Final · 4 setsSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Abilene Christian def. UT Arlington 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Abilene Christian 53.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 11:25 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Abilene Christian won at UT Arlington 3-1 (25-23, 25-21, 20-25, 25-16) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Alyssa Todd and Aubrey Beaver led Abilene Christian with 17 kills each; UT Arlington's Evyn Snook had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set1234Sets
ABILCH252520253
TX ARL232125161

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Abilene Christian took it.

No single rally moved win probability more than 7.0 points. UT Arlington peaked at 53% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Abilene Christian at 53%.

No one stat built this: no phase gap reached 8 points, .080 hitting or a 5-point run.

UT Arlington above 50Abilene Christian belowMax swing 7.0%

Abilene ChristianUT Arlington

Hitting
Abilene Christian .210·UT Arlington .144
Aces
Abilene Christian 4·UT Arlington 5
Serve err
Abilene Christian 10·UT Arlington 7
Blocks
Abilene Christian 9·UT Arlington 131 BS · 16 BA vs 7 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Abilene Christian 75·UT Arlington 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UT Arlington above 50 · Abilene Christian below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.0% ABILCHrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.0% to Abilene Christian — set 1, ABILCH 25-23 TX ARL. Evyn Snook stuffed by Hadlee Welch & Avery Thaler. TX ARL win probability 36% → 29%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ABILCH 55.2%44.8% TX ARL

Abilene Christian wins

3-0
14.8%
3-1
20.9%
3-2
19.5%

UT Arlington wins

3-0
10.5%
3-1
16.6%
3-2
17.8%
ABILCH break %
42.2% vs this opp
TX ARL break %
41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Evyn Snook stuffed by Hadlee Welch & Avery Thaler

    Set 1 · ABILCH 25-23 TX ARL · ABILCH 64% → 71%

  2. 02
    Hadlee WelchKill+5.7%

    Kill by Hadlee Welch (set by Brennan Ramirez)

    Set 1 · ABILCH 22-20 TX ARL · ABILCH 58% → 63%

  3. 03
    UT ArlingtonAce+5.3%

    UT Arlington ace on Brennan Ramirez

    Set 1 · ABILCH 20-20 TX ARL · TX ARL 41% → 47%

  4. 04
    Avery ThalerKill+4.6%

    Kill by Avery Thaler (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 1 · ABILCH 18-17 TX ARL · ABILCH 52% → 57%

  5. 05
    Aubrey BeaverKill+4.5%

    Kill by Aubrey Beaver (set by Hannah Gonzalez)

    Set 1 · ABILCH 19-17 TX ARL · ABILCH 57% → 61%

  6. 06
    Alyssa ToddKill+4.4%

    Kill by Alyssa Todd (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 1 · ABILCH 23-20 TX ARL · ABILCH 63% → 68%

  7. 07
    Evyn SnookKill+4.3%

    Kill by Evyn Snook (set by Lucy Tricco)

    Set 1 · ABILCH 16-17 TX ARL · TX ARL 47% → 51%

  8. 08
    Aubrey BeaverKill+4.2%

    Kill by Aubrey Beaver (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 1 · ABILCH 21-20 TX ARL · ABILCH 53% → 58%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417738.26310030031.518.5
410423.26100000052.512.5
47420.15010040132.59.5
46723-.043303400428
4204.50012270010.54.5
4217.1434302800002
417739.2561015000017
4205.400110610003
41011.000212910002
4002.0008002910000
Team totals6430162.21061410755116995
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418662.1940228222323
45220.15002260212.59.5
46315.200000000217
44110.300000101226
44220.1000011310004
4013-.333361150212.53.5
4000–100700000
4000–1011810000
22213.00000000010.52.5
2012-.50000000031.51.5
1001.000000000000
Team totals3918146.14438575847121385

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Abilene Christian vs UT Arlington

Season series · Abilene Christian leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ABILCH · TX ARL 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 ABILCHTX ARL 5

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 ABILCHTX ARL 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 ABILCHTX ARL 4

