SFA at Abilene Christian

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

SFA 65.0%35.0% ABILCH

SFA wins

3-0

20.0%

3-1

24.9%

3-2

20.1%

Abilene Christian wins

3-0

7.2%

3-1

12.6%

3-2

15.3%

SFA break %: 44.2% vs this opp
ABILCH break %: 41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.