Final · 4 setsSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayATLANTIC-10

3:1

HomeNEC

Rhode Island def. Central Conn. St. 3–1

(25-12, 25-21, 18-25, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
URI	25	25	18	25	3
C CONN	12	21	25	14	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

C CONN above 50 · URI below

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Rhode Island — set 4, URI 3-1 C CONN. Kill by Cara Richter (set by Dakota Henry). C CONN win probability 13% → 10%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

URI 72.1%27.9% C CONN

Rhode Island wins

3-0

24.8%

3-1

27.6%

3-2

19.7%

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0

5.1%

3-1

9.7%

3-2

13.1%

URI break %: 45.7% vs this opp
C CONN break %: 41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Cara RichterKill+2.3%
Kill by Cara Richter (set by Dakota Henry)
Set 4 · URI 3-1 C CONN · URI 87% → 90%
02
Adele MacerAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Adele Macer
Set 4 · URI 5-2 C CONN · URI 90% → 92%
03
Chloe AbutoKill+2.0%
Kill by Chloe Abuto (set by Carly Thomas)
Set 1 · URI 2-1 C CONN · URI 72% → 74%
04
Havyn RolleAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Havyn Rolle
Set 4 · URI 13-10 C CONN · C CONN 5% → 7%
05
URI serverAce+1.9%
Rhode Island ace on Olivia Keckler
Set 4 · URI 6-2 C CONN · URI 92% → 94%
06
Grace KeaneyKill+1.9%
Kill by Grace Keaney (set by Carly Thomas)
Set 1 · URI 3-1 C CONN · URI 74% → 76%
07
Adele MacerKill+1.9%
Kill by Adele Macer (set by Isabella Aviles)
Set 4 · URI 1-1 C CONN · C CONN 13% → 15%
08
Olivia KecklerAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Olivia Keckler
Set 4 · URI 2-1 C CONN · URI 85% → 87%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Rhode Islandaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Cara RichterOH	4	14	6	37	.216	0	1	1	11	1	0	0	0	15
25Grace KeaneyOH	4	9	3	26	.231	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
6KJ JohnsonMB	4	3	0	9	.333	0	3	2	5	0	1	2	2	8
13Havyn RolleOH	4	6	7	32	-.031	0	0	0	18	0	1	0	1	7
12Chloe AbutoOH	4	3	1	10	.200	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	3.5	6.5
23Carly ThomasS	4	3	1	7	.286	18	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	4
18Emily SawyerMB	4	4	3	12	.083	1	0	0	3	0	6	2	7	11
2Jahan LalliS	4	0	0	0	–	15	3	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
20Dakota HenryL/DS	4	0	0	3	.000	6	0	0	20	0	0	0	0	0
5Cansu KornosorL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
4Reagan NisbetDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	21	136	.154	40	8	4	72	3	11	6	14	93

Central Conn. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Olivia KecklerOPP	4	10	8	47	.043	1	0	1	13	1	1	2	2	12
18Adele MacerMB	4	9	8	33	.030	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	11
2Breanna GinleyMB	4	7	2	16	.313	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	9.5
11Cullen WinterMB	4	4	4	23	.000	1	0	0	3	0	3	3	4.5	8.5
6Meg BerklandL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	0	0
10Anja MilosevicS	2	2	0	3	.667	18	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
4Gabriella BurdierDS	4	0	0	1	.000	2	1	3	6	2	0	0	0	1
1Annabelle DenommeL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	6	0	0	20	0	0	0	0	0
15Madison FulgencioOH	3	7	3	21	.190	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	7
7Aubrey StitcherOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
21Isabella Aviles	2	2	0	3	.667	12	2	2	8	0	0	0	0	4
9Hanley SchmidtOH	1	1	6	7	-.714	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	31	156	.071	41	3	9	68	8	5	12	11	72

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 URI · C CONN 5

Set 1

25-12

Longest run 4 URIC CONN 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 URIC CONN 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 4 URIC CONN 5

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 5 URIC CONN 4

Bars above the line = Central Conn. St. leads, below = Rhode Island leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Rhode Island

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	50%7/14
2	75%9/12	44%7/16
3	67%8/12	43%6/14
4	70%7/10	71%17/24
5	54%7/13	22%2/9
6	38%5/13	60%9/15
All	62%45/73	52%48/92

