Final · 5 setsThu, Sep 3, 2026

Houston def. Abilene Christian 3–2

Houston beat visiting Abilene Christian 3-2 (25-13, 25-18, 23-25, 26-28, 15-12) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026. Houston's Sydney Jones led with 23 kills, and Mattie Casale added 24 digs.

Data through · final Sep 3

Set12345Sets
ABILCH13182528122
HOU25252326153

Win probability

Houston above 50 · Abilene Christian below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+11.3% ABILCHrally 210 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.3% to Abilene Christian — set 4, ABILCH 28-26 HOU. Kill by Maddie Finnegan (set by Abby Christian). HOU win probability 81% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ABILCH 10.4%89.6% HOU

Abilene Christian wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.8%

Houston wins

3-0
43.8%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.2%
ABILCH break %
37.5% vs this opp
HOU break %
47.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maddie FinneganKill+11.3%

    Kill by Maddie Finnegan (set by Abby Christian)

    Set 4 · ABILCH 28-26 HOU · ABILCH 19% → 30%

  2. 02
    Tara GreenberryKill+10.9%

    Kill by Tara Greenberry (set by Kalei Edson)

    Set 5 · ABILCH 12-14 HOU · HOU 82% → 93%

  3. 03
    Alyssa ToddKill+9.6%

    Kill by Alyssa Todd (set by Brennan Ramirez)

    Set 5 · ABILCH 12-13 HOU · ABILCH 8% → 18%

  4. 04

    Kill by Alyssa Gonzales (set by Cali Reece)

    Set 4 · ABILCH 24-24 HOU · HOU 79% → 88%

  5. 05
    Avery ThalerKill+8.2%

    Kill by Avery Thaler (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 4 · ABILCH 27-26 HOU · ABILCH 10% → 19%

  6. 06
    Maddie FinneganAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Maddie Finnegan

    Set 5 · ABILCH 1-2 HOU · HOU 69% → 77%

  7. 07
    HoustonAce+7.2%

    Houston ace on Maddie Finnegan

    Set 5 · ABILCH 12-15 HOU · HOU 93% → 100%

  8. 08
    Hannah GonzalezAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Hannah Gonzalez

    Set 4 · ABILCH 25-26 HOU · HOU 88% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514432.31300020094.518.5
515330.40001142111.517.5
56119.2630002008410
56316.18800310052.58.5
5104.250450170031.52.5
23511-.182000020003
5012-.500002310000
5001.000200410000
5011-1.0002021400000
49527.148002910009
3000–001200000
2027-.286000100000
2000–202400000
Team totals5425150.193511145381261496
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5231052.25021260010.524.5
515438.28900210004217
510314.50000010132.512.5
54113.23110040174.58.5
5318.250442460052.57.5
5000–032900003
510631.1291002100010
5000–8202400002
5000–102300000
2000–101300000
Team totals6525156.2565881368122012114

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ABILCH · HOU 5

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 ABILCHHOU 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 ABILCHHOU 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 ABILCHHOU 4

Set 4

28-26

Longest run 3 ABILCHHOU 3

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 3 ABILCHHOU 4

Bars above the line = Houston leads, below = Abilene Christian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Abilene Christian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
72%13/18
38%6/16
2
48%12/25
32%6/19
3
55%11/20
33%6/18
4
63%10/16
44%8/18
5
43%9/21
17%2/12
6
57%8/14
38%5/13
All
55%63/114
34%33/96

Houston

SlotSideout %Break %
1
76%13/17
35%6/17
2
59%13/22
48%12/25
3
56%10/18
52%12/23
4
77%10/13
17%2/12
5
75%9/12
61%14/23
6
57%8/14
36%5/14
All
66%63/96
45%51/114

