FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

0:3

HomeUAC-

Abilene Christian def. Louisiana Tech 3–0

(25-13, 25-21, 25-15)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LATECH	13	21	15	0
ABILCH	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ABILCH above 50 · LATECH below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Louisiana Tech — set 2, LATECH 12-9 ABILCH. Attack error by Alyssa Todd. ABILCH win probability 89% → 87%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LATECH 14.4%85.6% ABILCH

Louisiana Tech wins

3-0

2.1%

3-1

4.6%

3-2

7.7%

Abilene Christian wins

3-0

37.8%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.3%

LATECH break %: 39.2% vs this opp
ABILCH break %: 47.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alyssa ToddAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Alyssa Todd
Set 2 · LATECH 12-9 ABILCH · LATECH 11% → 13%
02
Avery ThalerKill+1.7%
Kill by Avery Thaler (set by Rachel Koss)
Set 2 · LATECH 15-16 ABILCH · ABILCH 91% → 93%
03
Megan CooleyKill+1.6%
Kill by Megan Cooley (set by Sydnee Carter)
Set 2 · LATECH 19-20 ABILCH · LATECH 5% → 7%
04
Hannah GonzalezKill+1.6%
Kill by Hannah Gonzalez (set by Rachel Koss)
Set 2 · LATECH 14-14 ABILCH · ABILCH 90% → 91%
05
ABILCH serverAce+1.5%
Abilene Christian ace on Abbi Sells
Set 2 · LATECH 13-12 ABILCH · ABILCH 88% → 90%
06
Megan CooleyAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Megan Cooley
Set 2 · LATECH 19-22 ABILCH · ABILCH 95% → 96%
07
Tyra McKinnieKill+1.5%
Kill by Tyra McKinnie (set by Emerson Traylor)
Set 2 · LATECH 9-6 ABILCH · LATECH 10% → 12%
08
Maddie FinneganKill+1.5%
Kill by Maddie Finnegan (set by Rachel Koss)
Set 2 · LATECH 15-17 ABILCH · ABILCH 93% → 94%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Louisiana Techaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Tyra McKinnieMB	3	9	1	12	.667	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	10
20Megan CooleyOH	3	6	3	22	.136	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
13Violet MorrandezMB	3	2	0	7	.286	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	2.5	4.5
1Sydnee CarterS	3	2	1	4	.250	13	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	2
12Abbi SellsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	3	4	1	0	0	0	2
10Gabrielle HairstonOH	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
24Taylor WoodsOH	3	6	6	20	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
2Kylie RodriguezOH	3	2	7	14	-.357	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
0Emerson TraylorS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
4Riley SteubingL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
7Jenna HehmanMB	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32Zari GillispieMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	20	88	.091	26	3	9	28	4	1	6	4	49

Abilene Christianhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
19Maddie FinneganOH	3	11	2	25	.360	0	1	0	6	1	1	0.5	12.5
7Hannah GonzalezMB	3	8	3	14	.357	2	2	1	2	0	4	2	12
3Alyssa ToddOH	3	9	3	18	.333	0	0	1	4	0	1	0.5	9.5
15Hadlee WelchOH	3	5	0	8	.625	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
2Avery ThalerMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Rachel KossS	3	2	0	7	.286	28	0	1	1	0	2	1	3
12Abby ChristianL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	8	0	0	0	1
24Brennan RamirezL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	2	10	1	0	0	0
11Izabelle LarsonOH	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
8Annaleise SevierOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	1.5
18Isa RichardsonMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Pierson SmithS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	10	85	.341	36	4	7	38	3	10	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LATECH · ABILCH 8

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 LATECHABILCH 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 LATECHABILCH 3

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 2 LATECHABILCH 8

Bars above the line = Abilene Christian leads, below = Louisiana Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Louisiana Tech

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	50%6/12
2	88%7/8	13%1/8
3	55%6/11	13%1/8
4	27%6/22	14%1/7
5	33%5/15	33%3/9
6	83%5/6	17%1/6
All	49%36/74	26%13/50

Abilene Christian

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	40%4/10
2	78%7/9	22%2/9
3	100%7/7	42%5/12
4	86%6/7	68%13/19
5	56%5/9	72%13/18
6	56%5/9	17%1/6
All	74%37/50	51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

