Final · 4 setsSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Dayton def. Rhode Island 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Dayton 99.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 10:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Dayton beat visiting Rhode Island 3-1 (25-19, 22-25, 25-15, 25-10) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Dayton's Kamryn Hunt led with 15 kills.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set1234Sets
URI192515101
DAYTON252225253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

A 7–0 run in the fourth set broke it open for Dayton.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.8 points, and Rhode Island's high was 4% in Set 2. The gap came from these numbers. Dayton went in as RallyIQ's 99% pick.

Rhode IslandDayton
  • Break %+18.8 pts
    34.353.1

    On serve: 51/96 against 24/70 (Rhode Island sideout 46.9%).

  • Hitting+.176
    .138.314

    Kills and errors: 56–19 vs 35–20.

  • Longest run+3
    47

    7 straight Dayton points in the fourth set turned a 0–3 deficit into a 7–3 lead. Final score of the set: 25–10.

Dayton above 50Rhode Island belowMax swing 0.8%

Rhode IslandDayton

Aces
Rhode Island 6·Dayton 16
Serve err
Rhode Island 4·Dayton 8
Blocks
Rhode Island 11·Dayton 133 BS · 16 BA vs 4 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Rhode Island 38·Dayton 45

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Dayton above 50 · Rhode Island below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100rally 166 · set 4

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Dayton stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

URI 1.0%99.0% DAYTON

Rhode Island wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.7%

Dayton wins

3-0
74.1%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
3.8%
URI break %
33.9% vs this opp
DAYTON break %
51.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
47119.3160100014311
46725-.04012253010.58.5
45321.095111340006
44113.231000100426
4227.000000010213
42021.0001010300003
49622.13600030254.513.5
4000–1611700001
4000–4001410000
3000–000200000
1000–000010000
Team totals3520109.138326438163161169
Daytonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415529.34503112100018
48213.4620221026515
410118.50010020031.511.5
43313.00015130010.58.5
4508.62500000233.58.5
4011-1.0002621700002
410323.3040001102111
4439.11100020031.55.5
4102.5001822400003
4000–1211100002
4000–300230000
1012-.500000000000
Team totals5619118.314501684564181397

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rhode Island vs Dayton

Season series · Dayton leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 URI · DAYTON 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 URIDAYTON 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 URIDAYTON 3

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 2 URIDAYTON 5

Set 4

10-25

Longest run 3 URIDAYTON 7

Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = Rhode Island leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rhode Island

SlotSideout %Break %
1
30%6/20
46%6/13
2
60%6/10
33%3/9
3
36%5/14
50%5/10
4
63%5/8
44%4/9
5
71%5/7
0%0/5
6
42%5/12
0%0/5
All
45%32/71
35%18/51

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
50%5/10
2
60%6/10
68%13/19
3
50%5/10
57%8/14
4
63%5/8
50%5/10
5
100%5/5
29%2/7
6
83%5/6
55%6/11
All
65%33/51
55%39/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