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 3 ABILCHTX ARL 2

Bars above the line = UT Arlington leads, below = Abilene Christian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Abilene Christian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%12/15
44%8/18
2
62%8/13
55%11/20
3
53%8/15
20%2/10
4
53%8/15
50%8/16
5
50%8/16
50%8/16
6
67%8/12
43%6/14
All
60%52/86
46%43/94

UT Arlington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
29%4/14
2
62%8/13
38%6/16
3
57%8/14
33%4/12
4
50%8/16
50%8/16
5
57%8/14
47%7/15
6
53%8/15
38%5/13
All
54%51/94
40%34/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#ABILCH-TX ARLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TX ARLABILCH×4KillMaddie Finneganset Lucy Tricco+1.8
22-0ABILCHABILCH×4Attack errCamryn McMinn+2.5
33-0ABILCHABILCH×4KillAlyssa Toddset Brennan Ramirez+2.4
44-0ABILCHABILCH×4KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.2
54-1ABILCHTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco+1.4
64-2TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAlyssa Todd+2.3
75-2TX ARLABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.8
85-3ABILCHTX ARL×5KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.7
95-4TX ARLTX ARL×5KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+2.6
105-5TX ARLTX ARL×5BlockedHannah Gonzalezblk Evyn Snook+2.7
115-6TX ARLTX ARL×5KillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+2.9
125-7TX ARLTX ARL×5Attack errHannah Gonzalez+2.9
136-7TX ARLABILCHKillAbby Christianset Alyssa Todd+1.9
147-7ABILCHABILCHAttack errEvyn Snook+2.9
157-8ABILCHTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lily Hopkins+2.2
168-8TX ARLABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.1
178-9ABILCHTX ARLServe errAbilene Christian+2.2
188-10TX ARLTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+3.1
199-10TX ARLABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.1
2010-10ABILCHABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Izabelle Larson+3.2
2110-11ABILCHTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+2.4
2211-11TX ARLABILCHBlockedKarisa Martinblk Hadlee Welch, Avery Thaler+2.3
2311-12ABILCHTX ARLBlockedAvery Thalerblk Dixie Nessl+2.5
2412-12TX ARLABILCH×3Serve errUT Arlington+2.4
2513-12ABILCHABILCH×3KillHadlee Welch+3.5
2614-12ABILCHABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalez+3.5
2714-13ABILCHTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+2.3
2815-13TX ARLABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.6
2915-14ABILCHTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+2.4
3016-14TX ARLABILCHAttack errEvyn Snook+2.7
3116-15ABILCHTX ARL×3BlockedHannah Gonzalezblk Hana Aiana+2.5
3216-16TX ARLTX ARL×3AceUT Arlington+4.0
3316-17TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+4.3
3417-17TX ARLABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+3.0
3518-17ABILCHABILCH×3KillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+4.6
3619-17ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Hannah Gonzalez+4.5
3719-18ABILCHTX ARLServe errAbilene Christian+2.8
3820-18TX ARLABILCHServe errUT Arlington+3.4
3920-19ABILCHTX ARLAttack errAvery Thaler+3.0
4020-20TX ARLTX ARLAceUT Arlingtonaced Brennan Ramirez+5.3
4121-20TX ARLABILCH×4KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+4.2
4222-20ABILCHABILCH×4KillHadlee Welchset Brennan Ramirez+5.7
4323-20ABILCHABILCH×4KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+4.4
4424-20ABILCHABILCH×4KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.4
4524-21ABILCHTX ARL×3KillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco+0.5
4624-22TX ARLTX ARL×3Attack errHadlee Welch+1.7
4724-23TX ARLTX ARL×3BlockedAlyssa Toddblk Dixie Nessl, Karisa Martin+4.1
4825-23TX ARLABILCHBlockedEvyn Snookblk Hadlee Welch, Avery Thaler+7.0
Set 2
10-1ABILCHTX ARLAttack errHadlee Welch+1.8
20-2TX ARLTX ARLBlockedHadlee Welchblk Dixie Nessl, Evyn Snook+2.5
31-2TX ARLABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.7
42-2ABILCHABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Brennan Ramirez+2.5
52-3ABILCHTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.8
63-3TX ARLABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.8
