FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on B1G+

Wisconsin def. Maryland 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Wisconsin 95.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Wisconsin beat visiting Maryland 3-0 (25-18, 25-23, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Wisconsin's Decelise Champion led with 17 kills, and Anna Bardaro added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
MD1823180
WISC2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.552 and 17 kills for Decelise Champion as Wisconsin rolled past Maryland.

Win probability never moved more than 1.6 points on one rally; Maryland topped out at 7% in Set 2. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Wisconsin at 96%.

MarylandWisconsin
  • Break %+14.9 pts
    28.343.2

    On serve: 32/74 against 17/60 (Maryland sideout 56.8%).

  • Hitting+.189
    .155.344

    Kills and errors: 42–10 vs 35–18.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    5 straight Wisconsin points in the first set broke a 1–1 tie and made it 6–1. That set ended 25–18.

Wisconsin above 50Maryland belowMax swing 1.6%

MarylandWisconsin

Aces
Maryland 3·Wisconsin 2
Serve err
Maryland 12·Wisconsin 11
Blocks
Maryland 5.5·Wisconsin 111 BS · 9 BA vs 1 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Maryland 35·Wisconsin 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Wisconsin above 50 · Maryland below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.6% WISCrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Wisconsin — set 2, MD 22-23 WISC. Kill by Decelise Champion (set by Anna Bardaro). WISC win probability 96% → 98%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MD 3.5%96.5% WISC

Maryland wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.0%
3-2
2.2%

Wisconsin wins

3-0
60.2%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
8.2%
MD break %
31.7% vs this opp
WISC break %
45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Decelise Champion (set by Anna Bardaro)

    Set 2 · MD 22-23 WISC · WISC 96% → 98%

  2. 02

    Eva Rohrbach stuffed by Halle Thompson & Jaela Auguste

    Set 2 · MD 22-22 WISC · WISC 95% → 96%

  3. 03

    Kill by Brooklynne Brass (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 2 · MD 21-18 WISC · MD 5% → 7%

  4. 04
    Halle ThompsonAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Halle Thompson

    Set 2 · MD 20-18 WISC · MD 4% → 5%

  5. 05

    Kill by Charlie Fuerbringer (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 2 · MD 22-21 WISC · WISC 93% → 95%

  6. 06
    Jaela AugusteKill+1.1%

    Kill by Jaela Auguste (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 2 · MD 22-24 WISC · WISC 98% → 99%

  7. 07

    Kill by Brooklynne Brass (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 2 · MD 18-17 WISC · MD 3% → 4%

  8. 08
    Lynney TarnowService error+1.0%

    Service error by Lynney Tarnow

    Set 2 · MD 22-19 WISC · MD 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310124.3750000002111
39735.05700181010.59.5
36317.176002000217
3204.50000000132.54.5
3024-.5003322600002
3011-1.000001300000
37424.12500030010.57.5
3000–001200000
3000–0011200000
2000–000100000
2000–003000000
11011.000011000002
Team totals3518110.15533312352195.559
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317129.55210060052.519.5
37319.21100090031.58.5
3327.14300100174.57.5
36112.417100000217
36321.14300011010.56.5
3305.6003513300215
3000–012200001
3000–3011510000
3000–202710000
3000–002000000
Team totals421093.344422114331201175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MD · WISC 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 MDWISC 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 MDWISC 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 4 MDWISC 4

Bars above the line = Wisconsin leads, below = Maryland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Maryland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
46%6/13
2
62%8/13
27%3/11
3
50%7/14
27%3/11
4
50%7/14
13%1/8
5
86%6/7
0%0/7
6
46%6/13
40%4/10
All
57%42/74
28%17/60

