-12MDMD×8Attack errAngeles Alderete+2.9
2816-12MDMD×8BlockedEllie Pateblk Eva Rohrbach, Ava Brown+2.4
2917-12MDMD×8BlockedEllie Pateblk Eva Rohrbach, Ava Brown+1.8
3018-12MDMD×8AceMarylandaced Ellie Pate+1.3
3119-12MDMD×8BlockedEllie Pateblk Ava Brown, Eva Rohrbach+0.8
3219-13MDE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+0.3
3320-13E CARMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.4
3420-14MDE CARServe errMaryland+0.2
3521-14E CARMD×3KillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+0.4
3622-14MDMD×3KillEva Rohrbach+0.2
3723-14MDMD×3Attack errAulie Huff+0.1
3823-15MDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath·
3924-15E CARMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth·
4025-15MDMDAttack errAngeles Alderete·
Set 3
11-0E CARMDBad setEllie Pate+1.0
21-1MDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
32-1E CARMDKillAva Brownset Eva Rohrbach+1.0
42-2MDE CARServe errMaryland+1.0
53-2E CARMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.0
63-3MDE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
74-3E CARMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.0
85-3MDMDAttack errAngeles Alderete+1.5
95-4MDE CARKillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
106-4E CARMDServe errEast Carolina+1.0
116-5MDE CARServe errMaryland+1.0
126-6E CARE CARAceEast Carolina+1.7
137-6E CARMDServe errEast Carolina+1.1
148-6MDMDAceMarylandaced Ellie Pate+1.7
158-7MDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
168-8E CARE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+1.8
179-8E CARMD×3KillDuru Gökçenset Duru Gökçen+1.2
1810-8MDMD×3KillAva Brown+1.8
1911-8MDMD×3Attack errEkwe Anwah+1.6
2011-9MDE CARBlockedBrooklynne Brassblk Taryn Gilreath, Ekwe Anwah+1.0
2112-9E CARMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.1
2212-10MDE CARAttack errBrooklynne Brass+1.0
2312-11E CARE CARAceEast Carolinaaced Elayna Davidson+1.8
2413-11E CARMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+1.3
2514-11MDMDBad setEmma Ortiz+1.8
2614-12MDE CARKillEkwe Anwahset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
2715-12E CARMDServe errEast Carolina+1.2
2815-13MDE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
2916-13E CARMDBlockedEllie Pateblk Duru Gökçen+1.2
3016-14MDE CARKillKai Baileyset Taryn Gilreath+1.0
3117-14E CARMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.3
3218-14MDMDAceMaryland+1.6
3318-15MDE CARServe errMaryland+0.8
3419-15E CARMDServe errEast Carolina+1.0
3519-16MDE CARKillEllie Pateset Taryn Gilreath+0.7
3620-16E CARMDServe errEast Carolina+1.0
3720-17MDE CARBad setElayna Davidson+0.7
3821-17E CARMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.0
3921-18MDE CAR×3KillAulie Huffset Taryn Gilreath+0.6
4021-19E CARE CAR×3KillTaryn Gilreathset Kai Bailey+1.6
4121-20E CARE CAR×3BlockedMarlee Sivakblk Kai Bailey, Aulie Huff+2.4
4222-20E CARMD×3KillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+2.1
4323-20MDMD×3AceMarylandaced Ellie Pate+2.5
4424-20MDMD×3Bad setTaryn Gilreath+1.3
4524-21MDE CARServe errMaryland+0.2
4625-21E CARMDKillDuru Gökçenset Sara Toth+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Maryland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).