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

210 rallies

#ABILCH-HOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0HOUABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.9
22-0ABILCHABILCHBlockedSydney Jonesblk Hadlee Welch, Hannah Gonzalez+1.4
32-1ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Mattie Casale+0.9
43-1HOUABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.1
53-2ABILCHHOU×5KillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+0.9
63-3HOUHOU×5KillTara Greenberry+1.2
73-4HOUHOU×5Attack errAubrey Beaver+1.1
83-5HOUHOU×5KillKamille Gibsonset Mattie Casale+1.0
93-6HOUHOU×5Attack errAubrey Beaver+0.9
104-6HOUABILCH×3Serve errHouston+0.6
115-6ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedTara Greenberryblk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch+1.0
126-6ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedKamille Gibsonblk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch+1.3
136-7ABILCHHOUKillKalei Edson+0.9
146-8HOUHOUAceHoustonaced Aubrey Beaver+1.1
157-8HOUABILCHServe errHouston+0.8
167-9ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+0.8
177-10HOUHOUAttack errAnnaleise Sevier+1.0
188-10HOUABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Pierson Smith+0.7
198-11ABILCHHOU×3KillAlyssa Gonzalesset Kalei Edson+0.7
208-12HOUHOU×3Bad setPierson Smith+0.8
218-13HOUHOU×3Bad setPierson Smith+0.6
229-13HOUABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Pierson Smith+0.4
239-14ABILCHHOU×3Attack errBrennan Ramirez+0.4
249-15HOUHOU×3AceHoustonaced Aubrey Beaver+0.4
259-16HOUHOU×3KillSydney Jonesset Mattie Casale+0.3
2610-16HOUABILCHServe errHouston+0.2
2710-17ABILCHHOU×3BlockedAlyssa Toddblk Kalei Edson, Alexis Roberson+0.2
2810-18HOUHOU×3Attack errHadlee Welch+0.2
2910-19HOUHOU×3KillSydney Jonesset Mattie Casale+0.1
3011-19HOUABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss·
3111-20ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson·
3212-20HOUABILCHServe errHouston·
3312-21ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian·
3413-21HOUABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Abby Christian·
3513-22ABILCHHOU×4KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson·
3613-23HOUHOU×4KillAlexis Robersonset Kalei Edson·
3713-24HOUHOU×4KillAlexis Roberson·
3813-25HOUHOU×4BlockedIzabelle Larsonblk Kamille Gibson, Alexis Roberson·
Set 2
10-1ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.5
21-1HOUABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.6
31-2ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.5
42-2HOUABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.6
52-3ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+0.5
62-4HOUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.7
73-4HOUABILCHServe errHouston+0.5
83-5ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+0.5
93-6HOUHOUBlockedAvery Thalerblk Alexis Roberson+0.6
104-6HOUABILCHServe errHouston+0.4
115-6ABILCHABILCHAceAlyssa Toddaced Alyssa Gonzales+0.7
125-7ABILCHHOU×3BlockedAubrey Beaverblk Kamille Gibson, Alexis Roberson+0.5
135-8HOUHOU×3BlockedAubrey Beaverblk Alexis Roberson, Kalei Edson+0.6
145-9HOUHOU×3KillKalei Edsonset Alyssa Todd+0.5
156-9HOUABILCHServe errHouston+0.4
166-10ABILCHHOU×3Serve errAbilene Christian+0.4
176-11HOUHOU×3BlockedAubrey Beaverblk Alexis Roberson, Kalei Edson+0.4
186-12HOUHOU×3Attack errAnnaleise Sevier+0.3
197-12HOUABILCHAttack errSydney Jones+0.2
207-13ABILCHHOUKillAlexis Robersonset Kalei Edson+0.2
218-13HOUABILCH×3Attack errTara Greenberry+0.2
229-13ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedSydney Jonesblk Hadlee Welch, Hannah Gonzalez+0.4
2310-13ABILCHABILCH×3KillRachel Kossset Kamille Gibson+0.5
2410-14ABILCHHOU×3KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.4
2510-15HOUHOU×3Attack errHannah Gonzalez+0.4
2610-16HOUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Mattie Casale+0.3
2711-16HOUABILCHServe errHouston+0.2
2812-16ABILCHABILCHBlockedKamille Gibsonblk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch+0.4
2912-17ABILCHHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Sydney Jones+0.3
3013-17HOUABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.3
3113-18ABILCHHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.3
3213-19HOUHOU×3Attack errAlyssa Todd+0.3
3313-20HOUHOU×3KillAlyssa Gonzalesset Kalei Edson+0.2
3414-20HOUABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.1