Wisconsin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
42%5/12
2
67%8/12
47%7/15
3
70%7/10
50%7/14
4
100%7/7
30%3/10
5
64%7/11
42%5/12
6
60%6/10
45%5/11
All
72%43/60
43%32/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#MD-WISCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WISCWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
21-1WISCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.4
31-2MDWISC×5KillEva Travisset Anna Bardaro+0.3
41-3WISCWISC×5BlockedAva Brownblk Eva Travis, Lynney Tarnow+0.5
51-4WISCWISC×5KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.4
61-5WISCWISC×5Bad setSara Toth+0.3
71-6WISCWISC×5AceCharlie Fuerbringer+0.2
82-6WISCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.1
92-7MDWISCServe errMaryland+0.1
102-8WISCWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.2
113-8WISCMDAttack errHalle Thompson+0.1
124-8MDMDKillEva Rohrbach+0.2
134-9MDWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
144-10WISCWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.2
155-10WISCMDServe errWisconsin+0.1
165-11MDWISCServe errMaryland+0.1
176-11WISCMD×3KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.1
187-11MDMD×3AceSara Tothaced Kristen Simon+0.2
198-11MDMD×3KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.3
208-12MDWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.2
219-12WISCMDBlockedJaela Augusteblk Sydney Bryant+0.2
229-13MDWISCAttack errHaley Melby+0.2
239-14WISCWISCAttack errBrooklynne Brass+0.3
2410-14WISCMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+0.1
2510-15MDWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.2
2611-15WISCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.1
2711-16MDWISC×3KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.2
2811-17WISCWISC×3BlockedEva Rohrbachblk Halle Thompson, Lynney Tarnow+0.2
2911-18WISCWISC×3KillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3012-18WISCMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth·
3112-19MDWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3213-19WISCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth·
3313-20MDWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer·
3414-20WISCMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth·
3515-20MDMDAceSara Tothaced Anna Bardaro+0.1
3615-21MDWISCServe errSara Toth+0.1
3716-21WISCMDBlockedEva Travisblk Duru Gökçen·
3816-22MDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3917-22WISCMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth·
4017-23MDWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
4118-23WISCMDServe errWisconsin·
4218-24MDWISCServe errMaryland·
4318-25WISCWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer·
Set 2
11-0MDMDBlockedEva Travisblk Ava Brown, Duru Gökçen+0.4
22-0MDMDBlockedDecelise Championblk Duru Gökçen, Brooklynne Brass, Eva Rohrbach+0.5
32-1MDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
43-1WISCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.4
53-2MDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
64-2WISCMDServe errKristen Simon+0.4
74-3MDWISCServe errAnnika Sokol+0.3
85-3WISCMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+0.4
95-4MDWISCServe errBrooklynne Brass+0.3
106-4WISCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.4
116-5MDWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
127-5WISCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.4
137-6MDWISC×3KillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
147-7WISCWISC×3KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
157-8WISCWISC×3BlockedSydney Bryantblk Lynney Tarnow, Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
168-8WISCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.3
178-9MDWISC×3KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
188-10WISCWISC×3Attack errBrooklynne Brass+0.4
198-11WISCWISC×3BlockedBrooklynne Brassblk Decelise Champion, Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
209-11WISCMD×3Serve errWisconsin+0.2
2110-11MDMD×3Attack errLynney Tarnow+0.4
2211-11MDMD×3KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.5
2311-12MDWISCServe errMaryland+0.3
2412-12WISCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.4
2512-13MDWISCServe errMaryland+0.4
2613-13WISCMDServe errWisconsin+0.4
2713-14MDWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.4
2814-14WISCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.4
2914-15MDWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.4
3015-15WISCMDServe errWisconsin+0.5
3115-16MDWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.4
3216-16WISCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.5
3316-17MDWISCServe errMaryland+0.5
3417-17WISCMDServe errWisconsin+0.5
3518-17MDMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+1.0
3618-18MDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
3719-18WISCMD×3KillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.8
3820-18MDMD×3Attack errHalle Thompson+1.3
3921-18MDMD×3KillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth+1.4
4021-19MDWISCBlockedBrooklynne Brassblk Decelise Champion, Lynney Tarnow+0.6
4122-19WISCMDServe errLynney Tarnow+1.0
4222-20MDWISC×5KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
4322-21WISCWISC×5KillCharlie Fuerbringerset Sara Toth+1.3
4422-22WISCWISC×5BlockedEva Rohrbachblk Halle Thompson, Jaela Auguste+1.5
4522-23WISCWISC×5KillDecelise Championset Anna Bardaro+1.6
4622-24WISCWISC×5KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.1
4723-24WISCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.4
4823-25MDWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Kristen Simon+0.9
Set 3
11-0WISCMDKillDuru Gökçenset Haley Melby+0.1
21-1MDWISCKillEva Travisset Decelise Champion+0.1
32-1WISCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.1
43-1MDMDAttack errEva Travis+0.2
53-2MDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
64-2WISCMDServe errKristen Simon+0.2
74-3MDWISC×3KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
84-4WISCWISC×3BlockedEva Rohrbachblk Jaela Auguste, Halle Thompson+0.2
94-5WISCWISC×3Attack errSydney Bryant+0.2
105-5WISCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+0.1
115-6MDWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
125-7WISCWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
136-7WISCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+0.1
146-8MDWISC×3Attack errSydney Bryant+0.1
156-9WISCWISC×3AceIsabelle Hoppeaced Brooklynne Brass+0.1
166-10WISCWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
177-10WISCMDServe errIsabelle Hoppe+0.1
188-10MDMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.1
198-11MDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
208-12WISCWISCAttack errSara Toth+0.1
219-12WISCMDServe errAnna Bardaro+0.1
229-13MDWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
239-14WISCWISCKillDecelise Championset Anna Bardaro+0.1
2410-14WISCMDAttack errLynney Tarnow·
2510-15MDWISC×4BlockedSara Tothblk Lynney Tarnow·
2610-16WISCWISC×4BlockedBrooklynne Brassblk Lynney Tarnow, Decelise Champion·
2710-17WISCWISC×4BlockedBrooklynne Brassblk Decelise Champion, Lynney Tarnow·
2810-18WISCWISC×4Attack errBrooklynne Brass·
2911-18WISCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth·
3011-19MDWISCBlockedSydney Bryantblk Decelise Champion, Lynney Tarnow·
3112-19WISCMDKillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth·
3212-20MDWISCServe errEva Rohrbach·
3313-20WISCMDKillDuru Gökçenset Sara Toth·
3414-20MDMDBlockedHalle Thompsonblk Ava Brown, Duru Gökçen·
3514-21MDWISC×4Serve errSara Toth·
3614-22WISCWISC×4KillCharlie Fuerbringerset Jaela Auguste·
3714-23WISCWISC×4KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer·
3814-24WISCWISC×4KillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer·
3915-24WISCMD×4KillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth·
4016-24MDMD×4KillBrooklynne Brassset Sara Toth·
4117-24MDMD×4KillAva Brownset Sara Toth·
4218-24MDMD×4AceMarlee Sivakaced Eva Travis·
4318-25MDWISCServe errMarlee Sivak·

Score shown after each rally, Maryland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).