73-4ABILCHTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+1.9
84-4TX ARLABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.9
95-4ABILCHABILCHKillIzabelle Larsonset Rachel Koss+2.7
105-5ABILCHTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.9
115-6TX ARLTX ARL×3KillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+2.8
125-7TX ARLTX ARL×3AceUT Arlington+2.8
136-7TX ARLABILCHServe errUT Arlington+1.9
146-8ABILCHTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+2.0
157-8TX ARLABILCH×3Attack errCamryn McMinn+1.9
168-8ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.9
179-8ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+3.0
189-9ABILCHTX ARLServe errAbilene Christian+2.1
1910-9TX ARLABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Brennan Ramirez+2.2
2011-9ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Avery Thaler+3.0
2112-9ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedDixie Nesslblk Alyssa Todd+2.8
2212-10ABILCHTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Samantha Glenn+1.8
2313-10TX ARLABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.1
2413-11ABILCHTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+1.9
2514-11TX ARLABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Maddie Finnegan+2.1
2614-12ABILCHTX ARLServe errAbilene Christian+1.9
2714-13TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAlyssa Todd+3.1
2815-13TX ARLABILCH×3KillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+2.5
2916-13ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+3.2
3017-13ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errLucy Tricco+2.7
3117-14ABILCHTX ARLAttack errHannah Gonzalez+1.5
3218-14TX ARLABILCH×3Serve errUT Arlington+2.0
3319-14ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Abby Christian+2.1
3420-14ABILCHABILCH×3KillAvery Thalerset Hannah Gonzalez+1.4
3520-15ABILCHTX ARL×4KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.6
3620-16TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errAubrey Beaver+1.2
3720-17TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errAvery Thaler+1.9
3820-18TX ARLTX ARL×4BlockedAubrey Beaverblk Milica Peci, Lucy Tricco+2.9
3921-18TX ARLABILCHKillRachel Kossset Brennan Ramirez+2.8
4022-18ABILCHABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Aubrey Beaver+2.8
4122-19ABILCHTX ARLAttack errAubrey Beaver+1.1
4222-20TX ARLTX ARLBlockedAubrey Beaverblk Karisa Martin, Milica Peci+2.7
4323-20TX ARLABILCHServe errUT Arlington+3.1
4424-20ABILCHABILCHAceAbilene Christianaced Camryn McMinn+2.4
4524-21ABILCHTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+0.5
4625-21TX ARLABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+1.2
Set 3
11-0TX ARLABILCHBlockedEvyn Snookblk Hadlee Welch, Hannah Gonzalez+1.1
22-0ABILCHABILCHBlockedKarisa Martinblk Hannah Gonzalez, Alyssa Todd+1.6
32-1ABILCHTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.1
43-1TX ARLABILCHAttack errHana Aiana+1.2
53-2ABILCHTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+1.1
64-2TX ARLABILCH×4KillRachel Kossset Brennan Ramirez+1.2
75-2ABILCHABILCH×4AceAbilene Christianaced Samantha Glenn+1.6
86-2ABILCHABILCH×4Bad setLucy Tricco+1.5
97-2ABILCHABILCH×4KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.3
107-3ABILCHTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+0.8
117-4TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAubrey Beaver+1.3
128-4TX ARLABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.1
139-4ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errEliana Collins+1.3
1410-4ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedEvyn Snookblk Avery Thaler+1.1
1510-5ABILCHTX ARL×3KillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+0.6
1610-6TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEliana Collinsset Lucy Tricco+1.1
1710-7TX ARLTX ARL×3BlockedAubrey Beaverblk Lucy Tricco+1.4
1811-7TX ARLABILCHKillIzabelle Larsonset Rachel Koss+1.1
1912-7ABILCHABILCHAttack errMilica Peci+1.4
2012-8ABILCHTX ARLServe errAbilene Christian+0.8
2113-8TX ARLABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.0
2213-9ABILCHTX ARLBlockedHadlee Welchblk Eliana Collins, Milica Peci+0.8
2314-9TX ARLABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.0
