FinalThu, Sep 3, 2026

AwayMEAC

0:3

HomeACC

Syracuse def. Howard 3–0

(25-13, 25-18, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
HOWARD	13	18	22	0
SYR	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SYR above 50 · HOWARD below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Syracuse — set 1, HOWARD 0-1 SYR. Attack error by Alexys James. SYR win probability 86% → 88%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

HOWARD 13.7%86.3% SYR

Howard wins

3-0

2.0%

3-1

4.3%

3-2

7.4%

Syracuse wins

3-0

38.9%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

16.0%

HOWARD break %: 37.8% vs this opp
SYR break %: 46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alexys JamesAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Alexys James
Set 1 · HOWARD 0-1 SYR · SYR 86% → 88%
02
Bella RodriguezAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Bella Rodriguez
Set 2 · HOWARD 10-10 SYR · HOWARD 6% → 8%
03
Alexys JamesBad set+1.2%
Bad set by Alexys James
Set 1 · HOWARD 3-5 SYR · SYR 87% → 89%
04
SYR serverAce+1.1%
Syracuse ace on Camryn Shelton
Set 2 · HOWARD 10-12 SYR · SYR 93% → 94%
05
Kennedi WrightAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Kennedi Wright
Set 1 · HOWARD 4-7 SYR · SYR 89% → 90%
06
Zenai JethroeKill+1.0%
Kill by Zenai Jethroe (set by Sydnei Jones)
Set 1 · HOWARD 3-3 SYR · HOWARD 13% → 14%
07
Bella RodriguezKill+1.0%
Kill by Bella Rodriguez (set by Charis Burge)
Set 2 · HOWARD 8-9 SYR · HOWARD 5% → 6%
08
Abby NicholsonKill+1.0%
Kill by Abby Nicholson (set by Charis Burge)
Set 2 · HOWARD 11-14 SYR · SYR 94% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Howardaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Zenai JethroeMB	3	9	2	13	.538	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	11
21Addison BucknerOH	3	7	3	22	.182	1	0	3	5	3	0	1	0.5	7.5
5Alexys JamesS	3	3	3	18	.000	6	0	1	11	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Sydnei JonesS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
17Tiana StubbsMB	2	0	0	2	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
33Kennedi WrightOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
20Gabby AllenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
12Camryn SheltonL/DS	3	0	0	5	.000	3	0	2	10	2	0	0	0	0
22Corinne HowardOH	2	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
13Dayion JohnsonOH	2	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
7Easnadh Nobel TooloOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
2Estrella VazquezS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
0Haarachi UmenwaliriMB	1	3	3	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
15Kaitlynn RobinsonMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
19Briana PaganOH	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Lauryn WileyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	16	95	.126	26	1	11	35	7	1	8	5	53

Syracusehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Kiernan StameyOH	3	10	2	27	.296	2	1	1	8	0	1	0.5	11.5
23Abby NicholsonMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	1	1	1	0	3	1.5	7.5
10Bo NijenhuisMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
1Charis BurgeS	3	1	0	6	.167	22	0	0	9	0	0	0	1
19Emma WilliamsOH	2	3	3	9	.000	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	4
13Aileen McAllisterOH	1	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4
21Bella RodriguezOH	3	3	2	16	.063	2	0	1	5	0	1	0.5	3.5
18Yuka UranoL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	3	1	0	7	0	0	0	1
22Mira LedermuellerS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
6Marie LaurioOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
4Sophie ViennaS	2	0	0	0	–	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	2
12Keila GabrielOPP	1	3	1	6	.333	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
Team totals		34	10	95	.253	33	7	11	41	1	6	3	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 HOWARD · SYR 5

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 HOWARDSYR 4

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 HOWARDSYR 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 HOWARDSYR 5

Bars above the line = Syracuse leads, below = Howard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Howard