166 rallies

#URI-DAYTONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0DAYTONURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli
21-1URIDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
31-2DAYTONDAYTON×3AceSidney Spradaaced McKenna Melton
41-3DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Hunt
52-3DAYTONURIKillEmily Sawyerset Dakota Henry
62-4URIDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Charlotte Vinson
72-5DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
83-5DAYTONURIKillMcKenna Meltonset Ema Stermenska
93-6URIDAYTON×3Attack errEmily Sawyer
103-7DAYTONDAYTON×3AceRylee Sloss
113-8DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Morgan Asleson
124-8DAYTONURIAttack errSidney Sprada
134-9URIDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss
145-9DAYTONURIServe errKamryn Hunt
156-9URIURIAceRhode Islandaced Kamryn Hunt
166-10URIDAYTONAttack errCara Richter
177-10DAYTONURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli
187-11URIDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss
197-12DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Meritt
207-13DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
218-13DAYTONURI×3Attack errAbigail Cresse
229-13URIURI×3Attack errAbigail Cresse
2310-13URIURI×3KillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska
2410-14URIDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington
2510-15DAYTONDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington
2610-16DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedCara Richterblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson
2711-16DAYTONURI×3Serve errSidney Sprada
2812-16URIURI×3AceRhode Islandaced Lily Barry
2913-16URIURI×3KillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska
3013-17URIDAYTONBlockedCara Richterblk Abigail Cresse
3114-17URI
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3215-17URIURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska
3315-18URIDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
3416-18DAYTONURIKillMcKenna Meltonset Ema Stermenska
3516-19URIDAYTON×4KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss
3616-20DAYTONDAYTON×4KillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss
3716-21DAYTONDAYTON×4AceKamryn Huntaced Cara Richter
3816-22DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss
3917-22DAYTONURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli
4017-23URIDAYTONBlockedCara Richterblk Gabriela Machin Borges, Ava Liening
4118-23DAYTONURIBlockedKaleigh Merittblk Havyn Rolle, Grace Keaney
4218-24URIDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss
4319-24DAYTONURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli
4419-25URIDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington
Set 2
11-0URIURIBlockedKamryn Huntblk Chloe Abuto, Emily Sawyer
22-0URIURIBlockedKaleigh Merittblk Chloe Abuto, Emily Sawyer
32-1URIDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry
43-1DAYTONURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska
53-2URIDAYTONServe errRhode Island
64-2DAYTONURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska
75-2URIURIAttack errGabriela Machin Borges
85-3URIDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss
96-3DAYTONURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska
106-4URIDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
117-4DAYTONURIBlockedKamryn Huntblk Grace Keaney, Havyn Rolle
127-5URIDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
137-6DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Sidney Sprada
148-6DAYTONURIServe errAbigail Cresse
158-7URIDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
169-7DAYTONURIServe errRylee Sloss
179-8URIDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss
189-9DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss
199-10DAYTONDAYTON×3AceKamryn Huntaced McKenna Melton
2010-10DAYTONURIAttack errGabriela Machin Borges
2111-10URIURIKillMcKenna Meltonset Dakota Henry
2211-11URIDAYTONKillRylee Slossset Rylee Sloss
2312-11DAYTONURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska
2413-11URIURIAttack errCorrie Anderson
2513-12URIDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss
2614-12DAYTONURI×4KillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska
2715-12URIURI×4KillMcKenna Meltonset Jahan Lalli
2816-12URIURI×4Bad setNatalie Harrington
2917-12URIURI×4AceRhode Island
3017-13URIDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington
3118-13DAYTONURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli
3218-14URIDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington
3318-15DAYTONDAYTONBlockedCara Richterblk Charlotte Vinson, Ava Liening
3419-15DAYTONURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli
3519-16URIDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
3620-16DAYTONURIKillJahan Lalliset Cara Richter
3720-17URIDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington
3820-18DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedChloe Abutoblk Ava Liening
3920-19DAYTONDAYTON×3AceKamryn Hunt
4021-19DAYTONURI×3KillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska
4122-19URIURI×3KillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska
4223-19URIURI×3BlockedKaleigh Merittblk Chloe Abuto, Emily Sawyer
4323-20URIDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington
4423-21DAYTONDAYTON×3AceMorgan Aslesonaced Cara Richter
4523-22DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington
4624-22DAYTONURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska
4725-22URIURIBlockedNatalie Harringtonblk Havyn Rolle
Set 3
10-1DAYTONDAYTONAttack errMcKenna Melton
21-1DAYTONURIServe errNatalie Harrington
31-2URIDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington
41-3DAYTONDAYTONAttack errEmily Sawyer
52-3DAYTONURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska
62-4URIDAYTON×5KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
72-5DAYTONDAYTON×5KillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington
82-6DAYTONDAYTON×5AceAbigail Cresseaced Dakota Henry
92-7DAYTONDAYTON×5Bad setEma Stermenska
102-8DAYTONDAYTON×5AceAbigail Cresse
113-8DAYTONURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska
124-8URIURIBlockedKamryn Huntblk Havyn Rolle, Emily Sawyer
134-9URIDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Natalie Harrington
145-9DAYTONURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska
155-10URIDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss
166-10DAYTONURIKillJahan Lalliset McKenna Melton
176-11URIDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss
187-11DAYTONURIAttack errGabriela Machin Borges
198-11URIURIAceRhode Islandaced Kaleigh Meritt
208-12URIDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss
218-13DAYTONDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington
229-13DAYTONURIKillChloe Abutoset Jahan Lalli
239-14URIDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington
2410-14DAYTONURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska
2511-14URIURIAceRhode Islandaced Lily Barry
2611-15URIDAYTONServe errRhode Island
2711-16DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington
2812-16DAYTONURIServe errAbigail Cresse
2912-17URIDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Havyn Rolle
3012-18DAYTONDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss
3113-18DAYTONURIServe errRylee Sloss
3213-19URIDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry
3314-19DAYTONURIKillMcKenna Meltonset Jahan Lalli
3414-20URIDAYTON×5Serve errRhode Island
3514-21DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedCara Richterblk Gabriela Machin Borges, Abigail Cresse
3614-22DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedMcKenna Meltonblk Abigail Cresse
3714-23DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedGrace Keaneyblk Kaleigh Meritt, Abigail Cresse
3814-24DAYTONDAYTON×5AceMorgan Aslesonaced Cara Richter
3915-24DAYTONURIServe errMorgan Asleson
4015-25URIDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss
Set 4
11-0URIURI×3AceRhode Islandaced Lily Barry
22-0URIURI×3Attack errSidney Sprada
33-0URIURI×3KillCara Richterset Dakota Henry
43-1URIDAYTON×7BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Abigail Cresse, Sidney Sprada
53-2DAYTONDAYTON×7AceSidney Spradaaced McKenna Melton
63-3DAYTONDAYTON×7KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington
73-4DAYTONDAYTON×7BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson
83-5DAYTONDAYTON×7KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington
93-6DAYTONDAYTON×7Attack errEmily Sawyer
103-7DAYTONDAYTON×7AceSidney Sprada
114-7DAYTONURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska
124-8URIDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry
134-9DAYTONDAYTONAttack errEmily Sawyer
145-9DAYTONURIKillCara Richterset Dakota Henry
156-9URIURIBlockedSidney Spradablk Havyn Rolle, Emily Sawyer
166-10URIDAYTON×5KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington
176-11DAYTONDAYTON×5KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Morgan Asleson
186-12DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedMcKenna Meltonblk Ava Liening, Gabriela Machin Borges
196-13DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errCara Richter
206-14DAYTONDAYTON×5AceRylee Sloss
217-14DAYTONURIBlockedKamryn Huntblk Emily Sawyer
227-15URIDAYTON×3KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss
237-16DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss
247-17DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedHavyn Rolleblk Ava Liening
258-17DAYTONURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli
268-18URIDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss
279-18DAYTONURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli
289-19URIDAYTON×4KillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss
299-20DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedGrace Keaneyblk Kaleigh Meritt, Abigail Cresse
309-21DAYTONDAYTON×4AceNatalie Harringtonaced Grace Keaney
319-22DAYTONDAYTON×4AceNatalie Harringtonaced McKenna Melton
3210-22DAYTONURIBlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Cara Richter, Chloe Abuto
3310-23URIDAYTON×3Serve errRhode Island
3410-24DAYTONDAYTON×3AceSidney Spradaaced Reagan Nisbet
3510-25DAYTONDAYTON×3AceSidney Sprada

Score shown after each rally, Rhode Island first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).