Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

CSU Bakersfield def. Abilene Christian 3–1

CSU Bakersfield won at Abilene Christian 3-1 (25-14, 25-20, 22-25, 25-18) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. CSU Bakersfield's Suelen Lima led with 17 kills, and Luiza Da Cruz added 21 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
CSUBAK252522253
ABILCH142025181

Win probability

Abilene Christian above 50 · CSU Bakersfield below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.0% ABILCHrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.0% to Abilene Christian — set 3, CSUBAK 21-22 ABILCH. Kill by Maddie Finnegan (set by Rachel Koss). ABILCH win probability 18% → 24%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUBAK 32.6%67.4% ABILCH

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0
6.4%
3-1
11.6%
3-2
14.6%

Abilene Christian wins

3-0
21.5%
3-1
25.9%
3-2
20.0%
CSUBAK break %
41.2% vs this opp
ABILCH break %
44.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Maddie Finnegan (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 3 · CSUBAK 21-22 ABILCH · ABILCH 18% → 24%

  2. 02
    Suelen LimaAttack error+5.5%

    Attack error by Suelen Lima

    Set 3 · CSUBAK 21-23 ABILCH · ABILCH 24% → 30%

  3. 03
    Anna BacchinKill+5.0%

    Kill by Anna Bacchin (set by Analiese Gagliano)

    Set 3 · CSUBAK 20-19 ABILCH · CSUBAK 80% → 85%

  4. 04
    Defne YanikKill+4.9%

    Kill by Defne Yanik

    Set 4 · CSUBAK 15-11 ABILCH · CSUBAK 82% → 87%

  5. 05

    Kill by Maddie Finnegan (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 3 · CSUBAK 22-24 ABILCH · ABILCH 27% → 32%

  6. 06
    Annaleise SevierAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Annaleise Sevier

    Set 4 · CSUBAK 13-9 ABILCH · CSUBAK 81% → 85%

  7. 07

    Kill by Izabelle Larson (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 4 · CSUBAK 13-11 ABILCH · ABILCH 18% → 22%

  8. 08
    Maddie FinneganAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Maddie Finnegan

    Set 4 · CSUBAK 11-7 ABILCH · CSUBAK 80% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417740.25040111022320
49331.1943116300010
48314.3570002012210
46224.16700010052.58.5
42215.00000230073.55.5
41011.00023112100002
410217.4711000002111
4000–421800002
4000–1711900001
2000–000000000
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5319142.23952576233181297
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413535.2290017000013
44211.18201020212.57.5
4115.0003511600002
33113.154000100003
25210.300002110005
1025-.400000000000
410424.2500005002111
4001.0004101830001
4000–002800000
310625.1600003000010
3225.000102500002
2015-.20010000010.50.5
2000–401100000
1014-.250000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4827143.147453957524477

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 CSUBAK · ABILCH 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 8 CSUBAKABILCH 2

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 CSUBAKABILCH 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKABILCH 4

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 3 CSUBAKABILCH 2

Bars above the line = Abilene Christian leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSU Bakersfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
44%7/16
2
55%11/20
39%7/18
3
75%9/12
38%6/16
4
73%8/11
62%13/21
5
64%7/11
46%6/13
6
70%7/10
42%5/12
All
68%53/78
46%44/96