Central Conn. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	61%11/18
2	50%8/16	18%2/11
3	42%8/19	27%3/11
4	44%7/16	27%3/11
5	40%6/15	36%4/11
6	46%6/13	45%5/11
All	48%44/92	38%28/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

165 rallies

Rally log

#	URI-C CONN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	URI	C CONN	Kill	Adele Macer	set Anja Milosevic	+1.7
2	1-1	C CONN	URI×3	Kill	Carly Thomas		+1.6
3	2-1	URI	URI×3	Kill	Chloe Abuto	set Carly Thomas	+2.0
4	3-1	URI	URI×3	Kill	Grace Keaney	set Carly Thomas	+1.9
5	3-2	URI	C CONN	Attack err	Cara Richter	blk Adele Macer, Cullen Winter	+1.5
6	4-2	C CONN	URI	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.5
7	5-2	URI	URI	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+1.8
8	5-3	URI	C CONN	Kill	Anja Milosevic	set Olivia Keckler	+1.3
9	6-3	C CONN	URI×4	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+1.4
10	7-3	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk Emily Sawyer	+1.6
11	8-3	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk KJ Johnson, Emily Sawyer	+1.4
12	9-3	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk Emily Sawyer	+1.1
13	9-4	URI	C CONN	Serve err	URI server		+0.7
14	10-4	C CONN	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+0.9
15	11-4	URI	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+0.9
16	11-5	URI	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
17	11-6	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Havyn Rolle	blk Adele Macer, Breanna Ginley	+0.9
18	11-7	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+1.2
19	12-7	C CONN	URI	Attack err	Adele Macer	blk Havyn Rolle	+1.1
20	13-7	URI	URI	Attack err	Breanna Ginley		+1.1
21	13-8	URI	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.7
22	14-8	C CONN	URI	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.9
23	15-8	URI	URI	Attack err	Olivia Keckler	blk Chloe Abuto	+0.8
24	15-9	URI	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.5
25	16-9	C CONN	URI×4	Kill	Havyn Rolle	set Carly Thomas	+0.6
26	17-9	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Adele Macer		+0.5
27	18-9	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Adele Macer		+0.3
28	19-9	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Cullen Winter	blk Chloe Abuto	+0.2
29	19-10	URI	C CONN	Kill	Adele Macer	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
30	19-11	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
31	20-11	C CONN	URI	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.2
32	21-11	URI	URI	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.1
33	21-12	URI	C CONN	Attack err	Grace Keaney	blk Olivia Keckler	+0.0
34	22-12	C CONN	URI×4	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+0.1
35	23-12	URI	URI×4	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+0.0
36	24-12	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk Emily Sawyer	+0.0
37	25-12	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt	blk Emily Sawyer	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	C CONN	URI	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.2
2	2-0	URI	URI	Attack err	Adele Macer		+1.5
3	2-1	URI	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+1.2
4	3-1	C CONN	URI	Attack err	Olivia Keckler	blk Grace Keaney, Chloe Abuto	+1.2
5	3-2	URI	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+1.2
6	4-2	C CONN	URI	Kill	Grace Keaney	set Carly Thomas	+1.2
7	5-2	URI	URI	Ace	URI server	aced Meg Berkland	+1.5
8	5-3	URI	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+1.1
9	6-3	C CONN	URI	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Jahan Lalli	+1.1
10	6-4	URI	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+1.1
11	6-5	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Havyn Rolle		+1.7
12	7-5	C CONN	URI×3	Kill	KJ Johnson	set Jahan Lalli	+1.3
13	8-5	URI	URI×3	Kill	Havyn Rolle	set Jahan Lalli	+1.6
14	9-5	URI	URI×3	Ace	URI server	aced Team	+1.4
15	9-6	URI	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+1.0