124 rallies

Rally log

#	LATECH-ABILCH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ABILCH	LATECH	Serve err	ABILCH server		+1.2
2	1-1	LATECH	ABILCH	Attack err	Megan Cooley		+1.1
3	2-1	ABILCH	LATECH	Serve err	ABILCH server		+1.2
4	2-2	LATECH	ABILCH	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez		+1.1
5	3-2	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Emerson Traylor	+1.2
6	3-3	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+1.1
7	3-4	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez	blk Alyssa Todd, Hannah Gonzalez	+1.4
8	4-4	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Emerson Traylor	+1.1
9	4-5	LATECH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Abby Christian	+1.1
10	4-6	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez		+1.3
11	4-7	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+1.1
12	4-8	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Rachel Koss	set Emerson Traylor	+1.0
13	4-9	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Ace	ABILCH server	aced Team	+0.8
14	5-9	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Riley Steubing	+0.5
15	5-10	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.6
16	6-10	ABILCH	LATECH×3	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Sydnee Carter	+0.6
17	7-10	LATECH	LATECH×3	Ace	LATECH server	aced Team	+0.9
18	8-10	LATECH	LATECH×3	Ace	LATECH server	aced Brennan Ramirez	+1.2
19	8-11	LATECH	ABILCH×3	Serve err	LATECH server		+1.0
20	8-12	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Attack err	Sydnee Carter		+1.1
21	8-13	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.8
22	9-13	ABILCH	LATECH	Attack err	Maddie Finnegan		+0.6
23	9-14	LATECH	ABILCH	Serve err	LATECH server		+0.6
24	10-14	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+0.6
25	11-14	LATECH	LATECH	Attack err	Hannah Gonzalez		+1.0
26	11-15	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+0.9
27	12-15	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Emerson Traylor	+0.8
28	12-16	LATECH	ABILCH×4	Attack err	Taylor Woods		+0.9
29	12-17	ABILCH	ABILCH×4	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+0.9
30	12-18	ABILCH	ABILCH×4	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez		+0.6
31	12-19	ABILCH	ABILCH×4	Ace	ABILCH server	aced Team	+0.4
32	13-19	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Emerson Traylor	+0.2
33	13-20	LATECH	ABILCH×6	Bad set	Emerson Traylor		+0.2
34	13-21	ABILCH	ABILCH×6	Bad set	Emerson Traylor		+0.2
35	13-22	ABILCH	ABILCH×6	Ace	ABILCH server	aced Taylor Woods	+0.1
36	13-23	ABILCH	ABILCH×6	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez		+0.0
37	13-24	ABILCH	ABILCH×6	Attack err	Taylor Woods	blk Avery Thaler, Rachel Koss	+0.0
38	13-25	ABILCH	ABILCH×6	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.7
2	1-1	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+0.8
3	2-1	LATECH	LATECH	Ace	LATECH server	aced Maddie Finnegan	+1.1
4	2-2	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.8
5	3-2	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Violet Morrandez	set Sydnee Carter	+0.9
6	3-3	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+0.8
7	4-3	ABILCH	LATECH	Bad set	Rachel Koss		+0.9
8	5-3	LATECH	LATECH	Attack err	Hannah Gonzalez	blk Violet Morrandez, Taylor Woods	+1.3
9	5-4	LATECH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.9
10	5-5	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+1.1
11	5-6	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Bad set	Emerson Traylor		+1.1
12	6-6	ABILCH	LATECH×4	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Emerson Traylor	+0.9
13	7-6	LATECH	LATECH×4	Attack err	Avery Thaler		+1.3
14	8-6	LATECH	LATECH×4	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Emerson Traylor	+1.4
15	9-6	LATECH	LATECH×4	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Emerson Traylor	+1.5
16	9-7	LATECH	ABILCH	Serve err	LATECH server		+1.0
17	9-8	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Taylor Woods		+1.3
18	10-8	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Emerson Traylor	+1.2
19	10-9	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+1.0
20	11-9	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Gabrielle Hairston	set Sydnee Carter	+1.2
21	12-9	LATECH	LATECH	Attack err	Alyssa Todd		+1.7
22	12-10	LATECH	ABILCH	Serve err	LATECH server		+1.1
23	13-10	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Sydnee Carter	+1.3
24	13-11	LATECH	ABILCH	Serve err	LATECH server		+1.1
25	13-12	ABILCH	ABILCH	Ace	ABILCH server	aced Abbi Sells	+1.5
26	14-12	ABILCH	LATECH	Attack err	Alyssa Todd	blk Gabrielle Hairston, Violet Morrandez	+1.4
