Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 28, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Fordham def. Rhode Island 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Fordham 75.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 28, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Fordham beat visiting Rhode Island 3-1 (25-20, 25-17, 17-25, 25-18) on Wed, Oct 28, 2026. Fordham's Johanna Franzen led with 13 kills, and Lola Fernandez added 9 digs.

Data through · final Oct 28

Set1234Sets
URI201725181
FORDHM252517253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the first set broke it open for Fordham.

Win probability never moved more than 2.5 points on one rally; Rhode Island topped out at 24% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Fordham 76% before first serve.

Rhode IslandFordham
  • Hitting+.102
    .142.244

    46 K / 17 E against 43 K / 26 E.

  • Longest run+2
    57

    7 straight Fordham points in the first set broke a 2–2 tie and made it 9–2. The set finished 25–20.

Fordham above 50Rhode Island belowMax swing 2.5%

Rhode IslandFordham

Aces
Rhode Island 9·Fordham 8
Serve err
Rhode Island 6·Fordham 7
Blocks
Rhode Island 5·Fordham 104 BS · 2 BA vs 2 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Rhode Island 43·Fordham 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Fordham above 50 · Rhode Island below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.5% URIrally 172 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Rhode Island — set 4, URI 2-0 FORDHM. Ace by Ema Stermenska. FORDHM win probability 85% → 82%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

URI 23.4%76.6% FORDHM

Rhode Island wins

3-0
4.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-2
11.4%

Fordham wins

3-0
28.4%
3-1
29.2%
3-2
19.0%
URI break %
41.7% vs this opp
FORDHM break %
47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Ema Stermenska

    Set 4 · URI 2-0 FORDHM · URI 15% → 18%

  2. 02
    Ema StermenskaBad set+2.3%

    Bad set by Ema Stermenska

    Set 4 · URI 2-2 FORDHM · FORDHM 84% → 86%

  3. 03

    Kill by Tatum Holderied (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 4 · URI 2-3 FORDHM · FORDHM 86% → 89%

  4. 04
    Johanna FranzenAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Johanna Franzen

    Set 4 · URI 4-5 FORDHM · URI 9% → 11%

  5. 05

    Kill by Bridget Woodruff (set by Giada Ianuale)

    Set 4 · URI 2-4 FORDHM · FORDHM 89% → 91%

  6. 06
    Giada IanualeBlock+2.0%

    Emily Sawyer stuffed by Giada Ianuale

    Set 4 · URI 4-7 FORDHM · FORDHM 91% → 93%

  7. 07

    Cara Richter stuffed by Tatum Holderied & Bridget Woodruff

    Set 4 · URI 2-5 FORDHM · FORDHM 91% → 93%

  8. 08
    Cara RichterAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Cara Richter

    Set 4 · URI 1-0 FORDHM · URI 13% → 15%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410824.08312044010.512.5
411838.0790116200012
45110.40010110212.57.5
46520.050100201017
45111.364000100005
4113.00020211200003
4328.125000001014
4002.0001232200003
4102.5002111410002
1102.500000100001
1000–000000000
Team totals4326120.142379643842580
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413533.24204251031.518.5
412126.4230003002113
46216.2500203006311
47722.000000100218
44011.364340440212.56.5
4318.250100000214
4000–020600002
4113.000001920001
4000–000200000
4000–300610000
Team totals4617119.24438873992161092

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rhode Island vs Fordham

Season series · Fordham leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 URI · FORDHM 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 5 URIFORDHM 7

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 URIFORDHM 7

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 URIFORDHM 3

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 URIFORDHM 5

Bars above the line = Fordham leads, below = Rhode Island leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rhode Island

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%8/8
45%5/11
2
53%8/15
50%8/16
3
44%8/18
27%3/11
4
44%8/18
58%11/19
5
29%7/24
47%7/15
6
63%5/8
22%2/9
All
48%44/91
44%36/81

Fordham

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
13%1/8
2
62%8/13
38%5/13
3
89%8/9
43%6/14
4
40%8/20
64%14/22
5
57%8/14
58%11/19
6
83%5/6
67%10/15
All
56%45/81
52%47/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

