Abilene Christian def. Texas Southern 3–1
(25-22, 23-25, 25-16, 26-24)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABILCH | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 3 |
| TX SOU | 22 | 25 | 16 | 24 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 4.1% to Abilene Christian — set 4, ABILCH 24-23 TX SOU. Kill by Hannah Gonzalez (set by Rachel Koss). TX SOU win probability 8% → 4%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Abilene Christian wins
Texas Southern wins
- ABILCH break %
- 51.7% vs this opp
- TX SOU break %
- 38.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Hannah GonzalezKill+4.1%
Kill by Hannah Gonzalez (set by Rachel Koss)
Set 4 · ABILCH 24-23 TX SOU · ABILCH 92% → 96%
- 02Hannah GonzalezAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Hannah Gonzalez
Set 4 · ABILCH 24-24 TX SOU · TX SOU 4% → 8%
- 03Maddie FinneganKill+4.1%
Kill by Maddie Finnegan (set by Brennan Ramirez)
Set 4 · ABILCH 25-24 TX SOU · ABILCH 92% → 96%
- 04Alyssa ToddKill+3.8%
Kill by Alyssa Todd (set by Rachel Koss)
Set 4 · ABILCH 26-24 TX SOU · ABILCH 96% → 100%
- 05Alyssa ToddAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Alyssa Todd
Set 2 · ABILCH 23-25 TX SOU · TX SOU 6% → 10%
- 06Ava HoustonKill+3.3%
Kill by Ava Houston (set by Ava Ray)
Set 4 · ABILCH 23-23 TX SOU · TX SOU 5% → 8%
- 07Ava HoustonKill+3.3%
Kill by Ava Houston (set by Lauanna Pino)
Set 4 · ABILCH 18-20 TX SOU · TX SOU 10% → 13%
- 08ABILCH serverAce+3.2%
Abilene Christian ace on Team
Set 4 · ABILCH 22-21 TX SOU · ABILCH 92% → 95%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 30 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 26 | .308 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .688 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 25 | .120 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | .091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 24 | .208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 65 | 30 | 153 | .229 | 62 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 99 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .208 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 16 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 28 | .143 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | -.053 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 20 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .167 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 19 | .105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 43 | 22 | 138 | .152 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 87 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-22
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
25-16
Set 4
26-24
Bars above the line = Texas Southern leads, below = Abilene Christian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Abilene Christian
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63%10/16 | 50%9/18 |
| 2 | 64%9/14 | 31%4/13 |
| 3 | 53%9/17 | 25%3/12 |
| 4 | 69%9/13 | 50%9/18 |
| 5 | 62%8/13 | 58%11/19 |
| 6 | 47%7/15 | 61%11/18 |
| All | 59%52/88 | 48%47/98 |
Texas Southern
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56%10/18 | 31%4/13 |
| 2 | 82%9/11 | 47%8/17 |
| 3 | 47%9/19 | 44%7/16 |
| 4 | 56%9/16 | 36%5/14 |
| 5 | 32%7/22 | 18%2/11 |
| 6 | 58%7/12 | 59%10/17 |
| All | 52%51/98 | 41%36/88 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
186 rallies
Rally log
| # | ABILCH-TX SOU | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Kill | Lacey Kusnier | set Lauren Battle | +0.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Ava Houston | +0.5 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Ava Houston | set Ava Ray | +0.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +0.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.5 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Attack err | Maddie Finnegan | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | TX SOU | ABILCH×4 | Attack err | Lacey Kusnier | +0.5 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Attack err | Ava Houston | blk Hannah Gonzalez, Maddie Finnegan | +0.6 |
| 10 | 6-4 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Attack err | Lauren Battle | +0.5 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Lauren Battle | +0.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.4 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Rachel Koss | +0.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Keldri Young | set Kadence Davison | +0.4 |
| 15 | 9-6 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.4 |
| 16 | 9-7 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Lauren Battle | set Kadence Davison | +0.4 |
| 17 | 10-7 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Rachel Koss | +0.4 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.4 |
| 19 | 11-8 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.3 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.3 |
| 21 | 12-9 | ABILCH | TX SOU×4 | Kill | Ava Houston | set Ava Ray | +0.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | TX SOU | TX SOU×4 | Attack err | Annaleise Sevier | +0.5 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | TX SOU | TX SOU×4 | Ace | TX SOU server | aced Brennan Ramirez | +0.7 |
| 24 | 12-12 | TX SOU | TX SOU×4 | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | blk Morgynne McQueen, Ava Houston | +0.9 |
| 25 | 13-12 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +0.7 |
| 26 | 13-13 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Morgynne McQueen | set Ava Ray | +0.8 |
| 27 | 14-13 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Rachel Koss | +0.8 |
| 28 | 14-14 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Lauren Battle | set Ava Ray | +0.9 |
| 29 | 15-14 | TX SOU | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Annaleise Sevier | set Rachel Koss | +0.8 |
| 30 | 16-14 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Lacey Kusnier | +0.9 |
| 31 | 17-14 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Brennan Ramirez | +0.7 |
| 32 | 18-14 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Rachel Koss | set Kadence Davison | +0.5 |
| 33 | 18-15 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Attack err | Maddie Finnegan | blk Aaliyah Brown, Lauren Battle | +0.4 |
| 34 | 19-15 | TX SOU | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.4 |
| 35 | 20-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.3 |
| 36 | 21-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Team | +0.2 |
| 37 | 22-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.1 |