16	10-6	C CONN	URI×3	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio	blk Emily Sawyer	+1.1
17	11-6	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+1.2
18	12-6	URI	URI×3	Bad set	Anja Milosevic		+0.9
19	12-7	URI	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
20	13-7	C CONN	URI	Kill	Carly Thomas	set Dakota Henry	+0.7
21	13-8	URI	C CONN	Kill	Adele Macer	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
22	14-8	C CONN	URI	Kill	Grace Keaney	set Carly Thomas	+0.7
23	14-9	URI	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.6
24	14-10	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Cara Richter	blk Cullen Winter	+1.0
25	14-11	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Adele Macer		+1.3
26	15-11	C CONN	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Carly Thomas	+1.2
27	15-12	URI	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Anja Milosevic	+1.0
28	16-12	C CONN	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+1.2
29	16-13	URI	C CONN	Serve err	URI server		+1.0
30	16-14	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Anja Milosevic	+1.8
31	17-14	C CONN	URI×4	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+1.6
32	18-14	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+1.7
33	19-14	URI	URI×4	Kill	Chloe Abuto	set Jahan Lalli	+1.2
34	20-14	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio		+0.8
35	20-15	URI	C CONN	Kill	Anja Milosevic	set Gabriella Burdier	+0.4
36	20-16	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Emily Sawyer		+0.8
37	21-16	C CONN	URI×3	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.9
38	22-16	URI	URI×3	Kill	Grace Keaney	set Carly Thomas	+0.6
39	23-16	URI	URI×3	Kill	Chloe Abuto	set Carly Thomas	+0.3
40	23-17	URI	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Anja Milosevic	+0.1
41	23-18	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.2
42	24-18	C CONN	URI	Kill	Grace Keaney	set Carly Thomas	+0.3
43	24-19	URI	C CONN×3	Attack err	Havyn Rolle		+0.1
44	24-20	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Anja Milosevic	+0.2
45	24-21	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Cara Richter	blk Adele Macer, Breanna Ginley	+0.5
46	25-21	C CONN	URI	Attack err	Breanna Ginley	blk Chloe Abuto	+0.8
Set 3
1	1-0	URI	URI	Ace	URI server	aced Madison Fulgencio	+0.9
2	1-1	URI	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Madison Fulgencio	+0.7
3	2-1	C CONN	URI	Kill	Havyn Rolle	set Carly Thomas	+0.7
4	2-2	URI	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Isabella Aviles	+0.7
5	3-2	C CONN	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Carly Thomas	+0.7
6	3-3	URI	C CONN	Kill	Adele Macer	set Isabella Aviles	+0.7
7	4-3	C CONN	URI	Kill	Grace Keaney	set Carly Thomas	+0.7
8	4-4	URI	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Isabella Aviles	+0.7
9	5-4	C CONN	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+0.7
10	5-5	URI	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Gabriella Burdier	+0.8
11	6-5	C CONN	URI	Kill	Havyn Rolle	set Jahan Lalli	+0.7
12	6-6	URI	C CONN×4	Attack err	Emily Sawyer		+0.8
13	6-7	C CONN	C CONN×4	Attack err	Havyn Rolle	blk Breanna Ginley, Adele Macer	+1.1
14	6-8	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Adele Macer	set Annabelle Denomme	+1.1
15	6-9	C CONN	C CONN×4	Attack err	Chloe Abuto	blk Breanna Ginley	+1.2
16	7-9	C CONN	URI	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.8
17	7-10	URI	C CONN	Attack err	Havyn Rolle		+0.9
18	8-10	C CONN	URI	Attack err	Adele Macer		+0.8
19	8-11	URI	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Isabella Aviles	+1.0
20	9-11	C CONN	URI	Kill	Grace Keaney	set Dakota Henry	+0.8
21	10-11	URI	URI	Attack err	Adele Macer	blk KJ Johnson	+1.2
22	10-12	URI	C CONN×3	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Isabella Aviles	+1.0
23	10-13	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Grace Keaney	blk Cullen Winter, Olivia Keckler	+1.3
24	10-14	C CONN	C CONN×3	Ace	C CONN server	aced Reagan Nisbet	+1.2