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	40%4/10
2	50%7/14	0%0/7
3	60%6/10	36%4/11
4	50%6/12	14%1/7
5	55%6/11	40%4/10
6	42%5/12	33%3/9
All	50%37/74	30%16/54

Syracuse

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	88%7/8	54%7/13
2	70%7/10	42%5/12
3	78%7/9	36%4/11
4	67%6/9	57%8/14
5	67%6/9	40%4/10
6	56%5/9	64%9/14
All	70%38/54	50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	HOWARD-SYR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Alexys James		+1.3
2	1-1	SYR	HOWARD	Attack err	Emma Williams		+1.0
3	1-2	HOWARD	SYR	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.9
4	2-2	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+1.0
5	2-3	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Aileen McAllister	set Charis Burge	+0.9
6	3-3	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+1.0
7	3-4	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+1.0
8	3-5	SYR	SYR	Bad set	Alexys James		+1.2
9	4-5	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.9
10	4-6	HOWARD	SYR×3	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.9
11	4-7	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Kennedi Wright		+1.1
12	4-8	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	SYR server	aced Camryn Shelton	+0.9
13	5-8	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.6
14	5-9	HOWARD	SYR×3	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Charis Burge	+0.7
15	5-10	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Emma Williams	set Yuka Urano	+0.8
16	5-11	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+0.6
17	6-11	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Kennedi Wright	set Camryn Shelton	+0.4
18	6-12	HOWARD	SYR×3	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Charis Burge	+0.4
19	6-13	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Alexys James		+0.4
20	6-14	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	SYR server	aced Kennedi Wright	+0.3
21	7-14	SYR	HOWARD	Attack err	Emma Williams		+0.1
22	7-15	HOWARD	SYR×4	Kill	Aileen McAllister	set Charis Burge	+0.2
23	7-16	SYR	SYR×4	Attack err	Alexys James		+0.2
24	7-17	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Aileen McAllister	set Yuka Urano	+0.1
25	7-18	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Aileen McAllister	set Charis Burge	+0.0
26	8-18	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.0
27	8-19	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.0
28	9-19	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.0
29	9-20	HOWARD	SYR×3	Bad set	Corinne Howard		+0.0
30	9-21	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	SYR server	aced Team	+0.0
31	9-22	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	SYR server	aced Addison Buckner	+0.0
32	10-22	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.0
33	10-23	HOWARD	SYR	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.0
34	10-24	SYR	SYR	Serve err	SYR server		+0.0
35	11-24	SYR	HOWARD×3	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+0.0
36	12-24	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Addison Buckner	+0.0
37	13-24	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	HOWARD server	aced Team	+0.0
38	13-25	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.6
2	1-1	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Camryn Shelton	+0.7
3	1-2	HOWARD	SYR×3	Attack err	Bella Rodriguez		+0.7
4	1-3	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe	blk Kiernan Stamey, Abby Nicholson	+0.8
5	1-4	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+0.7
6	2-4	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.5
7	3-4	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Abby Nicholson	blk Addison Buckner, Zenai Jethroe	+0.9
8	3-5	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.6
9	3-6	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe		+0.8
10	4-6	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.6
11	4-7	HOWARD	SYR	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.6
12	4-8	SYR	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Mira Ledermueller	+0.7
13	5-8	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+0.5
14	6-8	HOWARD	HOWARD	Bad set	Emma Williams		+0.8
15	6-9	HOWARD	SYR	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.6
16	7-9	SYR	HOWARD	Attack err	Bella Rodriguez	blk Corinne Howard, Tiana Stubbs	+0.6
17	8-9	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+1.0
18	8-10	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Kiernan Stamey	+0.7
19	9-10	SYR	HOWARD	Attack err	Emma Williams	blk Tiana Stubbs, Alexys James	+0.8
20	10-10	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Bella Rodriguez		+1.3
21	10-11	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.9
22	10-12	SYR	SYR	Ace	SYR server	aced Camryn Shelton	+1.1
23	11-12	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.8
24	11-13	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Charis Burge	set Bella Rodriguez	+0.8
25	11-14	SYR	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+1.0