| 38 | 23-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.0 |
| 39 | 23-16 | ABILCH | TX SOU×6 | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 23-17 | TX SOU | TX SOU×6 | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | TX SOU | TX SOU×6 | Attack err | Hannah Gonzalez | +0.1 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | TX SOU | TX SOU×6 | Kill | Selana Morales | set Keldri Young | +0.1 |
| 43 | 23-20 | TX SOU | TX SOU×6 | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +0.3 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | TX SOU | TX SOU×6 | Attack err | Hannah Gonzalez | +0.6 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.8 |
| 46 | 24-22 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Morgynne McQueen | set Alyssa Todd | +0.4 |
| 47 | 25-22 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Aliyah Jowers | +0.7 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Morgynne McQueen | +0.3 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Annaleise Sevier | set Rachel Koss | +0.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Attack err | Izabelle Larson | blk Ava Houston, Morgynne McQueen | +0.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Attack err | Annaleise Sevier | blk Morgynne McQueen, Ava Houston | +0.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +0.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Attack err | Maddie Finnegan | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Ace | TX SOU server | aced Maddie Finnegan | +0.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Attack err | Lauren Battle | blk Avery Thaler, Annaleise Sevier | +0.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Lauren Battle | set Ava Ray | +0.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | TX SOU | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Annaleise Sevier | set Rachel Koss | +0.3 |
| 12 | 7-5 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Lacey Kusnier | +0.3 |
| 13 | 8-5 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Lauren Battle | +0.3 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Lauren Battle | set Kadence Davison | +0.2 |
| 15 | 8-7 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Attack err | Hannah Gonzalez | +0.4 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Bad set | Lauren Battle | +0.3 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Selana Morales | set Ava Houston | +0.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Kill | Keldri Young | set Kadence Davison | +0.5 |
| 19 | 10-9 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.4 |
| 20 | 10-10 | ABILCH | TX SOU×3 | Kill | Morgynne McQueen | set Kadence Davison | +0.4 |
| 21 | 10-11 | TX SOU | TX SOU×3 | Ace | TX SOU server | aced Team | +0.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | TX SOU | TX SOU×3 | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +0.7 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +0.5 |
| 24 | 11-13 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Morgynne McQueen | set Ava Ray | +0.7 |
| 25 | 12-13 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.6 |
| 26 | 13-13 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Ava Houston | +0.7 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Morgynne McQueen | set Ava Ray | +0.6 |
| 28 | 13-15 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Attack err | Maddie Finnegan | +0.9 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Annaleise Sevier | set Rachel Koss | +0.6 |
| 30 | 14-16 | ABILCH | TX SOU×4 | Attack err | Brennan Ramirez | +0.8 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | TX SOU | TX SOU×4 | Attack err | Hannah Gonzalez | +1.0 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | TX SOU | TX SOU×4 | Attack err | Annaleise Sevier | +1.0 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | TX SOU | TX SOU×4 | Kill | Lauren Battle | set Kadence Davison | +1.0 |
| 34 | 15-19 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Rachel Koss | +0.5 |
| 35 | 15-20 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.8 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | TX SOU | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Pierson Smith | +0.5 |
| 37 | 17-20 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Selana Morales | +0.8 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Keldri Young | +0.9 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Selana Morales | set Kadence Davison | +1.1 |
| 40 | 18-22 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Attack err | Pierson Smith | +1.2 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Brennan Ramirez | +0.5 |
| 42 | 19-23 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +1.0 | |
| 43 | 20-23 | TX SOU | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Brennan Ramirez | +0.5 |
| 44 | 21-23 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Attack err | Ava Houston | +0.9 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Attack err | Selana Morales | blk Avery Thaler, Annaleise Sevier | +1.3 |
| 46 | 23-23 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Lauanna Pino | +1.8 |
| 47 | 23-24 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Ava Houston | set Ava Ray | +2.1 |
| 48 | 23-25 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +3.4 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +1.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Team | +1.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Lacey Kusnier | set Ava Ray | +0.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +0.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ABILCH | TX SOU×5 | Kill | Lauren Battle | set Ava Ray | +1.0 |
| 6 | 3-3 | TX SOU | TX SOU×5 | Kill | Aaliyah Brown | set Ava Ray | +1.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | TX SOU | TX SOU×5 | Bad set | Alexis Strong | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | TX SOU | TX SOU×5 | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | TX SOU | TX SOU×5 | Attack err | Alexis Strong | blk Ava Houston | +2.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Brennan Ramirez | +1.5 |
| 11 | 4-7 | ABILCH | TX SOU×3 | Kill | Ava Houston | set Ava Ray | +2.0 |
| 12 | 4-8 | TX SOU | TX SOU×3 | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | +2.5 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | TX SOU | TX SOU×3 | Ace | TX SOU server | aced Alexis Strong | +2.7 |
| 14 | 5-9 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Aubrey Beaver | set Rachel Koss | +1.7 |
