Final · 5 setsThu, Nov 5, 2026Watch on B1G+

Maryland def. Southern California 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Southern California 60.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 5, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Maryland beat visiting Southern California 3-2 (25-23, 20-25, 25-27, 25-19, 15-10) on Thu, Nov 5, 2026. Maryland's Sydney Bryant led with 19 kills, and Sara Toth added 13 digs.

Data through · final Nov 5

Set12345Sets
USC23252719102
MD25202525153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.385 on 39 swings: Sydney Bryant and Maryland edged Southern California.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Maryland's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Southern California was RallyIQ's 60% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Southern California 19–16 Maryland

    Down 16–19, Maryland scored 5 straight to lead 21–19. The match swung to Maryland.

    Maryland 30% → 51%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Southern California 23–22 Maryland

    3 straight Maryland points turned a 22–23 deficit into a 25–23 lead. The match swung to Maryland.

    Maryland 35% → 61%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Southern California 24–24 Maryland

    Southern California closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and lead 2–1.

    Maryland 42% → 21%

Maryland above 50Southern California belowMax swing 13.3%

Southern CaliforniaMaryland

Sideout %
Southern California 61.5·Maryland 64.8
Break %
Southern California 35.2·Maryland 38.5
Hitting
Southern California .216·Maryland .267
Longest run
Southern California 4·Maryland 5

Ava Brown
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 10 K, .094, 11.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Maryland above 50 · Southern California below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+13.3% USCrally 214 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.3% to Southern California — set 3, USC 24-23 MD. Kill by London Wijay (set by Lilli Etter). MD win probability 47% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USC 59.2%40.8% MD

Southern California wins

3-0
16.8%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
19.8%

Maryland wins

3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.9%
3-2
16.9%
USC break %
40.2% vs this opp
MD break %
38.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    London WijayKill+13.3%

    Kill by London Wijay (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 3 · USC 24-23 MD · USC 53% → 67%

  2. 02
    Mia TvrdyBlock+12.7%

    Sydney Bryant stuffed by Mia Tvrdy

    Set 3 · USC 27-25 MD · USC 67% → 79%

  3. 03

    Abigail Mullen stuffed by Eva Rohrbach & Marlee Sivak

    Set 3 · USC 22-23 MD · MD 42% → 54%

  4. 04
    Adonia FaumuinaAttack error+10.7%

    Attack error by Adonia Faumuina

    Set 1 · USC 23-25 MD · MD 50% → 61%

  5. 05
    Marlee SivakKill+10.2%

    Kill by Marlee Sivak (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 1 · USC 23-24 MD · MD 40% → 50%

  6. 06
    London WijayAttack error+9.4%

    Attack error by London Wijay

    Set 5 · USC 0-2 MD · MD 53% → 63%

  7. 07
    Eva RohrbachKill+9.3%

    Kill by Eva Rohrbach (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 5 · USC 1-4 MD · MD 63% → 73%

  8. 08
    Marlee SivakKill+8.7%

    Kill by Marlee Sivak (set by Sara Toth)

    Set 3 · USC 24-24 MD · MD 33% → 42%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517850.1802134004220
513121.57100030094.517.5
5121037.05420180052.514.5
512322.40910001031.513.5
5003.00053121000212
48620.10000002010.58.5
51011.0003002000001
5000–013100001
5000–003510000
3337.00000000010.53.5
3000–012100001
2000–001100000
1001.000100000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6631162.2166241553402512.5104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
59122.3640012008413
510732.09400010031.511.5
52021.00048131300425
5204.500000100213
5102.500103420001
1023-.667000210000
519439.3850003020221
516545.24400190031.517.5
5001.000111710001
5000–814800001
3000–012100001
Team totals5919150.2675841551422012110

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 USC · MD 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 USCMD 5

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 USCMD 5

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 4 USCMD 4

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 2 USCMD 4

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 USCMD 3

Bars above the line = Maryland leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%14/25
43%9/21
2
71%12/17
48%12/25
3
42%11/26
25%4/16
4
92%11/12
21%3/14
5
67%10/15
27%4/15
6
64%9/14
36%5/14
All
61%67/109
35%37/105