172 rallies

#URI-FORDHMSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1URIFORDHMServe errRhode Island+1.4
21-1FORDHMURIServe errFordham+1.5
31-2URIFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Ozge Ozaslan+1.4
42-2FORDHMURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+1.5
52-3URIFORDHM×7KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+1.5
62-4FORDHMFORDHM×7BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Tatum Holderied, Johanna Franzen+1.8
72-5FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errCara Richter+1.6
82-6FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errHavyn Rolle+1.4
92-7FORDHMFORDHM×7BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Tatum Holderied, Johanna Franzen+1.2
102-8FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errHavyn Rolle+1.0
112-9FORDHMFORDHM×7KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.8
123-9FORDHMURI×3KillKJ Johnsonset Ema Stermenska+0.5
134-9URIURI×3Attack errLola Fernandez+0.9
145-9URIURI×3Bad setJohanna Franzen+1.1
155-10URIFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.0
165-11FORDHMFORDHMBad setCara Richter+1.0
176-11FORDHMURIAttack errMila Micunovic+0.7
186-12URIFORDHM×7KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.8
196-13FORDHMFORDHM×7AceFordhamaced Havyn Rolle+0.8
206-14FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errCara Richter+0.5
216-15FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errHavyn Rolle+0.4
226-16FORDHMFORDHM×7BlockedCara Richterblk Sophia Kuyn, Giada Ianuale+0.2
236-17FORDHMFORDHM×7Bad setJahan Lalli+0.1
246-18FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errHavyn Rolle+0.1
257-18FORDHMURIServe errFordham·
267-19URIFORDHMKillGiada Ianualeset Ozge Ozaslan·
278-19FORDHMURI×4Serve errFordham·
289-19URIURI×4AceEma Stermenska·
2910-19URIURI×4KillMcKenna Meltonset Emily Sawyer+0.1
3011-19URIURI×4BlockedMila Micunovicblk Emily Sawyer+0.1
3111-20URIFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Ozge Ozaslan+0.2
3212-20FORDHMURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska+0.1
3312-21URIFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.1
3412-22FORDHMFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.1
3513-22FORDHMURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska·
3613-23URIFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale·
3714-23FORDHMURI×5KillEmily Sawyerset KJ Johnson·
3815-23URIURI×5Bad setGiada Ianuale·
3916-23URIURI×5BlockedJohanna Franzenblk KJ Johnson·
4017-23URIURI×5KillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli+0.1
4118-23URIURI×5Attack errJohanna Franzen+0.2
4218-24URIFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.3
4319-24FORDHMURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli+0.1
4420-24URIURIAceHavyn Rolle+0.2
4520-25URIFORDHMAttack errCara Richter+0.4
Set 2
11-0FORDHMURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+1.2
22-0URIURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+1.6
32-1URIFORDHMKillBridget Woodruff+1.2
43-1FORDHMURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+1.4
54-1URIURIKillChloe Abuto+1.7
64-2URIFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+1.2
75-2FORDHMURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+1.4
85-3URIFORDHM×7Serve errRhode Island+1.3
95-4FORDHMFORDHM×7KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.7
105-5FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errKJ Johnson+1.7
115-6FORDHMFORDHM×7AceFordham+1.6
125-7FORDHMFORDHM×7KillTatum Holderiedset Ema Stermenska+1.5
135-8FORDHMFORDHM×7Attack errHavyn Rolle+1.4
145-9FORDHMFORDHM×7BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Tatum Holderied, Johanna Franzen+1.2
156-9FORDHMURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska+0.9
167-9URIURIAceJahan Lalliaced Johanna Franzen+1.3
177-10URIFORDHM×7Serve errRhode Island+1.1
187-11FORDHMFORDHM×7AceFordhamaced Cara Richter+1.2
197-12FORDHMFORDHM×7Bad setJahan Lalli+1.0
207-13FORDHMFORDHM×7AceFordhamaced Havyn Rolle+0.8
217-14FORDHMFORDHM×7KillGiada Ianuale+0.6
227-15FORDHMFORDHM×7AceFordhamaced Cara Richter+0.4
237-16FORDHMFORDHM×7Bad setJahan Lalli+0.3
248-16FORDHMURIServe errFordham+0.1
258-17URIFORDHMKillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+0.2
269-17FORDHMURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+0.1
279-18URIFORDHMServe errRhode Island+0.2
2810-18FORDHMURI×3Serve errFordham+0.1
2911-18URIURI×3KillChloe Abuto+0.2
3012-18URIURI×3KillEma Stermenskaset Dakota Henry+0.3
3112-19URIFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.4
3212-20FORDHMFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.3
3313-20FORDHMURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.1
3413-21URIFORDHMKillLola Fernandez+0.2
3514-21FORDHMURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska+0.1
3614-22URIFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.1
3715-22FORDHMURIAttack errJohanna Franzen+0.1
3815-23URIFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.1
3916-23FORDHMURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli·
4017-23URIURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+0.1