27	14-13	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+1.2
28	14-14	ABILCH	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+1.6
29	15-14	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Emerson Traylor	+1.4
30	15-15	LATECH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+1.3
31	15-16	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+1.7
32	15-17	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+1.5
33	16-17	ABILCH	LATECH	Serve err	ABILCH server		+1.1
34	16-18	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+1.2
35	17-18	ABILCH	LATECH	Serve err	ABILCH server		+1.2
36	17-19	LATECH	ABILCH	Attack err	Taylor Woods		+1.3
37	17-20	ABILCH	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler		+1.4
38	18-20	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+0.9
39	19-20	LATECH	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Sydnee Carter	+1.6
40	19-21	LATECH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+1.5
41	19-22	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Attack err	Megan Cooley		+1.5
42	19-23	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+0.9
43	20-23	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Sydnee Carter	+0.3
44	20-24	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Hannah Gonzalez	+0.6
45	21-24	ABILCH	LATECH	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.2
46	21-25	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+0.4
Set 3
1	0-1	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Gabrielle Hairston		+0.4
2	1-1	ABILCH	LATECH	Attack err	Alyssa Todd		+0.4
3	1-2	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+0.3
4	2-2	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Violet Morrandez	set Sydnee Carter	+0.4
5	2-3	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+0.3
6	3-3	ABILCH	LATECH	Attack err	Hannah Gonzalez	blk Megan Cooley, Violet Morrandez	+0.4
7	3-4	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Hannah Gonzalez	+0.4
8	3-5	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Taylor Woods		+0.4
9	4-5	ABILCH	LATECH	Attack err	Izabelle Larson	blk Violet Morrandez	+0.3
10	4-6	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+0.3
11	5-6	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Kylie Rodriguez	set Emerson Traylor	+0.4
12	5-7	LATECH	ABILCH	Serve err	LATECH server		+0.3
13	6-7	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+0.4
14	7-7	LATECH	LATECH	Kill	Sydnee Carter	set Brennan Ramirez	+0.6
15	7-8	LATECH	ABILCH	Attack err	Tyra McKinnie		+0.4
16	8-8	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+0.4
17	8-9	LATECH	ABILCH	Serve err	LATECH server		+0.4
18	9-9	ABILCH	LATECH	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.5
19	9-10	LATECH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+0.4
20	9-11	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Rachel Koss	set Abby Christian	+0.5
21	9-12	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+0.5
22	9-13	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Attack err	Megan Cooley	blk Rachel Koss, Hannah Gonzalez	+0.4
23	9-14	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Brennan Ramirez	+0.3
24	10-14	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Kylie Rodriguez	set Emerson Traylor	+0.2
25	10-15	LATECH	ABILCH×8	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+0.2
26	10-16	ABILCH	ABILCH×8	Attack err	Taylor Woods		+0.2
27	10-17	ABILCH	ABILCH×8	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez		+0.1
28	10-18	ABILCH	ABILCH×8	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Abby Christian	+0.1
29	10-19	ABILCH	ABILCH×8	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+0.0
30	10-20	ABILCH	ABILCH×8	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez	blk Hannah Gonzalez, Maddie Finnegan	+0.0
31	10-21	ABILCH	ABILCH×8	Attack err	Jenna Hehman	blk Hannah Gonzalez, Annaleise Sevier	+0.0
32	10-22	ABILCH	ABILCH×8	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Pierson Smith	+0.0
33	11-22	ABILCH	LATECH	Serve err	ABILCH server		+0.0
34	11-23	LATECH	ABILCH	Kill	Annaleise Sevier	set Pierson Smith	+0.0
35	12-23	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Emerson Traylor	+0.0
36	13-23	LATECH	LATECH	Attack err	Maddie Finnegan		+0.0
37	13-24	LATECH	ABILCH	Serve err	LATECH server		+0.0
38	14-24	ABILCH	LATECH	Kill	Sydnee Carter	set Pierson Smith	+0.0
39	15-24	LATECH	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+0.0
40	15-25	LATECH	ABILCH	Serve err	LATECH server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Louisiana Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.