2414-10ABILCHTX ARL×4KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.8
2514-11TX ARLTX ARL×4BlockedHannah Gonzalezblk Evyn Snook+1.4
2614-12TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errAlyssa Todd+1.7
2714-13TX ARLTX ARL×4KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+2.1
2815-13TX ARLABILCHServe errUT Arlington+1.6
2915-14ABILCHTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+1.5
3016-14TX ARLABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.7
3116-15ABILCHTX ARL×3BlockedRachel Kossblk Hana Aiana+1.6
3216-16TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+2.6
3316-17TX ARLTX ARL×3Attack errHannah Gonzalez+2.8
3417-17TX ARLABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.9
3517-18ABILCHTX ARL×3Attack errAubrey Beaver+2.1
3617-19TX ARLTX ARL×3AceHana Aianaaced Abby Christian+2.9
3717-20TX ARLTX ARL×3AceHana Aianaaced Izabelle Larson+2.6
3818-20TX ARLABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.4
3918-21ABILCHTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.9
4018-22TX ARLTX ARLKillDixie Nessl+2.0
4119-22TX ARLABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.8
4219-23ABILCHTX ARLKillEliana Collinsset Lucy Tricco+1.3
4320-23TX ARLABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.6
4420-24ABILCHTX ARLAttack errAlyssa Todd+1.2
4520-25TX ARLTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.5
Set 4
10-1ABILCHTX ARLAttack errAvery Thaler+2.4
21-1TX ARLABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.3
32-1ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedEvyn Snookblk Hadlee Welch, Hannah Gonzalez+3.3
43-1ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedKarisa Martinblk Alyssa Todd, Hannah Gonzalez+3.3
53-2ABILCHTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+2.3
64-2TX ARLABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Brennan Ramirez+2.4
74-3ABILCHTX ARLAttack errAlyssa Todd+2.3
84-4TX ARLTX ARLBlockedHannah Gonzalezblk Lucy Tricco+3.5
95-4TX ARLABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.5
106-4ABILCHABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+3.5
116-5ABILCHTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+2.4
127-5TX ARLABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.6
138-5ABILCHABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+3.4
148-6ABILCHTX ARLServe errHannah Gonzalez+2.3
159-6TX ARLABILCHServe errHana Aiana+2.5
1610-6ABILCHABILCHBlockedEliana Collinsblk Hadlee Welch, Avery Thaler+3.2
1710-7ABILCHTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco+2.0
1810-8TX ARLTX ARLBad setRachel Koss+3.3
1911-8TX ARLABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.6
2012-8ABILCHABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+3.3
2112-9ABILCHTX ARLServe errMaddie Finnegan+2.0
2213-9TX ARLABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.4
2313-10ABILCHTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+2.0
2414-10TX ARLABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.5
2515-10ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Abby Christian+2.8
2616-10ABILCHABILCH×3AceAbby Christianaced Evyn Snook+2.2
2716-11ABILCHTX ARLServe errAbby Christian+1.1
2816-12TX ARLTX ARLBlockedAlyssa Toddblk Hana Aiana, Evyn Snook+2.1
2917-12TX ARLABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.0
3017-13ABILCHTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.5
3118-13TX ARLABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.0
3219-13ABILCHABILCHAttack errHana Aiana+1.9
3319-14ABILCHTX ARLServe errHannah Gonzalez+0.9
3420-14TX ARLABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.3
3520-15ABILCHTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.7
3621-15TX ARLABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.2
3722-15ABILCHABILCHAceMaddie Finneganaced Evyn Snook+0.8
3822-16ABILCHTX ARLServe errMaddie Finnegan+0.2
3923-16TX ARLABILCH×3Bad setLucy Tricco+0.4
4024-16ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Brennan Ramirez+0.2
4125-16ABILCHABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Hannah Gonzalez·

Score shown after each rally, Abilene Christian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).