Abilene Christian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
25%3/12
2
65%11/17
42%8/19
3
39%9/23
33%5/15
4
54%7/13
31%4/13
5
58%7/12
30%3/10
6
54%7/13
22%2/9
All
54%52/96
32%25/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#CSUBAK-ABILCHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ABILCHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Analiese Gagliano+1.7
22-0CSUBAKCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+2.4
32-1CSUBAKABILCHAttack errAnna Bacchin+1.7
43-1ABILCHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Analiese Gagliano+1.9
53-2CSUBAKABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.7
64-2ABILCHCSUBAK×8Serve errAbilene Christian+1.9
75-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×8BlockedAlyssa Toddblk Leylah Duran, Nele Broszat+2.5
86-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×8Attack errHadlee Welch+2.4
97-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×8Attack errAvery Thaler+2.3
108-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×8AceCSU Bakersfieldaced Brennan Ramirez+2.1
119-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×8KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.8
1210-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×8Attack errAubrey Beaver+1.5
1311-2CSUBAKCSUBAK×8KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.2
1411-3CSUBAKABILCHAttack errNele Broszat+0.6
1511-4ABILCHABILCHAttack errLeylah Duran+1.1
1612-4ABILCHCSUBAKAttack errAlyssa Todd+1.1
1713-4CSUBAKCSUBAKBlockedHadlee Welchblk Suelen Lima+1.1
1813-5CSUBAKABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.5
1913-6ABILCHABILCHAttack errSuelen Lima+1.0
2014-6ABILCHCSUBAKServe errAbilene Christian+1.0
2114-7CSUBAKABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Pierson Smith+0.7
2214-8ABILCHABILCHKillAnnaleise Sevierset Brennan Ramirez+1.2
2315-8ABILCHCSUBAKServe errAbilene Christian+1.3
2416-8CSUBAKCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Suelen Lima+1.2
2516-9CSUBAKABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Pierson Smith+0.6
2617-9ABILCHCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+0.9
2717-10CSUBAKABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Pierson Smith+0.5
2817-11ABILCHABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.0
2918-11ABILCHCSUBAKServe errAbilene Christian+1.1
3018-12CSUBAKABILCHAttack errSuelen Lima+0.7
3118-13ABILCHABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.3
3219-13ABILCHCSUBAK×4Serve errAbilene Christian+1.4
3320-13CSUBAKCSUBAK×4Attack errAlyssa Todd+1.2
3421-13CSUBAKCSUBAK×4Bad setRachel Koss+0.7
3522-13CSUBAKCSUBAK×4BlockedAlyssa Toddblk Nele Broszat, Leylah Duran+0.3
3622-14CSUBAKABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Analiese Gagliano+0.1
3723-14ABILCHCSUBAK×3BlockedAlyssa Toddblk Nele Broszat, Leylah Duran+0.2
3824-14CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillNele Broszatset Samantha Capinpin+0.1
3925-14CSUBAKCSUBAK×3Attack errHannah Gonzalez·
Set 2
11-0CSUBAKCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+2.8
21-1CSUBAKABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.1
32-1ABILCHCSUBAKKillLuiza Da Cruzset Suelen Lima+2.2
43-1CSUBAKCSUBAKBad setRachel Koss+3.0
53-2CSUBAKABILCHKillAnnaleise Sevierset Rachel Koss+2.1
63-3ABILCHABILCHKillAnnaleise Sevierset Rachel Koss+2.9
74-3ABILCHCSUBAKBlockedMaddie Finneganblk Nele Broszat, Leylah Duran+2.3
84-4CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+2.2
95-4ABILCHCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Analiese Gagliano+2.4
106-4CSUBAKCSUBAKBlockedMaddie Finneganblk Nele Broszat, Jordyn Waite-Ward+3.2
116-5CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Pierson Smith+2.3
127-5ABILCHCSUBAK×3KillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+2.5
138-5CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillJordyn Waite-Wardset Suelen Lima+3.3
149-5CSUBAKCSUBAK×3BlockedAubrey Beaverblk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Defne Yanik+3.2
159-6CSUBAKABILCHServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.1
1610-6ABILCHCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+2.5
1710-7CSUBAKABILCHServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.1
1811-7ABILCHCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+2.5
1912-7CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfieldaced Aubrey Beaver+3.0
2012-8CSUBAKABILCHServe errCSU Bakersfield+1.8
2112-9ABILCHABILCHKillAnnaleise Sevierset Rachel Koss+2.9
2213-9ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+2.6
2313-10CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+2.2
2414-10ABILCHCSUBAKAttack errAnnaleise Sevier+2.7
2515-10CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfieldaced Brennan Ramirez+3.1
2615-11CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+1.8
2716-11ABILCHCSUBAKBlockedJayla Jacksonblk Suelen Lima, Nele Broszat+2.4
2816-12CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Brennan Ramirez+1.7
2917-12ABILCHCSUBAKAttack errIzabelle Larson+2.4
3017-13CSUBAKABILCHKillIzabelle Larsonset Brennan Ramirez+1.7
3117-14ABILCHABILCHAttack errJordyn Waite-Ward+3.0
3218-14ABILCHCSUBAK×3KillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+3.0
3319-14CSUBAKCSUBAK×3BlockedIzabelle Larsonblk Defne Yanik+3.1
3420-14CSUBAKCSUBAK×3Bad setRachel Koss+2.2
3520-15CSUBAKABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.9
3620-16ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedDefne Yanikblk Hannah Gonzalez+1.9
3720-17ABILCHABILCH×3AceAbilene Christianaced Anna Bacchin+2.8
3821-17ABILCHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+3.1
3921-18CSUBAKABILCHBlockedSuelen Limablk Hannah Gonzalez, Annaleise Sevier+1.9
4022-18ABILCHCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.1
4123-18CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+2.4
4224-18CSUBAKCSUBAK×3AceCSU Bakersfield+1.0
4324-19CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+0.2
4424-20ABILCHABILCHAceAbilene Christianaced Anna Bacchin+0.5
4525-20ABILCHCSUBAKBlockedMaddie Finneganblk Leylah Duran, Nele Broszat+0.9
Set 3
10-1ABILCHABILCHKillAnnaleise Sevierset Rachel Koss+2.2