Maryland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%14/26
21%3/14
2
57%12/21
46%11/24
3
80%12/15
45%10/22
4
73%11/15
39%7/18
5
71%10/14
21%3/14
6
64%9/14
47%8/17
All
65%68/105
39%42/109

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

214 rallies

#USC-MDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MDMDAttack errAdonia Faumuina+2.6
21-1MDUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.7
32-1USCUSC×3Attack errBrooklynne Brass+2.6
43-1USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.5
53-2USCMDServe errSouthern California+1.6
64-2MDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.7
74-3USCMDServe errSouthern California+1.6
84-4MDMDAttack errLondon Wijay+2.7
95-4MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.8
106-4USCUSCBlockedEva Rohrbachblk Mia Tvrdy, London Wijay+2.7
116-5USCMDServe errAddison Townsend+1.7
127-5MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Mia Tvrdy+1.8
137-6USCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.8
147-7MDMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.9
158-7MDUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.0
169-7USCUSC×3AceLondon Wijayaced Elayna Davidson+2.9
1710-7USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdy+2.7
1810-8USCMDServe errLondon Wijay+1.6
1911-8MDUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.8
2012-8USCUSCAceQuinn Loperaced Brooklynne Brass+2.4
2112-9USCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.3
2213-9MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.6
2314-9USCUSCBlockedBrooklynne Brassblk Abigail Mullen, Leah Ford+2.0
2414-10USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+1.0
2515-10MDUSCServe errRaina Chwialkowski+1.3
2615-11USCMD×3KillMarlee Sivakset Raina Chwialkowski+1.0
2715-12MDMD×3BlockedLondon Wijayblk Eva Rohrbach, Sara Toth+2.0
2815-13MDMD×3KillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.6
2916-13MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.1
3016-14USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+1.8
3117-14MDUSCBlockedSydney Bryantblk Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy+2.2
3218-14USCUSCAttack errSydney Bryant+2.6
3318-15USCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.3
3418-16MDMDAttack errAbigail Mullen+2.8
3519-16MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.3
3619-17USCMD×5KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.9
3719-18MDMD×5Attack errMia Tvrdy+3.8
3819-19MDMD×5KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+4.9
3919-20MDMD×5Attack errLondon Wijay+5.6
4019-21MDMD×5BlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Ava Brown, Ioanna Dimitriou+5.6
4120-21MDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+3.0
4221-21USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+5.9
4321-22USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+4.7
4422-22MDUSCServe errHaley Melby+4.4
4523-22USCUSCAceLilli Etteraced Haley Melby+8.0
4623-23USCMD×3KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+5.0
4723-24MDMD×3KillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+10.2
4823-25MDMD×3Attack errAdonia Faumuina+10.7
Set 2
10-1USCMDAttack errAdonia Faumuina+1.9
21-1MDUSC×4KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.9
32-1USCUSC×4KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.9
43-1USCUSC×4Attack errAva Brown+2.8
54-1USCUSC×4KillAbigail Mullenset Taylor Deckert+2.6
64-2USCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+1.6
75-2MDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.7
85-3USCMDKillSara Tothset Elayna Davidson+1.6
96-3MDUSCServe errMarlee Sivak+1.8
106-4USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.7
117-4MDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Taylor Deckert+1.8
128-4USCUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.5
138-5USCMDServe errLondon Wijay+1.5
149-5MDUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Taylor Deckert+1.7
1510-5USCUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.1
1610-6USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Raina Chwialkowski+1.2
1711-6MDUSC×3Serve errHaley Melby+1.4
1812-6USCUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.7
