FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwayUAC-

0:3

HomeSEC

Oklahoma def. Abilene Christian 3–0

(25-17, 25-12, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ABILCH	17	12	22	0
OKLA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

OKLA above 50 · ABILCH below

Biggest swing: 0.9% to Abilene Christian — set 1, ABILCH 14-15 OKLA. Attack error by Carley Butler. OKLA win probability 96% → 95%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ABILCH 5.0%95.0% OKLA

Abilene Christian wins

3-0

0.6%

3-1

1.4%

3-2

3.0%

Oklahoma wins

3-0

55.5%

3-1

29.7%

3-2

9.9%

ABILCH break %: 34.7% vs this opp
OKLA break %: 47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Carley ButlerAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Carley Butler
Set 1 · ABILCH 14-15 OKLA · ABILCH 4% → 5%
02
ABILCH serverAce+0.7%
Abilene Christian ace on Team
Set 1 · ABILCH 2-1 OKLA · ABILCH 5% → 6%
03
Alyssa FlackKill+0.7%
Kill by Alyssa Flack (set by Avaya Maga)
Set 1 · ABILCH 14-17 OKLA · OKLA 96% → 97%
04
Rachel KossBad set+0.6%
Bad set by Rachel Koss
Set 1 · ABILCH 2-3 OKLA · OKLA 95% → 96%
05
Alyssa FlackKill+0.6%
Kill by Alyssa Flack (set by Avaya Maga)
Set 1 · ABILCH 14-16 OKLA · OKLA 95% → 96%
06
Mikala YoungAttack error+0.6%
Attack error by Mikala Young
Set 1 · ABILCH 6-7 OKLA · ABILCH 4% → 4%
07
Tekoa BarnesKill+0.6%
Kill by Tekoa Barnes (set by Avaya Maga)
Set 1 · ABILCH 0-1 OKLA · OKLA 95% → 96%
08
Maddie FinneganKill+0.6%
Kill by Maddie Finnegan (set by Rachel Koss)
Set 1 · ABILCH 4-5 OKLA · ABILCH 4% → 4%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Abilene Christianaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Avery ThalerMB	3	7	1	10	.600	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	8
15Hadlee WelchOH	3	7	1	16	.375	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
19Maddie FinneganOH	3	6	3	22	.136	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	7
3Alyssa ToddOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
7Hannah GonzalezMB	3	3	5	20	-.100	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Rachel KossS	3	1	0	2	.500	25	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
24Brennan RamirezL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
11Izabelle LarsonOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Abby ChristianL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
1Jayla JacksonOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Aubrey BeaverOH	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
14Aliyah JowersOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	13	86	.186	28	2	7	29	3	1	2	2	51

Oklahomahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Tekoa BarnesOH	3	16	3	28	.464	2	0	3	4	0	0	2	1	17
12Elise HaniMB	3	10	0	16	.625	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	11
10Mikala YoungOH	3	7	4	24	.125	0	0	1	5	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
8Carley ButlerMB	3	6	1	16	.313	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
11Avaya MagaS	3	3	0	5	.600	40	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	4
4Kinsley SingletonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
19Alyssa FlackOH	3	8	3	14	.357	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	8
16Aniya WarrenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	13	0	0	0	0	0
6McKenna BrandL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
15Alaleh TolliverOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		50	11	103	.379	44	3	9	39	2	2	6	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 ABILCH · OKLA 9

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 ABILCHOKLA 5

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 3 ABILCHOKLA 9

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 2 ABILCHOKLA 3

Bars above the line = Oklahoma leads, below = Abilene Christian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Abilene Christian

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%9/19	22%2/9
2	64%7/11	10%1/10
3	78%7/9	36%4/11
4	55%6/11	13%1/8
5	67%6/9	14%1/7
6	40%6/15	14%1/7
All	55%41/74	19%10/52