21-1ABILCHCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Luiza Da Cruz+1.7
31-2CSUBAKABILCHKillAnnaleise Sevierset Rachel Koss+1.7
42-2ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.7
52-3CSUBAKABILCHKillAnnaleise Sevierset Rachel Koss+1.7
63-3ABILCHCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+1.8
73-4CSUBAKABILCH×3KillRachel Kossset Izabelle Larson+1.7
83-5ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedJordyn Waite-Wardblk Hannah Gonzalez+2.2
93-6ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.1
104-6ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+1.5
114-7CSUBAKABILCHAttack errAnna Bacchin+1.6
125-7ABILCHCSUBAKKillNele Broszatset Anna Bacchin+1.5
136-7CSUBAKCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Samantha Capinpin+2.3
146-8CSUBAKABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Isa Richardson+1.8
157-8ABILCHCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+1.8
167-9CSUBAKABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.9
178-9ABILCHCSUBAK×3Serve errAbilene Christian+1.8
189-9CSUBAKCSUBAK×3Attack errIsa Richardson+2.7
1910-9CSUBAKCSUBAK×3Attack errAnnaleise Sevier+2.9
2010-10CSUBAKABILCH×4KillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+2.1
2110-11ABILCHABILCH×4Attack errDefne Yanik+2.9
2210-12ABILCHABILCH×4Attack errDefne Yanik+2.7
2310-13ABILCHABILCH×4Attack errSuelen Lima+2.5
2411-13ABILCHCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.7
2512-13CSUBAKCSUBAK×3BlockedHannah Gonzalezblk Suelen Lima+2.7
2613-13CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.1
2713-14CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+2.4
2814-14ABILCHCSUBAKServe errAbilene Christian+2.5
2914-15CSUBAKABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.5
3015-15ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+2.6
3115-16CSUBAKABILCH×3KillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+2.7
3215-17ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errNele Broszat+3.4
3315-18ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.0
3416-18ABILCHCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+1.9
3517-18CSUBAKCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Suelen Lima+3.3
3617-19CSUBAKABILCHServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.8
3718-19ABILCHCSUBAK×3Attack errMaddie Finnegan+2.6
3819-19CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillDefne Yanikset Luiza Da Cruz+4.4
3920-19CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillAnna Bacchinset Analiese Gagliano+5.0
4020-20CSUBAKABILCHBlockedLeylah Duranblk Isa Richardson, Annaleise Sevier+3.6
4121-20ABILCHCSUBAKServe errAbilene Christian+4.3
4221-21CSUBAKABILCH×3KillAnnaleise Sevierset Rachel Koss+4.0
4321-22ABILCHABILCH×3KillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+6.0
4421-23ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errSuelen Lima+5.5
4522-23ABILCHCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+3.0
4622-24CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+4.8
4722-25ABILCHABILCHAttack errSuelen Lima+3.4
Set 4
11-0CSUBAKCSUBAKBlockedAnnaleise Sevierblk Suelen Lima, Defne Yanik+3.8
22-0CSUBAKCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Anna Bacchin+4.0
32-1CSUBAKABILCHServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.8
43-1ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.1
53-2CSUBAKABILCHKillAnnaleise Sevierset Brennan Ramirez+2.9
64-2ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+3.1
74-3CSUBAKABILCHServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.9
85-3ABILCHCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+3.2
95-4CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+3.0
106-4ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+3.3
116-5CSUBAKABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.1
127-5ABILCHCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Luiza Da Cruz+3.4
138-5CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errAlyssa Todd+4.5
148-6CSUBAKABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.0
159-6ABILCHCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Luiza Da Cruz+3.5
169-7CSUBAKABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.1
1710-7ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.6
1811-7CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errMaddie Finnegan+4.5
1911-8CSUBAKABILCHServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.8
2011-9ABILCHABILCHAceAbilene Christianaced Anna Bacchin+4.3
2112-9ABILCHCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+3.8
2213-9CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errAnnaleise Sevier+4.7
2313-10CSUBAKABILCHKillAnnaleise Sevierset Rachel Koss+2.9
2413-11ABILCHABILCHKillIzabelle Larsonset Rachel Koss+4.5
2514-11ABILCHCSUBAKServe errAbilene Christian+4.0
2615-11CSUBAKCSUBAKKillDefne Yanik+4.9
2715-12CSUBAKABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+3.0
2816-12ABILCHCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+3.8
2917-12CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfieldaced Brennan Ramirez+4.2
3017-13CSUBAKABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.3
3118-13ABILCHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+3.2
3218-14CSUBAKABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.2
3319-14ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+3.2
3419-15CSUBAKABILCHAttack errSuelen Lima+2.1
3519-16ABILCHABILCHKillAvery Thaler+3.9
3620-16ABILCHCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+4.1
3720-17CSUBAKABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+2.8
3821-17ABILCHCSUBAK×3KillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+4.2
3922-17CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Limaset Anna Bacchin+3.7
4023-17CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillAnna Bacchinset Jordyn Waite-Ward+2.0
4123-18CSUBAKABILCHAttack errAnna Bacchin+0.5
4224-18ABILCHCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Samantha Capinpin+1.1
4325-18CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errRachel Koss+0.3

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).