3514-21ABILCHHOUKillAlexis Robersonset Kalei Edson+0.1
3615-21HOUABILCHAttack errAlyssa Gonzales·
3715-22ABILCHHOUKillKalei Edson+0.1
3816-22HOUABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss·
3917-22ABILCHABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.1
4017-23ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.1
4117-24HOUHOUKillTara Greenberry+0.1
4218-24HOUABILCHAttack errKalei Edson·
4318-25ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson·
Set 3
11-0HOUABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+0.3
21-1ABILCHHOU×3KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.3
31-2HOUHOU×3BlockedHadlee Welchblk Tara Greenberry, Kalei Edson+0.3
41-3HOUHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.3
52-3HOUABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.2
62-4ABILCHHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+0.2
73-4HOUABILCH×4KillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+0.2
84-4ABILCHABILCH×4KillAlyssa Todd+0.4
95-4ABILCHABILCH×4Bad setKalei Edson+0.4
106-4ABILCHABILCH×4KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.5
116-5ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.3
127-5HOUABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.4
137-6ABILCHHOU×4KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.3
147-7HOUHOU×4BlockedAlyssa Toddblk Alexis Roberson, Kamille Gibson+0.4
157-8HOUHOU×4KillAlyssa Gonzalesset Kalei Edson+0.4
167-9HOUHOU×4KillKamille Gibsonset Alyssa Gonzales+0.4
178-9HOUABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.3
189-9ABILCHABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.4
1910-9ABILCHABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.5
2010-10ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+0.4
2111-10HOUABILCHServe errHouston+0.4
2211-11ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+0.4
2312-11HOUABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+0.4
2412-12ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.4
2512-13HOUHOUAceHoustonaced Alyssa Todd+0.5
2613-13HOUABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.4
2714-13ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedSydney Jonesblk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch+0.6
2815-13ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.7
2915-14ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+0.5
3015-15HOUHOUAceHoustonaced Alyssa Todd+0.6
3116-15HOUABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.5
3216-16ABILCHHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+0.5
3317-16HOUABILCHServe errHouston+0.6
3418-16ABILCHABILCHBad setKalei Edson+0.9
3518-17ABILCHHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+0.5
3619-17HOUABILCHServe errHouston+0.7
3719-18ABILCHHOUKillAlyssa Gonzalesset Kalei Edson+0.6
3820-18HOUABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.8
3921-18ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errAlexis Roberson+1.0
4022-18ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errAlyssa Gonzales+0.8
4122-19ABILCHHOUKillAlyssa Gonzalesset Kalei Edson+0.3
4223-19HOUABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+0.6
4323-20ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Alexis Roberson+0.3
4423-21HOUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Mattie Casale+0.6
4524-21HOUABILCHAttack errKamille Gibson+0.9
4624-22ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+0.3
4724-23HOUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Mattie Casale+1.0
4825-23HOUABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+1.8
Set 4
11-0ABILCHABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Kalei Edson+1.6
22-0ABILCHABILCHAttack errSydney Jones+1.9
32-1ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+1.2
42-2HOUHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+1.6
53-2HOUABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+1.3
64-2ABILCHABILCHBlockedKalei Edsonblk Alyssa Todd, Avery Thaler+2.0
74-3ABILCHHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+1.3
84-4HOUHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.7
95-4HOUABILCHAttack errSydney Jones+1.4
105-5ABILCHHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+1.3
116-5HOUABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+1.5
126-6ABILCHHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.3
137-6HOUABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.5
147-7ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+1.4