Oklahoma

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	68%17/25
2	78%7/9	42%5/12
3	70%7/10	13%1/8
4	88%7/8	30%3/10
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	86%6/7	33%3/9
All	81%42/52	45%33/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	ABILCH-OKLA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.6
2	1-1	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+0.4
3	2-1	ABILCH	ABILCH	Ace	ABILCH server	aced Team	+0.7
4	2-2	ABILCH	OKLA×4	Kill	Mikala Young	set Avaya Maga	+0.5
5	2-3	OKLA	OKLA×4	Bad set	Rachel Koss		+0.6
6	2-4	OKLA	OKLA×4	Attack err	Hannah Gonzalez	blk Carley Butler, Mikala Young	+0.5
7	2-5	OKLA	OKLA×4	Kill	Carley Butler	set Rachel Koss	+0.4
8	3-5	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.3
9	4-5	ABILCH	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.6
10	4-6	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
11	4-7	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Carley Butler	set Avaya Maga	+0.5
12	5-7	OKLA	ABILCH	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.3
13	6-7	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Mikala Young		+0.6
14	6-8	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Carley Butler	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
15	6-9	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.5
16	7-9	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+0.4
17	7-10	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Avaya Maga	set Aniya Warren	+0.4
18	8-10	OKLA	ABILCH	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.4
19	8-11	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
20	9-11	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+0.4
21	9-12	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
22	10-12	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+0.4
23	10-13	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
24	11-13	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.4
25	11-14	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
26	12-14	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+0.4
27	12-15	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Mikala Young	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
28	13-15	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Rachel Koss	set Brennan Ramirez	+0.4
29	14-15	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Carley Butler		+0.9
30	14-16	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.6
31	14-17	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.7
32	15-17	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+0.5
33	15-18	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.5
34	16-18	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+0.5
35	16-19	ABILCH	OKLA×5	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.5
36	16-20	OKLA	OKLA×5	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.5
37	16-21	OKLA	OKLA×5	Kill	Mikala Young	set Avaya Maga	+0.3
38	16-22	OKLA	OKLA×5	Kill	Elise Hani	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
39	16-23	OKLA	OKLA×5	Ace	OKLA server	aced Team	+0.1
40	17-23	OKLA	ABILCH	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.0
41	17-24	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.0
42	17-25	OKLA	OKLA	Ace	OKLA server	aced Team	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	ABILCH	OKLA	Attack err	Maddie Finnegan		+0.2
2	0-2	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Alyssa Todd		+0.3
3	1-2	OKLA	ABILCH	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes	blk Avery Thaler	+0.2
4	1-3	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Carley Butler	set Avaya Maga	+0.2
5	2-3	OKLA	ABILCH×3	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.2
6	3-3	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Attack err	Mikala Young		+0.4
7	4-3	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Attack err	Mikala Young		+0.5
8	4-4	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.3
9	4-5	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Hadlee Welch	blk Carley Butler	+0.4
10	5-5	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+0.3
11	5-6	ABILCH	OKLA×4	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.3
12	5-7	OKLA	OKLA×4	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
13	5-8	OKLA	OKLA×4	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.3
14	5-9	OKLA	OKLA×4	Kill	Avaya Maga		+0.3
15	6-9	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.2
16	6-10	ABILCH	OKLA×3	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.2
17	6-11	OKLA	OKLA×3	Ace	OKLA server	aced Team	+0.2
18	6-12	OKLA	OKLA×3	Attack err	Hannah Gonzalez		+0.1
19	7-12	OKLA	ABILCH	Attack err	Alyssa Flack		+0.1
20	7-13	ABILCH	OKLA×9	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
21	7-14	OKLA	OKLA×9	Bad set	Hannah Gonzalez		+0.1
22	7-15	OKLA	OKLA×9	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
23	7-16	OKLA	OKLA×9	Attack err	Alyssa Todd		+0.0
24	7-17	OKLA	OKLA×9	Kill	Mikala Young	set Aniya Warren	+0.0
25	7-18	OKLA	OKLA×9	Attack err	Maddie Finnegan	blk Elise Hani, Tekoa Barnes	+0.0
26	7-19	OKLA	OKLA×9	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.0
27	7-20	OKLA	OKLA×9	Attack err	Hannah Gonzalez	blk Mikala Young	+0.0
28	7-21	OKLA	OKLA×9	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.0
29	8-21	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Abby Christian	+0.0
30	9-21	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+0.0
31	9-22	ABILCH	OKLA	Attack err	Aubrey Beaver	blk Elise Hani, Tekoa Barnes	+0.0
32	10-22	OKLA	ABILCH	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.0
33	10-23	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.0
34	11-23	OKLA	ABILCH	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.0
35	11-24	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Mikala Young	set Tekoa Barnes	+0.0
36	12-24	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+0.0
37	12-25	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Carley Butler	set Avaya Maga	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.2
2	0-2	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Hannah Gonzalez		+0.1
3	1-2	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
4	1-3	ABILCH	OKLA	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.1
5	2-3	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Brennan Ramirez	+0.1
6	2-4	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
7	3-4	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
8	3-5	ABILCH	OKLA	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.1
9	4-5	OKLA	ABILCH	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.1
10	4-6	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Carley Butler	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
11	5-6	OKLA	ABILCH	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.1
12	5-7	ABILCH	OKLA	Attack err	Hannah Gonzalez		+0.1
13	5-8	OKLA	OKLA	Attack err	Maddie Finnegan		+0.1
14	6-8	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
15	6-9	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
16	7-9	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
17	7-10	ABILCH	OKLA	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.1
18	8-10	OKLA	ABILCH	Serve err	OKLA server		+0.1
19	8-11	ABILCH	OKLA	Attack err	Avery Thaler		+0.1
20	9-11	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
21	9-12	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
22	9-13	OKLA	OKLA	Kill	Avaya Maga	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
23	10-13	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
24	10-14	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
25	11-14	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
26	11-15	ABILCH	OKLA	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.1
27	12-15	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
28	13-15	ABILCH	ABILCH	Ace	ABILCH server	aced Team	+0.2
29	13-16	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.1
30	14-16	OKLA	ABILCH	Attack err	Mikala Young	blk Hadlee Welch, Hannah Gonzalez	+0.1
31	14-17	ABILCH	OKLA	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.1
32	15-17	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
33	16-17	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Tekoa Barnes		+0.3
34	16-18	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Tekoa Barnes	set Avaya Maga	+0.2
35	17-18	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+0.2
36	17-19	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Mikala Young	set Tekoa Barnes	+0.2
37	18-19	OKLA	ABILCH	Attack err	Alyssa Flack		+0.2
38	18-20	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.2
39	19-20	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.2
40	20-20	ABILCH	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.5
41	20-21	ABILCH	OKLA	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.3
42	21-21	OKLA	ABILCH	Attack err	Alyssa Flack		+0.4
43	21-22	ABILCH	OKLA×3	Kill	Alyssa Flack	set Avaya Maga	+0.4
44	21-23	OKLA	OKLA×3	Kill	Elise Hani	set Avaya Maga	+0.5
45	21-24	OKLA	OKLA×3	Kill	Mikala Young		+0.3
46	22-24	OKLA	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.1
47	22-25	ABILCH	OKLA	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Abilene Christian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.