1913-6USCUSC×3BlockedAva Brownblk Leah Ford, Adonia Faumuina+1.3
2013-7USCMD×5KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+0.6
2113-8MDMD×5AceRaina Chwialkowskiaced Adonia Faumuina+1.3
2213-9MDMD×5KillMarlee Sivakset Raina Chwialkowski+1.7
2313-10MDMD×5KillMarlee Sivak+2.3
2413-11MDMD×5Attack errAbigail Mullen+2.9
2514-11MDUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset London Wijay+2.2
2615-11USCUSC×3BlockedAva Brownblk London Wijay, Leah Ford+2.8
2716-11USCUSC×3Attack errAva Brown+2.2
2816-12USCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.1
2916-13MDMDBlockedAbigail Mullenblk Marlee Sivak, Eva Rohrbach+2.3
3017-13MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.9
3117-14USCMDKillHaley Melbyset Sara Toth+1.5
3218-14MDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.9
3318-15USCMDServe errAbigail Mullen+1.5
3419-15MDUSCServe errEva Rohrbach+2.0
3519-16USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.4
3619-17MDMDAceSara Tothaced Mia Tvrdy+3.1
3720-17MDUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.7
3820-18USCMDServe errQuinn Loper+2.1
3921-18MDUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.8
4022-18USCUSC×3KillTaylor Deckertset Raina Chwialkowski+2.9
4123-18USCUSC×3BlockedMarlee Sivakblk Abigail Mullen, Leah Ford+1.5
4223-19USCMDKillIoanna Dimitriouset Sara Toth+0.4
4323-20MDMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+1.2
4424-20MDUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.6
4525-20USCUSCAttack errAva Brown+0.6
Set 3
11-0MDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.2
21-1USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+2.3
32-1MDUSCAttack errMarlee Sivak+2.3
42-2USCMDServe errPaisley Douglas+2.3
52-3MDMDBlockedLondon Wijayblk Sara Toth, Eva Rohrbach+3.7
63-3MDUSCServe errElayna Davidson+2.4
73-4USCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.5
84-4MDUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.4
95-4USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+3.7
105-5USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.5
116-5MDUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.5
126-6USCMDServe errLondon Wijay+2.5
137-6MDUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.6
148-6USCUSCBlockedSydney Bryantblk Leah Ford, Lilli Etter+3.8
158-7USCMDServe errQuinn Loper+2.4
169-7MDUSCServe errHaley Melby+2.6
1710-7USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+3.6
1810-8USCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.2
1911-8MDUSC×4Serve errRaina Chwialkowski+2.4
2012-8USCUSC×4KillAbigail Mullenset London Wijay+3.2
2113-8USCUSC×4BlockedAva Brownblk London Wijay, Leah Ford+2.6
2214-8USCUSC×4KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.0
2314-9USCMD×4Attack errLeah Ford+1.0
2414-10MDMD×4KillMarlee Sivakset Raina Chwialkowski+2.1
2514-11MDMD×4KillSara Tothset Haley Melby+2.7
2614-12MDMD×4AceElayna Davidsonaced Paisley Douglas+3.5
2715-12MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.7
2815-13USCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+2.4
2916-13MDUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.8
3017-13USCUSCKillLondon Wijay+3.5
3117-14USCMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+1.8
3218-14MDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.3
3318-15USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.8
3418-16MDMDBlockedMia Tvrdyblk Sydney Bryant+3.7
3519-16MDUSCServe errSara Toth+3.2
3619-17USCMD×3KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.5
3719-18MDMD×3AceAddie Canadyaced Adonia Faumuina+5.2
3819-19MDMD×3Attack errAdonia Faumuina+6.6
3920-19MDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+4.8
4021-19USCUSCBlockedAva Brownblk Riley Malloy, Leah Ford+6.9
4121-20USCMDServe errLilli Etter+3.7
4221-21MDMDAttack errAbigail Mullen+7.8
4322-21MDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+6.0
4422-22USCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+5.8
4522-23MDMDBlockedAbigail Mullenblk Eva Rohrbach, Marlee Sivak+11.1
4623-23MDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+6.9
4724-23USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+13.3
4824-24USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+8.7