4117-24URIFORDHMAttack errGrace Keaney+0.1
4217-25FORDHMFORDHMAttack errCara Richter·
Set 3
10-1URIFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.6
21-1FORDHMURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.6
32-1URIURIAceCara Richter+0.9
42-2URIFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.7
53-2FORDHMURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska+0.7
63-3URIFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+0.7
74-3FORDHMURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+0.7
85-3URIURIAceJahan Lalliaced Ozge Ozaslan+1.0
95-4URIFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.7
105-5FORDHMFORDHMAceFordhamaced Cara Richter+0.9
116-5FORDHMURI×3Serve errJohanna Franzen+0.8
127-5URIURI×3BlockedMila Micunovicblk KJ Johnson+1.0
138-5URIURI×3Attack errTatum Holderied+1.0
148-6URIFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.7
159-6FORDHMURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli+0.9
1610-6URIURIAttack errMila Micunovic+1.1
1710-7URIFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.7
1810-8FORDHMFORDHMBlockedGrace Keaneyblk Sophia Kuyn, Mila Micunovic+1.0
1911-8FORDHMURI×3Serve errFordham+0.9
2012-8URIURI×3Attack errSophia Kuyn+1.1
2113-8URIURI×3Attack errMila Micunovic+1.0
2213-9URIFORDHMKillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.6
2314-9FORDHMURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.8
2415-9URIURIKillHavyn Rolleset Cara Richter+0.9
2515-10URIFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.5
2615-11FORDHMFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Ema Stermenska+0.8
2716-11FORDHMURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.9
2816-12URIFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.6
2917-12FORDHMURI×4KillHavyn Rolleset Dakota Henry+0.9
3018-12URIURI×4KillKJ Johnsonset Emily Sawyer+0.9
3119-12URIURI×4AceJahan Lalliaced Lola Fernandez+0.6
3220-12URIURI×4KillKJ Johnsonset Johanna Franzen+0.4
3320-13URIFORDHMServe errRhode Island+0.2
3421-13FORDHMURI×3KillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+0.3
3522-13URIURI×3BlockedTatum Holderiedblk KJ Johnson, Cara Richter+0.2
3623-13URIURI×3Attack errMila Micunovic+0.1
3723-14URIFORDHM×3Serve errRhode Island·
3823-15FORDHMFORDHM×3BlockedCara Richterblk Giada Ianuale·
3923-16FORDHMFORDHM×3KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.1
4024-16FORDHMURIKillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli+0.1
4124-17URIFORDHMKillGiada Ianuale·
4225-17FORDHMURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli·
Set 4
11-0FORDHMURIAttack errCara Richter+1.9
22-0URIURIAceEma Stermenska+2.5
32-1URIFORDHM×5Attack errChloe Abuto+1.9
42-2FORDHMFORDHM×5Bad setEma Stermenska+2.3
52-3FORDHMFORDHM×5KillTatum Holderiedset Giada Ianuale+2.3
62-4FORDHMFORDHM×5KillBridget Woodruffset Giada Ianuale+2.1
72-5FORDHMFORDHM×5BlockedCara Richterblk Tatum Holderied, Bridget Woodruff+1.9
83-5FORDHMURIKillDakota Henryset Giada Ianuale+1.5
94-5URIURIAttack errJohanna Franzen+2.2
104-6URIFORDHM×5Attack errHavyn Rolle+1.8
114-7FORDHMFORDHM×5BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Giada Ianuale+2.0
124-8FORDHMFORDHM×5Attack errHavyn Rolle+1.8
134-9FORDHMFORDHM×5AceFordhamaced Dakota Henry+1.5
144-10FORDHMFORDHM×5Attack errHavyn Rolle+1.2
155-10FORDHMURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+0.8
166-10URIURIAceDakota Henryaced Lola Fernandez+1.3
176-11URIFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.2
187-11FORDHMURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska+1.1
198-11URIURIKillGrace Keaney+1.7
208-12URIFORDHM×4KillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+1.5
218-13FORDHMFORDHM×4Attack errHavyn Rolle+1.6
228-14FORDHMFORDHM×4AceFordhamaced Cara Richter+1.2
238-15FORDHMFORDHM×4KillSophia Kuynset Giada Ianuale+0.9
249-15FORDHMURIBlockedMila Micunovicblk Grace Keaney+0.5
259-16URIFORDHMKillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+0.7
269-17FORDHMFORDHMKillBridget Woodruffset Sophia Kuyn+0.6
2710-17FORDHMURIServe errFordham+0.3
2810-18URIFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.4
2911-18FORDHMURI×3KillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli+0.3
3012-18URIURI×3KillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.5
3113-18URIURI×3Attack errBridget Woodruff+0.8
3213-19URIFORDHMAttack errCara Richter+0.9
3314-19FORDHMURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska+0.6
3415-19URIURIAceCara Richter+1.2
3515-20URIFORDHMBlockedEma Stermenskablk Tatum Holderied, Bridget Woodruff+1.3
3616-20FORDHMURIAttack errJohanna Franzen+0.9
3716-21URIFORDHM×3KillJohanna Franzenset Giada Ianuale+1.2
3816-22FORDHMFORDHM×3KillTatum Holderied+0.9
3916-23FORDHMFORDHM×3BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Tatum Holderied, Mila Micunovic+0.4
4017-23FORDHMURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska+0.1
4117-24URIFORDHMKillGiada Ianualeset Cara Richter+0.2
4218-24FORDHMURIKillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli·
4318-25URIFORDHMKillMila Micunovicset Giada Ianuale+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Rhode Island first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).