25	11-14	C CONN	URI×4	Serve err	C CONN server		+0.8
26	12-14	URI	URI×4	Bad set	Isabella Aviles		+1.2
27	13-14	URI	URI×4	Kill	Cara Richter	set Dakota Henry	+1.3
28	14-14	URI	URI×4	Ace	URI server	aced Team	+1.4
29	14-15	URI	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Annabelle Denomme	+1.2
30	14-16	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Cullen Winter	+1.6
31	14-17	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Cara Richter	blk Cullen Winter	+1.5
32	15-17	C CONN	URI	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.0
33	16-17	URI	URI	Ace	URI server	aced Gabriella Burdier	+1.5
34	16-18	URI	C CONN×3	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Isabella Aviles	+1.3
35	16-19	C CONN	C CONN×3	Bad set	Jahan Lalli		+1.7
36	16-20	C CONN	C CONN×3	Attack err	Cara Richter		+1.4
37	17-20	C CONN	URI	Kill	Havyn Rolle	set Carly Thomas	+0.7
38	18-20	URI	URI	Ace	URI server	aced Gabriella Burdier	+1.3
39	18-21	URI	C CONN×5	Serve err	URI server		+1.4
40	18-22	C CONN	C CONN×5	Ace	C CONN server	aced Cara Richter	+1.4
41	18-23	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Isabella Aviles	+0.9
42	18-24	C CONN	C CONN×5	Ace	C CONN server	aced Cansu Kornosor	+0.4
43	18-25	C CONN	C CONN×5	Kill	Adele Macer	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.1
Set 4
1	1-0	C CONN	URI	Kill	Carly Thomas	set Dakota Henry	+1.8
2	1-1	URI	C CONN	Kill	Adele Macer	set Isabella Aviles	+1.9
3	2-1	C CONN	URI	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+1.8
4	3-1	URI	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Dakota Henry	+2.3
5	3-2	URI	C CONN	Kill	Breanna Ginley	set Isabella Aviles	+1.8
6	4-2	C CONN	URI×5	Serve err	C CONN server		+1.8
7	5-2	URI	URI×5	Attack err	Adele Macer		+2.2
8	6-2	URI	URI×5	Ace	URI server	aced Olivia Keckler	+1.9
9	7-2	URI	URI×5	Bad set	Isabella Aviles		+1.6
10	8-2	URI	URI×5	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Jahan Lalli	+1.4
11	8-3	URI	C CONN	Attack err	Havyn Rolle		+0.9
12	8-4	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Isabella Aviles	+1.5
13	9-4	C CONN	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Emily Sawyer	+1.3
14	9-5	URI	C CONN	Attack err	Cara Richter	blk Cullen Winter	+1.1
15	10-5	C CONN	URI	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Jahan Lalli	+1.3
16	11-5	URI	URI	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio	blk Emily Sawyer	+1.4
17	11-6	URI	C CONN	Serve err	URI server		+0.9
18	12-6	C CONN	URI	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Jahan Lalli	+1.0
19	13-6	URI	URI	Kill	Havyn Rolle	set Dakota Henry	+1.0
20	13-7	URI	C CONN×4	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Isabella Aviles	+0.6
21	13-8	C CONN	C CONN×4	Attack err	Carly Thomas		+1.1
22	13-9	C CONN	C CONN×4	Kill	Adele Macer	set Annabelle Denomme	+1.5
23	13-10	C CONN	C CONN×4	Attack err	Havyn Rolle		+1.9
24	14-10	C CONN	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Carly Thomas	+1.7
25	15-10	URI	URI	Kill	Grace Keaney	set Carly Thomas	+1.8
26	15-11	URI	C CONN	Attack err	Grace Keaney		+1.1
27	16-11	C CONN	URI×3	Kill	Grace Keaney	set Carly Thomas	+1.4
28	17-11	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Adele Macer		+1.3
29	18-11	URI	URI×3	Kill	Cara Richter	set Carly Thomas	+0.9
30	18-12	URI	C CONN	Bad set	Grace Keaney		+0.4
31	19-12	C CONN	URI×4	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+0.6
32	20-12	URI	URI×4	Kill	KJ Johnson	set Jahan Lalli	+0.5
33	21-12	URI	URI×4	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+0.2
34	22-12	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+0.1
35	22-13	URI	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Isabella Aviles	+0.0
36	23-13	C CONN	URI	Attack err	Olivia Keckler	blk KJ Johnson, Emily Sawyer	+0.0
37	23-14	URI	C CONN	Attack err	Emily Sawyer	blk Cullen Winter, Olivia Keckler	+0.0
38	24-14	C CONN	URI	Kill	KJ Johnson		+0.0
39	25-14	URI	URI	Ace	URI server	aced Team	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Rhode Island first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.