158-7HOUABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+1.6
168-8ABILCHHOUKillAlyssa Gonzalesset Mattie Casale+1.4
179-8HOUABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+1.6
189-9ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.5
199-10HOUHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.9
2010-10HOUABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.5
2110-11ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+1.4
2211-11HOUABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+1.6
2312-11ABILCHABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.5
2412-12ABILCHHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.7
2513-12HOUABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.0
2613-13ABILCHHOUKillAlyssa Gonzalesset Kalei Edson+1.8
2714-13HOUABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.1
2814-14ABILCHHOUAttack errMaddie Finnegan+1.8
2915-14HOUABILCHBlockedAlyssa Gonzalesblk Rachel Koss, Hannah Gonzalez+2.2
3016-14ABILCHABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+3.2
3116-15ABILCHHOU×3Attack errMaddie Finnegan+2.0
3216-16HOUHOU×3AceHoustonaced Abby Christian+2.9
3316-17HOUHOU×3AceHoustonaced Izabelle Larson+2.8
3417-17HOUABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+2.2
3517-18ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+2.1
3618-18HOUABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.3
3719-18ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedSydney Jonesblk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch+3.8
3820-18ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errSydney Jones+4.3
3920-19ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+2.5
4020-20HOUHOUBlockedHadlee Welchblk Tara Greenberry+4.0
4121-20HOUABILCHServe errHouston+3.5
4221-21ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+3.2
4322-21HOUABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+4.1
4423-21ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errTara Greenberry+6.1
4524-21ABILCHABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+5.0
4624-22ABILCHHOU×3KillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+1.4
4724-23HOUHOU×3KillAlyssa Gonzalesset Gillian Pitts+4.1
4824-24HOUHOU×3KillAlyssa Gonzalesset Cali Reece+8.7
4925-24HOUABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+6.2
5025-25ABILCHHOUBlockedMaddie Finneganblk Alexis Roberson, Kamille Gibson+6.2
5125-26HOUHOUAttack errHannah Gonzalez+6.9
5226-26HOUABILCH×3KillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+4.9
5327-26ABILCHABILCH×3KillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+8.2
5428-26ABILCHABILCH×3KillMaddie Finneganset Abby Christian+11.3
Set 5
11-0HOUABILCHAttack errSydney Jones+6.1
21-1ABILCHHOU×4KillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+5.5
31-2HOUHOU×4Attack errMaddie Finnegan+7.2
41-3HOUHOU×4BlockedMaddie Finneganblk Kalei Edson, Tara Greenberry+6.4
51-4HOUHOU×4AceHouston+5.3
62-4HOUABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+3.7
72-5ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+3.9
82-6HOUHOUBlockedHadlee Welchblk Tara Greenberry, Sydney Jones+4.3
93-6HOUABILCHBlockedKamille Gibsonblk Alyssa Todd+2.7
104-6ABILCHABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Brennan Ramirez+5.2
114-7ABILCHHOUKillKamille Gibsonset Kalei Edson+4.3
125-7HOUABILCHBlockedAlyssa Gonzalesblk Hannah Gonzalez, Hadlee Welch+4.0
135-8ABILCHHOU×3KillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+4.5
145-9HOUHOU×3KillAlyssa Gonzalesset Sydney Jones+4.6
155-10HOUHOU×3Attack errHannah Gonzalez+3.0
166-10HOUABILCHBlockedAlyssa Gonzalesblk Hannah Gonzalez, Rachel Koss+1.5
176-11ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+2.0
187-11HOUABILCHKillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+1.3
198-11ABILCHABILCHBlockedAlyssa Gonzalesblk Avery Thaler, Rachel Koss+3.2
208-12ABILCHHOUServe errAbilene Christian+3.3
219-12HOUABILCHServe errHouston+2.1
229-13ABILCHHOUKillSydney Jonesset Kalei Edson+3.2
2310-13HOUABILCH×3BlockedSydney Jonesblk Hadlee Welch, Avery Thaler+1.6
2411-13ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+4.6
2512-13ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Brennan Ramirez+9.6
2612-14ABILCHHOUKillTara Greenberryset Kalei Edson+10.9
2712-15HOUHOUAceHoustonaced Maddie Finnegan+7.2

Score shown after each rally, Abilene Christian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).