| 15 | 5-10 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Attack err | Aubrey Beaver | blk Lauren Battle, Aaliyah Brown | +2.3 |
| 16 | 6-10 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.7 |
| 17 | 7-10 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Selana Morales | +2.2 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Aaliyah Brown | set Kadence Davison | +2.4 |
| 19 | 8-11 | TX SOU | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +1.8 |
| 20 | 9-11 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Keldri Young | +2.3 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Maddie Finnegan | +2.3 |
| 22 | 10-12 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Selana Morales | set Kadence Davison | +2.3 |
| 23 | 11-12 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +1.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Selana Morales | set Lauanna Pino | +2.4 |
| 25 | 12-13 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +2.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Morgynne McQueen | set Ava Ray | +2.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | TX SOU | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +2.1 |
| 28 | 14-14 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Attack err | Aaliyah Brown | blk Hadlee Welch, Hannah Gonzalez | +2.5 |
| 29 | 15-14 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Rachel Koss | +2.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +2.0 |
| 31 | 17-14 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +1.6 |
| 32 | 17-15 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Ava Houston | set Kadence Davison | +1.3 |
| 33 | 18-15 | TX SOU | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.4 |
| 34 | 19-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.2 |
| 35 | 20-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Brennan Ramirez | +0.8 |
| 36 | 20-16 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Keldri Young | set Kadence Davison | +0.5 |
| 37 | 21-16 | TX SOU | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.6 |
| 38 | 22-16 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Hannah Gonzalez | +0.4 |
| 39 | 23-16 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Abby Christian | +0.2 |
| 40 | 24-16 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Abby Christian | +0.0 |
| 41 | 25-16 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | +0.0 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Ava Houston | set Ava Ray | +0.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +0.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.9 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +0.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Lacey Kusnier | set Ava Ray | +0.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Aaliyah Brown | set Kadence Davison | +0.9 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.8 |
| 10 | 6-4 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Team | +0.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Aaliyah Brown | set Kadence Davison | +0.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Bad set | Rachel Koss | +1.1 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Team | +0.9 |
| 15 | 8-7 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.8 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | ABILCH | TX SOU×4 | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +0.9 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | TX SOU | TX SOU×4 | Attack err | Lacey Kusnier | +1.3 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | TX SOU | TX SOU×4 | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +1.6 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | TX SOU | TX SOU×4 | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | +1.8 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Attack err | Lacey Kusnier | +1.3 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Morgynne McQueen | set Ava Ray | +1.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Serve err | TX SOU server | +1.4 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Lacey Kusnier | +1.6 |
| 25 | 12-13 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Ava Houston | set Ava Ray | +1.5 |
| 26 | 13-13 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Attack err | Lacey Kusnier | blk Hadlee Welch, Hannah Gonzalez | +1.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Keldri Young | set Kadence Davison | +1.6 |
| 28 | 13-15 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Attack err | Hannah Gonzalez | blk Lauren Battle, Aaliyah Brown | +2.3 |
| 29 | 14-15 | TX SOU | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Rachel Koss | +1.6 |
| 30 | 15-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Lauren Battle | +1.9 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Aaliyah Brown | +1.7 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | ABILCH | TX SOU×3 | Kill | Lauren Battle | set Lauanna Pino | +1.6 |
| 33 | 16-17 | TX SOU | TX SOU×3 | Attack err | Maddie Finnegan | +2.4 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | TX SOU | TX SOU×3 | Kill | Lauren Battle | set Kadence Davison | +2.8 |
| 35 | 17-18 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +1.9 |
| 36 | 18-18 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Morgynne McQueen | blk Avery Thaler | +2.4 |
| 37 | 18-19 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Keldri Young | set Kadence Davison | +2.4 |
| 38 | 18-20 | TX SOU | TX SOU | Kill | Ava Houston | set Lauanna Pino | +3.3 |
| 39 | 19-20 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +2.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Lacey Kusnier | +2.9 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Morgynne McQueen | set Ava Ray | +3.0 |
| 42 | 21-21 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Attack err | Morgynne McQueen | +2.6 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Team | +3.2 |
| 44 | 22-22 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Morgynne McQueen | set Ava Ray | +2.9 |
| 45 | 23-22 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +3.1 |
| 46 | 23-23 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Kill | Ava Houston | set Ava Ray | +3.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +4.1 |
| 48 | 24-24 | ABILCH | TX SOU | Attack err | Hannah Gonzalez | +4.1 | |
| 49 | 25-24 | TX SOU | ABILCH | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Brennan Ramirez | +4.1 |
| 50 | 26-24 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +3.8 |
Score shown after each rally, Abilene Christian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.