4925-24MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+8.7
5025-25USCMDAttack errLondon Wijay+8.7
5126-25MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Abigail Mullen+8.7
5227-25USCUSCBlockedSydney Bryantblk Mia Tvrdy+12.7
Set 4
11-0USCUSCBlockedMarlee Sivakblk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen+3.1
21-1USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Raina Chwialkowski+2.1
32-1MDUSCServe errRaina Chwialkowski+2.1
42-2USCMDServe errPaisley Douglas+2.1
53-2MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.1
63-3USCMDServe errLayli Ostovar+2.2
74-3MDUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.2
84-4USCMDBlockedLondon Wijayblk Sara Toth, Eva Rohrbach+2.2
94-5MDMDAttack errMia Tvrdy+3.5
105-5MDUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.3
115-6USCMDKillIoanna Dimitriouset Sara Toth+2.4
126-6MDUSCKillRiley Malloyset Lilli Etter+2.3
136-7USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.5
147-7MDUSCKillRiley Malloyset Lilli Etter+2.4
157-8USCMD×3KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.5
167-9MDMD×3KillAva Brownset Sara Toth+3.9
177-10MDMD×3BlockedAbigail Mullenblk Ava Brown, Eva Rohrbach+3.8
188-10MDUSCServe errRaina Chwialkowski+2.2
198-11USCMDBlockedAbigail Mullenblk Marlee Sivak, Eva Rohrbach+2.6
209-11MDUSCBlockedMarlee Sivakblk London Wijay, Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen+2.3
2110-11USCUSCAceLayli Ostovaraced Haley Melby+3.9
2210-12USCMD×4Serve errLayli Ostovar+2.9
2310-13MDMD×4KillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+4.1
2410-14MDMD×4BlockedAbigail Mullenblk Sydney Bryant+3.7
2510-15MDMD×4KillSydney Bryantset Raina Chwialkowski+3.1
2611-15MDUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.5
2712-15USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Brooklyn Tealer+3.0
2812-16USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.6
2913-16MDUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.0
3013-17USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.6
3114-17MDUSCServe errSara Toth+1.9
3214-18USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+2.6
3315-18MDUSCServe errAddie Canady+1.9
3415-19USCMDKillAva Brownset Sara Toth+2.7
3516-19MDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.8
3616-20USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Raina Chwialkowski+2.7
3717-20MDUSCAttack errMarlee Sivak+1.7
3817-21USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+2.7
3917-22MDMDAttack errMia Tvrdy+2.5
4018-22MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.8
4118-23USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.4
4219-23MDUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.5
4319-24USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+1.1
4419-25MDMDAttack errRiley Malloy+1.9
Set 5
10-1USCMDAttack errRiley Malloy+6.2
20-2MDMDAttack errLondon Wijay+9.4
31-2MDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+5.7
41-3USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+6.5
51-4MDMDKillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+9.3
62-4MDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+5.2
72-5USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+6.4
82-6MDMDKillSydney Bryantset Raina Chwialkowski+8.4
93-6MDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+4.3
103-7USCMDKillSydney Bryantset Sara Toth+5.7
114-7MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+4.3
124-8USCMDAttack errAdonia Faumuina+5.8
134-9MDMDBlockedRiley Malloyblk Ava Brown, Ioanna Dimitriou+6.6
145-9MDUSCServe errSara Toth+2.7
156-9USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Abigail Mullen+6.2
166-10USCMDServe errQuinn Loper+5.9
177-10MDUSCServe errAddie Canady+3.8
188-10USCUSCKillRiley Malloyset Lilli Etter+8.6
198-11USCMDKillMarlee Sivakset Sara Toth+8.1
209-11MDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+5.5
219-12USCMDAttack errAbigail Mullen+8.4
2210-12MDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+5.2
2310-13USCMD×3KillEva Rohrbachset Sara Toth+8.7
2410-14MDMD×3Attack errAbigail Mullen+7.1
2510-15MDMD×3BlockedLondon Wijayblk Eva Rohrbach, Sara Toth+2.0

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).