26	12-14	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+0.7
27	12-15	HOWARD	SYR	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.7
28	13-15	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.7
29	13-16	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.8
30	14-16	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.7
31	14-17	HOWARD	SYR×3	Attack err	Dayion Johnson		+0.8
32	14-18	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Charis Burge	+0.9
33	14-19	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	SYR server	aced Addison Buckner	+0.6
34	15-19	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Alexys James	+0.3
35	15-20	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+0.4
36	16-20	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Kaitlynn Robinson	set Sydnei Jones	+0.3
37	16-21	HOWARD	SYR	Attack err	Abby Nicholson		+0.4
38	17-21	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+0.2
39	17-22	HOWARD	SYR	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.4
40	18-22	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+0.2
41	18-23	HOWARD	SYR×3	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.3
42	18-24	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Corinne Howard		+0.2
43	18-25	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	SYR server	aced Addison Buckner	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+0.4
2	1-1	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Keila Gabriel	+0.3
3	2-1	SYR	HOWARD×3	Kill	Haarachi Umenwaliri	set Sydnei Jones	+0.4
4	3-1	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Gabby Allen	+0.6
5	4-1	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Alexys James	set Camryn Shelton	+0.6
6	4-2	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge	+0.4
7	5-2	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.5
8	5-3	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Marie Laurio	+0.4
9	5-4	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+0.6
10	6-4	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.5
11	7-4	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Charis Burge	+0.7
12	7-5	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.4
13	8-5	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+0.5
14	8-6	HOWARD	SYR×4	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.4
15	8-7	SYR	SYR×4	Attack err	Haarachi Umenwaliri		+0.6
16	8-8	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Yuka Urano	+0.6
17	8-9	SYR	SYR×4	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Kiernan Stamey	+0.6
18	9-9	SYR	HOWARD×3	Kill	Haarachi Umenwaliri	set Alexys James	+0.4
19	10-9	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Keila Gabriel		+0.7
20	11-9	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+0.7
21	11-10	HOWARD	SYR×5	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.5
22	11-11	SYR	SYR×5	Attack err	Haarachi Umenwaliri		+0.7
23	11-12	SYR	SYR×5	Attack err	Camryn Shelton		+0.6
24	11-13	SYR	SYR×5	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Abby Nicholson	+0.6
25	11-14	SYR	SYR×5	Attack err	Haarachi Umenwaliri	blk Abby Nicholson, Bella Rodriguez	+0.5
26	12-14	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+0.3
27	12-15	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Bella Rodriguez	set Charis Burge	+0.3
28	12-16	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+0.4
29	13-16	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Haarachi Umenwaliri	set Sydnei Jones	+0.2
30	14-16	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Charis Burge	+0.5
31	14-17	HOWARD	SYR	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.4
32	14-18	SYR	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge	+0.4
33	15-18	SYR	HOWARD	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+0.2
34	16-18	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Easnadh Nobel Toolo	+0.5
35	16-19	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Bella Rodriguez	+0.4
36	16-20	SYR	SYR	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+0.4
37	17-20	SYR	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Bo Nijenhuis		+0.2
38	18-20	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey		+0.5
39	19-20	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey	blk Zenai Jethroe, Easnadh Nobel Toolo	+0.8
40	19-21	HOWARD	SYR	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Mira Ledermueller	+0.6
41	20-21	SYR	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+0.6
42	20-22	HOWARD	SYR×3	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Charis Burge	+0.7
43	20-23	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Easnadh Nobel Toolo		+0.7
44	20-24	SYR	SYR×3	Bad set	Addison Buckner		+0.3
45	21-24	SYR	HOWARD	Serve err	SYR server		+0.1
46	22-24	HOWARD	HOWARD	Bad set	Kiernan Stamey		+0.3
47	22-25	HOWARD	SYR	Serve err	HOWARD server		+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Howard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.